Allegion plc (ALLE)

NYSE: ALLE · USD

$181

+0.02 (+0.0%)· Recorded snapshot

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StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-10-12

Our latest published analysis: ALLE rated Hold

Allegion plc's published Hold conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$157 / share

Potential value

$183 / share

Upside to FV

+4.3%

from $181

Moat

8/10

Narrow

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$12.8B
Revenue (ttm)	4.4B
Net income (ttm)	691.1M
EPS (ttm)	$8.04
Shares out	84.3M
P/E (trailing)	22.5x
P/E (forward)	15.9x
Dividend	$2.20 (1.22%)
Volume	1,284,304
Beta	0.82

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

Revenue (ttm): 4.4B
Net income (ttm): 691.1M
EPS (ttm): $8.04
P/E (trailing): 22.5x
P/E (forward): 15.9x
Market cap: $12.8B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2021-12-31	2022-12-31	2023-12-31	2024-12-31	2025-12-31	Trend
Revenue	$2.87B	$3.27B	$3.65B	$3.77B	$4.07B	+9.1%
Gross profit	$1.20B	$1.32B	$1.58B	$1.67B	$1.84B	+11.1%
Operating income	$530.2M	$586.4M	$708.4M	$780.7M	$859.5M	+12.8%
Net income	$483.0M	$458.0M	$540.4M	$597.5M	$643.8M	+7.4%
EPS (diluted)	$5.34	$5.19	$6.12	$6.82	$7.44	+8.6%
EBITDA	$657.3M	$688.3M	$821.9M	$916.9M	$1.00B	+11.1%
R&D	$73.3M	$74.5M	$101.9M	$112.7M	$132.0M	+15.8%
SG&A	$674.7M	$736.0M	$865.6M	$887.8M	$978.8M	+9.7%

Ticker	Name	Market cap	P/E	P/S	ROIC	5Y rev CAGR	1Y total return	Rating
AAPL	Apple Inc.	5T	39.4x	10.8x	101.6%	+6.1%	+28.5%	Verkopen
ABNB	Airbnb, Inc.	97.8B	37.5x	7.4x	16.8%	+24.4%	+28.5%	Verkopen
ADBE	Adobe Inc.	97.1B	13.9x	3.7x	57.2%	+11.5%	-30.7%	Sterk kopen
AAL	American Airlines Group Inc.	8.3B	—	0.1x	3.0%	+20.0%	-6.9%	Aanhouden
ADP	Automatic Data Processing, Inc.	113B	25.3x	5.1x	62.8%	+7.7%	+4.5%	Aanhouden
AME	AMETEK Inc.	56.9B	36.3x	7.2x	13.2%	+9.8%	+33.6%	Verkopen

Base and Bull scenarios

Base65%

Price target

$156.50

+4.3% from spot

The Base scenario reflects Allegion's steady compounding trajectory. Americas non-residential specification leadership and Grade 1 replacement demand sustain pricing power, offsetting cyclical commercial non-residential moderation. Consolidated revenue grows between 4.5% and 5.5% annually, operating margins expand toward 22.8% by 2030, and free cash flow conversion tracks management's 85% to 95% target.

Americas segment maintains robust operating margins supported by architectural specification moat
Consolidated operating margin expands gradually from 21.96% in 2026 to 22.81% by 2030
Reinvestment rate remains disciplined at 15% of NOPAT

Bull15%

Price target

$182.70

+21.8% from spot

Under the Bull path, secular conversion to electronic access accelerates across both commercial institutional and residential markets, lifting organic revenue growth well above baseline rates. Americas specification win rates remain robust while specialized door solutions in hyperscale data centers expand rapidly. International restructuring exceeds expectations, restoring European operating margins substantially and driving strong EPS expansion.

Revenue growth accelerates significantly above baseline rates annually
Consolidated operating margin expands toward peak historical levels
International operating margin recovers substantially with strong German industrial rebound

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($156.50). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.

Ke ↓ / g →	1.5%	2.0%	2.5%	3.0%	3.5%
7.7%	$163	$172	$183	$196	$213
8.2%	$152	$160	$169	$179	$193
8.7%	$143	$149	$157	$165	$176
9.2%	$135	$140	$146	$154	$162
9.7%	$127	$132	$137	$144	$151

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Refreshed 2026-10-28 19:55 UTC

Forward P/E15.9

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Trailing P/E19.7

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROE33.6

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROIC19.4

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Benchmarks · 1M

All ALLE indicators

Market & fundamental data

Available fields

282

Groups with data

Currency

USD

Showing 282 of 282 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

Metric	Value
Amount currency	USD
CIK code	0001579241
Company name	Allegion plc
Country	Ireland
Country code	US
CUSIP number	G0176J109
Earnings date	2026-10-22
Earnings time	bmo
Employees	13,300
Employees change	-1,100
Employees growth	-7.64%
Enterprise value	$17.1B
Exchange	NYSE
Financial currency	USD
Financial report date	2026-09-30
First seen	2026-05-09
Fiscal year end	December
Founded	2013
In index	SP500
Industry	Security & Protection Services
Is primary listing	Yes
Is SPAC	No
ISIN number	IE00BFRT3W74
Last 10-K release date	2026-02-17
Last earnings date	2026-10-22
Last refreshed	2026-10-28
Last stock split type	Never
Market cap	$15.2B
Market cap category	Large-Cap
Next earnings date	2027-02-16
Options	Yes
Price	$180.57
Price currency	USD
Sector	Industrials
SIC code	7381
Stock price date	2026-10-28
Symbol	ALLE
Website	https://www.allegion.com

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

Metric	Value
Adjusted P/E ratio	20.66x
Average P/E ratio (10Y)	23.41x
Average P/E ratio (3Y)	20.18x
Average P/E ratio (5Y)	20.02x
Earnings yield	4.45%
EV/Earnings	24.74x
EV/EBIT	17.87x
EV/EBITDA	15.56x
EV/FCF	23.11x
EV/Sales	3.89x
FCF / EV yield	4.33%
FCF yield	4.85%
Forward EV/Sales	3.66x
Forward P/E	18.19x
Forward P/S	3.26x
Graham number	68.25868
Graham upside	-62.29%
Industry forward P/E	14.68x
Industry P/E	19.55x
Lynch fair value	$66.85
Lynch upside	-63.07%
P/(FCF - SBC) ratio	21.49x
P/(OCF - SBC) ratio	18.74x
P/B ratio	7.01x
P/E ratio	22.47x
P/FCF ratio	20.63x
P/OCF ratio	18.08x
P/S ratio	3.48x
PEG ratio	1.86x
Price/EBITDA ratio	13.89x
Sector forward P/E	26.24x
Sector P/E	40.28x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

Metric	Value
EBIT margin	21.8%
EBITDA margin	25.03%
Effective tax rate	18.8%
FCF margin	16.85%
Gross margin	45.09%
Operating margin	21.8%
Pretax margin	19.38%
Profit margin	15.74%
Profit per employee	$51,962
Profitable quarters	44
Profitable years	16
Revenue per employee	$330,143
ROA	11.19%
ROA (5Y)	11.15%
ROCE	20.61%
ROE	33.56%
ROE (5Y)	48.11%
ROIC	19.36%
ROIC (5Y)	22.96%
SBC / revenue	0.68%
Tax / revenue	3.64%

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

Metric	Value
EPS growth	8.78%
EPS growth (Q)	18.81%
EPS growth (QoQ)	20.47%
EPS growth 10Y	13.18%
EPS growth 3Y	8.34%
EPS growth 5Y	9.59%
EPS growth quarters	2
EPS growth years	3
FCF growth	8.79%
FCF growth (Q)	32.79%
FCF growth (QoQ)	54.35%
FCF growth 3Y	14.7%
FCF growth 5Y	7.52%
Gross profit growth	10.26%
Gross profit growth (Q)	11.92%
Gross profit growth 3Y	8.57%
Gross profit growth 5Y	9.84%
Net income growth	7.92%
Net income growth (Q)	17.25%
Net income growth (QoQ)	19.66%
Net income growth 3Y	7.45%
Net income growth 5Y	8.32%
Net income growth quarters	2
Net income growth years	3
OCF growth	10.67%
OCF growth (Q)	32.59%
OCF growth (QoQ)	53.38%
OCF growth 10Y	10.54%
OCF growth 3Y	13.75%
OCF growth 5Y	8.66%
Operating income growth	13.13%
Operating income growth (Q)	21.6%
Operating income growth 3Y	10.31%
Operating income growth 5Y	10.46%
Revenue growth	10.33%
Revenue growth (Q)	9.57%
Revenue growth (QoQ)	1.83%
Revenue growth 10Y	7.09%
Revenue growth 3Y	6.7%
Revenue growth 5Y	8.76%
Revenue growth quarters	10
Revenue growth years	5

Financial statements

Income-statement and cash-flow amounts, totals and per share.

Metric	Value
Capital expenditures	$-104.2M
Depreciation and amortization	$142M
EBIT	$957M
EBITDA	$1.1B
EPS	$8.04
FCF per share	$8.77
Financing cash flow	$-539.5M
Free cash flow	$739.9M
Free cash flow minus SBC	$710.1M
Gross profit	$2B
Income taxes	$160M
Investing cash flow	$-214.4M
Net borrowing	$-58.4M
Net cash flow	$85.4M
Net income	$691.1M
Operating cash flow minus SBC	$814.3M
Operating income	$957M
Revenue	$4.4B
Stock-based compensation	$29.8M

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

Metric	Value
Altman Z-Score	4.57
Book value per share	$25.76
Debt / EBITDA	1.9
Debt / equity	1.02
Debt / FCF	3.01
Goodwill	$1.9B
Interest coverage	9.74
Long-term assets	$3.9B
Long-term liabilities	$2.5B
Net cash (debt)	$-1.8B
Net cash / market cap	-12.03%
Net debt / EBITDA	1.67
Net debt / equity	0.85
Net debt / FCF	2.48
Piotroski F-Score	7
Property, plant and equipment	$644.9M
Shareholders' equity	$2.2B
Tangible book value	$-552.2M
Tangible book value per share	$-6.55
Total assets	$5.5B
Total cash	$388.1M
Total debt	$2.2B
Total liabilities	$3.3B
WACC	8.12%

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

Metric	Value
Asset turnover	0.82
Current assets	$1.6B
Current liabilities	$823M
Current ratio	1.9
Inventory turnover	4.53
Net working capital	$401.6M
Quick ratio	1.14
Working capital	$740M
Working capital turnover	6.5

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

Metric	Value
Buyback yield / dilution	0.72%
Dividend growth	7.46%
Dividend growth (10Y)	16.73%
Dividend growth (3Y)	7.06%
Dividend growth (5Y)	9.06%
Dividend growth years	11
Dividend payment date	2026-09-30
Dividend payment years	13
Dividend payout frequency	Quarterly
Dividend per share	$2.20
Dividend yield	1.22%
Ex-dividend date	2026-09-15
FCF payout ratio	25.07%
Last dividend	$0.55
Payout ratio	27.37%
Shareholder yield	1.94%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

Metric	Value
10Y price change	187.35%
10Y return CAGR	12.53%
10Y total return	225.62%
150-day SMA	$146.89
1D price change	0.01%
1M price change	16.9%
1M total return	16.9%
1W price change	13.57%
1W total return	13.57%
1Y price change	5.63%
1Y return CAGR	7.19%
1Y total return	7.18%
20-day SMA	$160.00
200-day SMA	$150.25
3M price change	14.18%
3M total return	14.59%
3Y price change	85.33%
3Y return CAGR	24.62%
3Y total return	93.59%
50-day SMA	$157.48
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA	50over200
52-week high	$183.11
52-week high date	2026-02-12
52-week low	$125.00
52-week low date	2026-05-20
5Y price change	41.75%
5Y return CAGR	8.84%
5Y total return	52.7%
6M price change	21.68%
6M total return	22.61%
All-time high	$183.11
All-time high date	2026-02-12
All-time low	$40.24
All-time low date	2013-12-09
Average true range (ATR)	$4.29
Average volume	1.2M
Beta (1Y)	0
Beta (2Y)	0.51
Beta (5Y)	0.82
Change from 52-week high	-1.39%
Change from 52-week low	44.46%
Change from all-time high	-1.39%
Change from all-time low	348.73%
Change from open	0.01%
Day's gap	0%
Dollar volume	$231.9M
High price	$182.40
Low price	$179.77
Monthly RSI	64.34
Open price	$180.55
Position in 52-week range	30.42%
Premarket change	-0.03%
Premarket close	$180.55
Premarket price	$180.50
Previous close	$180.55
Price vs 150-day SMA	22.93%
Price vs 20-day SMA	12.85%
Price vs 200-day SMA	20.18%
Price vs 50-day SMA	14.66%
Relative volume	1.12
RSI	79.54
Sharpe ratio	0.25
Sharpe ratio (3Y)	0.84
Sharpe ratio (5Y)	0.25
Sortino ratio	0.58
Sortino ratio (3Y)	1.57
Sortino ratio (5Y)	0.58
Volume	1.3M
Weekly RSI	69.2
YTD price change	13.41%
YTD total return	14.71%

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

Metric	Value
Float	83.9M
Float percentage	99.45%
Shares change (QoQ)	-0.93%
Shares change (YoY)	-0.72%
Shares held by insiders	0.31%
Shares held by institutions	102.81%
Shares outstanding	84.3M
Short % of float	3.18%
Short % of shares	3.16%
Short ratio	2 days

Deeper analysis on ALLE

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

→

Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

→

Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

→

Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

→

Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

→

Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

→

Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

→

Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

→

Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

→

Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

→

Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this ALLE report

What is the latest published ALLE stock rating?

Allegion plc is shown with Hold in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-12. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full ALLE analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-12, lives at /stocks/ALLE/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for ALLE?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-10-12 gives ALLE a fair value of USD 157 and a potential value of USD 183. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the ALLE page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-10-12). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

HoldALLE · Fair value $157+4.3%

Read full analysis →

Allegion plc (ALLE)

Our latest published analysis: ALLE rated Hold

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · ALLE

Valuation

Profitability

Balance sheet

Trading

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

All ALLE indicators

Profile and market data

Valuation

Profitability

Growth

Financial statements

Financial strength

Liquidity

Dividends and buybacks

Performance and technicals

Ownership and float

Deeper analysis on ALLE

Frequently asked questions

Ratinggeschiedenis

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	6.0
Management	6.5
Balance Sheet	6.0
Profitability	7.5
Revenue Growth	6.0
Risk Assessment	6.0
Competitive Moat	8.0
Earnings Quality	8.0
Capital Efficiency	7.5