Industrials / RailroadsUpdated 2026-05-10 22:07 UTC

UNP stock hub

UNP trades against a final fair-value range of $183.57-$275.43, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs.

Read full analysis Valuation Archive

Fair value midpoint

$229

$184 - $275

Upside to midpoint

-13.3%

Based on latest report

Confidence

88/100

Data quality and model convergence

Market cap

$157.1B

NYSE

Our take

Research highlights

What our analysis says

Pulled from the latest published report. The full reasoning lives under /analysis.

Biggest opportunity

Bull case

Internal valuation cross-checks is overly optimistic, valuing UNP at $291 based on extrapolation of peak multiples.

Biggest risk

Severe Economic Recession

1-2 Years

Recommended action

Reduce

UNP is rated Reduce at $264.65 versus the reconciled fair value midpoint of $229.41, implying -13.32% upside/downside. Confidence is separately disclosed at 88/100.

Market data

Live price

Current market quote for this ticker.

Current price

UNP

In the news

Latest news · UNP

Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.

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Fetching the latest headlines.

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Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Analysis map

Jump into the research surface

These links all point into /analysis/*, so a hub rollback leaves the report reader and legacy redirects live.

Forecast

Targets

Bull, base, and bear cases with expected-return framing.

Valuation

Models

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

Sensitivity

Grid

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

Risks

Bear case

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

Earnings

Decision tree

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

Position sizing

Checkpoints

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

Financials

History

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

Peers

Comps

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

Moat

Durability

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

Industry cycle

Context

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

Scorecard

Factors

Six-factor overlay and 9-category weighted scorecard.

Recommendation

Verdict

Final action, action steps, opportunity, and biggest risk.

Perspectives

Lenses

Growth, value, and income investor reads.

Where the current metrics sit

Percentiles come from the backend screener cohort cache for the ticker's country and sector.

Forward P/E19.3

P25 14.6P50 20.6P75 30.4

Trailing P/E0

P25 17.1P50 27.2P75 47.6

ROE40.7

P25 -16.4P50 5.9P75 16.4

ROIC15.8

P25 -10.3P50 5.1P75 12.2

Benchmarks - 1M

S&P 500n/a

Nasdaq Compositen/a

Dow Jones Industrial Averagen/a

Russell 2000n/a

Our take

Indicator catalog

All UNP market and fundamental indicators

A searchable catalog of the available market, valuation, profitability, growth, balance-sheet, ownership, and analyst metrics for this ticker.

Available fields

278

Groups with data

Currency

USD

Showing 278 of 278 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

Metric	Value
Cik	0000100885
Company name	Union Pacific Corporation
Country	United States
Country code	US
Cusip	907818108
Employees	29,287
Employees Change	-3,152%
Employees Change Percent	-9.72
Enterprise value	$187.6B
Exchange	NYSE
Financial currency	USD
First seen	2026-05-09
In Index	SP500
Industry	Railroads
Isin	US9078181081
Last refreshed	2026-05-10
Market cap	$157.1B
Market cap category	Large-Cap
Price	$265
Price currency	USD
Rev Per Employee	843,377.61x
Sector	Industrials
Sic	4011
Symbol	UNP
Website	https://www.up.com

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

Metric	Value
Earnings Yield	4.59%
EV Earnings	26.01x
EV Sales Forward	7.09x
EV/EBIT	18.58x
EV/EBITDA	14.91x
EV/FCF	32.92x
EV/Sales	7.59x
FCF yield	3.63%
Forward P/E	20.62x
P/B ratio	8.09x
P/E ratio	21.77x
P/S ratio	6.36x
PE Ratio10 Y	19.66x
PE Ratio3 Y	20.77x
PE Ratio5 Y	20.91x
PEG ratio	2.29x
PS Forward	5.93x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

Metric	Value
EBIT Margin	40.88%
EBITDA Margin	50.96%
FCF margin	23.07%
Gross margin	56.53%
Gross Profit	$14B
Gross Profit Growth	3.35%
Gross Profit Growth Q	4.47%
Gross Profit Growth3 Y	1.17%
Gross Profit Growth5 Y	4.32%
Net Income	$7.2B
Net Income Growth	7.15%
Net Income Growth Q	4.61%
Net Income Growth Quarters	4%
Net Income Growth Years	2%
Net Income Growth3 Y	1.01%
Net Income Growth5 Y	6.7%
Pretax Margin	37.52%
Profit Margin	29.2%
Profit Per Employee	$246,287
Profitable Years	27
ROA	9.14
Roa5y	9.15
ROCE	15.53
ROE	40.69
Roe5y	45.08
ROIC	15.77
Roic5y	15.97

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

Metric	Value
Cagr10y	14.45%
Cagr15y	14.04%
Cagr1y	26.7%
Cagr20y	15.25%
Cagr3y	12.1%
Cagr5y	5.24%
Div CAGR10	9.56%
Div CAGR3	1.76%
Div CAGR5	7.15%
EPS Growth	9.49
EPS Growth Q	6.24
EPS Growth Quarters	10
EPS Growth Years	2
EPS Growth3 Y	2.41
EPS Growth5 Y	9.48
FCF Growth	-2.98%
FCF Growth Q	15.26%
FCF Growth3 Y	1.67%
FCF Growth5 Y	0.04%
OCF Growth	0.91%
OCF Growth Q	10.41%
OCF Growth10 Y	2.48%
OCF Growth3 Y	2.02%
OCF Growth5 Y	2.67%
Revenue Growth	1.87x
Revenue Growth Q	3.15x
Revenue Growth Quarters	1x
Revenue Growth Years	2x
Revenue Growth3 Y	-0.5x
Revenue Growth5 Y	5.05x

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

Metric	Value
Asset Turnover	$0.36
Assets	$69.6B
Cash	$1B
Current Assets	$4.2B
Current Liabilities	$4.6B
Debt	$31.5B
Debt EBITDA	$2.44
Debt Equity	$1.62
Debt FCF	$5.53
Equity	$19.4B
Interest Coverage	7.73
Liabilities	$50.2B
Long Term Assets	$65.4B
Long Term Liabilities	$45.6B
Net Cash	$-30.5B
Net Cash By Market Cap	$-19.39
Net Debt EBITDA	$2.42
Net Debt Equity	$1.57
Net Debt FCF	$5.35
Tangible Book Value	$18.7B
Tangible Book Value Per Share	$31.46
WACC	8.63

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

Metric	Value
Current ratio	0.92
Inventory Turnover	13.55
Net Working Capital	$-320M
Quick ratio	0.66
Working Capital	$-387M
Working Capital Turnover	$-23.86

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

Metric	Value
Buyback Yield	2.09%
Dividend Growth	3.01%
Dividend Growth Years	19%
Dividend per share	$5.52
Dividend Years	56
Dividend Yield	2.09%
Ex Div Date	2026-02-27
Last Dividend	$1.38
Payout Frequency	Quarterly
Payout Ratio	45.09%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

Metric	Value
10Y total return	285.54%
1Y total return	26.67%
200-day SMA	235.9
3Y total return	40.89%
50-day SMA	252.6
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA	50over200
5Y total return	29.06%
All Time High	278.9
All Time High Change	-5.12%
All Time High Date	2022-03-31
All Time Low	0.15
All Time Low Change	178,235.58%
All Time Low Date	1970-07-07
ATR	5.28
Beta	0.99
Beta1y	0.62
Beta2y	0.6
Ch YTD	14.41
High	266.2
High52	274.8
High52 Date	2026-04-24
High52ch	-3.69%
Low	262.9
Low52	210.8
Low52 Date	2025-09-10
Low52ch	25.52%
Ma50ch	4.78%
Price vs 200-day SMA	12.18%
RSI	58.02
RSI Monthly	58.26
RSI Weekly	62.36
Sharpe ratio	1.02x
Sortino ratio	1.96
Total Return	4.18%
Tr YTD	15.01
Tr15y	617.68%
Tr1m	7.53%
Tr1w	-0.63%
Tr3m	5.31%

Analyst estimates

Ratings, targets, revisions, and forward estimate fields.

Metric	Value
Analyst Count	23
Analyst Count Top	12
Analyst Price Target Top	$283
Analyst Ratings	Buy
Analyst Ratings Top	Buy
Earnings EPS Estimate	$2.86
Earnings EPS Estimate Growth	5.93
Earnings Revenue Estimate	6,212,651,672x
Earnings Revenue Estimate Growth	3.08x
Operating Income	$10.1B
Operating Income Growth	3.41
Operating Income Growth Q	5.24
Operating Income Growth3 Y	0.62
Operating Income Growth5 Y	5.51
Operating margin	40.88
Price target	$276
Price Target Change	$4.12
Price Target Change Top	$6.75

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

Metric	Value
Float	592,414,814%
Float Percent	99.78%
Net Borrowing	-2,231,000,000
Shares Insiders	0.11%
Shares Institutions	87.97%
Shares Out	593,713,213
Shares Qo Q	0.02%
Shares Yo Y	-2.09%
Short Float	4.48%
Short Ratio	9.66
Short Shares	4.47

Other indicators

Additional ticker metrics that do not fit the primary research groupings yet.

Metric	Value
Adjusted FCF	$5.7B
Average Volume	3,042,736.5x
Bv Per Share	32.71
CAPEX	$-3.8B
Ch10y	208.7
Ch15y	417.2
Ch1m	7.53
Ch1w	-0.63
Ch1y	23.76
Ch20y	1,035.2
Ch3m	4.76
Ch3y	31.52
Ch5y	15.33
Ch6m	19.49
Change	-0.09%
Change From Open	0.2
Close	264.9
Days Gap	-0.29
Depreciation Amortization	2,488,000,000
Dollar Volume	473,198,963.7
Earnings Date	2026-04-23
Earnings Time	bmo
EBIT	$10.1B
EBITDA	$12.6B
EPS	$12.15
F Score	8
FCF	$5.7B
FCF EV Yield	3.04x
FCF Per Share	$9.6
Financing CF	-6,379,000,000
Fiscal Year End	December
Founded	1,862
Graham Number	94.57567
Graham Upside	-64.26
Income Tax	$2.1B
Investing CF	-3,812,000,000
Is Primary Listing	1
Is Spac	No
Last Earnings Date	2026-04-23
Last Report Date	2026-03-31
Last Split Date	2014-06-09
Last Split Type	Forward
Last10k Filing Date	2026-02-06
Lynch Fair Value	$81.41
Lynch Upside	-69.24
Ma150	240.1
Ma150ch	10.23%
Ma20	260.4
Ma20ch	1.62%
Net CF	-671,000,000
Next Earnings Date	2026-07-23
Open	264.1
Optionable	Yes
P FCF Ratio	27.58
P OCF Ratio	16.5
Payment Date	2026-03-31
Position In Range	52.89
Post Close	264.7
Postmarket Change Percent	-0.02
Postmarket Price	$265
Ppne	60,120,000,000
Price Date	2026-05-08
Price EBITDA	$12.48
Ptbv Ratio	8.41
Relative Volume	0.59x
Revenue	24,700,000,000x
Tax By Revenue	8.32x
Tax Rate	22.17%
Tr20y	1,609.19%
Tr6m	20.82%
Us State	Nebraska
Volume	1,788,018
Z Score	3.88

Fast facts

Decision checkpoints

A compact product layer over the same report payload.

Risk gate

Named kill scenarios are reviewed before any bullish rating can stand.

Moat score

9/10

Business quality stays separate from stock attractiveness.

Forward P/E

19.3x

Valuation uses the full report model stack, not a single multiple.

Next action

Reduce

Final action steps are kept in the recommendation tab.

Our take

Income

UNP dividend yield, growth & safety

Yield, payout sustainability, and the multi-year growth streak.

Dividend yield

+2.1%

$5.52 annual per share

Payout ratio

+45.1%

Share of earnings returned as dividends. Below 60% is generally sustainable.

5Y dividend CAGR

+7.1%

19 consecutive years of growth

Total shareholder yield

+4.2%

Next ex-dividend date: 2026-02-27

Performance

UNP stock returns vs the market

Total return (incl. dividends) compared to S&P 500.

Ownership

Who owns UNP?

Insider, institutional, and short-interest positioning.

Institutional ownership

+88.0%

Float: +99.8% of shares outstanding

Insider ownership

+0.1%

Stake held by company insiders. Higher generally signals alignment.

Negative means the company is buying back shares.

Technical

UNP momentum and risk profile

RSI, moving-average stack, beta, and risk-adjusted return.

RSI (14)

58.0

Neutral momentum band

Price vs 200-day MA

+12.2%

50/200-day relationship not available

Beta (5Y)

0.99

Moves roughly with the market

Sharpe ratio

1.02

Risk-adjusted return — higher is better; >1.0 is solid.

Peers

UNP vs. sector cohort

Currency-neutral comparison: P/E, P/S, ROIC, 5Y revenue CAGR, and 1Y total return. Market-cap column appears only when every peer reports in the same currency.

Ticker	Name	Market cap	P/E	P/S	ROIC	5Y rev CAGR	1Y total return	Rating
ABBV	AbbVie Inc.	356.1B	99.3x	5.7x	22.2%	+4.6%	+10.6%	होल्ड
ABT	Abbott Laboratories	146.9B	23.6x	3.3x	9.6%	+3.9%	-35.8%	मज़बूत ख़रीद
ACN	Accenture plc	110.8B	14.8x	1.5x	27.2%	+9.6%	-39.5%	ख़रीद
BA	The Boeing Company	187.1B	95.1x	2.0x	-13.6%	+10.3%	+27.9%	बेचें
CAT	Caterpillar Inc.	413.4B	44.7x	5.8x	16.5%	+10.5%	+183.2%	बेचें
DE	Deere & Company	155.3B	32.4x	3.3x	6.0%	+4.8%	+23.3%	बेचें

Questions

About UNP

Hub-level FAQ points readers to the deeper analysis pages.

What is the current UNP stock rating?

Union Pacific Corporation is currently shown with Reduce in the latest report. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full UNP analysis?

The full report lives at /stocks/UNP/analysis. The bare ticker page is a product hub that summarizes the latest read and sends readers into the relocated analysis tabs without making the analysis surface depend on the hub.

What fair-value range is used for UNP?

The latest report frames UNP around $184 to $275. Treat that range as the entry point, then check the valuation, sensitivity, and bear-case tabs before making an investment decision.

How often is the UNP page updated?

The hub updates with the latest published stock report and live backend market data. The analysis pages remain reachable under /analysis, so a hub rollback does not remove the report reader.