任意の製品分析
許可いただいた場合、プライバシーに配慮した限定的な分析を使用し、どのリサーチ経路が有効かを把握します。広告トラッカーやセッション録画は使用しません。この選択は設定で変更できます。詳しくは プライバシーポリシー.
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc.'s published Sell conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $39.3B | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward) | 119.0x |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $6.27B | $16.68B | $22.73B | $23.16B | $25.20B | +41.6% |
| Gross profit | $1.91B | $4.33B | $5.48B | $5.83B | $5.80B | +32.0% |
| Operating income | $-417.9M | $722.0M | $1.08B | $824.5M | $1.25B | — |
| Net income | $-650.9M | $266.4M | $556.9M | $896.3M | $496.0M | — |
| EPS (diluted) | $-3.09 | $0.52 | $1.34 | $2.74 | $-0.24 | — |
| EBITDA | $87.5M | $1.22B | $1.78B | $1.62B | $2.07B | +120.7% |
| R&D | $18.8M | $10.3M | — | — | — | -45.0% |
| SG&A | $1.75B | $2.96B | $3.52B | $4.04B | $4.09B | +23.6% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
The base case reflects the house modal forecast where Live Nation's integrated promotion and ticketing ecosystem delivers steady top-line growth through FY2027 before moderating toward terminal growth. Operating margins expand through FY2030, driven by operating leverage in ticketing and sponsorship. Reinvestment moderates as venue buildouts complete across 2026-2027, allowing free cash flow to inflect through FY2030. Discounted at WACC with net debt deduction, Fair value is $46.58.
In the bull case scenario, rapid international arena expansion and sustained consumer demand for live stadium experiences drive top-line revenue beyond consensus expectations by FY2027. Enhanced on-site monetization across food, beverage, and premium hospitality expands operating margins, while Ticketmaster enterprise partnerships optimize inventory yield. Accelerated completion of the venue buildout lowers capital reinvestment of NOPAT, unlocking annual free cash flow expansion and supporting an intrinsic equity valuation of $59.09.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.4% | $53.3 | $54.9 | $56.6 | $58.5 | $60.6 |
| 7.9% | $49.8 | $51.1 | $52.5 | $54.0 | $55.7 |
| 8.4% | $46.9 | $47.9 | $46.6 | $50.3 | $51.6 |
| 8.9% | $44.4 | $45.2 | $46.2 | $47.2 | $48.3 |
| 9.4% | $42.1 | $42.9 | $43.7 | $44.5 | $45.5 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
各月に公開されたリサーチ版が示したレーティングです。レーティングは分析時点の株価を公正価値と比較したもので、判断が当たったかどうかの記録ではありません。
| 年 | 1月 | 2月 | 3月 | 4月 | 5月 | 6月 | 7月 | 8月 | 9月 | 10月 | 11月 | 12月 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |