С вашего разрешения мы используем ограниченную аналитику с защитой конфиденциальности, чтобы понять, какие исследовательские сценарии работают. Мы не используем рекламные трекеры или запись сеансов. Этот выбор можно изменить в настройках. Прочитайте Политику конфиденциальности.
Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.
FAQ
BIO — frequently asked questions
Is Bio-Rad Laboratories, Inc. overvalued?
In our latest published analysis dated 2026-10-14, BIO looks meaningfully overvalued. The price recorded at analysis is 362 USD versus our fair value of 165 USD; the high endpoint is presented separately as potential value of 195 USD. That implies roughly 54.5% downside to fair value at that date.
Our latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-14, gives BIO a fair value of 165 USD and a potential value of 195 USD. The conclusion is triangulated across multiple valuation models and weighted by reliability for Bio-Rad Laboratories, Inc.'s archetype; it is a dated research output, not a live price.
Should I buy BIO now?
Our latest published rating for BIO, analyzed 2026-10-14, is Sell. Bio-Rad Laboratories, Inc. looks meaningfully overvalued at the analysis-date price of 362 USD versus fair value of 165 USD; potential value is 195 USD. This is research for educational purposes, not personalized investment advice.
What are the biggest risks for BIO?
The dedicated bear-case section in our report analyzed 2026-10-14 documents Bio-Rad Laboratories, Inc.'s material risks, evidence, thresholds, and thesis-invalidation conditions. Scenario-specific explanations remain in that section so the report does not repeat or decontextualize them elsewhere.
What is BIO's rating?
Our latest published rating for BIO, analyzed 2026-10-14, is Sell, with a published moat assessment of 6/10 (Narrow). It reflects our fair value of 165 USD, the potential value of 195 USD, and the price recorded at analysis (362 USD).
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§1 Краткое резюмеEN
Ответ за 30 секундSell
Цена и стоимость
Цена
$362.43
Справедливая стоимость
$164.82
Потенциальная стоимость
$195.36
На дату
2026-10-14
Почему сценарий может сработать
Accelerated commercialization and menu expansion on the integrated Stilla Technologies droplet digital PCR platforms, driving market share gains in oncology and translational research.
Что изменит нашу оценку
Extended biopharma and academic lab spending freeze causing Life Science instrument sales contraction to persist in high teens.
Bio-Rad Laboratories carries a Sell rating as its share price of $362.43 as of October 14, 2026 trades at a 119.89% premium to its intrinsic fair value of $164.82, disconnected from sluggish Life Science demand and modest margin normalization.
The market prices Bio-Rad at 41.32x NTM forward earnings, a drastic valuation divergence relative to mature medical equipment and diagnostic peers whose median forward multiple is 15.2x (Zimmer Biomet at 10.1x, GE HealthCare at 12.7x, and STERIS at 17.7x). This multiple premium is unearned given current operating fundamentals.3
Operationally, the company faces persistent headwinds in its Life Science segment, where instrument sales declined in the high teens due to biopharma research austerity and cautious academic spending. Management's FY2026 guidance reflects this stagnation, anticipating currency-neutral between -3% and +0.5% and Life Science segment growth between -3% and -1%. While Clinical Diagnostics ($1,562.1 million in FY2025, or 60.5% of sales) provides resilient, high-switching-cost recurring , order timing and regional tender dynamics limit near-term organic growth.
Furthermore, Bio-Rad's margin recovery path is gradual. After GAAP operating margin troughing at 1.83% in FY2025 ($47.2 million operating income on $2,583.2 million revenue), FY2026 non-GAAP operating margin is guided to 10%-12%, expanding by only 40-50 basis points in FY2027. Even after modeling operating margins reaching 14.5% by FY2030, our comprehensive intrinsic valuation models—weighted across Forward Earnings ($169.90), Multi-Stage Moat Fade ($177.17), Discounted Earnings ($158.47), and Free Cash Flow to Firm ($139.15)—cannot support the current stock price. Investors should sell or liquidate positions.4,6
Switching Costs
Clinical Diagnostics generated $1,562.1M in FY2025 revenue (60.5% of total sales). Hospital and reference laboratories face high switching costs due to validated assay protocols and regulatory integration with clinical informatics systems.7
Acquisition of Stilla Technologies accelerated digital PCR development and enabled migration of catalog assays onto continuous multiplexing platforms ahead of schedule, creating proprietary intellectual property in genomics research.4
Cycle upside
A robust recovery characterized by rebounding venture capital investment into early-stage biotech, expanded NIH academic research funding, and accelerating replacement demand for analytical instrumentation.
Рекомендация дома
Bio-Rad is a high-quality narrow-moat diagnostics business severely impaired by excessive market valuation. At 41.32x forward earnings and more than double its intrinsic fair value of $164.82, the stock offers an unfavorable risk-reward profile, warranting a Sell rating.
Обзор компании
Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc. manufactures and distributes life science research products and clinical diagnostics systems globally. The company operates through two primary reporting segments: Clinical Diagnostics and Life Science. Clinical Diagnostics generates the majority of revenue ($1,562.1 million in FY2025, or 60.5% of sales), supplying quality controls, blood typing reagents, and diagnostic test systems to hospital networks and commercial clinical laboratories. Life Science generated $1,021.1 million in FY2025, delivering droplet digital PCR platforms, electrophoresis systems, and reagents to biopharma companies and academic research institutions.
Geographically, the business is well-diversified across mature and developing healthcare markets. In FY2025, the United States accounted for $1,022.7 million in revenue, Europe represented $881.8 million, Asia Pacific generated $513.3 million, and the other Americas regions contributed $165.4 million. In addition to its operating segments, Bio-Rad holds an equity stake in Sartorius AG, which creates substantial GAAP earnings volatility through non-operating valuation marks.
§2 Медвежий сценарийEN
A severe macroeconomic stress test compounding the three kill scenarios models an extended freeze in biopharma capital expenditure where Life Science instrument revenue declines at double-digit rates through FY2027, operating restructuring savings are completely offset by freight and wage inflation holding EBIT margins near 8%, and the terminal valuation derates to medtech peer median multiples of 15.2x. Under this scenario, Bio-Rad's normalized cash generation would contract toward $200M annually, precipitating severe equity repricing.
Life Science revenue remains flat or negative through FY2027 due to prolonged biopharma capex freezes.4
Operating margins remain capped near 10.0% due to persistent freight headwinds and execution delays.4
Terminal valuation multiple derates toward medtech peer median price-to-earnings multiples.
In the bear case, biopharma spending austerity extends through FY2027 while centralized healthcare procurement in China forces further pricing concessions. Operational restructuring fails to deliver targeted savings, leaving operating margins compressed near cyclical trough levels. As growth stagnates, Bio-Rad's valuation premium collapses toward peer median multiples.
Как может разрушиться эта теза
Severe and prolonged biopharma research freeze leads to multi-year top-line revenue stagnation
Life Science sales contracted in the high teens for instruments, with segment revenue guided down -3% to -1% and consolidated revenue guided -3% to +0.5%. A prolonged freeze in customer capex would drag consolidated 5-year revenue growth down by 5 percentage points.4
FV impact
-4.6%
Revenue and EPS growth 5 points lower for five years
Сигналы раннего предупреждения для мониторинга
Пять событий, которые ослабят наш инвестиционный тезис.
Bio-Rad Laboratories possesses a narrow economic moat rooted in high customer switching costs within Clinical Diagnostics and proprietary intellectual property in Life Science instrumentation. The Clinical Diagnostics segment accounts for $1,562.1 million or 60.5% of FY2025 consolidated revenue. Hospital networks and commercial laboratories operate Bio-Rad quality control systems and blood typing platforms within strictly regulated clinical workflows. Replacing these systems incurs substantial retraining expenses, validation downtime, and regulatory re-certification hurdles, resulting in highly dependable recurring consumable revenue across Europe ($881.8 million) and the United States ($1,022.7 million).
In the Life Science segment ($1,021.1 million in FY2025 revenue), the company's competitive advantage is sustained by proprietary droplet digital PCR (ddPCR) technology reinforced by the acquisition of Stilla Technologies. The rapid migration of Bio-Rad's catalog of assays onto Stilla's continuous multiplexing platform strengthens its technological lead against competitors. However, the moat remains narrow rather than wide due to substantial exposure to cyclical capital expenditure cycles in biopharma, where instrument demand contracted in the high teens, and persistent price competition in public procurement tenders.
Экономическая прибыль
Normalized ROIC modestly exceeds the company's cost of capital (computed WACC of 9.68% and cost of equity of 9.48%), driven by high-margin diagnostic consumable pull-through offset by lower-margin instrument hardware.2
6/ 10
Narrow
Sources of advantage
01Switching Costs — Clinical Diagnostics generated $1,562.1M in FY2025 revenue (60.5% of total sales). Hospital and reference laboratories face high switching costs due to validated assay protocols and regulatory integration with clinical informatics systems.Moderate
02Intangible Assets — Acquisition of Stilla Technologies accelerated digital PCR development and enabled migration of catalog assays onto continuous multiplexing platforms ahead of schedule, creating proprietary intellectual property in genomics research.Moderate
Известные угрозы для рва
Угроза
Серьёзность
Временная шкала
Митигация
Centralized volume-based procurement and domestic preference policies in China impacting Asia Pacific revenue ($513.3M in FY2025).
medium
12-36 months
Bio-Rad initiated local manufacturing in China to satisfy domestic content mandates and maintain access to public healthcare tenders.
The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($164.82). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.
Free cash flow to the firm stays positive in the first projected year at $161.8M after modeled reinvestment of $53.9M, with terminal value at 76.3% of enterprise value. A sudden drop in free cash flow is not projected unless capital spending relative to revenue, reinvestment, or gross margin resets materially.
Consolidated revenue growth transitions from -0.53% in FY2026 to 2.13% in FY2027 and 4.0%-4.5% long-term.1
Non-GAAP operating margin normalizes from 11.0% in FY2026 to 14.5% by FY2030.4
Terminal price-to-earnings multiple applied on forward earnings consistent with historical company averages.
In the base case, Clinical Diagnostics quality controls and blood typing generate steady recurring cash flows, offsetting near-term instrument weakness in Life Science. Operating margins expand modestly in FY2027 and normalize through FY2030 as operating expense rationalization takes hold. Consolidated revenue growth inflects higher after FY2027. Intrinsic valuation yields a central Fair value of $164.82 per share.
Even if operating margins exceed the guided range and revenue accelerates beyond expectations, the share price of $362.43 trades at a substantial premium over Fair value of $164.82, leaving valuation heavily extended.
По плану
Maintain Sell; Maintain Sell recommendation and systematic exit strategy.
Results matching full-year guidance across operating margin and revenue growth validate our Fair value of $164.82 and confirm that the shares remain drastically overvalued relative to fundamental cash generation.
Ниже плана
Maintain Sell; Maintain Sell recommendation and execute stop-loss protections.
Триггер: FY2026 non-GAAP operating margin falls below the guided range or revenue contraction exceeds the lower guidance bound
Operating margin compression below the guidance floor or revenue contraction beyond guided expectations indicates restructuring delays and biopharma stagnation, reinforcing the downside thesis well below Fair value of $164.82.
Качество прибыли
Bio-Rad's earnings quality requires careful scrutiny due to significant divergence between GAAP and non-GAAP metrics. In FY2025, reported GAAP net income of $759.9M ($27.85 diluted EPS) was heavily distorted by unrealized mark-to-market adjustments on its equity investment in Sartorius AG, while GAAP operating income was only $47.2M (1.83% EBIT margin) on $2,583.2M revenue. Operating cash flow of $532.2M and free cash flow of $374.6M reflect solid cash generation from core operations, but headline GAAP earnings do not represent underlying operating run-rates.5
Динамика прогнозов
Consensus estimates have stabilized following the Q2 2026 earnings release, with FY2026 EPS consensus holding flat at $9.45 and revenue consensus at $2,569.5M (-0.53% growth). FY2027 estimates project modest reacceleration to $9.92 EPS and $2,624.2M revenue (+2.13%).1
Cash flow characteristics reflect the strength of Bio-Rad's consumable installed base. In FY2025, operating cash flow reached $532.2M and capital expenditures were $157.6M, yielding free cash flow of $374.6M. For FY2026, management reaffirmed full-year free cash flow guidance between $290M and $340M, confirming reliable cash conversion despite near-term top-line headwinds.4,5,6
Распределение капитала
Capital allocation remains disciplined, prioritizing internal R&D, strategic technology acquisitions, and share repurchases over dividends. In FY2025, Bio-Rad repurchased $295.5M in shares, substantially outpacing of $58.0M. The acquisition of Stilla Technologies effectively deployed capital into margin-accretive digital PCR technology. Total debt stands at $1,370.4M, which remains manageable against annual .
Bio-Rad's historical return on invested capital experienced a cyclical trough in FY2025, driven by subdued GAAP operating income of $47.2M. As non-GAAP operating margins normalize to 10%-12% in FY2026 and approach mid-teens by 2030, ROIC is projected to recover modestly.
Operating ROIC is currently near parity with the company's computed WACC of 9.68%, indicating limited economic value creation during the current margin trough.
GAAP Net Income Is Severely Distorted by Non-Operating Equity Stakes
GAAP operating income in FY2025 was $47.2M (1.83% margin), whereas GAAP was $759.9M due to non-operating Sartorius AG valuation adjustments.
Последняя выручка2,6 млрд $CAGR выручки +2,5 %
Операционная маржа1,8 %Фискальных периодов: 10
Последний свободный денежный поток374,6 млн $FY2025
Чистая денежная позиция337,7 млн $FY2025
Структура отчёта о прибылях и убыткахКак масштаб бизнеса преобразуется в отчетную прибыль.30 июн. 2026 г.
StockMarketAgent.AI
Выручка651 млн $Себестоимость выручки−305,2 млн $Валовая прибыль345,8 млн $Операционные расходы−273,2 млн $Операционная прибыль72,6 млн $Внереализационные статьи и налоги+298,8 млн $Чистая прибыль371,4 млн $
Данные финансовой истории
Выручка
651 000 000 $
Себестоимость выручки
305 200 000 $
Валовая прибыль
345 800 000 $
Операционные расходы
273 200 000 $
Операционная прибыль
72 600 000 $
Внереализационные статьи и налоги
298 800 000 $
Чистая прибыль
371 400 000 $
Обзор балансаКак представлены и профинансированы заявленные активы за выбранный период.
StockMarketAgent.AI
Структура активовИсточники финансирования
Активы, всего10,6 млрд $Денежные средства529,8 млн $Оборотные активы2,9 млрд $Обязательства, всего3,1 млрд $Краткосрочные обязательства517 млн $Акционерный капитал7,5 млрд $
Данные структуры баланса
Активы, всего
10 576 500 000 $
Денежные средства
529 800 000 $
Оборотные активы
2 906 200 000 $
Обязательства, всего
3 122 900 000 $
Краткосрочные обязательства
517 000 000 $
Акционерный капитал
7 453 600 000 $
Мост денежных потоковКак операционный денежный поток превратился в свободный денежный поток в FY2025.
StockMarketAgent.AI
Сверка операционного денежного потока
Чистая прибыль759,9 млн $Амортизация+165,4 млн $Компенсация акциями+58 млн $Прочие операционные корректировки−451,1 млн $Операционный денежный поток532,2 млн $
Сверка денежных средств на начало и конец
Денежные средства на начало489,8 млн $Операционный денежный поток+532,2 млн $Инвестиционный денежный поток−189,7 млн $Финансовый денежный поток−283,2 млн $Влияние обменного курса−16,9 млн $Денежные средства на конец532,2 млн $
532,2 млн $ − 157,6 млн $Свободный денежный поток 374,6 млн $
Данные моста денежных потоков
Чистая прибыль
759 900 000 $
Операционный приток
983 300 000 $
Амортизация
165 400 000 $
Компенсация акциями
58 000 000 $
Операционный денежный поток
532 200 000 $
Операционный отток
451 100 000 $
Доступные денежные средства
1 022 000 000 $
Денежные средства на начало
489 800 000 $
Инвестиционный отток
189 700 000 $
Capex
157 600 000 $
Прочая инвестиционная деятельность
32 100 000 $
Финансовый отток
283 200 000 $
Влияние обменного курса
16 900 000 $
Денежные средства на конец
532 200 000 $
Инвестиционный денежный поток
-189 700 000 $
Финансовый денежный поток
-283 200 000 $
Выручка по операционным сегментамДоля общей выручки за 2025-12-31.
2,6 млрд $Общая выручка
Выручка по операционным сегментамДоля
Clinical Diagnostics1,6 млрд $60,5 %+1,6 % г/г
Life Science1 млрд $39,5 %−0,7 % г/г
Источник: SEC EDGAR · Подано 2026-02-13 · SEC EDGAR
Данные о структуре выручки: Выручка по операционным сегментам
Выручка по операционным сегментам
Выручка
Доля
г/г
Clinical Diagnostics
1,6 млрд $
60,5 %
1,6 %
Life Science
1 млрд $
39,5 %
-0,7 %
Выручка по регионамДоля общей выручки за 2025-12-31.
2,6 млрд $Общая выручка
Выручка по регионамДоля
United States1 млрд $39,6 %−1,8 % г/г
Europe881,8 млн $34,1 %+5,7 % г/г
Asia Pacific513,3 млн $19,9 %−1,6 % г/г
Americas165,4 млн $6,4 %−2,3 % г/г
Источник: SEC EDGAR · Подано 2026-02-13 · SEC EDGAR
Данные о структуре выручки: Выручка по регионам
Выручка по регионам
Выручка
Доля
г/г
United States
1 млрд $
39,6 %
-1,8 %
Europe
881,8 млн $
34,1 %
5,7 %
Asia Pacific
513,3 млн $
19,9 %
-1,6 %
Americas
165,4 млн $
6,4 %
-2,3 %
Выручка и прибыльКак масштаб бизнеса преобразуется в отчетную прибыль.
Денежные средства и долгДоступная ликвидность относительно общей задолженности.
Генерация денежных средствОперационный денежный поток в сравнении со свободным денежным потоком.
РентабельностьДинамика валовой, операционной и чистой маржи.
Финансовые данные на конкретную дату, использованные в анализе от 2026-10-14.
Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc. (BIO) trades at 41.3x forward earnings against a peer median of 15.2x. Its EV/EBITDA of 21.5x compares with a peer median of 12.5x. The comparison uses 4 peers: Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc., STERIS plc, GE HealthCare Technologies Inc. and DexCom Inc., as of 2026-10-14.
§10 Отрасль и циклEN
Фаза цикла
Contraction
Healthcare equipment industry capex-to-depreciation sits at 0.8x while capex-to-revenue is 4.5%, pointing to restrained capital reinvestment and below-replacement asset cycles across the broader peer group.
Бычий цикл
A robust recovery characterized by rebounding venture capital investment into early-stage biotech, expanded NIH academic research funding, and accelerating replacement demand for analytical instrumentation.
Медвежий цикл
A protracted downturn marked by prolonged biopharma research austerity, extended customer capex freezes, and intensifying tender price erosion in international markets.
Долгосрочные тренды
Тренд
Влияние
Примечание
Automation and Quality Standardization in Clinical Diagnostics
positive
Clinical laboratories face rising test volumes and strict regulatory standards, expanding demand for automated, high-precision quality control reagents where Bio-Rad holds market leadership.
Expansion of Droplet Digital PCR and Liquid Biopsy Workflows
positive
Droplet digital PCR adoption is accelerating in translational oncology, cell therapy monitoring, and infectious disease detection, driving secular demand for multiplex digital platforms.
Higher borrowing costs and rationalized pipeline prioritization have caused biopharmaceutical sponsors and academic laboratories to freeze discretionary capital equipment budgets.
Global Healthcare Cost Containment and Tender Localization
negative
Позиционирование
Bio-Rad's portfolio exhibits dual positioning across the industry cycle. Its Clinical Diagnostics business (60.5% of FY2025 revenue) is late-cycle and non-discretionary, generating steady consumable revenue. Conversely, its Life Science business (39.5% of revenue) is highly early-to-mid-cycle and directly exposed to biopharma capital freezes, which drove high-teens declines in instrument sales.4,7
§11 Управление позициейEN
Размер позиции
0%
Conviction in the Sell rating is high given the dramatic 119.89% premium of the share price ($362.43 as of October 14, 2026) over intrinsic fair value ($164.82), backed by multiple independent valuation methodologies.
Риск
Investors holding long positions should execute an immediate, disciplined liquidation. If managing a tactical short position, risk should be capped with a strict stop-loss at $385.00 (approximately 6.2% above the share price of $362.43 as of October 14, 2026) to guard against irrational momentum or unexpected biopharma stimulus announcements.
Sluggish life science research funding and soft instrument demand restrict near-term organic growth, while cost restructuring yields only 40-50 bps of operating margin expansion in FY2027.4
Valuation
Avoid
Trading at 41.32x forward earnings versus a peer median of 15.2x creates an extreme valuation vulnerability, leaving fair value at $164.82 (-54.52% implied return).3
Risk-Reward
Avoid
Downside risks heavily dominate as multiple derating toward historical and peer medians would trigger severe equity contraction.
§14 Итоговая рекомендацияEN
Действие
Продавать
Bio-Rad Laboratories is rated Sell based on a fair value of $164.82 per share, indicating a -54.52% implied return from the prevailing price of $362.43. The stock trades at an extreme 119.89% premium to fair value.3
While the Clinical Diagnostics franchise ($1,562.1M revenue in FY2025) remains fundamentally sound with recurring quality control demand, current trading levels at 41.32x forward P/E drastically detach from medtech peer valuations (median 15.2x) and guided 10%-12% operating margins.
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Sources
The records this analysis drew on, as they stood when it was run.
Analyst consensusData as of 2026-10-14 · Published 2026-10-14 · Provider-adjusted · cited for 4 figuresCited in Сценарии, Дерево решений по отчётности
Macro and cost of capitalData as of 2026-10-14 · Published 2026-10-14 · cited for 3 figuresCited in Конкурентный ров, Финансовая история
Not every cited input appears here: internal calculations and intermediate model outputs have no external record, and some citations could not be matched to one.
Operating margin is currently guided to 10%-12% in FY2026 while historical GAAP EBIT was only 1.83% ($47.2M EBIT on $2,583.2M revenue),. Management cited ongoing freight and logistics headwinds and facility restructuring execution delays. A 300 bps operating margin compression would drop operating margin below 8%.4,6
The house forward earnings model applies a 20.0x terminal P/E, representing an elevated premium over peer median forward P/E of 15.2x (ZBH 10.1x, GEHC 12.7x, STE 17.7x). If recurring consumable quality controls fail to command a premium due to tender pricing and sluggish Life Science growth, a 20% multiple compression would drop the exit multiple to 16.0x.
Discounted forecast-period cash flows (29,26 $) plus discounted terminal value (94,33 $) minus signed per current share (-15,56 $) equals the 139 $ lens value shown above. Negative net debt is , so subtracting it raises value.
Governments in Asia Pacific and Europe are expanding volume-based procurement and demanding localized production to contain healthcare spending, compressing imported system margins.
Falls below 10.0% in FY2026
Lower terminal operating margin assumption to 12.0% and reduce forward earnings targets.
