CSX Corporation (CSX)

NASDAQ: CSX · USD

$51.9

-0.34 (-0.7%)· Recorded snapshot

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StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-09-09

Our latest published analysis: CSX rated Sell

CSX Corporation's published Sell conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$24.1 / share

Potential value

$43.0 / share

Upside to FV

-50.7%

from $51.9

Moat

1/10

None

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$90.8B
Revenue (ttm)	14.9B
Net income (ttm)	3.6B
EPS (ttm)	$1.92
Shares out	1.8B
P/E (trailing)	27.0x
P/E (forward)	21.9x
Dividend	$0.56 (1.08%)
Volume	6,815,670
Beta	1.20

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

Revenue (ttm): 14.9B
Net income (ttm): 3.6B
EPS (ttm): $1.92
P/E (trailing): 27.0x
P/E (forward): 21.9x
Market cap: $90.8B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2021-12-31	2022-12-31	2023-12-31	2024-12-31	2025-12-31	Trend
Revenue	$12.52B	$14.85B	$14.66B	$14.54B	$14.09B	+3.0%
Gross profit	$5.29B	$5.72B	$5.60B	$5.51B	$4.69B	-3.0%
Operating income	$5.59B	$5.95B	$5.50B	$5.25B	$4.52B	-5.2%
Net income	$3.78B	$4.11B	$3.67B	$3.47B	$2.89B	-6.5%
EPS (diluted)	$1.68	$1.92	$1.82	$1.79	$1.54	-2.2%
EBITDA	$7.09B	$7.59B	$7.27B	$7.07B	$5.87B	-4.6%
R&D	—	—	—	—	—	—
SG&A	$64.0M	$79.0M	$29.0M	$50.0M	$33.0M	-15.3%

Ticker	Name	Market cap	P/E	P/S	ROIC	5Y rev CAGR	1Y total return	Rating
BA	The Boeing Company	132.2B	18.0x	1.4x	-0.8%	+8.6%	-25.2%	売り
BMY	Bristol-Myers Squibb Company	123.6B	13.3x	2.5x	21.7%	+2.1%	+45.8%	売り
CHTR	Charter Communications, Inc.	17.2B	2.7x	0.3x	8.5%	+1.7%	-57.3%	強い買い
AAL	American Airlines Group Inc.	8.3B	—	0.1x	3.0%	+20.0%	-6.9%	ホールド
ADP	Automatic Data Processing, Inc.	113B	25.3x	5.1x	62.8%	+7.7%	+4.5%	ホールド
ALLE	Allegion plc	15.2B	22.5x	3.5x	19.4%	+8.8%	+7.2%	ホールド

Base and Bull scenarios

Base50%

Price target

$24.14

-50.7% from spot

Positive rail growth supports a measured recovery. This path fails if rail growth stalls, operating margin misses the Base endpoint, or investment intensity remains elevated through FY2028.

FY2027 revenue follows the analyst estimate, while annual rail revenue remains positive.
Operating margin reaches the Base endpoint by FY2030, while capital spending normalizes by FY2028.

Bull20%

Price target

$43.01

-12.2% from spot

The higher outcome needs stronger operations and cash than Base. Persistent rail growth and a higher margin raise profit; lower investment spending must then turn more of that profit into free cash flow.

Rail revenue remains positive beyond FY2027, extending the recovery past the dated estimate window.
Operating margin exceeds the Base endpoint and moves toward the lower direct-peer benchmark, while lower capital intensity produces stronger free cash flow.

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($24.14). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.

Ke ↓ / g →	0.5%	0.5%	1.0%	1.5%	2.0%
6.6%	$27.9	$27.9	$29.0	$30.3	$31.9
7.6%	$25.4	$25.4	$26.2	$27.1	$28.2
8.6%	$23.6	$23.6	$24.1	$24.8	$25.5
9.6%	$22.1	$22.1	$22.5	$23.0	$23.5
10.6%	$20.9	$20.9	$21.2	$21.6	$22.0

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Refreshed 2026-10-28 19:55 UTC

Forward P/E21.9

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Trailing P/E28.5

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROE26.4

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROIC13

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Benchmarks · 1M

All CSX indicators

Market & fundamental data

Available fields

288

Groups with data

Currency

USD

Showing 288 of 288 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

Metric	Value
Amount currency	USD
CIK code	0000277948
Company name	CSX Corporation
Country	United States
Country code	US
CUSIP number	126408103
Earnings date	2026-10-21
Earnings time	amc
Employees	22,200
Employees change	-1,300
Employees growth	-5.53%
Enterprise value	$113.5B
Exchange	NASDAQ
Financial currency	USD
Financial report date	2026-09-30
First seen	2026-05-09
Fiscal year end	December
Founded	1978
In index	SP500, NASDAQ100
Industry	Railroads
Is primary listing	Yes
Is SPAC	No
ISIN number	US1264081035
Last 10-K release date	2026-02-12
Last earnings date	2026-10-21
Last refreshed	2026-10-28
Last stock split date	2021-06-29
Last stock split type	Forward
Market cap	$95.7B
Market cap category	Large-Cap
Next earnings date	2027-01-21
Options	Yes
Price	$51.93
Price currency	USD
Sector	Industrials
SIC code	4011
Stock price date	2026-10-28
Symbol	CSX
U.S. state	Florida
Website	https://www.csx.com

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

Metric	Value
Adjusted P/E ratio	26.9x
Average P/E ratio (10Y)	18.92x
Average P/E ratio (3Y)	21.12x
Average P/E ratio (5Y)	19.48x
Earnings yield	3.7%
EV/Earnings	31.66x
EV/EBIT	20.63x
EV/EBITDA	15.88x
EV/FCF	35.29x
EV/Sales	7.59x
FCF / EV yield	2.83%
FCF yield	3.36%
Forward EV/Sales	7.03x
Forward P/E	22.71x
Forward P/S	5.92x
Graham number	18.35972
Graham upside	-64.6%
Industry forward P/E	22.32x
Industry P/E	25.69x
Lynch fair value	$9.60
Lynch upside	-81.5%
P/B ratio	6.7x
P/E ratio	27.05x
P/FCF ratio	29.74x
P/OCF ratio	17.06x
P/S ratio	6.39x
PEG ratio	1.81x
Price / tangible book value	6.77x
Price/EBITDA ratio	13.38x
Sector forward P/E	26.24x
Sector P/E	40.28x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

Metric	Value
EBIT margin	36.78%
EBITDA margin	47.78%
Effective tax rate	23.6%
FCF margin	21.5%
Gross margin	47.78%
Operating margin	36.78%
Pretax margin	31.37%
Profit margin	23.97%
Profit per employee	$161,306
Profitable quarters	92
Profitable years	34
Revenue per employee	$673,063
ROA	7.77%
ROA (5Y)	8.01%
ROCE	13.46%
ROE	26.39%
ROE (5Y)	28.11%
ROIC	13.05%
ROIC (5Y)	13.92%
Tax / revenue	7.4%

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

Metric	Value
EPS growth	24.69%
EPS growth (Q)	53.77%
EPS growth (QoQ)	5.36%
EPS growth 10Y	12.35%
EPS growth 3Y	1.04%
EPS growth 5Y	3.86%
EPS growth quarters	3
EPS growth years	0
FCF growth	107.02%
FCF growth (Q)	68.7%
FCF growth (QoQ)	36.35%
FCF growth 3Y	0.96%
FCF growth 5Y	-0.64%
Gross profit growth	9.01%
Gross profit growth (Q)	18.31%
Gross profit growth 3Y	-0.39%
Gross profit growth 5Y	1.93%
Net income growth	23.4%
Net income growth (Q)	51.59%
Net income growth (QoQ)	4.99%
Net income growth 3Y	-1.99%
Net income growth 5Y	-0.14%
Net income growth quarters	3
Net income growth years	0
OCF growth	21.39%
OCF growth (Q)	20.94%
OCF growth (QoQ)	21.85%
OCF growth 10Y	5.29%
OCF growth 3Y	1.3%
OCF growth 5Y	2.49%
Operating income growth	13.3%
Operating income growth (Q)	25.36%
Operating income growth 3Y	-0.79%
Operating income growth 5Y	1.58%
Revenue growth	5.8%
Revenue growth (Q)	11.99%
Revenue growth (QoQ)	2.08%
Revenue growth 10Y	3.29%
Revenue growth 3Y	0.53%
Revenue growth 5Y	4.62%
Revenue growth quarters	3
Revenue growth years	0

Financial statements

Income-statement and cash-flow amounts, totals and per share.

Metric	Value
Capital expenditures	$-2.4B
Depreciation and amortization	$1.6B
EBIT	$5.5B
EBITDA	$7.1B
EPS	$1.92
FCF per share	$1.74
Financing cash flow	$-2.4B
Free cash flow	$3.2B
Gross profit	$7.1B
Income taxes	$1.1B
Investing cash flow	$-2.6B
Net borrowing	$-311M
Net cash flow	$611M
Net income	$3.6B
Operating income	$5.5B
Revenue	$14.9B

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

Metric	Value
Altman Z-Score	2.61
Book value per share	$7.80
Debt / EBITDA	2.68
Debt / equity	1.35
Debt / FCF	6.05
Interest coverage	6.51
Long-term assets	$41.5B
Long-term liabilities	$26.5B
Net cash (debt)	$-17.8B
Net cash / market cap	-18.67%
Net debt / EBITDA	2.5
Net debt / equity	1.24
Net debt / FCF	5.55
Piotroski F-Score	7
Property, plant and equipment	$37.6B
Shareholders' equity	$14.4B
Tangible book value	$14.1B
Tangible book value per share	$7.66
Total assets	$45.2B
Total cash	$1.6B
Total debt	$19.4B
Total liabilities	$30.8B
WACC	9.59%

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

Metric	Value
Asset turnover	0.34
Current assets	$3.6B
Current liabilities	$4.3B
Current ratio	0.84
Inventory turnover	19.15
Net working capital	$-579M
Quick ratio	0.72
Working capital	$-676M
Working capital turnover	-26.42

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

Metric	Value
Buyback yield / dilution	1.48%
Dividend growth	7.69%
Dividend growth (10Y)	8.84%
Dividend growth (3Y)	8.37%
Dividend growth (5Y)	8.45%
Dividend growth years	21
Dividend payment date	2026-12-15
Dividend payment years	46
Dividend payout frequency	Quarterly
Dividend per share	$0.56
Dividend yield	1.08%
Ex-dividend date	2026-11-30
FCF payout ratio	32.11%
Last dividend	$0.14
Payout ratio	29.17%
Shareholder yield	2.56%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

Metric	Value
10Y price change	413.41%
10Y return CAGR	19.4%
10Y total return	488.82%
150-day SMA	$47.38
15Y price change	585.84%
15Y return CAGR	15.65%
15Y total return	786.06%
1D price change	-0.66%
1M price change	10.88%
1M total return	10.88%
1W price change	7.88%
1W total return	7.88%
1Y price change	44.08%
1Y return CAGR	45.97%
1Y total return	45.94%
20-day SMA	$48.69
200-day SMA	$45.44
20Y price change	1,181.06%
20Y return CAGR	15.58%
20Y total return	1,709.63%
3M price change	0.14%
3M total return	0.41%
3Y price change	77.39%
3Y return CAGR	22.76%
3Y total return	85.01%
50-day SMA	$48.81
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA	50over200
52-week high	$53.60
52-week high date	2026-07-27
52-week low	$33.63
52-week low date	2025-11-20
5Y price change	44.65%
5Y return CAGR	9.13%
5Y total return	54.79%
6M price change	14.1%
6M total return	14.76%
After-hours change	0.41%
After-hours close	$51.93
After-hours price	$52.14
All-time high	$53.60
All-time high date	2026-07-27
All-time low	$0.51
All-time low date	1984-07-23
Average true range (ATR)	$0.99
Average volume	10.2M
Beta (1Y)	0.07
Beta (2Y)	0.64
Beta (5Y)	1.2
Change from 52-week high	-3.13%
Change from 52-week low	54.4%
Change from all-time high	-3.23%
Change from all-time low	10,062.62%
Change from open	-0.72%
Day's gap	0.06%
Dollar volume	$353.9M
High price	$52.30
Low price	$51.80
Monthly RSI	69.25
Open price	$52.30
Position in 52-week range	25%
Premarket change	0.13%
Premarket close	$52.27
Premarket price	$52.34
Premarket volume	5.1K
Previous close	$52.27
Price vs 150-day SMA	9.48%
Price vs 20-day SMA	6.54%
Price vs 200-day SMA	14.15%
Price vs 50-day SMA	6.28%
Relative volume	0.67
RSI	67.87
Sharpe ratio	1.62
Sharpe ratio (3Y)	0.8
Sharpe ratio (5Y)	0.35
Sortino ratio	2.99
Sortino ratio (3Y)	1.49
Sortino ratio (5Y)	0.77
Volume	6.8M
Weekly RSI	65.87
YTD price change	43.09%
YTD total return	44.4%

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

Metric	Value
Float	1.8B
Float percentage	99.8%
Shares change (QoQ)	-0.32%
Shares change (YoY)	-1.48%
Shares held by insiders	0.08%
Shares held by institutions	81.48%
Shares outstanding	1.8B
Short % of float	2.34%
Short % of shares	2.33%
Short ratio	4 days

Deeper analysis on CSX

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

→

Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

→

Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

→

Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

→

Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

→

Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

→

Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

→

Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

→

Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

→

Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

→

Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this CSX report

What is the latest published CSX stock rating?

CSX Corporation is shown with Sell in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-09-09. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full CSX analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-09-09, lives at /stocks/CSX/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for CSX?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-09-09 gives CSX a fair value of USD 24 and a potential value of USD 43. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the CSX page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-09-09). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

SellCSX · Fair value $24.1-50.7%

Read full analysis →

CSX Corporation (CSX)

Our latest published analysis: CSX rated Sell

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · CSX

Valuation

Profitability

Balance sheet

Trading

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

All CSX indicators

Profile and market data

Valuation

Profitability

Growth

Financial statements

Financial strength

Liquidity

Dividends and buybacks

Performance and technicals

Ownership and float

Deeper analysis on CSX

Frequently asked questions

レーティング履歴

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	1.5
Management	6.5
Balance Sheet	3.0
Profitability	6.5
Revenue Growth	6.0
Risk Assessment	4.5
Competitive Moat	1.0
Earnings Quality	9.0
Capital Efficiency	5.5