任意の製品分析
許可いただいた場合、プライバシーに配慮した限定的な分析を使用し、どのリサーチ経路が有効かを把握します。広告トラッカーやセッション録画は使用しません。この選択は設定で変更できます。詳しくは プライバシーポリシー.
ConocoPhillips's published Hold conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $155.4B | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (ttm) |
|---|
| 64.5B |
| Net income (ttm) | 9.3B |
|---|
| EPS (ttm) | $7.53 |
|---|
| Shares out | 1.2B |
|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 19.8x |
|---|
| P/E (forward) | 12.7x |
|---|
| Dividend | $3.36 (2.25%) |
|---|
| Volume | 3,613,173 |
|---|
| Beta | 0.24 |
|---|
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $34.59B | $61.05B | $48.52B | $49.42B | $51.82B | +10.6% |
| Gross profit | $14.77B | $30.01B | $18.20B | $16.38B | $14.79B | +0.0% |
| Operating income | $13.84B | $29.28B | $17.35B | $14.78B | $13.89B | +0.1% |
| Net income | $8.08B | $18.68B | $10.96B | $9.25B | $7.99B | -0.3% |
| EPS (diluted) | $6.07 | $14.57 | $9.06 | $7.81 | $6.35 | +1.1% |
| EBITDA | $21.09B | $37.13B | $25.78B | $24.43B | $25.57B | +4.9% |
| R&D | $62.0M | $71.0M | $81.0M | $81.0M | $78.0M | +5.9% |
| SG&A | $719.0M | $623.0M | $705.0M | $1.16B | $893.0M | +5.6% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
The modal base case underwrites steady operational execution across the Lower 48 ($41.40B FY2025 revenue) and disciplined progression of Arctic and LNG programs. Operating margins normalize at 26.80%, while corporate reinvestment rates moderate from 25% in FY2026 to 20% in FY2029-FY2030. CapEx discipline and project delivery unlock the guided $7B annual free cash flow inflection by 2029. Diluted EPS tracks from $10.55 in FY2026 to $6.98 in FY2030, supported by share repurchases retiring share count from 1,278M to 1,381M, valued at a mid-cycle terminal P/E of 15.0x.
Under the bull case, global hydrocarbon demand remains resilient, supported by Asian LNG import growth doubling toward 2050. ConocoPhillips successfully commissions the Willow Arctic development ahead of early 2029 schedule and expands commercial LNG supply toward 10 to 15 mtpa. Corporate free cash flow inflection easily surpasses $7B, allowing management to distribute over 45% of operating cash flow to shareholders via buybacks and dividends. Diluted EPS reaches $8.04 by 2030, commanding an 18.0x terminal P/E multiple.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.6% | $140 | $146 | $153 | $161 | $171 |
| 6.1% | $128 | $132 | $138 | $144 | $151 |
| 6.6% | $118 | $121 | $126 | $130 | $136 |
| 7.1% | $109 | $112 | $116 | $119 | $124 |
| 7.6% | $102 | $105 | $108 | $111 | $114 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
各月に公開されたリサーチ版が示したレーティングです。レーティングは分析時点の株価を公正価値と比較したもので、判断が当たったかどうかの記録ではありません。
| 年 | 1月 | 2月 | 3月 | 4月 | 5月 | 6月 | 7月 | 8月 | 9月 | 10月 | 11月 | 12月 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
