Technology / Software - ApplicationUpdated 2026-05-10 22:07 UTC

ADSK stock hub

Autodesk holds dominance in AEC software but currently trades at an unjustifiable premium given structural SaaS maturation, heavy stock-based compensation, and acute commercial real estate cyclicality.

Read full analysis Valuation Archive

Fair value midpoint

$175

$129 - $221

Upside to midpoint

-28.4%

Based on latest report

Confidence

88/100

Data quality and model convergence

Market cap

$51.4B

NASDAQ

Our take

Research highlights

What our analysis says

Pulled from the latest published report. The full reasoning lives under /analysis.

Biggest opportunity

Bull case

Bull: Accelerated digitization of the construction industry drives rapid Autodesk Construction Cloud adoption, expanding both pricing power and structural margins significantly.

Biggest risk

Construction Cycle Collapse

Recommended action

Sell

ADSK is rated Sell at $243.63 versus the reconciled fair value midpoint of $174.50, implying -28.37% upside/downside. Confidence is separately disclosed at 88/100.

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Autodesk, Inc.ADSK

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In the news

Latest news · ADSK

Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.

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Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

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Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Analysis map

Jump into the research surface

These links all point into /analysis/*, so a hub rollback leaves the report reader and legacy redirects live.

Forecast

Targets

Bull, base, and bear cases with expected-return framing.

Valuation

Models

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

Sensitivity

Grid

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

Risks

Bear case

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

Earnings

Decision tree

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

Position sizing

Checkpoints

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

Financials

History

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

Peers

Comps

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

Moat

Durability

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

Industry cycle

Context

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

Scorecard

Factors

Six-factor overlay and 9-category weighted scorecard.

Recommendation

Verdict

Final action, action steps, opportunity, and biggest risk.

Perspectives

Lenses

Growth, value, and income investor reads.

Where the current metrics sit

Percentiles come from the backend screener cohort cache for the ticker's country and sector.

Forward P/E17.3

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Trailing P/E0

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROE39.7

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROIC38.9

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Benchmarks - 1M

S&P 500n/a

Nasdaq Compositen/a

Dow Jones Industrial Averagen/a

Russell 2000n/a

Our take

Indicator catalog

All ADSK market and fundamental indicators

A searchable catalog of the available market, valuation, profitability, growth, balance-sheet, ownership, and analyst metrics for this ticker.

Available fields

273

Groups with data

Currency

USD

Showing 273 of 273 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

Metric	Value
Cik	0000769397
Company name	Autodesk, Inc.
Country	United States
Country code	US
Cusip	052769106
Employees	14,300
Employees Change	-1,000%
Employees Change Percent	-6.54
Enterprise value	$51.4B
Exchange	NASDAQ
Financial currency	USD
First seen	2026-05-09
In Index	SP500, NASDAQ100
Industry	Software - Application
Isin	US0527691069
Last refreshed	2026-05-10
Market cap	$51.6B
Market cap category	Large-Cap
Price	$245
Price currency	USD
Rev Per Employee	503,916.08x
Sector	Technology
Sic	7372
Symbol	ADSK
Tags	augmented-reality, virtual-reality, metaverse
Website	https://www.autodesk.com

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

Metric	Value
Earnings Yield	2.18%
EV Earnings	45.72x
EV Sales Forward	6.19x
EV/EBIT	28.42x
EV/EBITDA	26.96x
EV/FCF	21.33x
EV/Sales	7.13x
FCF yield	4.67%
Forward P/E	19.68x
P/B ratio	17.02x
P/E ratio	46.75x
P/S ratio	7.16x
PE Ratio10 Y	99.37x
PE Ratio3 Y	53.77x
PE Ratio5 Y	60.58x
PEG ratio	1.02x
PS Forward	6.22x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

Metric	Value
EBIT Margin	25.09%
EBITDA Margin	26.45%
FCF margin	33.43%
Gross margin	92.33%
Gross Profit	$6.7B
Gross Profit Growth	18%
Gross Profit Growth Q	20.36%
Gross Profit Growth3 Y	13.23%
Gross Profit Growth5 Y	13.81%
Net Income	$1.1B
Net Income Growth	1.08%
Net Income Growth Q	4.29%
Net Income Growth Quarters	3%
Net Income Growth Years	4%
Net Income Growth3 Y	10.95%
Net Income Growth5 Y	-1.43%
Pretax Margin	22.25%
Profit Margin	15.6%
Profit Per Employee	$78,601
Profitable Years	7
ROA	9.7
Roa5y	7.77
ROCE	27.15
ROE	39.68
Roe5y	57.42
ROIC	38.89
Roic5y	42.38

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

Metric	Value
Cagr10y	15.35%
Cagr15y	12.06%
Cagr1y	-13.72%
Cagr20y	9.49%
Cagr3y	7.84%
Cagr5y	-3.07%
EPS Growth	2.15
EPS Growth Q	6.25
EPS Growth Quarters	3
EPS Growth Years	4
EPS Growth3 Y	11.43
EPS Growth5 Y	-0.78
FCF Growth	53.73%
FCF Growth Q	43.36%
FCF Growth3 Y	5.85%
FCF Growth5 Y	12.35%
OCF Growth	52.58%
OCF Growth Q	42.92%
OCF Growth10 Y	19.47%
OCF Growth3 Y	5.79%
OCF Growth5 Y	11.28%
Revenue Growth	17.53x
Revenue Growth Q	19.4x
Revenue Growth Quarters	34x
Revenue Growth Years	9x
Revenue Growth3 Y	12.92x
Revenue Growth5 Y	13.71x

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

Metric	Value
Asset Turnover	$0.62
Assets	$12.5B
Cash	$2.6B
Current Assets	$4.9B
Current Liabilities	$5.8B
Debt	$2.7B
Debt EBITDA	$1.39
Debt Equity	$0.9
Debt FCF	$1.13
Equity	$3B
Liabilities	$9.4B
Long Term Assets	$7.5B
Long Term Liabilities	$3.6B
Net Cash	$239M
Net Cash By Market Cap	$0.46
Net Debt EBITDA	$-0.13
Net Debt Equity	$-0.08
Net Debt FCF	$-0.1
Tangible Book Value	$-1.7B
Tangible Book Value Per Share	$-8.1
WACC	10.94

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

Metric	Value
Current ratio	0.85
Net Working Capital	$-3.4B
Quick ratio	0.69
Working Capital	$-866M
Working Capital Turnover	$-5.69

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

Metric	Value
Buyback Yield	0.92%
Dividend per share	$0
Dividend Yield	0%
Last Dividend	$0.02

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

Metric	Value
10Y total return	316.81%
1Y total return	-13.71%
200-day SMA	279.2
3Y total return	25.42%
50-day SMA	243.1
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA	50under200
5Y total return	-14.44%
All Time High	344.4
All Time High Change	-29%
All Time High Date	2021-08-24
All Time Low	0.97
All Time Low Change	25,137.41%
All Time Low Date	1986-02-11
ATR	8.68
Beta	1.32
Beta1y	0.79
Beta2y	0.96
Ch YTD	-17.4
High	247.7
High52	329.1
High52 Date	2025-09-08
High52ch	-25.7%
Low	241.9
Low52	214.1
Low52 Date	2026-04-10
Low52ch	14.2%
Ma50ch	0.58%
Premarket Change Percent	-0.59
Premarket Price	$250
Premarket Volume	3,780
Price vs 200-day SMA	-12.43%
RSI	52.56
RSI Monthly	43.59
RSI Weekly	43.88
Sharpe ratio	-0.45x
Sortino ratio	-0.43
Total Return	0.92%
Tr YTD	-17.4
Tr15y	451.79%
Tr1m	4.06%
Tr1w	0.06%
Tr3m	1.71%

Analyst estimates

Ratings, targets, revisions, and forward estimate fields.

Metric	Value
Analyst Count	26
Analyst Count Top	5
Analyst Price Target Top	$314
Analyst Ratings	Buy
Analyst Ratings Top	Strong Buy
Earnings EPS Estimate	$2.71
Earnings EPS Estimate Growth	18.34
Earnings Revenue Estimate	1,891,724,840x
Earnings Revenue Estimate Growth	15.84x
Operating Income	$1.8B
Operating Income Growth	27.77
Operating Income Growth Q	37.37
Operating Income Growth3 Y	20.55
Operating Income Growth5 Y	22.93
Operating margin	25.09
Price target	$335
Price Target Change	$37.03
Price Target Change Top	$28.34

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

Metric	Value
Float	210,444,316%
Float Percent	99.67%
Net Borrowing	199,000,000
Shares Insiders	0.14%
Shares Institutions	93.4%
Shares Out	211,145,251
Shares Qo Q	-0.47%
Shares Yo Y	-0.92%
Short Float	2.45%
Short Ratio	2.49
Short Shares	2.45

Other indicators

Additional ticker metrics that do not fit the primary research groupings yet.

Metric	Value
Adjusted FCF	$1.6B
Average Volume	1,846,263.25x
Bv Per Share	14.36
CAPEX	$-43M
Ch10y	316.8
Ch15y	451.8
Ch1m	4.06
Ch1w	0.06
Ch1y	-13.71
Ch20y	512.5
Ch3m	1.71
Ch3y	25.42
Ch5y	-14.44
Ch6m	-17.73
Change	-2.61%
Change From Open	-1.27
Close	251
Days Gap	-1.35
Depreciation Amortization	98,000,000
Dollar Volume	427,324,386
Earnings Date	2026-05-28
Earnings Time	amc
EBIT	$1.8B
EBITDA	$1.9B
EPS	$5.23
F Score	7
FCF	$2.4B
FCF EV Yield	4.69x
FCF Per Share	$11.41
Financing CF	-1,361,000,000
Fiscal Year End	January
Founded	1,982
Goodwill	4,295,000,000
Graham Number	41.11193
Graham Upside	-83.19
Income Tax	$479M
Investing CF	-451,000,000
Is Primary Listing	1
Is Spac	No
Last Earnings Date	2026-02-26
Last Report Date	2026-01-31
Last Split Date	2004-12-21
Last Split Type	Forward
Last10k Filing Date	2026-03-03
Lynch Fair Value	$26.15
Lynch Upside	-89.3
Ma150	270
Ma150ch	-9.45%
Ma20	240.5
Ma20ch	1.65%
Net CF	650,000,000
Next Earnings Date	2026-05-28
Open	247.7
Optionable	Yes
P FCF Ratio	21.43
P OCF Ratio	21.05
Position In Range	44.93
Post Close	244.5
Postmarket Change Percent	0.2
Postmarket Price	$245
Ppne	278,000,000
Pre Close	251
Price Date	2026-05-08
Price EBITDA	$27.09
Relative Volume	0.95x
Revenue	7,206,000,000x
SBC By Revenue	10.94x
Share Based Comp	788,000,000
Tax By Revenue	6.65x
Tax Rate	29.88%
Tr20y	512.48%
Tr6m	-17.73%
Us State	California
Volume	1,747,748
Z Score	4.78

Fast facts

Decision checkpoints

A compact product layer over the same report payload.

Risk gate

Named kill scenarios are reviewed before any bullish rating can stand.

Moat score

9/10

Business quality stays separate from stock attractiveness.

Forward P/E

17.3x

Valuation uses the full report model stack, not a single multiple.

Next action

Sell

Final action steps are kept in the recommendation tab.

Our take

Income

Does ADSK pay a dividend?

Capital-return profile for this ticker.

Performance

ADSK stock returns vs the market

Total return (incl. dividends) compared to S&P 500.

Ownership

Who owns ADSK?

Insider, institutional, and short-interest positioning.

Institutional ownership

+93.4%

Float: +99.7% of shares outstanding

Insider ownership

+0.1%

Stake held by company insiders. Higher generally signals alignment.

Negative means the company is buying back shares.

Technical

ADSK momentum and risk profile

RSI, moving-average stack, beta, and risk-adjusted return.

RSI (14)

52.6

Neutral momentum band

Price vs 200-day MA

-12.4%

50/200-day relationship not available

Beta (5Y)

1.32

More volatile than the market

Sharpe ratio

-0.45

Risk-adjusted return — higher is better; >1.0 is solid.

Peers

ADSK vs. sector cohort

Currency-neutral comparison: P/E, P/S, ROIC, 5Y revenue CAGR, and 1Y total return. Market-cap column appears only when every peer reports in the same currency.

Ticker	Name	Market cap	P/E	P/S	ROIC	5Y rev CAGR	1Y total return	Rating
AAPL	Apple Inc.	4.3T	35.6x	9.5x	104.3%	+6.8%	+50.1%	بيع
ABNB	Airbnb Inc.	84B	34.7x	6.6x	15.9%	+29.9%	+14.9%	احتفاظ
ADBE	Adobe Inc.	102.3B	14.8x	4.2x	63.3%	+12.3%	-34.3%	شراء قوي
LITE	Lumentum Holdings Inc.	64.8B	171.8x	26.0x	8.3%	+7.7%	+1264.4%	تخفيض

Questions

About ADSK

Hub-level FAQ points readers to the deeper analysis pages.

What is the current ADSK stock rating?

Autodesk, Inc. is currently shown with Sell in the latest report. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full ADSK analysis?

The full report lives at /stocks/ADSK/analysis. The bare ticker page is a product hub that summarizes the latest read and sends readers into the relocated analysis tabs without making the analysis surface depend on the hub.

What fair-value range is used for ADSK?

The latest report frames ADSK around $129 to $221. Treat that range as the entry point, then check the valuation, sensitivity, and bear-case tabs before making an investment decision.

How often is the ADSK page updated?

The hub updates with the latest published stock report and live backend market data. The analysis pages remain reachable under /analysis, so a hub rollback does not remove the report reader.