Análisis opcionales del producto
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Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.'s published Sell conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $37.4B | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (ttm) | 5.8B | |
| Net income (ttm) | 1.2B | |
| EPS (ttm) | $5.57 | |
| Shares out | 207.4M | |
| P/E (trailing) | 31.1x | |
| P/E (forward) | 27.3x | |
| Dividend | $1.16 (0.67%) | |
| Volume | 4,190,149 | |
| Beta | 1.20 |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $5.26B | $6.26B | $5.87B | $5.81B | $5.50B | +1.1% |
| Gross profit | $1.78B | $2.26B | $2.07B | $2.02B | $1.77B | -0.1% |
| Operating income | $1.39B | $1.84B | $1.64B | $1.54B | $1.36B | -0.6% |
| Net income | $1.03B | $1.38B | $1.24B | $1.19B | $1.02B | -0.3% |
| EPS (diluted) | $8.89 | $6.09 | $5.63 | $5.48 | $4.84 | -14.1% |
| EBITDA | $1.65B | $2.12B | $1.97B | $1.90B | $1.73B | +1.1% |
| R&D | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | $223.8M | $258.9M | $203.2M | $309.7M | $234.8M | +1.2% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
The Base case reflects a measured mid-cycle recovery. Industrial production stabilizes and retail restocking unfolds gradually, driving revenue growth of 7.60% in FY2026 and 7.86% in FY2027. Operating margins expand moderately from 24.76% in FY2025 to 25.20% in FY2026 and 26.20% in FY2027, reaching a terminal steady-state of 26.00%. Diluted EPS rises from $4.84 in FY2025 to $5.81 in FY2026 and $6.60 in FY2027. Intrinsic valuation centers at $96.57, discounted at a WACC of 9.7408% and terminal P/E of 20.0x.
In the Bull case, customer inventory restocking inflects sharply across North American industrial and retail channels throughout FY2026 and FY2027. Old Dominion leverages its north of 35% excess service center capacity and internal driver academy pipelines to onboard high-yielding freight spillover from embargoed competitors. High incremental margins of 45% to 50% expand operating margins toward 27.5%-28.0%, lifting diluted EPS past $7.00 and supporting the high-end intrinsic value of $129.73.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.7% | $100 | $102 | $104 | $106 | $108 |
| 9.2% | $95.7 | $97.1 | $98.7 | $100 | $102 |
| 9.7% | $91.5 | $92.7 | $96.6 | $95.5 | $97.0 |
| 10.2% | $87.7 | $88.8 | $89.9 | $91.2 | $92.5 |
| 10.7% | $84.3 | $85.3 | $86.3 | $87.3 | $88.4 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
La calificación que llevaba la edición de análisis publicada cada mes. Una calificación compara el precio en la fecha del análisis con el valor razonable; no es un registro de si la valoración acertó.
| Año | ene | feb | mar | abr | may | jun | jul | ago | sept | oct | nov | dic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
