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Paychex, Inc.'s published Reduce conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $36.1B | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward) | 17.5x |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2022-05-31 | 2023-05-31 | 2024-05-31 | 2025-05-31 | 2026-05-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $4.55B | $4.91B | $5.13B | $5.41B | $6.30B | +8.5% |
| Gross profit | $3.26B | $3.55B | $3.80B | $4.03B | $4.84B | +10.4% |
| Operating income | $1.84B | $2.03B | $2.17B | $2.21B | $2.51B | +8.1% |
| Net income | $1.39B | $1.56B | $1.69B | $1.66B | $1.76B | +6.0% |
| EPS (diluted) | $3.84 | $4.30 | $4.67 | $4.58 | $4.89 | +6.2% |
| EBITDA | $2.05B | $2.26B | $2.43B | $2.49B | $3.02B | +10.1% |
| R&D | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | $1.42B | $1.52B | $1.62B | $1.82B | $2.33B | +13.2% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
In the Base case, Paychex compounds as a mature provider with target $85.75 representing an expected return of -14.4% with probability 60.0%. Top-line revenue expands at a steady mid-single-digit pace anchored by core payroll processing, while operating margins remain resilient near historical levels through digital automation. Free cash flow generation continues to fund steady dividend payouts, though current market prices sit above Fair value $85.75.
In the Bull case, Paychex accelerates higher-touch advisory solutions with target $101.23 delivering an expected return of 1.0% with probability 20.0%, reaching Potential value $101.23. Accelerated client conversions to comprehensive co-employment solutions and double-digit enterprise bookings expansion drive revenue growth above historical trends. Operating margin expands toward peak levels as proprietary artificial intelligence workflows contain overhead growth.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2% | $89.8 | $90.9 | $92.1 | $93.4 | $94.9 |
| 8.7% | $86.8 | $87.7 | $88.7 | $89.8 | $91.0 |
| 9.2% | $84.2 | $84.9 | $85.8 | $86.7 | $87.6 |
| 9.7% | $81.8 | $82.5 | $83.2 | $83.9 | $84.7 |
| 10.2% | $79.7 | $80.3 | $80.9 | $81.5 | $82.2 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
De rating die de gepubliceerde researcheditie van elke maand droeg. Een rating vergelijkt de koers op de analysedatum met de fair value; het is geen overzicht van of de inschatting juist bleek.
| Jaar | jan | feb | mrt | apr | mei | jun | jul | aug | sep | okt | nov | dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |