تحلیل اختیاری محصول
با اجازه شما، از تحلیلهای محدود و حریمخصوصیمحور استفاده میکنیم تا مسیرهای پژوهشی مؤثر را بشناسیم. از ردیاب تبلیغاتی یا بازپخش نشست استفاده نمیکنیم. این انتخاب را میتوانید در تنظیمات تغییر دهید. بخوانید سیاست حفظ حریم خصوصی.
Rivian Automotive, Inc.'s published Sell conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $20.7B | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (ttm) | 5.9B | |
| Net income (ttm) | -3.2B | |
| EPS (ttm) | -$2.57 | |
| Shares out | 1.4B | |
| Volume | 24,180,966 | |
| Beta | 1.62 |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $55.0M | $1.66B | $4.43B | $4.97B | $5.39B | +214.6% |
| Gross profit | $-465.0M | $-3.12B | $-2.03B | $-1.20B | $144.0M | — |
| Operating income | $-4.22B | $-6.86B | $-5.74B | $-4.69B | $-3.59B | — |
| Net income | $-4.69B | $-6.75B | $-5.43B | $-4.75B | $-3.65B | — |
| EPS (diluted) | $-22.98 | $-7.40 | $-5.74 | $-4.69 | $-3.07 | — |
| EBITDA | $-4.46B | $-5.99B | $-4.27B | $-3.39B | $-2.56B | — |
| R&D | $1.85B | $1.94B | $2.00B | $1.61B | $1.67B | -2.6% |
| SG&A | $1.24B | $1.79B | $1.71B | $1.88B | $2.06B | +13.5% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
In the base scenario, Rivian executes its planned manufacturing transition in Normal, Illinois, scaling from a single shift to two shifts by late Q3 to achieve full-year FY2026 vehicle deliveries of 65,000 to 70,000 units. Second-half delivery concentration of 42,400 to 47,400 units allows plant-level fixed cost leverage to absorb the transitory $100M quarterly launch drag, enabling automotive gross profit to reach breakeven at 2026 exit rate. Revenue scales 57.95% in FY2027 toward $11,732,161,100 consensus estimates. Transformation capex of $1.7B-$1.8B in FY2026 moderates steadily as tooling completes, allowing operating margins to inflect positive by FY2029 and reach steady-state profitability in FY2030. Contractual RVRS liabilities with Chase Bank remain immaterial, and terminal value is established at 1.10x EV/revenue.
In the bull scenario, consumer demand and reservation-to-order conversion on the R2 Launch Edition substantially outperform expectations, driving FY2026 deliveries above the 70,000-unit guidance ceiling. Rapid fixed cost absorption in Normal eliminates launch-related freight and tooling premiums ahead of schedule, pushing automotive gross margin well into positive territory by year-end. Delivery volume expansion propels FY2027 revenue toward the high-end analyst estimate of $17,743,400,000. Software and services revenue expands from its $1,557,000,000 FY2025 base via paid autonomy features following hands-off Level 3 deployment in 2027. Operating margins inflect rapidly toward mid-single digits, curbing cash burn and eliminating the need for dilutive equity financing.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.6% | $8.96 | $8.96 | $8.96 | $8.96 | $8.96 |
| 10.6% | $8.63 | $8.63 | $8.63 | $8.63 | $8.63 |
| 11.6% | $8.52 | $8.52 | $8.52 | $8.52 | $8.52 |
| 12.6% | $8.02 | $8.02 | $8.02 | $8.02 | $8.02 |
| 13.6% | $7.74 | $7.74 | $7.74 | $7.74 | $7.74 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
رتبهای که نسخهٔ پژوهشی منتشرشدهٔ هر ماه داشت. رتبه قیمت در تاریخ تحلیل را با ارزش منصفانه مقایسه میکند و سابقهای از درستی یا نادرستی ارزیابی نیست.
| سال | دی | بهمن | اسفند | فروردین | اردیبهشت | خرداد | تیر | مرداد | شهریور | مهر | آبان | آذر |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
