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IonQ, Inc.'s published Sell conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $16.2B |
|---|
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $2.1M | $11.1M | $22.0M | $43.1M | $130.0M | +180.5% |
| Gross profit | $-1.5M | $2.6M | $13.9M | $22.5M | $52.5M | — |
| Operating income | $-38.7M | $-85.7M | $-157.8M | $-232.5M | $-633.7M | — |
| Net income | $-106.2M | $-48.5M | $-157.8M | $-331.6M | $-510.4M | — |
| EPS (diluted) | $-0.77 | $-0.25 | $-0.78 | $-1.56 | $-1.82 | — |
| EBITDA | $-103.6M | $-42.9M | $-147.3M | $-312.9M | $-474.7M | — |
| R&D | $20.2M | $44.0M | $92.3M | $136.8M | $305.7M | +97.2% |
| SG&A | $13.7M | $36.0M | $50.7M | $71.1M | $245.1M | +105.5% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
In the base case, IonQ achieves $18.06 with an estimated probability of 55.0%, representing a return of -54.7% compared to $39.89. Commercial traction across quantum hardware installations and platform consulting expands consolidated revenues as guided by management, while semiconductor foundry integration derisks chip manufacturing. Profitability reaches breakeven late in the explicit horizon as operating leverage begins to take hold, supporting our house Fair value of $18.06.
In the bull case, IonQ achieves $32.70 with an estimated probability of 20.0%, generating an implied return of -18.0% against $39.89. Sovereign and commercial enterprise deployments accelerate substantially, driving high attach rates of high-margin quantum computing-as-a-service software. Rapid progress toward fault-tolerant architectures establishes merchant supplier dominance, pushing Potential value to $32.70.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.0% | $18.3 | $18.3 | $18.4 | $18.4 | $18.5 |
| 14.0% | $17.7 | $17.7 | $17.7 | $17.8 | $17.8 |
| 15.0% | $18.0 | $18.0 | $18.1 | $18.1 | $18.1 |
| 16.0% | $16.5 | $16.6 | $16.6 | $16.6 | $16.6 |
| 17.0% | $16.0 | $16.0 | $16.1 | $16.1 | $16.1 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
De rating die de gepubliceerde researcheditie van elke maand droeg. Een rating vergelijkt de koers op de analysedatum met de fair value; het is geen overzicht van of de inschatting juist bleek.
| Jaar | jan | feb | mrt | apr | mei | jun | jul | aug | sep | okt | nov | dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
