NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI)

NASDAQ: NXPI · USD

$249

-4.74 (-1.9%)· Recorded snapshot

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StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-10-18

Our latest published analysis: NXPI rated Reduce

NXP Semiconductors N.V.'s published Reduce conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$198 / share

Potential value

$235 / share

Upside to FV

-13.6%

from $249

Moat

7.5/10

Narrow

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$57.8B
Revenue (ttm)	13.8B
Net income (ttm)	3.2B
EPS (ttm)	$12.7
Shares out	252.1M
P/E (trailing)	19.6x
P/E (forward)	12.9x
Dividend	$4.06 (1.63%)
Volume	7,222,641
Beta	1.81

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

Revenue (ttm): 13.8B
Net income (ttm): 3.2B
EPS (ttm): $12.7
P/E (trailing): 19.6x
P/E (forward): 12.9x
Market cap: $57.8B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2021-12-31	2022-12-31	2023-12-31	2024-12-31	2025-12-31	Trend
Revenue	$11.06B	$13.21B	$13.28B	$12.61B	$12.27B	+2.6%
Gross profit	$6.07B	$7.52B	$7.55B	$7.12B	$6.72B	+2.6%
Operating income	$2.58B	$3.80B	$3.66B	$3.42B	$3.05B	+4.2%
Net income	$1.87B	$2.79B	$2.80B	$2.51B	$2.02B	+1.9%
EPS (diluted)	$6.79	$10.55	$10.70	$9.73	$7.95	+4.0%
EBITDA	$3.81B	$5.04B	$4.90B	$4.42B	$3.81B	-0.0%
R&D	$1.94B	$2.15B	$2.42B	$2.35B	$2.36B	+5.1%
SG&A	$956.0M	$1.07B	$1.16B	$1.16B	$1.20B	+5.9%

Ticker	Name	Market cap	P/E	P/S	ROIC	5Y rev CAGR	1Y total return	Rating
ABBV	AbbVie Inc.	505.6B	80.8x	7.9x	17.7%	+3.7%	+29.1%	Vendere
ABT	Abbott Laboratories	177.6B	38.2x	3.7x	7.2%	+2.7%	-17.2%	Ridurre
ACN	Accenture plc	144.3B	18.0x	2.0x	27.9%	+8.0%	+0.4%	Mantenere
AAPL	Apple Inc.	5T	39.4x	10.8x	101.6%	+6.1%	+28.5%	Vendere
ADBE	Adobe Inc.	97.1B	13.9x	3.7x	57.2%	+11.5%	-30.7%	Acquisto forte
ADI	Analog Devices, Inc.	207.6B	50.9x	14.8x	11.0%	+16.4%	+76.9%	Vendere

Base and Bull scenarios

Bull20%

Price target

$234.62

+2.3% from spot

Under the constructive outcome, which carries an estimated likelihood of 20.0%, automotive semiconductor content accelerates significantly as premium original equipment manufacturers ramp high-performance radar and domain controller architectures. Fixed-cost absorption in internal fabs lifts operating margins toward historical highs, propelling earnings power to a target of $234.62 and generating an implied return of 2.3% relative to $229.33 (as of 2026-10-16). Disconfirmation would appear if automotive Tier-one restocking stalls or if gross margin expansion fails to materialize across upcoming fiscal quarters.

Accelerated adoption of seventy-seven gigahertz automotive radar transceivers across European and North American platforms.
Operating margins expanding toward peak levels through fixed-cost fab absorption and disciplined operating expense management.
Normalized revenue growth re-accelerating following the completion of channel inventory digestion.

Base55%

Price target

$198.20

-13.6% from spot

The modal baseline path carries a probability of 55.0% and establishes a target valuation of $198.20, delivering an implied return of -13.6% compared to $229.33 (as of 2026-10-16). This trajectory assumes gradual channel replenishment across automotive and industrial customers, with operating margins stabilizing near normalized levels. Disconfirmation would occur if Tier-one destocking persists beyond expected intervals or if customer substitution in regional markets accelerates, which would be evident in quarterly filings over the next several quarters.

Gradual recovery in automotive microcontroller demand as customer channel inventory returns to normalized levels.
Operating margin normalization supported by steady manufacturing utilization across internal and external foundries.
Share count reduction continuing at a modest annual pace funded by free cash flow.

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($198.20). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.

Ke ↓ / g →	2.0%	2.3%	2.5%	2.8%	3.0%
10.8%	$210	$212	$215	$218	$221
11.3%	$202	$204	$206	$209	$211
11.8%	$194	$196	$198	$200	$203
12.3%	$187	$189	$191	$193	$195
12.8%	$181	$183	$184	$186	$188

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Refreshed 2026-10-28 19:55 UTC

Forward P/E12.9

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Trailing P/E19.6

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROE28.7

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROIC19.2

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Benchmarks · 1M

All NXPI indicators

Market & fundamental data

Available fields

290

Groups with data

Currency

USD

Showing 290 of 290 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

Metric	Value
Amount currency	USD
CIK code	0001413447
Company name	NXP Semiconductors N.V.
Country	Netherlands
Country code	US
CUSIP number	N6596X109
Earnings date	2026-10-27
Earnings time	amc
Employees	32,169
Employees change	-931
Employees growth	-2.81%
Enterprise value	$69.7B
Exchange	NASDAQ
Financial currency	USD
Financial report date	2026-09-27
First seen	2026-05-09
Fiscal year end	December
Founded	2006
In index	SP500, NASDAQ100
Industry	Semiconductors
IPO date	2010-08-06
Is primary listing	Yes
Is SPAC	No
ISIN number	NL0009538784
Last 10-K release date	2026-02-19
Last earnings date	2026-10-27
Last refreshed	2026-10-28
Last stock split type	Never
Market cap	$62.7B
Market cap category	Large-Cap
Next earnings date	2027-02-01
Options	Yes
Price	$248.76
Price currency	USD
Sector	Technology
SIC code	3674
Stock price date	2026-10-28
Symbol	NXPI
Tags	artificial-intelligence
Website	https://www.nxp.com

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

Metric	Value
Adjusted P/E ratio	17.51x
Average P/E ratio (10Y)	57.41x
Average P/E ratio (3Y)	22.79x
Average P/E ratio (5Y)	21.39x
Earnings yield	5.11%
EV/Earnings	21.42x
EV/EBIT	14.77x
EV/EBITDA	12.71x
EV/FCF	19.74x
EV/Sales	5.01x
FCF / EV yield	5.07%
FCF yield	5.64%
Forward EV/Sales	4.41x
Forward P/E	14.17x
Forward P/S	3.97x
Graham number	117.10241
Graham upside	-52.47%
Industry forward P/E	13.46x
Industry P/E	26.64x
Lynch fair value	$195.57
Lynch upside	-20.63%
P/(FCF - SBC) ratio	20.2x
P/(OCF - SBC) ratio	18.42x
P/B ratio	5.29x
P/E ratio	19.57x
P/FCF ratio	17.73x
P/OCF ratio	16.34x
P/S ratio	4.5x
PEG ratio	0.76x
Price / tangible book value	138.62x
Price/EBITDA ratio	11.42x
Sector forward P/E	18.46x
Sector P/E	32.89x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

Metric	Value
EBIT margin	33.93%
EBITDA margin	39.41%
Effective tax rate	19.99%
FCF margin	25.39%
Gross margin	56.53%
Operating margin	33.93%
Pretax margin	29.73%
Profit margin	23.39%
Profit per employee	$100,345
Profitable quarters	24
Profitable years	13
Revenue per employee	$428,922
ROA	10.84%
ROA (5Y)	9.12%
ROCE	19.8%
ROE	28.67%
ROE (5Y)	29%
ROIC	19.2%
ROIC (5Y)	17.61%
SBC / revenue	3.1%
Tax / revenue	5.94%

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

Metric	Value
EPS growth	57.19%
EPS growth (Q)	40.32%
EPS growth (QoQ)	15.23%
EPS growth 10Y	20.18%
EPS growth 3Y	5.63%
EPS growth 5Y	17.87%
EPS growth quarters	3
EPS growth years	0
FCF growth	85.25%
FCF growth (Q)	137.21%
FCF growth (QoQ)	52.34%
FCF growth 3Y	10.92%
FCF growth 5Y	5.33%
Gross profit growth	16.89%
Gross profit growth (Q)	22.5%
Gross profit growth 3Y	1.29%
Gross profit growth 5Y	6.67%
Net income growth	56.62%
Net income growth (Q)	40.1%
Net income growth (QoQ)	15.25%
Net income growth 3Y	4.58%
Net income growth 5Y	15.39%
Net income growth quarters	3
Net income growth years	0
OCF growth	63.79%
OCF growth (Q)	114.7%
OCF growth (QoQ)	46.05%
OCF growth 10Y	7.54%
OCF growth 3Y	3.25%
OCF growth 5Y	2.73%
Operating income growth	48.23%
Operating income growth (Q)	37.05%
Operating income growth 3Y	7.86%
Operating income growth 5Y	15.28%
Revenue growth	14.55%
Revenue growth (Q)	19.32%
Revenue growth (QoQ)	8.3%
Revenue growth 10Y	4.76%
Revenue growth 3Y	1.58%
Revenue growth 5Y	5.55%
Revenue growth quarters	4
Revenue growth years	0

Financial statements

Income-statement and cash-flow amounts, totals and per share.

Metric	Value
Capital expenditures	$-297M
Depreciation and amortization	$757M
EBIT	$4.7B
EBITDA	$5.4B
EPS	$12.71
FCF per share	$13.90
Financing cash flow	$-2.9B
Free cash flow	$3.5B
Free cash flow minus SBC	$3.1B
Gross profit	$7.8B
Income taxes	$820M
Investing cash flow	$-372M
Net borrowing	$-1.3B
Net cash flow	$489M
Net income	$3.2B
Operating cash flow minus SBC	$3.4B
Operating income	$4.7B
Revenue	$13.8B
Stock-based compensation	$428M

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

Metric	Value
Book value per share	$47.96
Debt / EBITDA	1.99
Debt / equity	0.88
Debt / FCF	3.13
Goodwill	$10.3B
Interest coverage	36.86
Long-term assets	$19.2B
Long-term liabilities	$11.2B
Net cash (debt)	$-7B
Net cash / market cap	-11.33%
Net debt / EBITDA	1.29
Net debt / equity	0.56
Net debt / FCF	2.01
Piotroski F-Score	7
Property, plant and equipment	$2.8B
Shareholders' equity	$12.5B
Tangible book value	$448M
Tangible book value per share	$1.78
Total assets	$27.6B
Total cash	$3.9B
Total debt	$11B
Total liabilities	$15.1B
WACC	12.21%

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

Metric	Value
Asset turnover	0.51
Current assets	$8.4B
Current liabilities	$4B
Current ratio	2.12
Inventory turnover	2.38
Net working capital	$1.5B
Quick ratio	1.31
Working capital	$4.5B
Working capital turnover	2.94

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

Metric	Value
Buyback yield / dilution	0.36%
Dividend growth	0%
Dividend growth (3Y)	1.43%
Dividend growth (5Y)	14.48%
Dividend growth years	0
Dividend payment date	2026-10-08
Dividend payment years	9
Dividend payout frequency	Quarterly
Dividend per share	$4.06
Dividend yield	1.63%
Ex-dividend date	2026-09-16
FCF payout ratio	36.45%
Last dividend	$1.01
Payout ratio	34.61%
Shareholder yield	2.01%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

Metric	Value
10Y price change	151.19%
10Y return CAGR	11.1%
10Y total return	186.38%
150-day SMA	$254.55
15Y price change	1,165.92%
15Y return CAGR	19.48%
15Y total return	1,343.24%
1D price change	-1.87%
1M price change	4.54%
1M total return	4.54%
1W price change	4.75%
1W total return	4.75%
1Y price change	12.33%
1Y return CAGR	14.33%
1Y total return	14.32%
20-day SMA	$236.34
200-day SMA	$246.38
3M price change	-7.02%
3M total return	-6.6%
3Y price change	38.94%
3Y return CAGR	13.58%
3Y total return	46.52%
50-day SMA	$231.39
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA	50under200
52-week high	$339.95
52-week high date	2026-05-27
52-week low	$183.00
52-week low date	2025-11-20
5Y price change	29.35%
5Y return CAGR	7.24%
5Y total return	41.8%
6M price change	5.07%
6M total return	5.9%
After-hours change	1.08%
After-hours close	$248.76
After-hours price	$251.44
All-time high	$339.95
All-time high date	2026-05-27
All-time low	$10.23
All-time low date	2010-08-25
Average true range (ATR)	$9.34
Average volume	3.7M
Beta (1Y)	1.35
Beta (2Y)	1.42
Beta (5Y)	1.81
Change from 52-week high	-26.82%
Change from 52-week low	35.93%
Change from all-time high	-26.79%
Change from all-time low	2,332.84%
Change from open	4.46%
Day's gap	-6.06%
Dollar volume	$1.8B
High price	$249.68
Low price	$235.00
Monthly RSI	53.01
Open price	$238.14
Position in 52-week range	93.73%
Premarket change	-5.75%
Premarket close	$253.50
Premarket price	$238.93
Premarket volume	157.9K
Previous close	$253.50
Price vs 150-day SMA	-2.23%
Price vs 20-day SMA	5.3%
Price vs 200-day SMA	1.02%
Price vs 50-day SMA	7.56%
Relative volume	1.96
RSI	59.8
Sharpe ratio	0.43
Sharpe ratio (3Y)	0.4
Sharpe ratio (5Y)	0.27
Sortino ratio	0.86
Sortino ratio (3Y)	0.76
Sortino ratio (5Y)	0.55
Volume	7.2M
Weekly RSI	52.16
YTD price change	14.66%
YTD total return	16.17%

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

Metric	Value
Float	251.7M
Float percentage	99.86%
Shares change (QoQ)	-0.07%
Shares change (YoY)	-0.36%
Shares held by insiders	0.13%
Shares held by institutions	91.26%
Shares outstanding	252.1M
Short % of shares	3%
Short ratio	1.9 days

Other indicators

Additional ticker metrics that do not fit the primary research groupings.

Metric	Value
Page views	394

Deeper analysis on NXPI

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

→

Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

→

Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

→

Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

→

Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

→

Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

→

Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

→

Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

→

Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

→

Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

→

Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this NXPI report

What is the latest published NXPI stock rating?

NXP Semiconductors N.V. is shown with Reduce in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-18. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full NXPI analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-18, lives at /stocks/NXPI/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for NXPI?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-10-18 gives NXPI a fair value of USD 198 and a potential value of USD 235. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the NXPI page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-10-18). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

ReduceNXPI · Fair value $198-13.6%

Read full analysis →

NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI)

Our latest published analysis: NXPI rated Reduce

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · NXPI

Valuation

Profitability

Balance sheet

Trading

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

All NXPI indicators

Profile and market data

Valuation

Profitability

Growth

Financial statements

Financial strength

Liquidity

Dividends and buybacks

Performance and technicals

Ownership and float

Other indicators

Deeper analysis on NXPI

Frequently asked questions

Storico dei rating

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	3.0
Management	6.5
Balance Sheet	6.5
Profitability	7.5
Revenue Growth	7.5
Risk Assessment	6.0
Competitive Moat	7.5
Earnings Quality	9.0
Capital Efficiency	6.5