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DHR trades against a final fair-value range of $122.72-$203.68, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs. Fair value range: low $123, high $204, with mid-point at $163.
Stock analysis

DHR fair value $123–$204

By StockMarketAgent.AI team· supervised by
Przeanalizowano: 2026-05-10Następna aktualizacja: 2026-08-10Methodology v2.5Review: automatedArchetype: Mature compounder
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Cena
$171.16
▼ -8.06 (-4.71%)
Wartość godziwa
$163
$123–$204
Rekomendacja
Trzymaj
confidence 87/100
Potencjał wzrostu
-4.7%
upside to fair value
Margines Bezpieczeństwa
$138.63
MoS level · 15%
Kapitalizacja
$121.1B
P/E fwd 18.8
Awaryjny angielskiPL
Pokazujemy źródło angielskie podczas tłumaczenia
Ten raport nie został jeszcze przetłumaczony. Odśwież za kilka minut, gdy kolejka tłumaczeń go przetworzy.

§1 Podsumowanie wykonawcze

  • Composite fair value $163 with high case $204.
  • Implied downside of 4.7% to fair value.
  • Moat 9/10 · confidence 87/100 · Mature compounder.
  • Trades close to fair value, so the margin of safety is limited either way.
Fair value
$163
Margin of safety
-4.9%
Confidence
87/100
Moat
9/10

Educational research only - not investment advice, an offer, or a trade instruction. Confirm current data and do your own due diligence before acting.

$171.16Price
Low $122.72
Mid $163.1
High $203.68

DHR trades against a final fair-value range of $122.72-$203.68, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs.

  • Intangible Assets
    Intangible Assets
  • Switching Costs
    Switching Costs
  • Bull thesis
    Intrinsic valuation suggests downside risk.

§2 Scenariusz negatywny

Under severe bioprocessing market contraction and failed M&A execution, our pure intrinsic models force valuation toward the $114-$122 range. Margins revert below 19% as DBS efficiencies fail to offset volume deleverage, and the terminal multipleTerminal multipleThe exit P/E or EV/EBITDA we apply to the final year of an explicit forecast. Anchored to the business's long-run quality and the prevailing risk-free rate. contracts toward 15x as the compounding narrative breaks.

Jak ta teza może się załamać

Prolonged Bioprocessing Slump

· High

Extended pharma funding constraints and destocking cap revenue growth in low single-digits.

FV impact
-25%

M&A Integration Failure

· Medium

A major acquisition fails to realize DBS synergies, destroying ROIC and stalling margin expansion.

FV impact
-15%

China Market Deterioration

· Medium

Deepening macro weakness and localized competition in China structurally erode regional market share and profitability.

FV impact
-10%
Sygnały wczesnego ostrzegania do monitorowania
WskaźnikBieżącyPróg wyzwalania
Consumables growth turning negativeMonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Operating margin contracting below 19%MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Unexplained delays in M&A integration milestonesMonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Rising days sales outstanding in emerging marketsMonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
CapEx to depreciation ratio falling below 0.75MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis

§3 Historia finansowa

Rachunek zysków i strat — ostatnich sześć okresów
PozycjaT−0T−1T−2T−3T−4CAGR
Okres2021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-312025-12-31Trend
Przychody$24.80B$26.64B$23.89B$23.88B$24.57B-0.2%
Zysk brutto$15.24B$16.19B$14.03B$14.21B$14.52B-1.2%
Zysk operacyjny$6.39B$7.54B$5.20B$4.86B$4.69B-7.4%
Zysk netto$6.43B$7.21B$4.76B$3.90B$3.61B-13.4%
EPS (rozwodniony)$9.66$6.38$5.29$5.05-15.0%
EBITDA$8.80B$9.48B$7.50B$7.28B$6.95B-5.8%
R&D$1.50B$1.53B$1.50B$1.58B$1.60B+1.6%
SG&A$6.81B$7.12B$7.33B$7.76B$8.24B+4.9%

Wyniki jakości

Wskaźnik Piotroski F
5 / 9
Złożony wynik jakości 0–9
Wskaźnik Altman Z
3.69
Ryzyko upadłości (>3 bezpieczne)
Wskaźnik Beneish M
-2.57
Ryzyko manipulacji wynikami
OCF / Zysk netto
1.78×
>1 wskazuje wysoką jakość wyników
Bramka jakości księgowej
Pass
Bramka skorygowana o sektor
ROIC
4.9%
Zwrot z zainwestowanego kapitału
Sekcja 3

Numbers analysis

Przepływy pieniężne

Cash-flow quality is reflected in the OCFOperating cash flowCash generated from the company's core operations after working-capital changes but before capital expenditures. The first line of the cash-flow statement. / net incomeNet IncomeNet Income is an income-statement line item used to reconcile revenue to operating profit, pre-tax income, net income, or per-share earnings. It should be compared across periods and against peer disclosure conventions., accounting-quality, and ROICROICReturn on invested capital. Operating profit (after tax) divided by invested capital. The single best gauge of capital-efficiency. Spread over WACC = economic value created. rows above.

Alokacja kapitału

Capital allocation should be evaluated against reinvestment needs, balance-sheet strength, and shareholder returns.

Subskrybenci indywidualni — od §411 kolejnych sekcji

Przeczytaj pełną analizę — 11 kolejnych sekcji.

Competitive moat, industry cycle, peer comparison, intrinsic valuation, sensitivity, scenarios, earnings decision tree, position management, investor perspectives, scorecard, and final recommendation.

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SCENARIOS FAQ

DHR scenarios questions

  1. Each scenario for DHR (DHR) carries a five-year price target, an explicit set of assumptions (growth, terminal multiple, margin path), and a probability weight calibrated against current visibility.
FAQ

DHR — frequently asked questions

  1. Based on our latest analysis, DHR trades close to fair value. The current price is $171 versus a composite fair-value midpoint of $163 (range $123–$204), which implies roughly 4.7% downside to the midpoint.
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