Weyerhaeuser Company (WY)

NYSE: WY · USD

$19.2

-0.22 (-1.1%)· Recorded snapshot

英語版にフォールバックJA

翻訳中のため英語版を表示しています

このレポートはまだ翻訳されていません。翻訳キューが追いついたら数分後に更新してください。

StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-10-12

Our latest published analysis: WY rated Sell

Weyerhaeuser Company's published Sell conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$11.4 / share

Potential value

$15.1 / share

Upside to FV

-39.6%

from $19.2

Moat

6.5/10

Narrow

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$13.7B
Revenue (ttm)	6.9B
Net income (ttm)	472M
EPS (ttm)	$0.65
Shares out	720.7M
P/E (trailing)	29.3x
P/E (forward)	29.1x
Dividend	$0.84 (4.40%)
Volume	5,282,737
Beta	0.93

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

Revenue (ttm): 6.9B
Net income (ttm): 472M
EPS (ttm): $0.65
P/E (trailing): 29.3x
P/E (forward): 29.1x
Market cap: $13.7B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2021-12-31	2022-12-31	2023-12-31	2024-12-31	2025-12-31	Trend
Revenue	$10.20B	$10.18B	$7.67B	$7.12B	$6.91B	-9.3%
Gross profit	$4.10B	$3.62B	$1.68B	$1.31B	$1.03B	-29.3%
Operating income	$3.64B	$3.08B	$1.19B	$685.0M	$731.0M	-33.1%
Net income	$2.61B	$1.88B	$839.0M	$396.0M	$324.0M	-40.6%
EPS (diluted)	$3.47	$2.53	$1.15	$0.54	$0.45	-40.0%
EBITDA	$4.11B	$3.06B	$1.72B	$1.20B	$1.04B	-29.0%
R&D	$5.0M	$6.0M	$7.0M	$7.0M	$5.0M	+0.0%
SG&A	$396.0M	$398.0M	$431.0M	$480.0M	$453.0M	+3.4%

Ticker	Name	Market cap	P/E	P/S	ROIC	5Y rev CAGR	1Y total return	Rating
AMT	American Tower Corporation	85.1B	25.8x	7.5x	7.8%	+4.0%	+0.7%	縮小
ARE	Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc.	6.9B	—	2.4x	0.9%	+6.6%	-45.8%	ホールド
CCI	Crown Castle Inc.	37.4B	46.3x	9.1x	5.1%	-7.9%	-6.2%	売り
CPT	Camden Property Trust	10.3B	32.3x	6.6x	3.2%	+7.7%	-0.6%	買い
DLR	Digital Realty Trust, Inc.	68B	86.6x	10.0x	2.4%	+9.3%	+3.7%	売り
DOC	Healthpeak Properties, Inc.	13B	53.8x	4.4x	2.5%	+10.5%	+3.0%	強い買い

Base and Bull scenarios

Base55%

Price target

$11.44

-39.6% from spot

In the baseline scenario, Weyerhaeuser executes a gradual, multi-year recovery as residential construction stabilizes and industry mill curtailments tighten commodity wood supply. Operating margins normalize from 10.59% in FY2025 to 10.8% in FY2026 and 14.5% by FY2029-FY2030, supported by 53 internal cost reduction initiatives. Reinvestment rates decline from 45% in FY2026 post-Monticello toward 25% by FY2030. This baseline expected path yields our intrinsic Fair value of $11.44.

Revenue expands from $6,905M in FY2025 to consensus targets of $7,208M in FY2026 and $7,760M in FY2027.
Consolidated EBIT margin recovers toward historical mid-cycle levels in FY2027 and reaches steady-state profitability by FY2029-FY2030.
Weighted average cost of capital is 8.03% and cost of equity is 8.79%.
Terminal growth of 2.5% and terminal P/E multiple of 18.5x.

Bull20%

Price target

$15.13

-20.1% from spot

In the upside scenario, rapid single-family housing stabilization accelerates lumber and OSB pricing, driving Wood Products operating margins toward peak cycle levels while non-cyclical Strategic Land Solutions and data center site sales deliver high-margin cash flow. Completion of the $300M Monticello investment normalizes capex toward sustaining maintenance levels, releasing free cash flow to fund share repurchases under the authorized program. Under these conditions, intrinsic value reaches the potential value ceiling of $15.13.

Residential housing starts rebound sharply, lifting lumber and panel composite prices.
Wood Products operating margins expand toward peak levels of 16-18%.
Strategic Land Solutions EBITDA achieves $450M guided target with low operating cost basis.
Post-Monticello reinvestment rates taper toward 25% of NOPAT.

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($11.44). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.

Ke ↓ / g →	2.0%	2.3%	2.5%	2.8%	3.0%
7.0%	$12.5	$12.9	$13.3	$13.8	$14.3
7.5%	$11.6	$11.9	$12.3	$12.7	$13.1
8.0%	$10.9	$11.2	$11.4	$11.7	$12.1
8.5%	$10.3	$10.5	$10.7	$11.0	$11.3
9.0%	$9.73	$9.91	$10.1	$10.3	$10.6

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Refreshed 2026-10-28 19:55 UTC

Forward P/E29.1

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Trailing P/E29.4

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROE5

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROIC1.2

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Benchmarks · 1M

All WY indicators

Market & fundamental data

Available fields

261

Groups with data

Currency

USD

Showing 261 of 261 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

Metric	Value
Amount currency	USD
CIK code	0000106535
Company name	Weyerhaeuser Company
Country	United States
Country code	US
CUSIP number	962166104
Earnings date	2026-10-29
Earnings time	amc
Employees	9,517
Employees change	77
Employees growth	0.82%
Enterprise value	$18.7B
Exchange	NYSE
Financial currency	USD
Financial report date	2026-06-30
First seen	2026-05-09
Fiscal year end	December
Founded	1900
In index	SP500
Industry	REIT - Specialty
Is primary listing	Yes
Is SPAC	No
ISIN number	US9621661043
Last 10-K release date	2026-02-13
Last earnings date	2026-07-30
Last refreshed	2026-10-28
Last stock split date	2010-07-20
Last stock split type	Forward
Market cap	$13.8B
Market cap category	Large-Cap
Next earnings date	2026-10-29
Options	Yes
Price	$19.17
Price currency	USD
Sector	Real Estate
SIC code	6798
Stock price date	2026-10-28
Symbol	WY
U.S. state	Washington
Website	https://www.weyerhaeuser.com

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

Metric	Value
Adjusted P/E ratio	91.29x
Average P/E ratio (10Y)	549.32x
Average P/E ratio (3Y)	44.72x
Average P/E ratio (5Y)	32.68x
Earnings yield	3.41%
EV/Earnings	39.85x
EV/EBIT	105.68x
EV/EBITDA	27.34x
EV/Sales	2.75x
FCF / EV yield	-2.38%
FCF yield	-3.22%
Forward EV/Sales	2.57x
Forward P/E	73.93x
Forward P/S	1.9x
Graham number	13.89815
Graham upside	-27.88%
Industry forward P/E	37.13x
Industry P/E	37.98x
Lynch fair value	$3.27
Lynch upside	-83.02%
P/(OCF - SBC) ratio	27.56x
P/B ratio	1.48x
P/E ratio	29.3x
P/OCF ratio	25.39x
P/S ratio	2.03x
PEG ratio	1.35x
Price / tangible book value	1.47x
Price/EBITDA ratio	20.19x
Sector forward P/E	29.99x
Sector P/E	40.99x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

Metric	Value
EBIT margin	2.6%
EBITDA margin	10.04%
Gross margin	14.51%
Operating margin	2.6%
Pretax margin	5.55%
Profit margin	6.89%
Profit per employee	$49,595
Profitable quarters	26
Profitable years	6
Revenue per employee	$719,975
ROA	0.67%
ROA (5Y)	6.22%
ROCE	1.14%
ROE	4.97%
ROE (5Y)	11.91%
ROIC	1.2%
ROIC (5Y)	9.1%
SBC / revenue	0.63%
Tax / revenue	-1.34%

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

Metric	Value
EPS growth	72.4%
EPS growth (Q)	87.13%
EPS growth (QoQ)	3.83%
EPS growth 10Y	-1.7%
EPS growth 3Y	-11.69%
EPS growth 5Y	-26.51%
EPS growth quarters	2
EPS growth years	0
Net income growth	69.18%
Net income growth (Q)	86.21%
Net income growth (QoQ)	3.85%
Net income growth 3Y	-12.39%
Net income growth 5Y	-27.05%
Net income growth quarters	2
Net income growth years	0
OCF growth	-40.41%
OCF growth (Q)	0.76%
OCF growth (QoQ)	667.31%
OCF growth 10Y	-7.24%
OCF growth 3Y	-26.02%
OCF growth 5Y	-29.12%
Revenue growth	-2.62%
Revenue growth (Q)	-0.9%
Revenue growth (QoQ)	8.11%
Revenue growth 10Y	1.87%
Revenue growth 3Y	-4.94%
Revenue growth 5Y	-6.95%
Revenue growth years	0

Financial statements

Income-statement and cash-flow amounts, totals and per share.

Metric	Value
Capital expenditures	$-521M
EBIT	$178M
EBITDA	$688M
EPS	$0.65
FCF per share	$-0.62
Financing cash flow	$-419M
Free cash flow	$-447M
Free cash flow minus SBC	$-490M
Gross profit	$994M
Income taxes	$-92M
Investing cash flow	$-193M
Net cash flow	$-65M
Net income	$472M
Operating cash flow minus SBC	$504M
Operating income	$178M
Revenue	$6.9B
Stock-based compensation	$43M

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

Metric	Value
Book value per share	$13.12
Debt / EBITDA	7.64
Debt / equity	0.58
Interest coverage	0.65
Net cash (debt)	$-4.9B
Net cash / market cap	-35.44%
Net debt / EBITDA	7.15
Net debt / equity	0.52
Piotroski F-Score	5
Property, plant and equipment	$14.4B
Shareholders' equity	$9.5B
Tangible book value	$9.5B
Tangible book value per share	$13.12
Total assets	$16.5B
Total cash	$527M
Total debt	$5.4B
Total liabilities	$7.1B
WACC	7.85%

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

Metric	Value
Asset turnover	0.42
Current ratio	1.82
Inventory turnover	9.65
Net working capital	$354M
Quick ratio	1
Working capital	$735M

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

Metric	Value
Buyback yield / dilution	0.66%
Dividend growth	1.2%
Dividend growth (10Y)	-3.82%
Dividend growth (3Y)	-20.15%
Dividend growth (5Y)	4.32%
Dividend growth years	0
Dividend payment date	2026-09-18
Dividend payment years	56
Dividend payout frequency	Quarterly
Dividend per share	$0.84
Dividend yield	4.4%
Ex-dividend date	2026-09-04
Last dividend	$0.21
Payout ratio	128.38%
Shareholder yield	5.01%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

Metric	Value
10Y price change	-37.82%
10Y return CAGR	-0.99%
10Y total return	-9.5%
150-day SMA	$23.18
15Y price change	5.57%
15Y return CAGR	4.11%
15Y total return	83.09%
1D price change	-1.13%
1M price change	-5.35%
1M total return	-5.35%
1W price change	-2.07%
1W total return	-2.07%
1Y price change	-21.15%
1Y return CAGR	-18.29%
1Y total return	-18.28%
20-day SMA	$19.08
200-day SMA	$23.72
20Y price change	-24.62%
20Y return CAGR	2.04%
20Y total return	49.76%
3M price change	-20.79%
3M total return	-20.06%
3Y price change	-33.82%
3Y return CAGR	-10.06%
3Y total return	-27.26%
50-day SMA	$21.04
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA	50under200
52-week high	$27.75
52-week high date	2026-02-12
52-week low	$18.26
52-week low date	2026-10-05
5Y price change	-46.96%
5Y return CAGR	-8.33%
5Y total return	-35.25%
6M price change	-24.3%
6M total return	-22.95%
All-time high	$43.04
All-time high date	2022-02-09
All-time low	$2.40
All-time low date	1968-03-05
Average true range (ATR)	$0.51
Average volume	8.8M
Beta (1Y)	0.11
Beta (2Y)	0.54
Beta (5Y)	0.93
Change from 52-week high	-30.92%
Change from 52-week low	5.01%
Change from all-time high	-55.99%
Change from all-time low	690.81%
Change from open	-0.93%
Day's gap	-0.21%
Dollar volume	$101.3M
High price	$19.42
Low price	$18.93
Monthly RSI	32.37
Open price	$19.35
Position in 52-week range	48.98%
Premarket change	-0.1%
Premarket close	$19.39
Premarket price	$19.37
Premarket volume	2.6K
Previous close	$19.39
Price vs 150-day SMA	-18.3%
Price vs 20-day SMA	-0.72%
Price vs 200-day SMA	-20.16%
Price vs 50-day SMA	-9.99%
Relative volume	0.6
RSI	39.2
Sharpe ratio	-0.74
Sharpe ratio (3Y)	-0.44
Sharpe ratio (5Y)	-0.37
Sortino ratio	-0.89
Sortino ratio (3Y)	-0.42
Sortino ratio (5Y)	-0.33
Volume	5.3M
Weekly RSI	32.62
YTD price change	-20.05%
YTD total return	-17.92%

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

Metric	Value
Float	717.3M
Float percentage	99.52%
Shares change (QoQ)	0.03%
Shares change (YoY)	-0.66%
Shares held by insiders	0.33%
Shares held by institutions	93.08%
Shares outstanding	720.7M
Short % of float	3.96%
Short % of shares	3.94%
Short ratio	4.2 days

Deeper analysis on WY

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

→

Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

→

Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

→

Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

→

Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

→

Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

→

Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

→

Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

→

Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

→

Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

→

Scorecard

Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this WY report

What is the latest published WY stock rating?

Weyerhaeuser Company is shown with Sell in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-12. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full WY analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-12, lives at /stocks/WY/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for WY?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-10-12 gives WY a fair value of USD 11 and a potential value of USD 15. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the WY page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-10-12). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

SellWY · Fair value $11.4-39.6%

Read full analysis →

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	1.5
Management	6.5
Balance Sheet	7.0
Profitability	3.5
Revenue Growth	2.5
Risk Assessment	6.5
Competitive Moat	6.5
Earnings Quality	9.0
Capital Efficiency	2.5

Weyerhaeuser Company (WY)

Our latest published analysis: WY rated Sell

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · WY

Valuation

Profitability

Balance sheet

Trading

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

All WY indicators

Profile and market data

Valuation

Profitability

Growth

Financial statements

Financial strength

Liquidity

Dividends and buybacks

Performance and technicals

Ownership and float

Deeper analysis on WY

Frequently asked questions

レーティング履歴