LKQ Corporation (LKQ)

NASDAQ: LKQ · USD

$17.2

+0.08 (+0.4%)· Recorded snapshot

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StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-10-17

Our latest published analysis: LKQ rated Strong Buy

LKQ Corporation's published Strong Buy conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$34.4 / share

Potential value

$49.2 / share

Upside to FV

+54.8%

from $17.2

Moat

6.5/10

Narrow

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$5.6B
Revenue (ttm)	13.7B
Net income (ttm)	461M
EPS (ttm)	$1.79
Shares out	253M
P/E (trailing)	9.6x
P/E (forward)	7.9x
Dividend	$1.20 (7.00%)
Volume	5,020,438
Beta	0.86

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

Revenue (ttm): 13.7B
Net income (ttm): 461M
EPS (ttm): $1.79
P/E (trailing): 9.6x
P/E (forward): 7.9x
Market cap: $5.6B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2021-12-31	2022-12-31	2023-12-31	2024-12-31	2025-12-31	Trend
Revenue	$13.09B	$12.79B	$13.27B	$13.82B	$13.65B	+1.1%
Gross profit	$5.32B	$5.22B	$5.35B	$5.38B	$5.27B	-0.3%
Operating income	$1.47B	$1.58B	$1.32B	$1.15B	$993.0M	-9.4%
Net income	$1.09B	$1.15B	$938.0M	$693.0M	$608.0M	-13.6%
EPS (diluted)	$3.66	$4.13	$3.49	$2.62	$2.35	-10.5%
EBITDA	$1.76B	$1.86B	$1.77B	$1.63B	$1.47B	-4.4%
R&D	—	—	—	—	—	—
SG&A	$3.57B	$3.54B	$3.70B	$3.76B	$3.81B	+1.7%

Ticker	Name	Market cap	P/E	P/S	ROIC	5Y rev CAGR	1Y total return	Rating
AAL	American Airlines Group Inc.	8.3B	—	0.1x	3.0%	+20.0%	-6.9%	ホールド
ALB	Albemarle Corporation	11.4B	198.9x	1.9x	4.1%	+12.8%	+1.9%	ホールド
ANET	Arista Networks Inc.	235.7B	59.1x	22.4x	284.8%	+32.0%	+19.7%	売り
ABNB	Airbnb, Inc.	97.8B	37.5x	7.4x	16.8%	+24.4%	+28.5%	売り
AMZN	Amazon.com Inc.	2.7T	20.5x	3.5x	11.9%	+11.8%	+12.2%	売り
APTV	Aptiv PLC	9.1B	42.8x	0.4x	7.8%	+5.5%	-49.2%	買い

Base and Bull scenarios

Bull20%

Price target

$49.17

+121.2% from spot

Under the upside scenario, operational execution across European distribution rebounds rapidly as German hyper-care resolves all order processing backlogs and service levels are fully restored. Wholesale collision facilities and mechanical shops return order flow to LKQ, recapturing lost share. In North America, insurance carriers accelerate alternative parts usage mandates to contain claim severity inflation, driving robust organic volume growth. Operating margins expand ahead of forecast, supported by structural headcount productivity gains. Strong free cash flow accelerates balance sheet deleveraging and funds aggressive share buybacks, driving valuation toward $49.17.

German ERP hyper-care resolves ahead of schedule, recovering the $50M quarterly EBITDA drag by early FY2027.
North American APU penetration rises above 42%, accelerating organic collision revenue growth beyond 3.0%.
European private label adoption surpasses 30%, driving gross margin expansion.
Specialty segment is divested at an attractive valuation, accelerating debt paydown and funding large-scale share repurchases.

Base55%

Price target

$34.41

+54.8% from spot

The base case reflects measured operational normalization across LKQ's European footprint alongside steady execution in North America. The German ERP system stabilizes gradually under dedicated transformation oversight, eliminating the quarterly EBITDA disruption over the next twelve months. Management's structural productivity initiatives offset modest European volume softness. North American collision demand remains durable with elevated alternative parts usage penetration. Free cash flow generation reaches guided levels, allowing steady debt reduction and dividend payments. LKQ achieves its intrinsic Fair value of $34.41 through earnings normalization and moderate valuation multiple expansion.

German ERP stabilization progresses through late FY2026 with no subsequent system migrations initiated until operations normalize.
Consolidated revenue shifts from -0.47% in FY2026 to +2.37% in FY2027.
Consolidated operating margin expands from 7.3% in FY2026 to 7.8% in FY2027 and reaches 8.5% by FY2030.

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($34.41). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.

Ke ↓ / g →	1.5%	1.8%	2.0%	2.3%	2.5%
8.4%	$38.4	$40.0	$41.8	$43.8	$46.2
8.9%	$35.1	$36.3	$37.7	$39.2	$41.0
9.4%	$32.4	$33.3	$34.4	$35.6	$37.0
9.9%	$30.1	$30.9	$31.8	$32.7	$33.8
10.4%	$28.1	$28.8	$29.5	$30.3	$31.2

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Refreshed 2026-10-28 19:55 UTC

Forward P/E7.9

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Trailing P/E12.4

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROE7.1

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROIC6.4

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Benchmarks · 1M

All LKQ indicators

Market & fundamental data

Available fields

284

Groups with data

Currency

USD

Showing 284 of 284 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

Metric	Value
Amount currency	USD
CIK code	0001065696
Company name	LKQ Corporation
Country	United States
Country code	US
CUSIP number	501889208
Earnings date	2026-10-29
Earnings time	bmo
Employees	44,000
Employees change	-3,000
Employees growth	-6.38%
Enterprise value	$9.4B
Exchange	NASDAQ
Financial currency	USD
Financial report date	2026-06-30
First seen	2026-05-09
Fiscal year end	December
Founded	1998
Industry	Auto Parts
IPO date	2003-10-03
Is primary listing	Yes
Is SPAC	No
ISIN number	US5018892084
Last 10-K release date	2026-02-19
Last earnings date	2026-07-30
Last refreshed	2026-10-28
Last stock split date	2012-09-19
Last stock split type	Forward
Market cap	$4.3B
Market cap category	Mid-Cap
Next earnings date	2026-10-29
Options	Yes
Price	$17.18
Price currency	USD
Sector	Consumer Discretionary
SIC code	5010
Stock price date	2026-10-28
Symbol	LKQ
U.S. state	Tennessee
Website	https://www.lkqcorp.com

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

Metric	Value
Adjusted P/E ratio	6.2x
Average P/E ratio (10Y)	16.23x
Average P/E ratio (3Y)	14.25x
Average P/E ratio (5Y)	13.82x
Earnings yield	10.41%
EV/Earnings	20.23x
EV/EBIT	9.42x
EV/EBITDA	6.65x
EV/FCF	14.93x
EV/Sales	0.68x
FCF / EV yield	6.7%
FCF yield	14.48%
Forward EV/Sales	0.69x
Forward P/E	7.3x
Forward P/S	0.32x
Graham number	31.98564
Graham upside	87.49%
Industry forward P/E	15.78x
Industry P/E	76.19x
Lynch fair value	$8.94
Lynch upside	-47.62%
P/(FCF - SBC) ratio	7.32x
P/(OCF - SBC) ratio	5.46x
P/B ratio	0.67x
P/E ratio	9.61x
P/FCF ratio	6.91x
P/OCF ratio	5.23x
P/S ratio	0.32x
Price / tangible book value	113.58x
Price/EBITDA ratio	3.08x
Sector forward P/E	24.24x
Sector P/E	30.29x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

Metric	Value
EBIT margin	7.23%
EBITDA margin	10.25%
Effective tax rate	26.58%
FCF margin	4.57%
Gross margin	38.34%
Operating margin	7.23%
Pretax margin	4.62%
Profit margin	3.37%
Profit per employee	$10,477
Profitable quarters	96
Profitable years	23
Revenue per employee	$311,091
ROA	4%
ROA (5Y)	6.19%
ROCE	8.51%
ROE	7.13%
ROE (5Y)	15.13%
ROIC	6.36%
ROIC (5Y)	9.68%
SBC / revenue	0.26%
Tax / revenue	1.23%

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

Metric	Value
EPS growth	-34.35%
EPS growth (Q)	-29.04%
EPS growth (QoQ)	71.48%
EPS growth 10Y	2%
EPS growth 3Y	-21.8%
EPS growth 5Y	-10.55%
EPS growth years	0
FCF growth	-7.54%
FCF growth (Q)	-75.31%
FCF growth 3Y	-13.24%
FCF growth 5Y	-13.27%
Gross profit growth	-0.55%
Gross profit growth (Q)	-2.58%
Gross profit growth 3Y	-0.23%
Gross profit growth 5Y	0.66%
Net income growth	-34.89%
Net income growth (Q)	-29.17%
Net income growth (QoQ)	72.15%
Net income growth 3Y	-22.93%
Net income growth 5Y	-13.38%
Net income growth years	0
OCF growth	-12.98%
OCF growth (Q)	-62.5%
OCF growth 10Y	2.84%
OCF growth 3Y	-12.13%
OCF growth 5Y	-10.76%
Operating income growth	-14.88%
Operating income growth (Q)	-22.15%
Operating income growth 3Y	-12.11%
Operating income growth 5Y	-6.75%
Revenue growth	1.25%
Revenue growth (Q)	-2.99%
Revenue growth (QoQ)	-1.76%
Revenue growth 10Y	5.78%
Revenue growth 3Y	1.99%
Revenue growth 5Y	1.66%
Revenue growth years	0

Financial statements

Income-statement and cash-flow amounts, totals and per share.

Metric	Value
Capital expenditures	$-200M
Depreciation and amortization	$413M
EBIT	$990M
EBITDA	$1.4B
EPS	$1.79
FCF per share	$2.47
Financing cash flow	$-971M
Free cash flow	$625M
Free cash flow minus SBC	$590M
Gross profit	$5.2B
Income taxes	$168M
Investing cash flow	$164M
Net borrowing	$-489M
Net cash flow	$15M
Net income	$461M
Operating cash flow minus SBC	$790M
Operating income	$990M
Revenue	$13.7B
Stock-based compensation	$35M

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

Metric	Value
Altman Z-Score	2.58
Book value per share	$25.44
Debt / EBITDA	2.79
Debt / equity	0.82
Debt / FCF	8.5
Goodwill	$5.4B
Interest coverage	4.56
Long-term assets	$9.7B
Long-term liabilities	$5.2B
Net cash (debt)	$-5B
Net cash / market cap	-116.12%
Net debt / EBITDA	3.57
Net debt / equity	0.77
Net debt / FCF	8.02
Piotroski F-Score	6
Property, plant and equipment	$2.7B
Shareholders' equity	$6.5B
Tangible book value	$38M
Tangible book value per share	$0.15
Total assets	$15B
Total cash	$301M
Total debt	$5.3B
Total liabilities	$8.6B
WACC	5.67%

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

Metric	Value
Asset turnover	0.88
Current assets	$5.4B
Current liabilities	$3.4B
Current ratio	1.58
Inventory turnover	2.53
Net working capital	$2.5B
Quick ratio	0.5
Working capital	$2B
Working capital turnover	6.2

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

Metric	Value
Buyback yield / dilution	1.55%
Dividend growth	0%
Dividend growth (3Y)	2.94%
Dividend growth years	0
Dividend payment date	2026-09-03
Dividend payment years	6
Dividend payout frequency	Quarterly
Dividend per share	$1.20
Dividend yield	7%
Ex-dividend date	2026-08-20
FCF payout ratio	48.58%
Last dividend	$0.30
Payout ratio	67.14%
Shareholder yield	8.58%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

Metric	Value
10Y price change	-46.81%
10Y return CAGR	-4.79%
10Y total return	-38.76%
150-day SMA	$25.64
15Y price change	13.25%
15Y return CAGR	1.79%
15Y total return	30.39%
1D price change	0.44%
1M price change	-27.33%
1M total return	-27.33%
1W price change	-21.39%
1W total return	-21.39%
1Y price change	-46.24%
1Y return CAGR	-43.88%
1Y total return	-43.86%
20-day SMA	$21.13
200-day SMA	$27.31
20Y price change	177.92%
20Y return CAGR	5.99%
20Y total return	219.99%
3M price change	-35.52%
3M total return	-34.77%
3Y price change	-61.14%
3Y return CAGR	-24.51%
3Y total return	-56.98%
50-day SMA	$23.06
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA	50under200
52-week high	$37.13
52-week high date	2026-01-26
52-week low	$16.85
52-week low date	2026-10-28
5Y price change	-68.77%
5Y return CAGR	-18.5%
5Y total return	-64.05%
6M price change	-45.7%
6M total return	-44.42%
All-time high	$60.43
All-time high date	2022-01-03
All-time low	$1.66
All-time low date	2004-10-25
Average true range (ATR)	$0.95
Average volume	5M
Beta (1Y)	0.94
Beta (2Y)	0.55
Beta (5Y)	0.86
Change from 52-week high	-53.74%
Change from 52-week low	1.93%
Change from all-time high	-71.99%
Change from all-time low	919.58%
Change from open	0.44%
Day's gap	0%
Dollar volume	$86.2M
High price	$17.27
Low price	$16.85
Monthly RSI	29.77
Open price	$17.10
Position in 52-week range	77.38%
Premarket change	-0.53%
Premarket close	$17.10
Premarket price	$17.01
Premarket volume	2.8K
Previous close	$17.10
Price vs 150-day SMA	-34%
Price vs 20-day SMA	-19.89%
Price vs 200-day SMA	-38.03%
Price vs 50-day SMA	-26.6%
Relative volume	1
RSI	20.95
Sharpe ratio	-1.25
Sharpe ratio (3Y)	-0.82
Sharpe ratio (5Y)	-0.6
Sortino ratio	-1.37
Sortino ratio (3Y)	-0.85
Sortino ratio (5Y)	-0.58
Volume	5M
Weekly RSI	25.06
YTD price change	-43.96%
YTD total return	-42.07%

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

Metric	Value
Float	251.2M
Float percentage	99.29%
Shares change (QoQ)	-0.47%
Shares change (YoY)	-1.55%
Shares held by insiders	0.64%
Shares held by institutions	112.64%
Shares outstanding	253M
Short % of float	6.66%
Short % of shares	6.62%
Short ratio	5 days

Deeper analysis on LKQ

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

→

Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

→

Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

→

Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

→

Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

→

Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

→

Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

→

Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

→

Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

→

Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

→

Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this LKQ report

What is the latest published LKQ stock rating?

LKQ Corporation is shown with Strong Buy in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-17. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full LKQ analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-17, lives at /stocks/LKQ/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for LKQ?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-10-17 gives LKQ a fair value of USD 34 and a potential value of USD 49. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the LKQ page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-10-17). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

Strong BuyLKQ · Fair value $34.4+54.8%

Read full analysis →

LKQ Corporation (LKQ)

Our latest published analysis: LKQ rated Strong Buy

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · LKQ

Valuation

Profitability

Balance sheet

Trading

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

All LKQ indicators

Profile and market data

Valuation

Profitability

Growth

Financial statements

Financial strength

Liquidity

Dividends and buybacks

Performance and technicals

Ownership and float

Deeper analysis on LKQ

Frequently asked questions

レーティング履歴

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	8.5
Management	7.5
Balance Sheet	6.0
Profitability	5.0
Revenue Growth	2.5
Risk Assessment	6.5
Competitive Moat	6.5
Earnings Quality	6.0
Capital Efficiency	5.5