ASML Holding N.V. (ASML)

NASDAQ: ASML · USD

$1,662

+26.33 (+1.6%)· Recorded snapshot

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StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-09-21

Our latest published analysis: ASML rated Sell

ASML Holding N.V.'s published Sell conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$889 / share

Potential value

$1,243 / share

Upside to FV

-47.1%

from $1,662

Moat

9.5/10

Wide

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$645.3B
Revenue (ttm)	45B
Net income (ttm)	15.4B
EPS (ttm)	$39.0
Shares out	383.1M
P/E (trailing)	42.6x
P/E (forward)	27.9x
Dividend	$7.92 (0.48%)
Volume	948,148
Beta	1.30

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

Revenue (ttm): 45B
Net income (ttm): 15.4B
EPS (ttm): $39.0
P/E (trailing): 42.6x
P/E (forward): 27.9x
Market cap: $645.3B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2021-12-31	2022-12-31	2023-12-31	2024-12-31	2025-12-31	Trend
Revenue	$18.61B	$21.17B	$27.56B	$28.26B	$32.67B	+15.1%
Gross profit	$9.81B	$10.70B	$14.14B	$14.49B	$17.26B	+15.2%
Operating income	$6.76B	$6.52B	$9.24B	$9.21B	$11.41B	+14.0%
Net income	$5.88B	$5.62B	$7.84B	$7.57B	$9.61B	+13.1%
EPS (diluted)	$13.91	$14.16	$19.91	$19.24	$24.73	+15.5%
EBITDA	$7.23B	$7.10B	$9.98B	$10.12B	$12.43B	+14.5%
R&D	$2.55B	$3.25B	$3.98B	$4.30B	$4.70B	+16.5%
SG&A	$725.6M	$945.9M	$1.11B	$1.17B	$1.26B	+14.7%

Ticker	Name	Market cap	P/E	P/S	ROIC	5Y rev CAGR	1Y total return	Rating
ARM	Arm Holdings plc	252B	240.8x	48.2x	14.2%	—	+31.0%	Vendere
DDOG	Datadog, Inc.	100B	567.7x	25.6x	2.9%	+39.0%	+75.6%	Vendere
FSLR	First Solar, Inc.	18.9B	10.8x	3.5x	20.6%	+12.6%	-29.6%	Acquisto forte
AAPL	Apple Inc.	5T	39.4x	10.8x	101.6%	+6.1%	+28.5%	Vendere
ACN	Accenture plc	144.3B	18.0x	2.0x	27.9%	+8.0%	+0.4%	Mantenere
ADBE	Adobe Inc.	97.1B	13.9x	3.7x	57.2%	+11.5%	-30.7%	Acquisto forte

Base and Bull scenarios

Base55%

Price target

$888.96

-47.1% from spot

Core extreme ultraviolet system demand compounds steadily across advanced logic and memory nodes. High-NA tools transition into commercial manufacturing while mature DUV tool shipments face moderate trade headwinds. Disconfirmation would emerge if top customer concentration translates into extended order digestion cycles by FY2027.

Undisputed technological monopoly preserved in commercial extreme ultraviolet lithography
Capital expenditure normalizes following initial High-NA assembly buildout
Customer concentration supports multi-year order backlog visibility

Bull25%

Price target

$1,243.01

-26.0% from spot

AI infrastructure expansion and global semiconductor fabrication incentives accelerate extreme ultraviolet tool adoption. High-NA lithography ramps smoothly into volume production across leading foundries, expanding operating margins as manufacturing scale efficiencies materialize. Disconfirmation would occur if tier-one customers delay next-generation node deployment by FY2027.

High-NA EUV adoption scales across tier-one logic and memory manufacturers
Global fab onshoring drives sustained cleanroom tooling demand
Operating margins expand through manufacturing efficiencies and software upgrades

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($888.96). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.

Ke ↓ / g →	2.0%	2.5%	3.0%	3.5%	4.0%
9.4%	$1,010	$1,029	$1,051	$1,076	$1,105
10.4%	$933	$946	$961	$978	$998
11.4%	$868	$878	$889	$901	$915
12.4%	$814	$822	$830	$838	$848
13.4%	$768	$773	$779	$786	$793

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Refreshed 2026-10-28 19:55 UTC

Forward P/E27.9

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Trailing P/E57.8

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROE65.6

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROIC92.1

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Benchmarks · 1M

All ASML indicators

Market & fundamental data

Available fields

293

Groups with data

Currency

EUR

Showing 293 of 293 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

Metric	Value
Amount currency	USD
CIK code	0000937966
Company name	ASML Holding N.V.
Country	Netherlands
Country code	US
CUSIP number	N07059210
Earnings date	2026-10-14
Earnings time	bmo
Employees	44,681
Employees change	1,220
Employees growth	2.81%
Enterprise value	$635.9B
Exchange	NASDAQ
Financial currency	EUR
Financial report date	2026-09-27
First seen	2026-05-09
Fiscal year end	December
Founded	1984
In index	NASDAQ100
Industry	Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
IPO date	1995-03-15
Is primary listing	No
Is SPAC	No
ISIN number	USN070592100
Last 10-K release date	2026-02-25
Last earnings date	2026-10-14
Last refreshed	2026-10-28
Last stock split date	2012-11-29
Last stock split type	Reverse
Market cap	$647.9B
Market cap category	Mega-Cap
Next earnings date	2027-01-27
Options	Yes
Price	$1,661.94
Price currency	USD
Sector	Technology
SIC code	3559
Stock price date	2026-10-28
Symbol	ASML
Tags	artificial-intelligence
Website	https://www.asml.com

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

Metric	Value
Adjusted P/E ratio	44.09x
Average P/E ratio (10Y)	37.64x
Average P/E ratio (3Y)	40.77x
Average P/E ratio (5Y)	39.1x
Earnings yield	2.35%
EV/Earnings	40.74x
EV/EBIT	36.08x
EV/EBITDA	33.93x
EV/FCF	26.51x
EV/Sales	13.91x
FCF / EV yield	3.77%
FCF yield	3.7%
Forward EV/Sales	9.79x
Forward P/E	26.19x
Forward P/S	9.98x
Graham number	243.13755
Graham upside	-85.38%
Industry forward P/E	24.35x
Industry P/E	38.38x
Lynch fair value	$793.11
Lynch upside	-52.32%
P/(FCF - SBC) ratio	27.3x
P/(OCF - SBC) ratio	25.41x
P/B ratio	25.36x
P/E ratio	42.62x
P/FCF ratio	27.02x
P/OCF ratio	25.16x
P/S ratio	14.17x
Price / tangible book value	33.12x
Price/EBITDA ratio	34.58x
Sector forward P/E	18.86x
Sector P/E	32.77x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

Metric	Value
EBIT margin	38.55%
EBITDA margin	40.99%
Effective tax rate	16.69%
FCF margin	53.61%
Gross margin	54.34%
Operating margin	38.55%
Pretax margin	40.97%
Profit margin	34.14%
Profit per employee	$343,666
Profitable quarters	68
Profitable years	16
Revenue per employee	$1M
ROA	18.28%
ROA (5Y)	13.65%
ROCE	44.66%
ROE	65.64%
ROE (5Y)	55.33%
ROIC	92.13%
ROIC (5Y)	76.44%
SBC / revenue	0.55%
Tax / revenue	6.84%

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

Metric	Value
EPS growth	44.29%
EPS growth (Q)	135.95%
EPS growth (QoQ)	70.58%
EPS growth 10Y	27%
EPS growth 3Y	21.85%
EPS growth 5Y	21.5%
EPS growth quarters	8
EPS growth years	1
FCF growth	136.1%
FCF growth (Q)	4,225.34%
FCF growth (QoQ)	711.08%
FCF growth 3Y	56.02%
FCF growth 5Y	20.94%
Gross profit growth	26.32%
Gross profit growth (Q)	72.66%
Gross profit growth 3Y	16.03%
Gross profit growth 5Y	18.14%
Net income growth	42.39%
Net income growth (Q)	133.49%
Net income growth (QoQ)	70.02%
Net income growth 3Y	20.99%
Net income growth 5Y	19.8%
Net income growth quarters	8
Net income growth years	1
OCF growth	110.56%
OCF growth (Q)	2,010.11%
OCF growth (QoQ)	592.75%
OCF growth 10Y	28.52%
OCF growth 3Y	44.09%
OCF growth 5Y	20.09%
Operating income growth	35.56%
Operating income growth (Q)	109.56%
Operating income growth 3Y	20.15%
Operating income growth 5Y	19.58%
Revenue growth	22.54%
Revenue growth (Q)	55.16%
Revenue growth (QoQ)	25.04%
Revenue growth 10Y	20.1%
Revenue growth 3Y	13.85%
Revenue growth 5Y	17.16%
Revenue growth quarters	8
Revenue growth years	13

Financial statements

Income-statement and cash-flow amounts, totals and per share.

Metric	Value
Capital expenditures	$-1.7B
Depreciation and amortization	$1.1B
EBIT	$17.3B
EBITDA	$18.4B
EPS	$38.99
FCF per share	$61.60
Financing cash flow	$-14.5B
Free cash flow	$23.6B
Free cash flow minus SBC	$23.4B
Gross profit	$24.4B
Income taxes	$3.1B
Investing cash flow	$-8.1B
Net borrowing	$-2.3B
Net cash flow	$3.3B
Net income	$15.4B
Operating cash flow minus SBC	$25.1B
Operating income	$17.3B
Revenue	$45B
Stock-based compensation	$248.9M

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

Metric	Value
Book value per share	$65.63
Debt / EBITDA	0.12
Debt / equity	0.09
Debt / FCF	0.09
Goodwill	$5.1B
Interest coverage	128.64
Long-term assets	$25.9B
Long-term liabilities	$14.3B
Net cash (debt)	$12.3B
Net cash / market cap	1.93%
Net cash growth	344.49%
Net debt / EBITDA	-0.67
Net debt / equity	-0.49
Net debt / FCF	-0.52
Piotroski F-Score	8
Property, plant and equipment	$9.4B
Shareholders' equity	$25.1B
Tangible book value	$19.3B
Tangible book value per share	$50.25
Total assets	$67.2B
Total cash	$14.5B
Total debt	$2.2B
Total liabilities	$42.1B
WACC	11.39%

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

Metric	Value
Asset turnover	0.76
Current assets	$41.3B
Current liabilities	$27.8B
Current ratio	1.49
Inventory turnover	1.52
Net working capital	$-699.1M
Quick ratio	0.93
Working capital	$13.8B
Working capital turnover	4.99

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

Metric	Value
Buyback yield / dilution	1.34%
Dividend growth	26.43%
Dividend growth (10Y)	22.66%
Dividend growth (3Y)	13.04%
Dividend growth (5Y)	18.71%
Dividend growth years	2
Dividend payment date	2026-11-04
Dividend payment years	20
Dividend payout frequency	Quarterly
Dividend per share	$7.92
Dividend yield	0.48%
Ex-dividend date	2026-10-27
FCF payout ratio	12.9%
Last dividend	$1.79
Payout ratio	20.38%
Shareholder yield	1.81%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

Metric	Value
10Y price change	1,495.53%
10Y return CAGR	32.98%
10Y total return	1,628.88%
150-day SMA	$1,659.75
15Y price change	2,839.98%
15Y return CAGR	28.21%
15Y total return	4,058.95%
1D price change	1.61%
1M price change	-4.8%
1M total return	-4.7%
1W price change	1.8%
1W total return	1.91%
1Y price change	56.62%
1Y return CAGR	57.73%
1Y total return	57.68%
20-day SMA	$1,705.77
200-day SMA	$1,593.68
20Y price change	4,879.31%
20Y return CAGR	24.55%
20Y total return	7,967.83%
3M price change	0.3%
3M total return	0.52%
3Y price change	181.38%
3Y return CAGR	42.22%
3Y total return	187.72%
50-day SMA	$1,709.86
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA	50over200
52-week high	$1,999.96
52-week high date	2026-06-30
52-week low	$946.11
52-week low date	2025-11-21
5Y price change	107.26%
5Y return CAGR	16.65%
5Y total return	115.95%
6M price change	15.9%
6M total return	16.16%
After-hours change	-0.05%
After-hours close	$1,661.94
After-hours price	$1,661.17
All-time high	$1,999.96
All-time high date	2026-06-30
All-time low	$2.37
All-time low date	1995-03-15
Average true range (ATR)	$53.44
Average volume	1.5M
Beta (5Y)	1.3
Change from 52-week high	-16.9%
Change from 52-week low	75.66%
Change from all-time high	-16.99%
Change from all-time low	69,830.5%
Change from open	0.4%
Day's gap	1.21%
Dollar volume	$1.6B
High price	$1,673.06
Low price	$1,648.00
Monthly RSI	62.7
Open price	$1,655.33
Position in 52-week range	55.63%
Premarket change	1.24%
Premarket close	$1,635.57
Premarket price	$1,655.86
Premarket volume	34.2K
Previous close	$1,635.57
Price vs 150-day SMA	0.02%
Price vs 20-day SMA	-2.67%
Price vs 200-day SMA	4.17%
Price vs 50-day SMA	-2.91%
Relative volume	0.62
RSI	47.05
Sharpe ratio	1.13
Sharpe ratio (3Y)	0.94
Sharpe ratio (5Y)	0.5
Sortino ratio	1.83
Sortino ratio (3Y)	1.5
Sortino ratio (5Y)	0.86
Volume	948.1K
Weekly RSI	51.36
YTD price change	55.18%
YTD total return	55.99%

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

Metric	Value
Float	383.9M
Float percentage	100.21%
Shares change (QoQ)	-0.36%
Shares change (YoY)	-1.34%
Shares held by insiders	0.02%
Shares held by institutions	51.53%
Shares outstanding	383.1M
Short % of shares	0.38%
Short ratio	1.1 days

Other indicators

Additional ticker metrics that do not fit the primary research groupings.

Metric	Value
Page views	728

Deeper analysis on ASML

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

→

Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

→

Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

→

Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

→

Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

→

Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

→

Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

→

Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

→

Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

→

Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

→

Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this ASML report

What is the latest published ASML stock rating?

ASML Holding N.V. is shown with Sell in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-09-21. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full ASML analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-09-21, lives at /stocks/ASML/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for ASML?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-09-21 gives ASML a fair value of USD 889 and a potential value of USD 1,243. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the ASML page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-09-21). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

SellASML · Fair value $889-47.1%

Read full analysis →

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML)

Our latest published analysis: ASML rated Sell

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · ASML

Valuation

Profitability

Balance sheet

Trading

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

All ASML indicators

Profile and market data

Valuation

Profitability

Growth

Financial statements

Financial strength

Liquidity

Dividends and buybacks

Performance and technicals

Ownership and float

Other indicators

Deeper analysis on ASML

Frequently asked questions

Storico dei rating

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	1.5
Management	8.5
Balance Sheet	7.0
Profitability	8.5
Revenue Growth	7.5
Risk Assessment	7.5
Competitive Moat	9.5
Earnings Quality	9.0
Capital Efficiency	8.5