Analyse produit facultative
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Super Micro Computer, Inc.'s published Strong Buy conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $23.0B | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (ttm) | 39.1B | |
| Net income (ttm) | 2.2B | |
| EPS (ttm) | $3.26 | |
| Shares out | 657M | |
| P/E (trailing) | 11.0x | |
| P/E (forward) | 10.2x | |
| Volume | 25,654,798 | |
| Beta | 2.01 |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2022-06-30 | 2023-06-30 | 2024-06-30 | 2025-06-30 | 2026-06-30 | Trend |
| Revenue | $5.20B | $7.12B | $14.99B | $21.97B | $39.06B | +65.6% |
| Gross profit | $800.0M | $1.28B | $2.06B | $2.43B | $4.23B | +51.6% |
| Operating income | $335.2M | $761.1M | $1.21B | $1.25B | $2.77B | +69.6% |
| Net income | $285.2M | $640.0M | $1.15B | $1.05B | $2.23B | +67.2% |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.53 | $1.14 | $1.92 | $1.68 | $3.26 | +57.5% |
| EBITDA | $375.7M | $799.7M | $1.29B | $1.33B | $3.04B | +68.6% |
| R&D | $272.3M | $307.3M | $463.5M | $636.6M | $771.2M | +29.7% |
| SG&A | $102.4M | $99.6M | $193.6M | $267.2M | $332.9M | +34.3% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
The Bull scenario projects accelerated enterprise adoption of proprietary liquid cooling racks and rapid international expansion across sovereign cloud initiatives. Under this path, the target price reaches $63.33 with an assigned probability of 20.0%, representing an implied return of 78.0% from $35.57 as of $35.57 (as of 2026-10-21). For this outcome to materialize, Super Micro must successfully broaden its customer base beyond the primary counterparty, expand higher-margin software and service agreements, and sustain a multi-quarter engineering lead over competitors. The scenario would be disconfirmed if international cloud buildouts decelerate or if silicon supply constraints delay high-density rack deliveries through FY2028.
The Base scenario models the modal trajectory for Super Micro, where the company sustains direct liquid cooling leadership and scales server rack deployments across enterprise and cloud datacenter operators. Under this path, the target price reaches $50.18 with an assigned probability of 55.0%, offering an implied return of 41.1% from $35.57 as of $35.57 (as of 2026-10-21). For this outcome to materialize, datacenter power densities must continue requiring liquid cooling solutions, Customer One must maintain predictable procurement cadences, and operating cash flow must gradually normalize as inventory converts into customer deliveries. The scenario would be disconfirmed if tier-one server OEMs capture liquid cooling share or if customer procurement pauses, which investors would detect through quarterly gross margin contraction or multi-quarter order deceleration by late FY2027.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.2% | $52.9 | $53.5 | $54.0 | $54.6 | $55.3 |
| 11.7% | $51.0 | $51.5 | $52.0 | $52.5 | $53.1 |
| 12.2% | $49.3 | $49.7 | $50.2 | $50.6 | $51.1 |
| 12.7% | $47.7 | $48.1 | $48.5 | $48.9 | $49.3 |
| 13.2% | $46.3 | $46.6 | $47.0 | $47.3 | $47.7 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
La notation portée par l'édition de recherche publiée chaque mois. Une notation compare le cours à la date d'analyse à la juste valeur ; elle n'indique pas si l'appréciation s'est révélée juste.
| Année | janv. | févr. | mars | avr. | mai | juin | juil. | août | sept. | oct. | nov. | déc. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
