Analyse produit facultative
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The Allstate Corporation's published Strong Buy conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $57.6B | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (ttm) | 70.1B | |
| Net income (ttm) | 13.2B | |
| EPS (ttm) | $50.1 | |
| Shares out | 252.9M | |
| P/E (trailing) | 5.0x | |
| P/E (forward) | 8.3x | |
| Dividend | $4.32 (1.73%) | |
| Volume | 1,237,701 | |
| Beta | 0.14 |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $50.60B | $51.41B | $57.09B | $64.11B | $67.69B | +7.5% |
| Gross profit | $43.33B | $43.97B | $7.17B | $14.50B | $22.09B | -15.5% |
| Operating income | $716.0M | $-1.86B | $31.0M | $6.16B | $13.56B | +108.6% |
| Net income | $1.61B | $-1.29B | $-188.0M | $4.67B | $10.28B | +58.9% |
| EPS (diluted) | $5.01 | $-5.14 | $-1.20 | $16.99 | $38.06 | +66.0% |
| EBITDA | $1.09B | $-1.51B | $735.0M | $6.72B | $14.04B | +89.3% |
| R&D | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | $644.0M | $116.0M | $9.0M | $37.0M | $30.0M | -53.5% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
Under the base scenario, which carries a probability of 55.0%, Allstate's underwriting margins normalize toward long-term historical levels following peak rate realization. Premium growth moderates toward steady-state levels while exclusive agency distribution sustains policy retention. Capital management remains focused on steady share repurchases and dividends. This path produces a target valuation of $443.87, delivering an expected return of 95.0% from the analysis price of $227.60. This outcome would be disconfirmed if catastrophe losses escalate sharply or auto liability reserve deficiencies emerge across consecutive quarters.
Under the bull scenario, assigned a probability of 20.0%, favorable weather patterns and sustained pricing discipline keep underwriting margins above historical cycle averages. Multi-policy bundling and agent digital enablement accelerate policy retention, while non-catastrophe Protection Services revenue expands. Share buybacks aggressively reduce share count, lifting the bull target valuation to $840.59 and generating a projected return of 269.3% relative to $227.60. Disconfirmation would occur if severe storm seasons or competitive price cuts undermine underwriting profitability.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.2% | $481 | $525 | $587 | $680 | $839 |
| 5.7% | $430 | $462 | $504 | $563 | $653 |
| 6.2% | $390 | $414 | $444 | $484 | $541 |
| 6.7% | $357 | $375 | $398 | $427 | $465 |
| 7.2% | $329 | $344 | $361 | $382 | $410 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
La notation portée par l'édition de recherche publiée chaque mois. Une notation compare le cours à la date d'analyse à la juste valeur ; elle n'indique pas si l'appréciation s'est révélée juste.
| Année | janv. | févr. | mars | avr. | mai | juin | juil. | août | sept. | oct. | nov. | déc. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
