Análise opcional do produto
Com a sua autorização, usamos análises limitadas e respeitadoras da privacidade para perceber que percursos de investigação funcionam. Não usamos rastreadores publicitários nem gravação de sessões. Pode alterar esta escolha nas Preferências. Leia a Política de Privacidade.
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s published Hold conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $16.9B | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward) | 12.2x |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $6.54B | $11.19B | $6.63B | $5.94B | $7.08B | +2.0% |
| Gross profit | $2.39B | $5.86B | $2.55B | $2.06B | $2.72B | +3.4% |
| Operating income | $1.73B | $5.40B | $2.23B | $1.75B | $2.30B | +7.4% |
| Net income | $917.0M | $3.35B | $1.53B | $1.22B | $1.46B | +12.2% |
| EPS (diluted) | $4.24 | $16.38 | $7.87 | $6.74 | $8.97 | +20.6% |
| EBITDA | $2.61B | $6.29B | $3.27B | $2.83B | $3.29B | +6.0% |
| R&D | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | $223.0M | $290.0M | $289.0M | $320.0M | $364.0M | +13.0% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
The base scenario projects an intrinsic target of $118.88, representing an implied return of 6.6% with an assessed probability of 55.0%. This modal path assumes CF maintains full utilization across its low-cost North American manufacturing footprint while realized nitrogen selling prices moderate from peak levels toward sustainable mid-cycle economics. Ongoing capital discipline channels operating cash flow into planned maintenance and steady share buybacks, driving steady through-cycle per-share value compounding.
The bull scenario yields a target of $189.69, reflecting an implied return of 70.1% with an assessed probability of 20.0%. Under this outcome, persistent global energy constraints and elevated capital replacement costs restrict competing greenfield additions, keeping global nitrogen supply tight. CF maximizes production across its inland network, realizes premium pricing on low-carbon ammonia export agreements, and redeploys elevated free cash flows into accelerated share repurchases, lifting equity value toward Potential value $189.69.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.8% | $122 | $125 | $129 | $134 | $140 |
| 7.3% | $118 | $120 | $124 | $127 | $132 |
| 7.8% | $114 | $116 | $119 | $122 | $126 |
| 8.3% | $111 | $113 | $115 | $117 | $120 |
| 8.8% | $108 | $109 | $111 | $113 | $116 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
A classificação que a edição de pesquisa publicada em cada mês trazia. Uma classificação compara o preço na data da análise com o valor justo; não é um registro de se a avaliação se confirmou.
| Ano | jan. | fev. | mar. | abr. | mai. | jun. | jul. | ago. | set. | out. | nov. | dez. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
