Republic Services, Inc. (RSG)

NYSE: RSG · USD

$233

-2.24 (-0.9%)· Recorded snapshot

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StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-09-27

Our latest published analysis: RSG rated Reduce

Republic Services, Inc.'s published Reduce conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$179 / share

Potential value

$227 / share

Upside to FV

-15.7%

from $233

Moat

9/10

Wide

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$64.9B
Revenue (ttm)	16.9B
Net income (ttm)	2.2B
EPS (ttm)	$7.06
Shares out	306.2M
P/E (trailing)	33.1x
P/E (forward)	26.3x
Dividend	$2.68 (1.15%)
Volume	1,015,214
Beta	0.40

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

Revenue (ttm): 16.9B
Net income (ttm): 2.2B
EPS (ttm): $7.06
P/E (trailing): 33.1x
P/E (forward): 26.3x
Market cap: $64.9B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2021-12-31	2022-12-31	2023-12-31	2024-12-31	2025-12-31	Trend
Revenue	$11.30B	$13.51B	$14.97B	$16.03B	$16.59B	+10.1%
Gross profit	$3.29B	$3.87B	$4.42B	$4.90B	$6.96B	+20.6%
Operating income	$2.08B	$2.39B	$2.78B	$3.20B	$3.30B	+12.3%
Net income	$1.29B	$1.49B	$1.73B	$2.04B	$2.14B	+13.5%
EPS (diluted)	$4.04	$4.69	$5.47	$6.49	$6.85	+14.1%
EBITDA	$3.15B	$3.66B	$4.32B	$4.77B	$5.10B	+12.8%
R&D	—	—	—	—	—	—
SG&A	$1.20B	$1.45B	$1.61B	$1.67B	$1.71B	+9.4%

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Base and Bull scenarios

Base60%

Price target

$178.85

-15.7% from spot

The modal base case reflects stable top-line compounding driven by core pricing yield and disciplined cost pass-through. Consolidated revenue expands 4.14% in FY2026 to $17,278M and 4.74% in FY2027 to $18,097M, in line with management guidance. Underlying operating margins expand 60 to 70 bps in FY2026 toward 20.5%-20.8%, lifting FY2027 EPS to consensus $8.06. Synthesized intrinsic fair value centers at $178.85.

Revenue growth of 4.14% in FY2026 ($17,278M) and 4.74% in FY2027 ($18,097M),
Core solid waste revenue represents ~89% of consolidated total
Operating margin expands to 20.5% in FY2026 and 20.6% in FY2027
Consensus forward EPS of $8.06 in FY2027 discounted at 7.54% cost of equity,
Normalized terminal exit multiple of 21.0x reflects high cash durability

Bull20%

Price target

$227.41

+7.2% from spot

Under the bull scenario, joint-venture renewable natural gas (RNG) and polymer recovery facilities ramp ahead of schedule, producing throughput exceeding nameplate capacity. Core pricing yield sustains above 5.5% while collection volumes recover into positive territory, driving revenue growth toward 6.0%-7.0% and expanding operating margins past 21.5%. Diluted EPS accelerates toward $8.48 by FY2027, unlocking a potential valuation of $227.41.

RNG and polymer projects operate above nameplate capacity with premium environmental attribute pricing
Core pricing yields exceed 5.5% annually, maintaining positive spread over driver wages and fleet inflation
Operating EBIT margins expand annually, driven by core pricing yield and operational leverage
Diluted EPS reaches high-end estimate of $8.48 in FY2027
Terminal exit multiple sustains at an elevated premium over peer averages reflecting cash flow durability

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($178.85). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.

Ke ↓ / g →	1.8%	2.3%	2.8%	3.3%	3.8%
6.5%	$191	$201	$215	$233	$260
7.0%	$176	$185	$195	$208	$225
7.5%	$165	$171	$179	$189	$201
8.0%	$155	$160	$166	$173	$183
8.5%	$147	$151	$155	$161	$168

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Refreshed 2026-10-28 19:55 UTC

Forward P/E26.3

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Trailing P/E30

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROE18.2

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROIC11.1

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Benchmarks · 1M

All RSG indicators

Market & fundamental data

Available fields

285

Groups with data

Currency

USD

Showing 285 of 285 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

Metric	Value
Amount currency	USD
CIK code	0001060391
Company name	Republic Services, Inc.
Country	United States
Country code	US
CUSIP number	760759100
Earnings date	2026-10-29
Earnings time	amc
Employees	42,000
Employees change	1,000
Employees growth	2.44%
Enterprise value	$85.7B
Exchange	NYSE
Financial currency	USD
Financial report date	2026-06-30
First seen	2026-05-09
Fiscal year end	December
Founded	1996
In index	SP500
Industry	Waste Management
IPO date	1998-06-30
Is primary listing	Yes
Is SPAC	No
ISIN number	US7607591002
Last 10-K release date	2026-02-18
Last earnings date	2026-08-06
Last refreshed	2026-10-28
Last stock split date	2007-03-19
Last stock split type	Forward
Market cap	$71.5B
Market cap category	Large-Cap
Next earnings date	2026-10-29
Options	Yes
Price	$233.42
Price currency	USD
Sector	Industrials
SIC code	4953
Stock price date	2026-10-28
Symbol	RSG
U.S. state	Arizona
Website	https://www.republicservices.com

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

Metric	Value
Adjusted P/E ratio	32.37x
Average P/E ratio (10Y)	28.62x
Average P/E ratio (3Y)	32.06x
Average P/E ratio (5Y)	31.36x
Earnings yield	3.02%
EV/Earnings	39.39x
EV/EBIT	25.44x
EV/EBITDA	16.38x
EV/FCF	32.45x
EV/Sales	5.1x
FCF / EV yield	3.08%
FCF yield	3.69%
Forward EV/Sales	4.84x
Forward P/E	30.62x
Forward P/S	4.04x
Graham number	79.03528
Graham upside	-66.35%
Industry forward P/E	30.88x
Industry P/E	41.23x
Lynch fair value	$100.70
Lynch upside	-57.12%
P/B ratio	5.99x
P/E ratio	33.06x
P/FCF ratio	27.11x
P/OCF ratio	15.83x
P/S ratio	4.26x
PEG ratio	3.79x
Price/EBITDA ratio	13.68x
Sector forward P/E	26.24x
Sector P/E	40.28x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

Metric	Value
EBIT margin	20.03%
EBITDA margin	31.12%
Effective tax rate	14.74%
FCF margin	15.71%
Gross margin	43.03%
Operating margin	20.03%
Pretax margin	15.18%
Profit margin	12.94%
Profit per employee	$52,048
Profitable quarters	70
Profitable years	31
Revenue per employee	$402,167
ROA	6.17%
ROA (5Y)	5.88%
ROCE	10.85%
ROE	18.15%
ROE (5Y)	16.96%
ROIC	11.06%
ROIC (5Y)	10.26%
Tax / revenue	2.24%

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

Metric	Value
EPS growth	4.43%
EPS growth (Q)	5.14%
EPS growth (QoQ)	8.33%
EPS growth 10Y	12.99%
EPS growth 3Y	12.42%
EPS growth 5Y	15%
EPS growth quarters	3
EPS growth years	5
FCF growth	12.61%
FCF growth (Q)	8.41%
FCF growth (QoQ)	1.33%
FCF growth 3Y	12.33%
FCF growth 5Y	12.5%
Gross profit growth	2.38%
Gross profit growth (Q)	4.54%
Gross profit growth 3Y	7.71%
Gross profit growth 5Y	10.7%
Net income growth	2.97%
Net income growth (Q)	2.91%
Net income growth (QoQ)	7.81%
Net income growth 3Y	11.55%
Net income growth 5Y	14.26%
Net income growth quarters	3
Net income growth years	5
OCF growth	9.21%
OCF growth (Q)	3.97%
OCF growth (QoQ)	-6.03%
OCF growth 10Y	10.84%
OCF growth 3Y	10.21%
OCF growth 5Y	11.62%
Operating income growth	1.26%
Operating income growth (Q)	4.02%
Operating income growth 3Y	8.38%
Operating income growth 5Y	11.06%
Revenue growth	3.21%
Revenue growth (Q)	4.6%
Revenue growth (QoQ)	7.71%
Revenue growth 10Y	6.23%
Revenue growth 3Y	5.38%
Revenue growth 5Y	9.86%
Revenue growth quarters	22
Revenue growth years	5

Financial statements

Income-statement and cash-flow amounts, totals and per share.

Metric	Value
Capital expenditures	$-1.9B
Depreciation and amortization	$1.9B
EBIT	$3.4B
EBITDA	$5.3B
EPS	$7.06
FCF per share	$8.66
Financing cash flow	$-1.3B
Free cash flow	$2.7B
Gross profit	$7.3B
Income taxes	$378M
Investing cash flow	$-3.2B
Net borrowing	$988M
Net cash flow	$43M
Net income	$2.2B
Operating income	$3.4B
Revenue	$16.9B

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

Metric	Value
Altman Z-Score	2.99
Book value per share	$39.32
Debt / EBITDA	2.63
Debt / equity	1.19
Debt / FCF	5.39
Goodwill	$17.2B
Interest coverage	5.73
Long-term assets	$32.6B
Long-term liabilities	$19.1B
Net cash (debt)	$-14.2B
Net cash / market cap	-19.73%
Net debt / EBITDA	2.7
Net debt / equity	1.18
Net debt / FCF	5.35
Piotroski F-Score	4
Property, plant and equipment	$13.1B
Shareholders' equity	$12B
Tangible book value	$-5.9B
Tangible book value per share	$-19.15
Total assets	$35.2B
Total cash	$107M
Total debt	$14.3B
Total liabilities	$23.1B
WACC	5.95%

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

Metric	Value
Asset turnover	0.49
Current assets	$2.6B
Current liabilities	$4B
Current ratio	0.64
Inventory turnover	87.87
Net working capital	$-927M
Quick ratio	0.58
Working capital	$-1.4B
Working capital turnover	-12.76

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

Metric	Value
Buyback yield / dilution	1.27%
Dividend growth	7.61%
Dividend growth (10Y)	7.63%
Dividend growth (3Y)	8.01%
Dividend growth (5Y)	7.96%
Dividend growth years	1
Dividend payment date	2026-10-15
Dividend payment years	24
Dividend payout frequency	Quarterly
Dividend per share	$2.68
Dividend yield	1.15%
Ex-dividend date	2026-10-02
FCF payout ratio	30.93%
Last dividend	$0.67
Payout ratio	37.96%
Shareholder yield	2.41%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

Metric	Value
10Y price change	358.9%
10Y return CAGR	18.32%
10Y total return	437.75%
150-day SMA	$215.11
15Y price change	692.34%
15Y return CAGR	17.15%
15Y total return	973.71%
1D price change	-0.95%
1M price change	10.28%
1M total return	10.64%
1W price change	0.39%
1W total return	0.39%
1Y price change	5.82%
1Y return CAGR	7.1%
1Y total return	7.09%
20-day SMA	$225.24
200-day SMA	$216.48
20Y price change	747.25%
20Y return CAGR	13.7%
20Y total return	1,203.8%
3M price change	7.84%
3M total return	8.19%
3Y price change	60.21%
3Y return CAGR	18.34%
3Y total return	65.76%
50-day SMA	$221.65
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA	50over200
52-week high	$243.22
52-week high date	2026-10-23
52-week low	$196.41
52-week low date	2026-05-11
5Y price change	81.14%
5Y return CAGR	14.03%
5Y total return	92.8%
6M price change	13.48%
6M total return	14.18%
All-time high	$258.75
All-time high date	2025-06-03
All-time low	$5.92
All-time low date	1999-10-22
Average true range (ATR)	$4.64
Average volume	1.2M
Beta (1Y)	-0.55
Beta (2Y)	0.04
Beta (5Y)	0.4
Change from 52-week high	-4.03%
Change from 52-week low	18.84%
Change from all-time high	-9.6%
Change from all-time low	3,853.02%
Change from open	0.25%
Day's gap	-1.2%
Dollar volume	$237M
High price	$236.17
Low price	$232.83
Monthly RSI	58.38
Open price	$232.83
Position in 52-week range	17.51%
Premarket change	-1.04%
Premarket close	$235.66
Premarket price	$233.22
Previous close	$235.66
Price vs 150-day SMA	8.74%
Price vs 20-day SMA	3.84%
Price vs 200-day SMA	8.05%
Price vs 50-day SMA	5.53%
Relative volume	0.82
RSI	60.28
Sharpe ratio	0.24
Sharpe ratio (3Y)	0.83
Sharpe ratio (5Y)	0.58
Sortino ratio	0.68
Sortino ratio (3Y)	1.53
Sortino ratio (5Y)	1.14
Volume	1M
Weekly RSI	60.44
YTD price change	10.37%
YTD total return	11.69%

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

Metric	Value
Float	305.6M
Float percentage	99.79%
Shares change (QoQ)	-0.53%
Shares change (YoY)	-1.27%
Shares held by insiders	0.14%
Shares held by institutions	98.4%
Shares outstanding	306.2M
Short % of float	1.58%
Short % of shares	1.57%
Short ratio	3 days

Deeper analysis on RSG

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

→

Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

→

Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

→

Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

→

Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

→

Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

→

Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

→

Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

→

Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

→

Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

→

Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this RSG report

What is the latest published RSG stock rating?

Republic Services, Inc. is shown with Reduce in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-09-27. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full RSG analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-09-27, lives at /stocks/RSG/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for RSG?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-09-27 gives RSG a fair value of USD 179 and a potential value of USD 227. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the RSG page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-09-27). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

ReduceRSG · Fair value $179-15.7%

Read full analysis →

Republic Services, Inc. (RSG)

Our latest published analysis: RSG rated Reduce

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · RSG

Valuation

Profitability

Balance sheet

Trading

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

All RSG indicators

Profile and market data

Valuation

Profitability

Growth

Financial statements

Financial strength

Liquidity

Dividends and buybacks

Performance and technicals

Ownership and float

Deeper analysis on RSG

Frequently asked questions

Historique des notations

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	3.0
Management	9.5
Balance Sheet	3.0
Profitability	6.5
Revenue Growth	4.5
Risk Assessment	5.5
Competitive Moat	9.0
Earnings Quality	8.0
Capital Efficiency	6.5