O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY)

NASDAQ: ORLY · USD

$90.0

+0.16 (+0.2%)· Recorded snapshot

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StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-05-20

Our latest published analysis: ORLY rated Sell

O'Reilly Automotive Inc.'s published Sell conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$53.8 / share

Potential value

$74.5 / share

Upside to FV

-41.4%

from $90.0

Moat

9/10

Wide

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$76.2B
Revenue (ttm)	18.6B
Net income (ttm)	2.7B
EPS (ttm)	$3.15
Shares out	809M
P/E (trailing)	28.6x
P/E (forward)	25.4x
Volume	5,291,616
Beta	0.54

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

Revenue (ttm): 18.6B
Net income (ttm): 2.7B
EPS (ttm): $3.15
P/E (trailing): 28.6x
P/E (forward): 25.4x
Market cap: $76.2B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2021-12-31	2022-12-31	2023-12-31	2024-12-31	2025-12-31	Trend
Revenue	$13.33B	$14.41B	$15.81B	$16.71B	$17.78B	+7.5%
Gross profit	$7.02B	$7.38B	$8.10B	$8.55B	$9.17B	+6.9%
Operating income	$2.93B	$2.96B	$3.21B	$3.27B	$3.48B	+4.4%
Net income	$2.16B	$2.17B	$2.35B	$2.39B	$2.54B	+4.1%
EPS (diluted)	$2.07	$2.23	$2.56	$2.71	$2.97	+9.4%
EBITDA	$3.25B	$3.31B	$3.62B	$3.73B	$3.99B	+5.2%
R&D	—	—	—	—	—	—
SG&A	$4.10B	$4.43B	$4.92B	$5.30B	$5.71B	+8.6%

Ticker	Name	Market cap	P/E	P/S	ROIC	5Y rev CAGR	1Y total return	Rating
AAL	American Airlines Group Inc.	8.3B	—	0.1x	3.0%	+20.0%	-6.9%	Mantenere
ALB	Albemarle Corporation	11.4B	198.9x	1.9x	4.1%	+12.8%	+1.9%	Mantenere
ANET	Arista Networks Inc.	235.7B	59.1x	22.4x	284.8%	+32.0%	+19.7%	Vendere
ABNB	Airbnb, Inc.	97.8B	37.5x	7.4x	16.8%	+24.4%	+28.5%	Vendere
AMZN	Amazon.com Inc.	2.7T	20.5x	3.5x	11.9%	+11.8%	+12.2%	Vendere
APTV	Aptiv PLC	9.1B	42.8x	0.4x	7.8%	+5.5%	-49.2%	Comprare

Base and Bull scenarios

Bull15%

Price target

$74.49

-19.0% from spot

ORLY continues aggressive commercial market share capture, sustaining low double-digit earnings growth. The market maintains its premium 25x multiple, ignoring medium-term capex drags.

Sustained 25x forward earnings multiple
No material margin degradation
Capex cycle completes ahead of schedule

Base50%

Price target

$53.83

-41.4% from spot

Revenue growth fades to a mature 5.7% trajectory. Operating margins hold firm, but the forward multiple structurally compresses toward a normalized 20x terminal exit.

Multiple compression to 20x
5.7% normalized revenue growth
Elevated capex normalizes to 3% of revenue long-term

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted base cell is anchored to valuation synthesis sensitivity reference ($54.65). It is the reference value for this grid, not a separate standalone fair-value claim.

Ke ↓ / g →	1.0%	1.5%	2.0%	2.5%	3.0%
8.1%	$62.4	$67.1	$72.6	$79.1	$86.9
9.1%	$54.7	$58.3	$62.4	$67.1	$72.6
10.1%	$48.6	$51.5	$54.7	$58.3	$62.4
11.1%	$43.8	$46.1	$48.6	$51.5	$54.7
12.1%	$39.9	$41.7	$43.8	$46.1	$48.6

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Refreshed 2026-10-28 19:55 UTC

Forward P/E25.4

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Trailing P/E29.9

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROEn/a

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROIC36.5

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Benchmarks · 1M

All ORLY indicators

Market & fundamental data

Available fields

273

Groups with data

Currency

USD

Showing 273 of 273 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

Metric	Value
Amount currency	USD
CIK code	0000898173
Company name	O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
Country	United States
Country code	US
CUSIP number	67103H107
Earnings date	2026-10-28
Earnings time	amc
Employees	92,923
Employees change	-124
Employees growth	-0.13%
Enterprise value	$82B
Exchange	NASDAQ
Financial currency	USD
Financial report date	2026-06-30
First seen	2026-05-09
Fiscal year end	December
Founded	1957
In index	SP500, NASDAQ100
Industry	Auto Parts
IPO date	1993-04-22
Is primary listing	Yes
Is SPAC	No
ISIN number	US67103H1077
Last 10-K release date	2026-02-27
Last earnings date	2026-10-28
Last refreshed	2026-10-28
Last stock split date	2025-06-10
Last stock split type	Forward
Market cap	$72.8B
Market cap category	Large-Cap
Next earnings date	2027-02-03
Options	Yes
Price	$89.98
Price currency	USD
Sector	Consumer Discretionary
SIC code	5531
Stock price date	2026-10-28
Symbol	ORLY
U.S. state	Missouri
Website	https://www.oreillyauto.com

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

Metric	Value
Adjusted P/E ratio	28.66x
Average P/E ratio (10Y)	23.47x
Average P/E ratio (3Y)	29.19x
Average P/E ratio (5Y)	26.4x
Earnings yield	3.5%
EV/Earnings	30.96x
EV/EBIT	22.59x
EV/EBITDA	19.68x
EV/FCF	38.05x
EV/Sales	4.42x
FCF / EV yield	2.63%
FCF yield	2.96%
Forward EV/Sales	4.17x
Forward P/E	25.92x
Forward P/S	3.7x
Industry forward P/E	15.96x
Industry P/E	74.96x
Lynch fair value	$18.01
Lynch upside	-79.98%
P/(FCF - SBC) ratio	34.3x
P/(OCF - SBC) ratio	22.36x
P/E ratio	28.56x
P/FCF ratio	33.76x
P/OCF ratio	22.13x
P/S ratio	3.92x
PEG ratio	1.92x
Price/EBITDA ratio	17.46x
Sector forward P/E	24.24x
Sector P/E	30.29x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

Metric	Value
EBIT margin	19.56%
EBITDA margin	22.45%
Effective tax rate	22.01%
FCF margin	11.61%
Gross margin	51.64%
Operating margin	19.56%
Pretax margin	18.3%
Profit margin	14.27%
Profit per employee	$28,522
Profitable quarters	126
Profitable years	32
Revenue per employee	$199,870
ROA	13.67%
ROA (5Y)	14.77%
ROCE	46.48%
ROIC	36.48%
ROIC (5Y)	39.82%
SBC / revenue	0.18%
Tax / revenue	4.03%

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

Metric	Value
EPS growth	12.92%
EPS growth (Q)	10.26%
EPS growth (QoQ)	19.44%
EPS growth 10Y	16.73%
EPS growth 3Y	9.49%
EPS growth 5Y	11.19%
EPS growth quarters	25
EPS growth years	17
FCF growth	21.69%
FCF growth (Q)	53.23%
FCF growth (QoQ)	-11.36%
FCF growth 3Y	-6.19%
FCF growth 5Y	-3.27%
Gross profit growth	8.97%
Gross profit growth (Q)	8.18%
Gross profit growth 3Y	7.29%
Gross profit growth 5Y	7.7%
Net income growth	9.35%
Net income growth (Q)	6.95%
Net income growth (QoQ)	18.35%
Net income growth 3Y	5.48%
Net income growth 5Y	5.72%
Net income growth quarters	5
Net income growth years	17
OCF growth	13.1%
OCF growth (Q)	32.99%
OCF growth (QoQ)	-2.56%
OCF growth 10Y	8.83%
OCF growth 3Y	-1.17%
OCF growth 5Y	1.92%
Operating income growth	10.34%
Operating income growth (Q)	7.79%
Operating income growth 3Y	5.83%
Operating income growth 5Y	5.73%
Revenue growth	8.47%
Revenue growth (Q)	8.11%
Revenue growth (QoQ)	7.27%
Revenue growth 10Y	8.38%
Revenue growth 3Y	6.86%
Revenue growth 5Y	8.08%
Revenue growth quarters	122
Revenue growth years	31

Financial statements

Income-statement and cash-flow amounts, totals and per share.

Metric	Value
Capital expenditures	$-1.1B
Depreciation and amortization	$537.7M
EBIT	$3.6B
EBITDA	$4.2B
EPS	$3.15
FCF per share	$2.67
Financing cash flow	$-2.1B
Free cash flow	$2.2B
Free cash flow minus SBC	$2.1B
Gross profit	$9.6B
Income taxes	$748.2M
Investing cash flow	$-1.1B
Net borrowing	$1.2B
Net cash flow	$63.6M
Net income	$2.7B
Operating cash flow minus SBC	$3.3B
Operating income	$3.6B
Revenue	$18.6B
Stock-based compensation	$33.8M

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

Metric	Value
Altman Z-Score	3.84
Book value per share	$-2.25
Debt / EBITDA	2.01
Debt / FCF	4.45
Goodwill	$955.2M
Interest coverage	14.37
Long-term assets	$10.2B
Long-term liabilities	$9.7B
Net cash (debt)	$-9.3B
Net cash / market cap	-12.71%
Net debt / EBITDA	2.22
Net debt / FCF	4.29
Piotroski F-Score	6
Property, plant and equipment	$9B
Shareholders' equity	$-1.8B
Tangible book value	$-2.8B
Tangible book value per share	$-3.42
Total assets	$17.4B
Total cash	$262.2M
Total debt	$9.6B
Total liabilities	$19.2B
WACC	6.63%

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

Metric	Value
Asset turnover	1.12
Current assets	$7.2B
Current liabilities	$9.6B
Current ratio	0.75
Inventory turnover	1.58
Net working capital	$-2.2B
Quick ratio	0.09
Working capital	$-2.4B
Working capital turnover	-7.77

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

Metric	Value
Buyback yield / dilution	2.75%
Dividend yield	0%
Shareholder yield	2.75%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

Metric	Value
10Y price change	429.44%
10Y return CAGR	18.14%
10Y total return	429.45%
150-day SMA	$89.39
15Y price change	1,659.61%
15Y return CAGR	21.07%
15Y total return	1,659.49%
1D price change	0.18%
1M price change	3.7%
1M total return	3.7%
1W price change	-0.8%
1W total return	-0.8%
1Y price change	-6.78%
1Y return CAGR	-6.78%
1Y total return	-6.78%
20-day SMA	$87.68
200-day SMA	$90.60
20Y price change	4,041.93%
20Y return CAGR	20.47%
20Y total return	4,041.93%
3M price change	-1.42%
3M total return	-1.42%
3Y price change	44.88%
3Y return CAGR	13.15%
3Y total return	44.88%
50-day SMA	$87.26
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA	50under200
52-week high	$102.46
52-week high date	2025-12-01
52-week low	$82.59
52-week low date	2026-07-15
5Y price change	105.78%
5Y return CAGR	15.53%
5Y total return	105.78%
6M price change	-2.9%
6M total return	-2.9%
All-time high	$108.72
All-time high date	2025-09-30
All-time low	$0.15
All-time low date	1993-04-27
Average true range (ATR)	$1.81
Average volume	5.1M
Beta (1Y)	0.03
Beta (2Y)	0.19
Beta (5Y)	0.54
Change from 52-week high	-12.18%
Change from 52-week low	8.95%
Change from all-time high	-17.86%
Change from all-time low	58,611.37%
Change from open	0.87%
Day's gap	-0.69%
Dollar volume	$476.1M
High price	$90.18
Low price	$88.73
Monthly RSI	51.42
Open price	$89.20
Position in 52-week range	86.21%
Premarket change	-1.11%
Premarket close	$89.82
Premarket price	$88.82
Premarket volume	66.5K
Previous close	$89.82
Price vs 150-day SMA	-0.1%
Price vs 20-day SMA	1.85%
Price vs 200-day SMA	-1.43%
Price vs 50-day SMA	2.34%
Relative volume	1.05
RSI	54.58
Sharpe ratio	-0.29
Sharpe ratio (3Y)	0.56
Sharpe ratio (5Y)	0.57
Sortino ratio	-0.2
Sortino ratio (3Y)	1.1
Sortino ratio (5Y)	1.05
Volume	5.3M
Weekly RSI	50
YTD price change	-2.09%
YTD total return	-2.09%

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

Metric	Value
Float	801.2M
Float percentage	99.04%
Shares change (QoQ)	-1.62%
Shares change (YoY)	-2.75%
Shares held by insiders	0.82%
Shares held by institutions	89.95%
Shares outstanding	809M
Short % of float	3.07%
Short % of shares	3.04%
Short ratio	3.9 days

Other indicators

Additional ticker metrics that do not fit the primary research groupings.

Metric	Value
Page views	125

Deeper analysis on ORLY

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

→

Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

→

Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

→

Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

→

Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

→

Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

→

Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

→

Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

→

Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

→

Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

→

Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this ORLY report

What is the latest published ORLY stock rating?

O'Reilly Automotive Inc. is shown with Sell in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-05-20. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full ORLY analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-05-20, lives at /stocks/ORLY/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for ORLY?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-05-20 gives ORLY a fair value of USD 54 and a potential value of USD 74. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the ORLY page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-05-20). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

SellORLY · Fair value $53.8-41.4%

Read full analysis →

O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY)

Our latest published analysis: ORLY rated Sell

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · ORLY

Valuation

Profitability

Balance sheet

Trading

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

All ORLY indicators

Profile and market data

Valuation

Profitability

Growth

Financial statements

Financial strength

Liquidity

Dividends and buybacks

Performance and technicals

Ownership and float

Other indicators

Deeper analysis on ORLY

Frequently asked questions

Storico dei rating

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	1.5
Management	6.4
Balance Sheet	3.0
Profitability	5.5
Revenue Growth	6.0
Risk Assessment	5.5
Competitive Moat	9.0
Earnings Quality	6.5
Capital Efficiency	7.5