Análisis opcionales del producto
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NRG Energy Inc.'s published Strong Buy conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $22.0B | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (ttm) | 33.1B | |
| Net income (ttm) | 782M | |
| EPS (ttm) | $3.87 | |
| Shares out | 210.2M | |
| P/E (trailing) | 25.1x | |
| P/E (forward) | 9.0x | |
| Dividend | $1.90 (1.97%) | |
| Volume | 1,769,877 | |
| Beta | 1.16 |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $26.78B | $31.49B | $28.26B | $27.75B | $30.35B | +3.2% |
| Gross profit | $6.51B | $4.10B | $2.30B | $6.03B | $6.71B | +0.8% |
| Operating income | $3.34B | $2.02B | $384.0M | $2.42B | $1.85B | -13.8% |
| Net income | $2.19B | $1.22B | $-202.0M | $1.13B | $864.0M | -20.7% |
| EPS (diluted) | $8.93 | $5.17 | $-1.12 | $4.99 | $4.01 | -18.1% |
| EBITDA | $4.18B | $2.80B | $1.75B | $3.50B | $3.81B | -2.3% |
| R&D | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | $1.29B | $1.15B | $2.09B | $2.35B | $2.60B | +19.1% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
In the Base scenario, NRG executes its $3.2B data center project on budget reaching commercial operation in late 2029. Operating margins normalize from 6.08% in FY2025 to 6.87% in FY2027 and 8.30% in FY2030, supported by stable East segment retail volumes ($14.06B in FY2025) and >=$1.0B in annual share repurchases. This yields the house fair value midpoint of $222.36.
In the Bull scenario, regional electricity demand from AI data centers outpaces supply across ERCOT and PJM, allowing NRG to contract its 1.2 GW new build above $90/MWh and execute serial 1.2 GW annual additions with GE Vernova. Operating margins expand toward 8.3% and forward EPS growth reaches 20% annually, driving valuation toward the upper band of $302.10.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2% | $242 | $249 | $257 | $265 | $275 |
| 8.7% | $226 | $232 | $238 | $245 | $252 |
| 9.2% | $213 | $217 | $222 | $228 | $234 |
| 9.7% | $201 | $205 | $209 | $214 | $219 |
| 10.2% | $191 | $194 | $198 | $202 | $206 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
La calificación que llevaba la edición de análisis publicada cada mes. Una calificación compara el precio en la fecha del análisis con el valor razonable; no es un registro de si la valoración acertó.
| Año | ene | feb | mar | abr | may | jun | jul | ago | sept | oct | nov | dic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |