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StockMarketAgent
Industrials / Farm & Heavy Construction MachineryUpdated 2026-05-10 22:07 UTC

CAT stock hub

CAT trades against a final fair-value range of $238.48-$460.07, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs.

Fair value midpoint
$339
$238 - $460
Upside to midpoint
-62.4%
Based on latest report
Confidence
88/100
Data quality and model convergence
Market cap
$414.9B
NYSE
Our take
Research highlights

What our analysis says

Pulled from the latest published report. The full reasoning lives under /analysis.

Biggest opportunity
Bull case
Bull: Prolonged global infrastructure spending stimulus and persistent high mining capex drive an extended upcycle, allowing CAT to sustain high-teens operating margins and robust pricing power longer than historically typical.
Biggest risk
Global Construction Recession
Recommended action
Sell
CAT is rated Sell at $900.76 versus the reconciled fair value midpoint of $338.91, implying -62.38% upside/downside. Confidence is separately disclosed at 88/100.
Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Caterpillar Inc.CAT
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In the news

Latest news · CAT

Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.

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Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming
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EPS estimate—
Revenue estimate—
Analysis map

Jump into the research surface

These links all point into /analysis/*, so a hub rollback leaves the report reader and legacy redirects live.

Forecast
Targets
Bull, base, and bear cases with expected-return framing.
Valuation
Models
Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.
Sensitivity
Grid
Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.
Risks
Bear case
Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.
Earnings
Decision tree
Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.
Position sizing
Checkpoints
Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.
Financials
History
Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.
Peers
Comps
Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.
Moat
Durability
Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.
Industry cycle
Context
Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.
Scorecard
Factors
Six-factor overlay and 9-category weighted scorecard.
Recommendation
Verdict
Final action, action steps, opportunity, and biggest risk.
Perspectives
Lenses
Growth, value, and income investor reads.
Archive
History
Prior monthly reports and rating changes.
Sector context

Where the current metrics sit

Percentiles come from the backend screener cohort cache for the ticker's country and sector.

Forward P/E30.7
P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a
Trailing P/E0
P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a
ROE51.3
P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a
ROIC16.5
P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a
Benchmarks - 1M
S&P 500n/a
Nasdaq Compositen/a
Dow Jones Industrial Averagen/a
Russell 2000n/a
Our take
Indicator catalog

All CAT market and fundamental indicators

A searchable catalog of the available market, valuation, profitability, growth, balance-sheet, ownership, and analyst metrics for this ticker.

Available fields
284
Groups with data
11
Currency
USD
Showing 284 of 284 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

25
MetricValue
Cik
0000018230
Company name
Caterpillar Inc.
Country
United States
Country code
US
Cusip
149123101
Employees
118,000
Employees Change
5,100%
Employees Change Percent
4.52
Enterprise value
$453.1B
Exchange
NYSE
Financial currency
USD
First seen
2026-05-09
In Index
SP500, DOW30
Industry
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Isin
US1491231015
Last refreshed
2026-05-10
Market cap
$413.4B
Market cap category
Mega-Cap
Price
$897
Price currency
USD
Rev Per Employee
599,618.64x
Sector
Industrials
Sic
3531
Symbol
CAT
Website
https://www.caterpillar.com

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

17
MetricValue
Earnings Yield
2.28%
EV Earnings
48.05x
EV Sales Forward
5.9x
EV/EBIT
36.82x
EV/EBITDA
31.13x
EV/FCF
57.35x
EV/Sales
6.4x
FCF yield
1.91%
Forward P/E
35.87x
P/B ratio
22.15x
P/E ratio
44.69x
P/S ratio
5.84x
PE Ratio10 Y
40.62x
PE Ratio3 Y
19.54x
PE Ratio5 Y
18.94x
PEG ratio
2.08x
PS Forward
5.38x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

27
MetricValue
EBIT Margin
17.39%
EBITDA Margin
20.57%
FCF margin
11.17%
Gross margin
28.6%
Gross Profit
$20.2B
Gross Profit Growth
0.46%
Gross Profit Growth Q
17.4%
Gross Profit Growth3 Y
5.62%
Gross Profit Growth5 Y
13.35%
Net Income
$9.4B
Net Income Growth
-5.12%
Net Income Growth Q
27.26%
Net Income Growth Quarters
1%
Net Income Growth Years
0%
Net Income Growth3 Y
9.87%
Net Income Growth5 Y
22.37%
Pretax Margin
17.37%
Profit Margin
13.33%
Profit Per Employee
$79,915
Profitable Years
9
ROA
8.52
Roa5y
8.29
ROCE
20.63
ROE
51.33
Roe5y
47.87
ROIC
16.49
Roic5y
18.11

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

30
MetricValue
Cagr10y
31.41%
Cagr15y
17.86%
Cagr1y
183.43%
Cagr20y
15.7%
Cagr3y
63.42%
Cagr5y
32.43%
Div CAGR10
6.97%
Div CAGR3
7.96%
Div CAGR5
7.95%
EPS Growth
-2.1
EPS Growth Q
30.24
EPS Growth Quarters
1
EPS Growth Years
0
EPS Growth3 Y
14.1
EPS Growth5 Y
26.28
FCF Growth
0.33%
FCF Growth Q
120.76%
FCF Growth3 Y
7.52%
FCF Growth5 Y
9.35%
OCF Growth
9.3%
OCF Growth Q
45.07%
OCF Growth10 Y
7.65%
OCF Growth3 Y
10.93%
OCF Growth5 Y
11.57%
Revenue Growth
11.85x
Revenue Growth Q
22.22x
Revenue Growth Quarters
3x
Revenue Growth Years
1x
Revenue Growth3 Y
4.67x
Revenue Growth5 Y
10.47x

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

22
MetricValue
Asset Turnover
$0.78
Assets
$95.6B
Cash
$3.3B
Current Assets
$48.6B
Current Liabilities
$35.9B
Debt
$43.1B
Debt EBITDA
$2.91
Debt Equity
$2.31
Debt FCF
$5.45
Equity
$18.7B
Interest Coverage
23.66
Liabilities
$76.9B
Long Term Assets
$47B
Long Term Liabilities
$41B
Net Cash
$-39.8B
Net Cash By Market Cap
$-9.62
Net Debt EBITDA
$2.73
Net Debt Equity
$2.13
Net Debt FCF
$5.03
Tangible Book Value
$12.4B
Tangible Book Value Per Share
$26.87
WACC
12.03

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

6
MetricValue
Current ratio
1.35
Inventory Turnover
2.51
Net Working Capital
$9.4B
Quick ratio
0.73
Working Capital
$12.7B
Working Capital Turnover
$6.13

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

10
MetricValue
Buyback Yield
3.09%
Dividend Growth
7.09%
Dividend Growth Years
33%
Dividend per share
$6.04
Dividend Years
56
Dividend Yield
0.67%
Ex Div Date
2026-04-20
Last Dividend
$1.51
Payout Frequency
Quarterly
Payout Ratio
30.08%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

42
MetricValue
10Y total return
1,435.27%
1Y total return
183.23%
200-day SMA
603.1
3Y total return
336.55%
50-day SMA
764.3
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA
50over200
5Y total return
307.27%
All Time High
931.4
All Time High Change
-3.64%
All Time High Date
2026-05-07
All Time Low
2.52
All Time Low Change
35,498.97%
All Time Low Date
1970-07-14
ATR
28
Beta
1.62
Beta1y
0.98
Beta2y
1.11
Ch YTD
56.66
High
914.8
High52
931.4
High52 Date
2026-05-07
High52ch
-3.64%
Low
893.9
Low52
322.9
Low52 Date
2025-05-08
Low52ch
177.93%
Ma50ch
17.43%
Premarket Change Percent
1.48
Premarket Price
$909
Premarket Volume
13,701
Price vs 200-day SMA
48.81%
RSI
66.81
RSI Monthly
83.78
RSI Weekly
78.72
Sharpe ratio
3.18x
Sortino ratio
6.19
Total Return
3.76%
Tr YTD
57.32
Tr15y
1,076.5%
Tr1m
24.12%
Tr1w
0.87%
Tr3m
23.82%

Analyst estimates

Ratings, targets, revisions, and forward estimate fields.

18
MetricValue
Analyst Count
20
Analyst Count Top
10
Analyst Price Target Top
$836
Analyst Ratings
Buy
Analyst Ratings Top
Strong Buy
Earnings EPS Estimate
$4.62
Earnings EPS Estimate Growth
8.71
Earnings Revenue Estimate
16,426,699,032x
Earnings Revenue Estimate Growth
15.28x
Operating Income
$12.3B
Operating Income Growth
-3.01
Operating Income Growth Q
20.61
Operating Income Growth3 Y
3.46
Operating Income Growth5 Y
18
Operating margin
17.39
Price target
$795
Price Target Change
$-11.37
Price Target Change Top
$-6.8

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

11
MetricValue
Float
459,145,710%
Float Percent
99.69%
Net Borrowing
4,106,000,000
Shares Insiders
0.21%
Shares Institutions
72.91%
Shares Out
460,591,983
Shares Qo Q
-0.68%
Shares Yo Y
-3.09%
Short Float
1.65%
Short Ratio
3.27
Short Shares
1.65

Other indicators

Additional ticker metrics that do not fit the primary research groupings yet.

76
MetricValue
Adjusted FCF
$7.9B
Average Volume
2,388,174.5x
Bv Per Share
40.51
CAPEX
$-4.4B
Ch10y
1,123.4
Ch15y
713.4
Ch1m
23.88
Ch1w
0.87
Ch1y
180.2
Ch20y
1,022.1
Ch3m
23.58
Ch3y
317.2
Ch5y
272.4
Ch6m
59.38
Change
0.2%
Change From Open
-1.49
Close
895.7
Days Gap
1.71
Depreciation Amortization
2,252,000,000
Dollar Volume
1,822,086,452.9
Earnings Date
2026-04-30
Earnings Time
bmo
EBIT
$12.3B
EBITDA
$14.6B
EPS
$20.08
F Score
6
FCF
$7.9B
FCF EV Yield
1.74x
FCF Per Share
$17.15
Financing CF
-5,353,000,000
Fiscal Year End
December
Founded
1,925
Goodwill
5,865,000,000
Graham Number
135.29583
Graham Upside
-84.92
Income Tax
$2.9B
Investing CF
-6,307,000,000
Is Primary Listing
1
Is Spac
No
Last Earnings Date
2026-04-30
Last Report Date
2026-03-31
Last Split Date
2005-07-14
Last Split Type
Forward
Last10k Filing Date
2026-02-13
Lynch Fair Value
$449
Lynch Upside
-49.93
Ma150
658.8
Ma150ch
36.22%
Ma20
836.7
Ma20ch
7.27%
Net CF
508,000,000
Next Earnings Date
2026-08-04
Open
911
Optionable
Yes
P FCF Ratio
52.32
P OCF Ratio
33.55
Payment Date
2026-05-19
Position In Range
17.21
Post Close
897.5
Postmarket Change Percent
0.11
Postmarket Price
$898
Ppne
15,249,000,000
Pre Close
895.7
Price Date
2026-05-08
Price EBITDA
$28.4
Ptbv Ratio
33.4
Relative Volume
0.85x
Revenue
70,755,000,000x
Tax By Revenue
4.05x
Tax Rate
23.3%
Tr20y
1,749.03%
Tr6m
60.05%
Us State
Texas
Views
197
Volume
2,030,293
Z Score
4.15
Fast facts

Decision checkpoints

A compact product layer over the same report payload.

Risk gate
3
Named kill scenarios are reviewed before any bullish rating can stand.
Moat score
6.5/10
Business quality stays separate from stock attractiveness.
Forward P/E
30.7x
Valuation uses the full report model stack, not a single multiple.
Next action
Sell
Final action steps are kept in the recommendation tab.
Our take
Income

CAT dividend yield, growth & safety

Yield, payout sustainability, and the multi-year growth streak.

Dividend yield
+0.7%
$6.04 annual per share
Payout ratio
+30.1%
Share of earnings returned as dividends. Below 60% is generally sustainable.
5Y dividend CAGR
+8.0%
33 consecutive years of growth
Total shareholder yield
+3.8%
Next ex-dividend date: 2026-04-20
Performance

CAT stock returns vs the market

Total return (incl. dividends) compared to S&P 500.

1Y total return
+183.2%
S&P 500 1Y: n/a
3Y total return
+336.6%
S&P 500 3Y: n/a
5Y total return
+307.3%
S&P 500 5Y: n/a
10Y total return
+1435.3%
S&P 500 10Y: n/a
Ownership

Who owns CAT?

Insider, institutional, and short-interest positioning.

Institutional ownership
+72.9%
Float: +99.7% of shares outstanding
Insider ownership
+0.2%
Stake held by company insiders. Higher generally signals alignment.
Short interest
+1.7%
3.3 days to cover
Y/Y dilution
-3.1%
Negative means the company is buying back shares.
Technical

CAT momentum and risk profile

RSI, moving-average stack, beta, and risk-adjusted return.

RSI (14)
66.8
Neutral momentum band
Price vs 200-day MA
+48.8%
50/200-day relationship not available
Beta (5Y)
1.62
More volatile than the market
Sharpe ratio
3.18
Risk-adjusted return — higher is better; >1.0 is solid.
Peers

CAT vs. sector cohort

Currency-neutral comparison: P/E, P/S, ROIC, 5Y revenue CAGR, and 1Y total return. Market-cap column appears only when every peer reports in the same currency.

TickerNameMarket capP/EP/SROIC5Y rev CAGR1Y total returnRating
BKRBaker Hughes Company63.4B20.4x2.3x15.0%+6.8%+79.0%घटाएँ
COPConocoPhillips138.7B19.4x2.3x9.0%+21.1%+34.3%मज़बूत ख़रीद
CVXChevron Corporation359.1B31.6x1.9x4.4%+14.2%+39.8%ख़रीद
ADPAutomatic Data Processing Inc.85.1B19.9x3.9x55.3%+8.1%-28.5%होल्ड
BAThe Boeing Company187.1B95.1x2.0x-13.6%+10.3%+27.9%बेचें
CMICummins Inc.93.8B35.3x2.8x15.8%+10.2%+132.3%घटाएँ
Questions

About CAT

Hub-level FAQ points readers to the deeper analysis pages.

What is the current CAT stock rating?

Caterpillar Inc. is currently shown with Sell in the latest report. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full CAT analysis?

The full report lives at /stocks/CAT/analysis. The bare ticker page is a product hub that summarizes the latest read and sends readers into the relocated analysis tabs without making the analysis surface depend on the hub.

What fair-value range is used for CAT?

The latest report frames CAT around $238 to $460. Treat that range as the entry point, then check the valuation, sensitivity, and bear-case tabs before making an investment decision.

How often is the CAT page updated?

The hub updates with the latest published stock report and live backend market data. The analysis pages remain reachable under /analysis, so a hub rollback does not remove the report reader.