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ACN trades against a final fair-value range of $186.15-$261.24, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs. Fair value range: low $186, high $261, with mid-point at $223.
Stock analysis

ACN fair value $186–$261

By StockMarketAgent.AI team· supervised by
تحلیل شد: 2026-05-10به‌روزرسانی بعدی: 2026-08-10Methodology v2.5Review: automatedArchetype: Mature dividend
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قیمت
$180.42
▲ +43.03 (+23.85%)
ارزش منصفانه
$223
$186–$261
رتبه‌بندی
خرید
confidence 88/100
پتانسیل رشد
+23.9%
upside to fair value
حاشیه ایمنی
$189.93
MoS level · 15%
ارزش بازار
$111.0B
P/E fwd 12.1
منبع انگلیسیFA
منبع انگلیسی تا زمان ترجمه نمایش داده می‌شود
این گزارش هنوز ترجمه نشده است. پس از چند دقیقه، زمانی که صف ترجمه به‌روز شد، صفحه را تازه کنید.

§1 خلاصه اجرایی

  • Composite fair value $223 with high case $261.
  • Implied upside of 23.9% to fair value.
  • Moat 9/10 · confidence 88/100 · Mature dividend.
  • Trades below fair value with a meaningful cushion to the midpoint.
Fair value
$223
Margin of safety
+19.3%
Confidence
88/100
Moat
9/10

Educational research only - not investment advice, an offer, or a trade instruction. Confirm current data and do your own due diligence before acting.

$180.42Price
Low $186.15
Mid $223.45
High $261.24

ACN trades against a final fair-value range of $186.15-$261.24, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs.

  • High switching costs associated with
    High switching costs associated with deeply integrated enterprise IT and ERP systems.
  • Intangible assets derived from specialized
    Intangible assets derived from specialized industry expertise and a massive global delivery network.
  • Bull thesis
    The market is over-penalizing near-term macro headwinds, ignoring Accenture's deep structural integration into critical enterprise workflows.

§2 سناریوی نزولی

A severe macroeconomic downturn triggers sweeping IT budget freezes, stalling cloud migrations and AI projects. RevenueRevenueRevenue is an income-statement line item used to reconcile revenue to operating profit, pre-tax income, net income, or per-share earnings. It should be compared across periods and against peer disclosure conventions. contracts while high fixed labor costs compress operating margins below historical norms, dragging fair valueFair valueOur composite estimate of intrinsic per-share value, blended across DCF, exit-multiple, and reverse-DCF methods. Reported as a low/mid/high range to capture model uncertainty. down to the $186 floor.

چگونگی شکست این تز

AI Displacement

· Medium

Agentic AI systems automate core coding and BPO tasks, collapsing Accenture's billable hour model and shrinking total addressable market.

FV impact
-25%
Trigger
3-5 years

Cloud Maturation

· High

Enterprise cloud migrations conclude sooner than expected, leaving a massive structural growth void unfulfilled by new AI initiatives.

FV impact
-15%
Trigger
2-3 years

Margin Collapse

· Low

Intense wage inflation and talent retention costs in global delivery centers severely compress historical operating margins.

FV impact
-20%
Trigger
1-2 years
سیگنال‌های هشدار اولیه برای پایش
معیارفعلیآستانه فعال‌سازی
Sequential declines in book-to-bill ratios consistently below 1.0x.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Unplanned, structural increases in bench time and utilization rate drops.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Deteriorating pricing power on large-scale managed services outsourcing contracts.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Rising voluntary attrition rates among key senior technical staff.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Slowing growth in the high-margin Song and Industry X divisions.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis

§3 تاریخچه مالی

صورت سود و زیان — شش دوره اخیر
ردیفT−0T−1T−2T−3نرخ رشد سالانه مرکب
دوره2022-08-312023-08-312024-08-312025-08-31Trend
درآمد$61.59B$64.11B$64.90B$69.67B+4.2%
سود ناخالص$19.70B$20.73B$21.16B$22.24B+4.1%
سود عملیاتی$9.37B$9.87B$10.03B$10.84B+5.0%
سود خالص$6.88B$6.87B$7.26B$7.68B+3.7%
EPS (رقیق‌شده)$10.71$10.77$11.44$12.15+4.3%
EBITDA$10.27B$10.25B$10.84B$11.87B+4.9%
تحقیق و توسعه
هزینه‌های عمومی و فروش$10.33B$10.86B$11.13B$11.39B+3.3%

امتیازات کیفیت

امتیاز Piotroski F
5 / 9
ترکیب کیفیت ۰–۹
امتیاز Altman Z
4.4
ریسک ورشکستگی (>۳ ایمن)
امتیاز Beneish M
-2.75
ریسک دستکاری سود
OCF / سود خالص
1.49×
>۱ نشان‌دهنده کیفیت بالای سود
دروازه کیفیت حسابداری
Pass
دروازه تعدیل‌شده بخشی
ROIC
21.1%
بازده سرمایه‌گذاری‌شده
بخش ۳

Numbers analysis

جریان نقدی

Cash-flow quality is reflected in the OCFOperating cash flowCash generated from the company's core operations after working-capital changes but before capital expenditures. The first line of the cash-flow statement. / net incomeNet IncomeNet Income is an income-statement line item used to reconcile revenue to operating profit, pre-tax income, net income, or per-share earnings. It should be compared across periods and against peer disclosure conventions., accounting-quality, and ROICROICReturn on invested capital. Operating profit (after tax) divided by invested capital. The single best gauge of capital-efficiency. Spread over WACC = economic value created. rows above.

تخصیص سرمایه

Capital allocation should be evaluated against reinvestment needs, balance-sheet strength, and shareholder returns.

مشترکان فردی — از §۴ به بعد11 بخش بیشتر

تحلیل کامل را بخوانید — 11 بخش بیشتر.

Competitive moat, industry cycle, peer comparison, intrinsic valuation, sensitivity, scenarios, earnings decision tree, position management, investor perspectives, scorecard, and final recommendation.

گزارش کامل برای هر نماد تحت پوشش
بایگانی ۲۴ ماه رتبه‌بندی
بریفینگ‌های فهرست مشاهده + هشدارهای تغییر رتبه
خروجی PDF + DOCX به هر زبان
شروع آزمایش رایگان
قابل لغو در هر زمان.
MARGINS FAQ

ACN margins questions

  1. ACN (ACN)'s margin set covers gross margin, operating margin, net margin, and free-cash-flow margin. The five-year trajectory is plotted so the reader can separate cyclical noise from secular trend.
FAQ

ACN — frequently asked questions

  1. Based on our latest analysis, ACN looks meaningfully undervalued. The current price is $180 versus a composite fair-value midpoint of $223 (range $186–$261), which implies roughly 23.9% upside to the midpoint.
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