Optionale Produktanalyse
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American International Group Inc.'s published Strong Buy conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $39.2B | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward) | 8.5x |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $52.16B | $30.00B | $27.94B | $27.25B | $26.78B | -15.4% |
| Gross profit | $20.11B | $7.26B | $4.37B | $9.28B | $9.24B | -17.7% |
| Operating income | $14.65B | $4.38B | $3.38B | $4.33B | $4.28B | -26.5% |
| Net income | $10.37B | $10.23B | $3.64B | $-1.40B | $3.10B | -26.1% |
| EPS (diluted) | $11.95 | $12.94 | $4.98 | $-2.17 | $5.43 | -17.9% |
| EBITDA | $19.19B | $8.24B | $7.22B | $7.93B | $7.73B | -20.3% |
| R&D | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | $8.73B | $6.16B | $5.40B | $5.53B | $5.05B | -12.8% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
Under the modal base path, intrinsic value converges to Fair value at $131.35, delivering an implied return of 75.3% with an assigned probability of 55.0%. For this path to hold, disciplined commercial underwriting and portfolio restructuring must preserve operating profitability, international diversification must sustain mid-single digit premium expansion, and recurring operating cash flows must continue funding share retirement. The scenario would be disconfirmed if core operating margins break below target levels or top-line premium volume contracts, with key checkpoints assessed through FY2026 and FY2027 earnings releases.
In the bull scenario, intrinsic value reaches $195.82, reflecting a potential return of 161.3% with an assigned probability of 20.0%. This trajectory requires commercial property and casualty pricing cycles to re-accelerate globally, underwriting margins to expand toward top-tier specialty peers, and elevated fixed-income reinvestment yields to compound investment income while share count reductions accelerate. Disconfirmation would occur if renewal pricing contracts broadly across core commercial lines or catastrophe losses overwhelm underwriting provisions, which would be visible by mid-year FY2027.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.6% | $146 | $151 | $158 | $165 | $173 |
| 7.1% | $134 | $138 | $143 | $149 | $155 |
| 7.6% | $124 | $127 | $131 | $136 | $140 |
| 8.1% | $116 | $119 | $122 | $125 | $129 |
| 8.6% | $108 | $111 | $113 | $116 | $119 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
Das Rating, das die veröffentlichte Research-Ausgabe des jeweiligen Monats trug. Ein Rating vergleicht den Kurs zum Analysezeitpunkt mit dem Fair Value; es ist kein Nachweis, ob die Einschätzung zutraf.
| Jahr | Jan | Feb | Mär | Apr | Mai | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Okt | Nov | Dez |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
