تحليلات المنتج الاختيارية
بإذنك، نستخدم تحليلات محدودة تراعي الخصوصية لفهم مسارات البحث الفعالة. لا نستخدم أدوات تتبع إعلانية أو تسجيل الجلسات. يمكنك تغيير هذا الخيار في التفضيلات. اقرأ سياسة الخصوصية.
Southwest Airlines Co.'s published Hold conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $20.4B |
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| Revenue (ttm) | 31.5B |
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| Net income (ttm) | 1.1B |
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| EPS (ttm) | $2.04 |
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| Shares out | 489.6M |
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| P/E (trailing) | 21.3x |
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| P/E (forward) | 8.3x |
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| Dividend | $0.72 (1.66%) |
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| Volume | 4,850,114 |
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| Beta | 1.15 |
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Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $15.79B | $23.81B | $26.09B | $27.48B | $28.06B | +15.5% |
| Gross profit | $4.12B | $4.75B | $4.22B | $4.46B | $4.90B | +4.4% |
| Operating income | $1.72B | $1.02B | $224.0M | $321.0M | $428.0M | -29.4% |
| Net income | $977.0M | $539.0M | $465.0M | $465.0M | $441.0M | -18.0% |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.61 | $0.87 | $0.76 | $0.76 | $0.79 | -16.3% |
| EBITDA | $3.03B | $2.38B | $2.39B | $2.47B | $2.24B | -7.3% |
| R&D | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | $2.20B | $3.51B | $3.73B | $14.13B | $14.19B | +59.3% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
Under the base case, with an assigned probability of 55.0%, Southwest executes its planned commercial overhaul, sustaining unit revenue gains and achieving mid-cycle operating margins near target levels. The model targets a valuation of $39.52, delivering an implied return of -5.1% relative to $41.66 (as of 2026-10-09). Disconfirmation would occur if third quarter unit revenues decelerate rapidly or if non-fuel operating expense growth persistently exceeds management projections, which would become apparent across upcoming fiscal year results.
Under the bull case, with an assigned probability of 20.0%, commercial monetization exceeds internal expectations as premium seating sell-up accelerates, co-branded credit card growth maintains double-digit momentum, and constrained industry seat capacity supports elevated passenger yields. This trajectory drives the valuation toward $60.50, representing an implied return of 45.2% against $41.66 (as of 2026-10-09) and aligning with Potential value of $60.50. Disconfirmation would occur if competitive fare discounting re-emerges or if loyalty acquisition velocity weakens.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $40.8 | $42.0 | $43.3 | $44.8 | $46.6 |
| 9.5% | $39.1 | $40.2 | $41.3 | $42.6 | $44.1 |
| 10.0% | $37.6 | $38.5 | $39.5 | $40.7 | $41.9 |
| 10.5% | $36.3 | $37.1 | $37.9 | $38.9 | $40.0 |
| 11.0% | $35.0 | $35.7 | $36.5 | $37.3 | $38.3 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
التصنيف الذي حملته نسخة البحث المنشورة في كل شهر. يقارن التصنيف السعر في تاريخ التحليل بالقيمة العادلة، وليس سجلاً لمدى صحة التقدير.
| السنة | يناير | فبراير | مارس | أبريل | مايو | يونيو | يوليو | أغسطس | سبتمبر | أكتوبر | نوفمبر | ديسمبر |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |