Chubb Limited (CB)

NYSE: CB · USD

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StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-09-25

Our latest published analysis: CB rated Sell

Chubb Limited's published Sell conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$248 / share

Potential value

$323 / share

Upside to FV

-25.9%

Moat

8/10

Narrow

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$129.2B
P/E (forward)	11.6x

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

P/E (forward): 11.6x
Market cap: $129.2B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2021-12-31	2022-12-31	2023-12-31	2024-12-31	2025-12-31	Trend
Revenue	$40.87B	$43.10B	$49.74B	$55.75B	$59.40B	+9.8%
Gross profit	$11.33B	$10.83B	$50.00B	$16.17B	$17.61B	+11.6%
Operating income	$10.29B	$7.06B	$-219.0M	$12.20B	$13.81B	+7.6%
Net income	$8.53B	$5.25B	$9.03B	$9.27B	$10.31B	+4.9%
EPS (diluted)	$19.24	$12.39	$21.80	$22.70	$25.68	+7.5%
EBITDA	$10.57B	$7.34B	$91.0M	$12.52B	$14.11B	+7.5%
R&D	—	—	—	—	—	—
SG&A	$3.14B	$3.40B	$4.01B	$4.38B	$4.50B	+9.5%

Ticker	Name	Market cap	P/E	P/S	ROIC	5Y rev CAGR	1Y total return	Rating
ACGL	Arch Capital Group Ltd.	—	—	—	—	—	—	強い買い
AIG	American International Group Inc.	—	—	—	—	—	—	強い買い
AIZ	Assurant, Inc.	—	—	—	—	—	—	ホールド
AJG	Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.	—	—	—	—	—	—	買い
ALL	The Allstate Corporation	—	—	—	—	—	—	強い買い
AMP	Ameriprise Financial, Inc.	—	—	—	—	—	—	買い

Base and Bull scenarios

Base55%

Price target

$247.91

-25.9% from spot

The base case carries 55.0% probability with a target of $247.91, generating an implied return of -25.9% against $334.37. The outcome reflects normalized margins and steady capital return toward $247.91.

Underwriting margins normalize toward through-cycle industry averages
Consensus revenue and earnings expectations are met through FY2027
Float investment yields remain stable near current benchmark interest rates

Bull20%

Price target

$322.50

-3.5% from spot

In the bull case, representing 20.0% probability, sustained underwriting discipline and high float yields deliver a target of $322.50 and return of -3.5%. This path would be disconfirmed if commercial pricing begins to soften across major renewals.

Extended hard commercial property and casualty pricing cycle protects premium margins
Benchmark Treasury yields remain elevated, sustaining float reinvestment yields
Ongoing share repurchases compound per-share earnings growth

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($247.91). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.

Ke ↓ / g →	2.0%	2.3%	2.5%	2.8%	3.0%
5.8%	$257	$258	$260	$261	$263
6.3%	$251	$252	$253	$255	$256
6.8%	$246	$247	$248	$249	$250
7.3%	$242	$242	$243	$244	$244
7.8%	$237	$238	$238	$239	$240

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Forward P/E11.6

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Trailing P/E11.9

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROEn/a

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROICn/a

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Benchmarks · 1M

Deeper analysis on CB

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

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Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

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Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

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Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

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Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

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Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

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Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

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Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

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Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

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Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

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Scorecard

Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this CB report

What is the latest published CB stock rating?

Chubb Limited is shown with Sell in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-09-25. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full CB analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-09-25, lives at /stocks/CB/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for CB?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-09-25 gives CB a fair value of USD 248 and a potential value of USD 323. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the CB page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-09-25). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

SellCB · Fair value $248-25.9%

Read full analysis →

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	1.5
Management	8.5
Balance Sheet	4.0
Profitability	5.5
Revenue Growth	6.0
Risk Assessment	6.0
Competitive Moat	8.0
Earnings Quality	7.5
Capital Efficiency	6.5

Chubb Limited (CB)

Our latest published analysis: CB rated Sell

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · CB

Valuation

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

Deeper analysis on CB

Frequently asked questions

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