Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM)

NYSE: YUM · USD

$150

+0.51 (+0.3%)· Recorded snapshot

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StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-10-03

Our latest published analysis: YUM rated Hold

Yum! Brands, Inc.'s published Hold conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$133 / share

Potential value

$174 / share

Upside to FV

-2.2%

from $150

Moat

9/10

Wide

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$37.1B
Revenue (ttm)	8.7B
Net income (ttm)	2.2B
EPS (ttm)	$7.94
Shares out	272.9M
P/E (trailing)	18.9x
P/E (forward)	20.4x
Dividend	$3.00 (2.00%)
Volume	1,311,429
Beta	0.55

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

Revenue (ttm): 8.7B
Net income (ttm): 2.2B
EPS (ttm): $7.94
P/E (trailing): 18.9x
P/E (forward): 20.4x
Market cap: $37.1B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2021-12-31	2022-12-31	2023-12-31	2024-12-31	2025-12-31	Trend
Revenue	$6.58B	$6.84B	$7.08B	$7.55B	$8.21B	+5.7%
Gross profit	$3.17B	$3.31B	$3.50B	$3.58B	$3.79B	+4.6%
Operating income	$2.14B	$2.19B	$2.32B	$2.40B	$2.57B	+4.7%
Net income	$1.58B	$1.33B	$1.60B	$1.49B	$1.56B	-0.3%
EPS (diluted)	$5.21	$4.57	$5.59	$5.22	$5.55	+1.6%
EBITDA	$2.38B	$2.34B	$2.48B	$2.56B	$2.78B	+4.0%
R&D	—	—	—	—	—	—
SG&A	$1.06B	$1.14B	$1.19B	$1.10B	$1.26B	+4.5%

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APTV	Aptiv PLC	9.1B	42.8x	0.4x	7.8%	+5.5%	-49.2%	Comprare
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Base and Bull scenarios

Base55%

Price target

$133.09

-2.2% from spot

The Base scenario represents the modal expected trajectory. Near-term revenue reflects consensus recovery in FY2026 followed by modest top-line contraction in FY2027 due to refranchising and segment adjustments, before settling into sustainable annual system sales expansion. Operating margin remains steady, insulated by contractual franchise royalties. Diluted earnings per share compound steadily across FY2026 and FY2027, supported by recurring cash flow and disciplined share repurchases. Capital expenditures moderate toward maintenance levels, supporting our Base target of $133.09.

Revenue reflects refranchising transitions across FY2026 and FY2027 before settling into steady long-term system compounding.
Consolidated operating margin holds stable, supported by contractual franchise royalties.
Diluted earnings per share compound steadily across the forecast period, supported by recurring parent earnings.
Reinvestment rate moderates gradually toward maintenance requirements as digital deployments mature.
Terminal valuation multiple remains balanced against peer valuations.

Bull20%

Price target

$174.06

+27.9% from spot

In the Bull scenario, KFC Global accelerates international store openings across emerging markets, benefiting from secular dietary tailwinds as chicken outpaces other proteins globally. Taco Bell leverages expanding digital sales mix and loyalty drops to drive customer traffic and ticket growth, maintaining positive domestic same-store sales. Capital expenditures normalize as digital platform investments pass peak intensity, while net proceeds from Pizza Hut transactions eliminate revolving debt and fuel share repurchases. Diluted earnings per share compound rapidly, lifting equity value toward the Bull target of $174.06.

KFC Global Division accelerates international net new unit additions above historical compound rates.
Taco Bell digital sales mix expands substantially, driving consistent domestic same-store sales growth.
Consolidated operating margin expands as automated kiosks and loyalty programs reduce store overhead.
Capital expenditure normalizes toward baseline levels, lifting free cash flow conversion.

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($133.09). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.

Ke ↓ / g →	2.0%	2.3%	2.5%	2.8%	3.0%
7.0%	$142	$146	$150	$155	$160
7.5%	$133	$136	$139	$143	$147
8.0%	$125	$127	$133	$133	$136
8.5%	$118	$120	$122	$125	$127
9.0%	$112	$114	$116	$118	$120

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Refreshed 2026-10-28 19:55 UTC

Forward P/E20.5

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Trailing P/E17.2

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROEn/a

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROIC59.7

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Benchmarks · 1M

All YUM indicators

Market & fundamental data

Available fields

283

Groups with data

Currency

USD

Showing 283 of 283 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

Metric	Value
Amount currency	USD
CIK code	0001041061
Company name	Yum! Brands, Inc.
Country	United States
Country code	US
CUSIP number	988498101
Earnings date	2026-11-03
Earnings time	bmo
Employees	49,000
Employees change	9,000
Employees growth	22.5%
Enterprise value	$53.7B
Exchange	NYSE
Financial currency	USD
Financial report date	2026-06-30
First seen	2026-05-09
Fiscal year end	December
Founded	1997
In index	SP500
Industry	Restaurants
IPO date	1997-09-17
Is primary listing	Yes
Is SPAC	No
ISIN number	US9884981013
Last 10-K release date	2026-02-20
Last earnings date	2026-07-30
Last refreshed	2026-10-28
Last stock split date	2007-06-27
Last stock split type	Forward
Market cap	$40.9B
Market cap category	Large-Cap
Next earnings date	2026-11-03
Options	Yes
Price	$150.05
Price currency	USD
Sector	Consumer Discretionary
SIC code	5812
Stock price date	2026-10-28
Symbol	YUM
U.S. state	Kentucky
Website	https://www.yum.com

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

Metric	Value
Adjusted P/E ratio	23.34x
Average P/E ratio (10Y)	23.69x
Average P/E ratio (3Y)	25.46x
Average P/E ratio (5Y)	25.26x
Earnings yield	5.29%
EV/Earnings	24.21x
EV/EBIT	18.95x
EV/EBITDA	17.49x
EV/FCF	31.96x
EV/Sales	6.15x
FCF / EV yield	3.13%
FCF yield	4.1%
Forward EV/Sales	6.38x
Forward P/E	23.87x
Forward P/S	4.87x
Industry forward P/E	21.7x
Industry P/E	25.64x
Lynch fair value	$85.08
Lynch upside	-43.26%
P/(FCF - SBC) ratio	25.4x
P/(OCF - SBC) ratio	20.31x
P/E ratio	18.9x
P/FCF ratio	24.37x
P/OCF ratio	19.65x
P/S ratio	4.69x
PEG ratio	2.43x
Price/EBITDA ratio	13.34x
Sector forward P/E	24.39x
Sector P/E	30.5x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

Metric	Value
EBIT margin	32.47%
EBITDA margin	35.18%
FCF margin	19.25%
Gross margin	45.31%
Operating margin	32.47%
Pretax margin	25.19%
Profit margin	25.41%
Profit per employee	$45,224
Profitable quarters	46
Profitable years	28
Revenue per employee	$178,000
ROA	22.69%
ROA (5Y)	23.48%
ROCE	64.51%
ROIC	59.73%
ROIC (5Y)	40.64%
SBC / revenue	0.78%
Tax / revenue	-0.22%

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

Metric	Value
EPS growth	56.48%
EPS growth (Q)	131.58%
EPS growth (QoQ)	98.71%
EPS growth 10Y	9.33%
EPS growth 3Y	17.04%
EPS growth 5Y	12.8%
EPS growth quarters	5
EPS growth years	1
FCF growth	9.45%
FCF growth (Q)	8.53%
FCF growth (QoQ)	19.35%
FCF growth 3Y	9.49%
FCF growth 5Y	1.76%
Gross profit growth	8.07%
Gross profit growth (Q)	8.61%
Gross profit growth 3Y	4.86%
Gross profit growth 5Y	5.25%
Net income growth	54.64%
Net income growth (Q)	128.08%
Net income growth (QoQ)	97.45%
Net income growth 3Y	15.99%
Net income growth 5Y	10.72%
Net income growth quarters	5
Net income growth years	1
OCF growth	13.58%
OCF growth (Q)	13.68%
OCF growth (QoQ)	21.88%
OCF growth 10Y	9.34%
OCF growth 3Y	9.58%
OCF growth 5Y	3.95%
Operating income growth	9.47%
Operating income growth (Q)	9.38%
Operating income growth 3Y	8.65%
Operating income growth 5Y	5.7%
Revenue growth	10.29%
Revenue growth (Q)	12.21%
Revenue growth (QoQ)	5.34%
Revenue growth 10Y	9.06%
Revenue growth 3Y	7.65%
Revenue growth 5Y	6.79%
Revenue growth quarters	9
Revenue growth years	6

Financial statements

Income-statement and cash-flow amounts, totals and per share.

Metric	Value
Capital expenditures	$-404M
Depreciation and amortization	$236M
EBIT	$2.8B
EBITDA	$3.1B
EPS	$7.94
FCF per share	$6.15
Financing cash flow	$-940M
Free cash flow	$1.7B
Free cash flow minus SBC	$1.6B
Gross profit	$4B
Income taxes	$-19M
Investing cash flow	$-1B
Net borrowing	$803M
Net cash flow	$66M
Net income	$2.2B
Operating cash flow minus SBC	$2B
Operating income	$2.8B
Revenue	$8.7B
Stock-based compensation	$68M

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

Metric	Value
Altman Z-Score	2.34
Book value per share	$-26.03
Debt / EBITDA	4.21
Debt / FCF	7.99
Goodwill	$716M
Interest coverage	5.08
Long-term assets	$6.1B
Long-term liabilities	$11.5B
Net cash (debt)	$-12.7B
Net cash / market cap	-31.11%
Net debt / EBITDA	4.15
Net debt / FCF	7.58
Piotroski F-Score	4
Property, plant and equipment	$2.8B
Shareholders' equity	$-7.1B
Tangible book value	$-8.6B
Tangible book value per share	$-31.61
Total assets	$8.7B
Total cash	$683M
Total debt	$13.4B
Total liabilities	$15.8B
WACC	6.27%

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

Metric	Value
Asset turnover	1.12
Current assets	$2.5B
Current liabilities	$4.3B
Current ratio	0.59
Net working capital	$379M
Quick ratio	0.33
Working capital	$-1.8B
Working capital turnover	-8.1

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

Metric	Value
Buyback yield / dilution	1.41%
Dividend growth	5.71%
Dividend growth (10Y)	4.59%
Dividend growth (3Y)	7.47%
Dividend growth (5Y)	8.48%
Dividend growth years	8
Dividend payment date	2026-09-18
Dividend payment years	23
Dividend payout frequency	Quarterly
Dividend per share	$3.00
Dividend yield	2%
Ex-dividend date	2026-09-09
FCF payout ratio	48.76%
Last dividend	$0.75
Payout ratio	37.79%
Shareholder yield	3.41%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

Metric	Value
10Y price change	75.57%
10Y return CAGR	11.3%
10Y total return	191.7%
150-day SMA	$151.47
15Y price change	175.55%
15Y return CAGR	11.45%
15Y total return	408.13%
1D price change	0.34%
1M price change	8.11%
1M total return	8.11%
1W price change	-1.14%
1W total return	-1.14%
1Y price change	4.82%
1Y return CAGR	6.86%
1Y total return	6.85%
20-day SMA	$146.27
200-day SMA	$153.47
20Y price change	408.38%
20Y return CAGR	12.41%
20Y total return	937.85%
3M price change	1.4%
3M total return	1.91%
3Y price change	25.48%
3Y return CAGR	9.97%
3Y total return	32.98%
50-day SMA	$145.91
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA	50under200
52-week high	$170.14
52-week high date	2026-07-07
52-week low	$134.26
52-week low date	2026-09-18
5Y price change	19.14%
5Y return CAGR	5.55%
5Y total return	31.02%
6M price change	-3.42%
6M total return	-2.45%
All-time high	$170.14
All-time high date	2026-07-07
All-time low	$5.89
All-time low date	2000-07-28
Average true range (ATR)	$3.34
Average volume	2.3M
Beta (1Y)	0.12
Beta (2Y)	0.38
Beta (5Y)	0.55
Change from 52-week high	-11.81%
Change from 52-week low	11.76%
Change from all-time high	-11.91%
Change from all-time low	2,444.05%
Change from open	0.7%
Day's gap	-0.36%
Dollar volume	$196.8M
High price	$151.15
Low price	$149.00
Monthly RSI	51.26
Open price	$149.00
Position in 52-week range	48.84%
Premarket change	-1.98%
Premarket close	$149.54
Premarket price	$146.58
Premarket volume	1.4K
Previous close	$149.54
Price vs 150-day SMA	-1.06%
Price vs 20-day SMA	2.46%
Price vs 200-day SMA	-2.34%
Price vs 50-day SMA	2.72%
Relative volume	0.56
RSI	57.5
Sharpe ratio	0.23
Sharpe ratio (3Y)	0.37
Sharpe ratio (5Y)	0.17
Sortino ratio	0.58
Sortino ratio (3Y)	0.82
Sortino ratio (5Y)	0.52
Volume	1.3M
Weekly RSI	50.51
YTD price change	-0.93%
YTD total return	0.52%

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

Metric	Value
Float	272.2M
Float percentage	99.75%
Shares change (QoQ)	-0.72%
Shares change (YoY)	-1.41%
Shares held by insiders	0.14%
Shares held by institutions	90.71%
Shares outstanding	272.9M
Short % of float	4.56%
Short % of shares	4.55%
Short ratio	5.5 days

Deeper analysis on YUM

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

→

Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

→

Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

→

Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

→

Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

→

Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

→

Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

→

Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

→

Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

→

Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

→

Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this YUM report

What is the latest published YUM stock rating?

Yum! Brands, Inc. is shown with Hold in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-03. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full YUM analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-03, lives at /stocks/YUM/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for YUM?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-10-03 gives YUM a fair value of USD 133 and a potential value of USD 174. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the YUM page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-10-03). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

HoldYUM · Fair value $133-2.2%

Read full analysis →

Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM)

Our latest published analysis: YUM rated Hold

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · YUM

Valuation

Profitability

Balance sheet

Trading

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

All YUM indicators

Profile and market data

Valuation

Profitability

Growth

Financial statements

Financial strength

Liquidity

Dividends and buybacks

Performance and technicals

Ownership and float

Deeper analysis on YUM

Frequently asked questions

Storico dei rating

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	4.5
Management	6.5
Balance Sheet	3.0
Profitability	6.5
Revenue Growth	6.0
Risk Assessment	5.5
Competitive Moat	9.0
Earnings Quality	9.0
Capital Efficiency	8.5