تحلیل اختیاری محصول
با اجازه شما، از تحلیلهای محدود و حریمخصوصیمحور استفاده میکنیم تا مسیرهای پژوهشی مؤثر را بشناسیم. از ردیاب تبلیغاتی یا بازپخش نشست استفاده نمیکنیم. این انتخاب را میتوانید در تنظیمات تغییر دهید. بخوانید سیاست حفظ حریم خصوصی.
Dollar Tree, Inc.'s published Hold conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $21.7B | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (ttm) | 20.1B | |
| Net income (ttm) | 1.6B | |
| EPS (ttm) | $8.15 | |
| Shares out | 187.6M | |
| P/E (trailing) | 15.6x | |
| P/E (forward) | 16.9x | |
| Volume | 1,233,319 | |
| Beta | 0.72 |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2022-01-29 | 2023-01-28 | 2024-02-03 | 2025-02-01 | 2026-01-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $26.31B | $15.41B | $16.77B | $17.57B | $19.40B | -7.3% |
| Gross profit | $7.73B | $5.78B | $6.01B | $6.28B | $7.05B | -2.3% |
| Operating income | $1.81B | $2.10B | $1.77B | $1.46B | $1.65B | -2.3% |
| Net income | $1.33B | $1.62B | $-998.4M | $-3.03B | $1.28B | -0.9% |
| EPS (diluted) | $5.80 | $7.21 | $-4.54 | $-14.03 | $6.22 | +1.8% |
| EBITDA | $2.53B | $2.46B | $2.17B | $2.02B | $2.36B | -1.7% |
| R&D | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | $5.93B | $3.68B | $4.25B | $4.83B | $5.47B | -2.0% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
The Base scenario projects a target value of $127.00 with an assigned probability of 60.0%, representing an implied return of 9.6% relative to share price $115.87. For this pathway to unfold, consumable assortments must continue driving store traffic while multi-price adoption expands transaction size without consumer resistance. Variety merchandise must maintain near parity with consumables to defend gross margin, while capital expenditures taper from peak levels toward maintenance intensity to unlock operating cash flow. Disconfirming evidence would emerge if comparable store sales growth stalls, gross margin contracts toward discount peer levels, or conversion capital outlays remain elevated into FY2027. Investors will evaluate progress through upcoming quarterly reports tracking merchandise mix and capital expenditure pacing.
The Bull scenario projects a target value of $151.74 with an assigned probability of 20.0%, offering an implied return of 31.0% against share price $115.87, reaching toward Potential value $151.74. Realizing this pathway requires rapid customer acceptance of higher multi-price tiers without unit volume friction, driving meaningful basket size expansion and lifting variety merchandise sales. Simultaneously, supply chain automation must drive operating margin expansion, while store fleet capital outlays normalize swiftly to unlock substantial free cash flow. This scenario would be disconfirmed if promotional discounting becomes necessary to defend transaction counts or if store conversion delays escalate capital commitments through FY2027.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5% | $139 | $143 | $147 | $153 | $159 |
| 8.0% | $129 | $133 | $136 | $140 | $145 |
| 8.5% | $121 | $124 | $127 | $130 | $134 |
| 9.0% | $114 | $117 | $119 | $122 | $125 |
| 9.5% | $108 | $110 | $112 | $115 | $117 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
رتبهای که نسخهٔ پژوهشی منتشرشدهٔ هر ماه داشت. رتبه قیمت در تاریخ تحلیل را با ارزش منصفانه مقایسه میکند و سابقهای از درستی یا نادرستی ارزیابی نیست.
| سال | دی | بهمن | اسفند | فروردین | اردیبهشت | خرداد | تیر | مرداد | شهریور | مهر | آبان | آذر |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
