تحلیل اختیاری محصول
با اجازه شما، از تحلیلهای محدود و حریمخصوصیمحور استفاده میکنیم تا مسیرهای پژوهشی مؤثر را بشناسیم. از ردیاب تبلیغاتی یا بازپخش نشست استفاده نمیکنیم. این انتخاب را میتوانید در تنظیمات تغییر دهید. بخوانید سیاست حفظ حریم خصوصی.
NVR, Inc.'s published Hold conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $15.7B | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (ttm) | 9.4B | |
| Net income (ttm) | 1B | |
| EPS (ttm) | $364 | |
| Shares out | 2.6M | |
| P/E (trailing) | 15.9x | |
| P/E (forward) | 14.8x | |
| Volume | 31,103 | |
| Beta | 0.90 |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $8.95B | $10.53B | $9.52B | $10.52B | $10.32B | +3.6% |
| Gross profit | $2.20B | $2.88B | $2.48B | $2.69B | $2.37B | +1.9% |
| Operating income | $1.64B | $2.29B | $1.96B | $2.14B | $1.79B | +2.2% |
| Net income | $1.24B | $1.73B | $1.59B | $1.68B | $1.34B | +2.0% |
| EPS (diluted) | $320.48 | $491.82 | $463.31 | $506.69 | $436.55 | +8.0% |
| EBITDA | $1.66B | $2.31B | $1.97B | $2.16B | $1.82B | +2.2% |
| R&D | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | $563.4M | $625.3M | $680.0M | $699.1M | $699.1M | +5.5% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
The Base case projects that single-family housing demand stabilizes following near-term delivery volume moderation. NVR maintains its structural cost discipline through lot optioning, holding operating margins steady while modest top-line growth resumes across core East Coast submarkets. Systematic share repurchases continue to compound per-share earnings faster than revenue. Under these assumptions, the Base scenario targets $6,249.35, reflecting 5.9% return from $5,899.16 (as of 2026-10-09) with an assigned probability of 50.0%. This trajectory would be disconfirmed if mortgage financing buydowns severely compress operating margins or if order cancellation rates surge.
The Bull case envisions an accelerated easing of mortgage rates that revitalizes buyer purchasing power and unlocks strong pent-up housing demand. Delivery volumes rebound sharply across mature metropolitan markets, allowing NVR to realize operating leverage and expand operating margins toward previous cycle peaks. Robust free cash flow generation enables aggressive share repurchases, propelling per-share earnings growth into double digits. Under this path, the Bull scenario targets $7,491.93, yielding 27.0% return from $5,899.16 (as of 2026-10-09) with an assigned probability of 25.0%. Disconfirmation would occur if finished lot supply bottlenecks emerge or if developer option costs escalate rapidly.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | $6,446 | $6,759 | $7,139 | $7,610 | $8,214 |
| 8.5% | $6,088 | $6,346 | $6,654 | $7,028 | $7,491 |
| 9.0% | $5,778 | $5,995 | $6,249 | $6,552 | $6,919 |
| 9.5% | $5,507 | $5,691 | $5,904 | $6,154 | $6,452 |
| 10.0% | $5,268 | $5,425 | $5,606 | $5,816 | $6,062 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
رتبهای که نسخهٔ پژوهشی منتشرشدهٔ هر ماه داشت. رتبه قیمت در تاریخ تحلیل را با ارزش منصفانه مقایسه میکند و سابقهای از درستی یا نادرستی ارزیابی نیست.
| سال | دی | بهمن | اسفند | فروردین | اردیبهشت | خرداد | تیر | مرداد | شهریور | مهر | آبان | آذر |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
