Необязательная аналитика продукта
С вашего разрешения мы используем ограниченную аналитику с защитой конфиденциальности, чтобы понять, какие исследовательские сценарии работают. Мы не используем рекламные трекеры или запись сеансов. Этот выбор можно изменить в настройках. Прочитайте Политику конфиденциальности.
Steel Dynamics Inc.'s published Sell conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $33.3B | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (ttm) | 22.2B | |
| Net income (ttm) | 2B | |
| EPS (ttm) | $13.5 | |
| Shares out | 142.2M | |
| P/E (trailing) | 18.5x | |
| P/E (forward) | 10.0x | |
| Dividend | $2.12 (0.85%) | |
| Volume | 968,645 | |
| Beta | 1.49 |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $18.41B | $22.26B | $18.80B | $17.54B | $18.18B | -0.3% |
| Gross profit | $5.36B | $6.12B | $4.05B | $2.80B | $2.39B | -18.3% |
| Operating income | $4.30B | $5.09B | $3.15B | $1.94B | $1.48B | -23.5% |
| Net income | $3.21B | $3.86B | $2.45B | $1.54B | $1.19B | -22.1% |
| EPS (diluted) | $15.56 | $20.92 | $14.64 | $9.84 | $7.99 | -15.3% |
| EBITDA | $4.61B | $5.50B | $3.15B | $2.52B | $2.11B | -17.7% |
| R&D | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | $644.0M | $545.6M | $588.6M | $664.1M | $765.3M | +4.4% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
Under the Base scenario, assigned a 50.0% probability, Fair value sits at $147.56, implying an expected return of -36.4% relative to $231.99 (as of 2026-10-02). This case reflects orderly commercial production across the new aluminum flat-rolled platform, capital investments conforming to guided normalized ceilings, and downstream fabrication backlogs that sustain through-cycle operating profitability above broader industry averages. Disconfirmation would occur if non-residential construction activity deteriorates or if trade enforcement fails to curb disruptive foreign steel shipments.
The Bull scenario carries a 25.0% probability with Potential value reaching $230.11, representing an implied return of -0.8% from $231.99. In this outcome, commercial throughput at the Columbus facility accelerates ahead of schedule to achieve full through-cycle earnings power, non-residential construction demand drives sustained fabrication pricing gains, and disciplined domestic scrap pricing widens metal spreads. Substantial annual free cash flow expansion funds aggressive share repurchases. Disconfirmation would stem from unexpected startup delays or persistent contractor cost inflation.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.6% | $156 | $158 | $161 | $163 | $166 |
| 10.1% | $150 | $152 | $154 | $156 | $158 |
| 10.6% | $144 | $146 | $148 | $149 | $151 |
| 11.1% | $139 | $141 | $142 | $144 | $145 |
| 11.6% | $135 | $136 | $137 | $139 | $140 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
Рейтинг, который имело опубликованное в каждом месяце издание исследования. Рейтинг сравнивает цену на дату анализа со справедливой стоимостью; он не показывает, оправдалась ли оценка.
| Год | янв. | февр. | март | апр. | май | июнь | июль | авг. | сент. | окт. | нояб. | дек. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |