What is the latest published MLM stock rating?

Martin Marietta Materials Inc. is shown with Sell in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-03. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full MLM analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-03, lives at /stocks/MLM/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for MLM?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-10-03 gives MLM a fair value of USD 371 and a potential value of USD 439. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the MLM page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-10-03). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

MLM Stock: Fundamentals & Analysis | StockMarketAgent.AI

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Martin Marietta Materials Inc. (MLM)

NYSE: MLM · USD

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StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-10-03

Our latest published analysis: MLM rated Sell

Martin Marietta Materials Inc.'s published Sell conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$371 / share

Potential value

$439 / share

Upside to FV

-23.1%

Moat

7.5/10

Narrow

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$34.3B
P/E (forward)	20.6x

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

P/E (forward): 20.6x
Market cap: $34.3B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2021-12-31	2022-12-31	2023-12-31	2024-12-31	2025-12-31	Trend
Revenue	$5.41B	$6.16B	$5.85B	$5.66B	$6.15B	+3.2%
Gross profit	$1.35B	$1.42B	$1.75B	$1.64B	$1.89B	+8.8%
Operating income	$973.8M	$1.21B	$1.33B	$2.48B	$1.44B	+10.2%
Net income	$702.5M	$867.0M	$1.17B	$2.00B	$1.14B	+12.8%
EPS (diluted)	$11.22	$13.87	$18.82	$32.41	$18.77	+13.7%
EBITDA	$1.45B	$1.77B	$2.17B	$3.34B	$2.15B	+10.4%
R&D	—	—	—	—	—	—
SG&A	$351.0M	$397.0M	$425.0M	$429.0M	$443.0M	+6.0%

Ticker	Name	Market cap	P/E	P/S	ROIC	5Y rev CAGR	1Y total return	Rating
AAL	American Airlines Group Inc.	—	—	—	—	—	—	Mantener
ALB	Albemarle Corporation	—	—	—	—	—	—	Mantener
ANET	Arista Networks Inc.	—	—	—	—	—	—	Vender
APD	Air Products and Chemicals, Inc.	—	—	—	—	—	—	Mantener
AVY	Avery Dennison Corporation	—	—	—	—	—	—	Mantener
BALL	Ball Corporation	—	—	—	—	—	—	Comprar

Base and Bull scenarios

Base60%

Price target

$370.84

-23.1% from spot

The Base case establishes a target value of $370.84, representing an expected return of -23.1% with an assigned probability of 60.0%. This scenario assumes steady shipment volume expansion supported by federal infrastructure outlays under the IIJA, steady aggregates pricing realization, and normalization of West Group operating margins as purchase price accounting inventory adjustments conclude entering FY2027. Disconfirmation would occur if organic pricing decelerates below input cost inflation or if private non-residential construction activity experiences extended delays.

Non-discretionary federal infrastructure funding provides baseline aggregate volume demand across core markets.
Aggregates average selling prices expand steadily to offset labor and operational cost increases.
West Group operating margins recover as acquisition-related inventory step-ups conclude entering FY2027.
Capital expenditures moderate toward normalized maintenance requirements following recent asset additions.

Bull20%

Price target

$439.47

-8.9% from spot

The Bull case models an intrinsic valuation reaching $439.47, implying an expected return of -8.9% with an assigned probability of 20.0%. In this pathway, accelerated federal infrastructure project disbursements intersect with rapid commercialization of semiconductor and clean tech manufacturing mega-projects. Robust pricing power allows the company to push aggressive pricing gains while operating synergies across recently acquired networks expand consolidated operating profitability well above baseline levels. This pathway would be disconfirmed if project financing hurdles or regional supply chain bottlenecks delay mega-project construction schedules.

Accelerated federal IIJA disbursements drive double-digit public infrastructure volume demand.
Contractual price escalators on manufacturing mega-projects deliver premium realized pricing across heavy materials.
Rapid operational integration and quarry network optimization expand consolidated operating margins significantly.
Surging free cash flow enables accelerated balance sheet deleveraging and resumes substantial capital returns.

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($370.84). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.

Ke ↓ / g →	2.3%	2.5%	2.8%	3.0%	3.3%
8.8%	$399	$407	$415	$424	$434
9.3%	$378	$384	$391	$399	$407
9.8%	$360	$365	$371	$377	$384
10.3%	$343	$348	$353	$358	$364
10.8%	$329	$333	$337	$342	$346

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Valuation1.5

Management8.5

Balance Sheet6.0

Profitability6.5

Revenue Growth7.5

Risk Assessment6.5

Competitive Moat7.5

Earnings Quality6.0

Capital Efficiency3.5

Weighted composite

5.9/10

Mixed

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	1.5
Management	8.5
Balance Sheet	6.0
Profitability	6.5
Revenue Growth	7.5
Risk Assessment	6.5
Competitive Moat	7.5
Earnings Quality	6.0
Capital Efficiency	3.5

Historial de calificaciones

La calificación que llevaba la edición de análisis publicada cada mes. Una calificación compara el precio en la fecha del análisis con el valor razonable; no es un registro de si la valoración acertó.

Año	ene	feb	mar	abr	may	jun	jul	ago	sept	oct	nov	dic
2026

Martin Marietta Materials Inc. (MLM)

Our latest published analysis: MLM rated Sell

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · MLM

Valuation

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

Deeper analysis on MLM

Frequently asked questions

Historial de calificaciones