Необязательная аналитика продукта
С вашего разрешения мы используем ограниченную аналитику с защитой конфиденциальности, чтобы понять, какие исследовательские сценарии работают. Мы не используем рекламные трекеры или запись сеансов. Этот выбор можно изменить в настройках. Прочитайте Политику конфиденциальности.
AutoZone Inc.'s published Hold conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $45.2B | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward) | 16.5x |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2022-08-27 | 2023-08-26 | 2024-08-31 | 2025-08-30 | 2026-08-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $16.25B | $17.46B | $18.49B | $18.94B | $20.34B | +5.8% |
| Gross profit | $8.47B | $9.07B | $9.82B | $9.97B | $10.64B | +5.9% |
| Operating income | $3.27B | $3.47B | $3.79B | $3.61B | $0 | — |
| Net income | $2.43B | $2.53B | $2.66B | $2.50B | $2.57B | +1.4% |
| EPS (diluted) | $117.19 | $132.36 | $149.55 | $144.87 | $163.23 | +8.6% |
| EBITDA | $3.71B | $3.97B | $4.35B | $4.22B | $3.72B | +0.1% |
| R&D | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | $5.20B | $5.60B | $6.03B | $6.36B | — | +6.9% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
In the Base case, AutoZone achieves Fair value of $2,635.86, representing -5.6% return from $2,792.03 (as of 2026-10-02) with a probability of 60.0%. For this scenario to materialize, comparable store sales must track mid-single-digit expansion, supported by steady domestic retail DIY demand and expanding commercial DIFM market share. Operating profit margins must hold stable as distribution efficiencies offset commercial delivery rollout costs. Capital expenditures must begin tapering from peak logistics transformation levels toward maintenance requirements, allowing annual free cash flow to expand and enabling continued share repurchases. Disconfirmation would occur if commercial route competition forces price cuts or if distribution automation costs remain elevated through FY2028.
In the Bull case, AutoZone reaches Potential value of $3,971.65, delivering 42.2% return from $2,792.03 (as of 2026-10-02) with a probability of 20.0%. For this outcome to occur, the rapid deployment of regional mega-hubs must drive accelerated commercial customer adoption, closing the route density gap with direct peers while preserving retail DIY gross margin discipline. Furthermore, store expansion across Mexico and Brazil must accelerate, lifting international contributions, while distribution automation completes ahead of schedule to sharply lower capital intensity. Disconfirmation would arise if commercial account growth stalls or foreign currency devaluation erodes international earnings by FY2028.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.4% | $2,730 | $2,789 | $2,856 | $2,930 | $3,015 |
| 7.9% | $2,583 | $2,631 | $2,683 | $2,742 | $2,807 |
| 8.4% | $2,458 | $2,497 | $2,636 | $2,586 | $2,638 |
| 8.9% | $2,349 | $2,381 | $2,417 | $2,455 | $2,497 |
| 9.4% | $2,253 | $2,280 | $2,310 | $2,342 | $2,377 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
Рейтинг, который имело опубликованное в каждом месяце издание исследования. Рейтинг сравнивает цену на дату анализа со справедливой стоимостью; он не показывает, оправдалась ли оценка.
| Год | янв. | февр. | март | апр. | май | июнь | июль | авг. | сент. | окт. | нояб. | дек. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
