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MSCI Inc.'s published Sell conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $40.1B | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward) | 24.7x |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $2.04B | $2.25B | $2.53B | $2.86B | $3.13B | +11.3% |
| Gross profit | $1.68B | $1.84B | $2.08B | $2.34B | $2.58B | +11.3% |
| Operating income | $1.07B | $1.21B | $1.38B | $1.53B | $1.71B | +12.4% |
| Net income | $726.0M | $870.6M | $1.15B | $1.11B | $1.20B | +13.4% |
| EPS (diluted) | $8.70 | $10.72 | $14.39 | $14.05 | $15.69 | +15.9% |
| EBITDA | $1.15B | $1.36B | $1.71B | $1.75B | $1.93B | +13.8% |
| R&D | $111.6M | $107.2M | $132.1M | $158.7M | $177.6M | +12.3% |
| SG&A | $147.9M | $146.9M | $154.0M | $182.3M | $180.2M | +5.1% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
In the Base scenario, with probability of 60.0%, MSCI compounds earnings per share along explicit multi-year projections, reaching a target of $388.10 for an implied return of -28.4% against $542.39. This path assumes high-single-digit top-line growth driven by recurring subscription indexing and steady expansion in analytics platforms. Operating margins remain stable above peer benchmarks as incremental software sales flow through with high operational gearing. Disconfirmation would occur if organic index revenue growth decelerates or operating margins compress, which would be visible within upcoming fiscal reporting periods.
In the Bull scenario, carrying probability of 15.0%, MSCI reaches Potential value of $446.75, yielding a return of -17.6% relative to $542.39. This outcome requires accelerating commercialization of private asset analytics, rapid monetization of physical climate risk models across global institutions, and substantial expansion of the trading and liquidity ecosystem surrounding benchmark indices. Operating margins expand toward peak software levels as pricing power and client adoption compound. Disconfirmation would occur if enterprise client adoption of climate and private asset tools stalls or trading ecosystem sales decelerate.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $398 | $398 | $398 | $398 | $398 |
| 9.5% | $393 | $393 | $393 | $393 | $393 |
| 10.0% | $388 | $388 | $388 | $388 | $388 |
| 10.5% | $383 | $383 | $383 | $383 | $383 |
| 11.0% | $379 | $379 | $379 | $379 | $379 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
La notation portée par l'édition de recherche publiée chaque mois. Une notation compare le cours à la date d'analyse à la juste valeur ; elle n'indique pas si l'appréciation s'est révélée juste.
| Année | janv. | févr. | mars | avr. | mai | juin | juil. | août | sept. | oct. | nov. | déc. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
