Tesla Inc. (TSLA)

NASDAQ: TSLA · USD

$404

-3.22 (-0.8%)· Recorded snapshot

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StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-09-09

Our latest published analysis: TSLA rated Sell

Tesla Inc.'s published Sell conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$24.8 / share

Potential value

$33.4 / share

Upside to FV

-93.0%

from $404

Moat

1/10

None

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$1.40T
Revenue (ttm)	103.6B
Net income (ttm)	3.2B
EPS (ttm)	$0.91
Shares out	4B
P/E (trailing)	444.2x
P/E (forward)	156.3x
Volume	32,064,718
Beta	1.92

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

Revenue (ttm): 103.6B
Net income (ttm): 3.2B
EPS (ttm): $0.91
P/E (trailing): 444.2x
P/E (forward): 156.3x
Market cap: $1.40T

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2021-12-31	2022-12-31	2023-12-31	2024-12-31	2025-12-31	Trend
Revenue	$53.82B	$81.46B	$96.77B	$97.69B	$94.83B	+15.2%
Gross profit	$13.61B	$20.85B	$17.66B	$17.45B	$17.09B	+5.9%
Operating income	$6.52B	$13.66B	$8.89B	$7.08B	$4.36B	-9.6%
Net income	$5.52B	$12.56B	$15.00B	$7.09B	$3.79B	-8.9%
EPS (diluted)	$1.63	$3.62	$4.30	$2.04	$1.08	-9.8%
EBITDA	$9.60B	$17.83B	$14.80B	$14.71B	$11.76B	+5.2%
R&D	$2.59B	$3.08B	$3.97B	$4.54B	$6.41B	+25.4%
SG&A	$4.52B	$3.95B	$4.80B	$5.15B	$5.83B	+6.6%

Ticker	Name	Market cap	P/E	P/S	ROIC	5Y rev CAGR	1Y total return	Rating
AAL	American Airlines Group Inc.	8.3B	—	0.1x	3.0%	+20.0%	-6.9%	Mantenere
ALB	Albemarle Corporation	11.4B	198.9x	1.9x	4.1%	+12.8%	+1.9%	Mantenere
ANET	Arista Networks Inc.	235.7B	59.1x	22.4x	284.8%	+32.0%	+19.7%	Vendere
ABNB	Airbnb, Inc.	97.8B	37.5x	7.4x	16.8%	+24.4%	+28.5%	Vendere
AMZN	Amazon.com Inc.	2.7T	20.5x	3.5x	11.9%	+11.8%	+12.2%	Vendere
APTV	Aptiv PLC	9.1B	42.8x	0.4x	7.8%	+5.5%	-49.2%	Comprare

Base and Bull scenarios

Base50%

Price target

$24.84

-93.0% from spot

The base path requires revenue recovery, operating margin at or above 4%, and positive annual free cash flow. It fails by FY2029 if automotive or energy breaches its two-year growth trigger.

The FY2026-FY2027 consolidated revenue recovery is achieved, with automotive remaining the main revenue base.
Energy grows by at least 10% in each of two consecutive fiscal years through FY2029, while consolidated operating margin remains at or above 4%.
Free cash flow remains positive after investment.

Bull15%

Price target

$33.44

-90.6% from spot

Upside persists only if energy becomes a larger profitable contributor. Slower energy growth or weak consolidated margin would disconfirm that path by FY2029.

Energy stays above its defined multi-year growth test through FY2029.
Consolidated margin and free cash flow improve together.
Automotive remains the dominant revenue base rather than breaching its multi-year stagnation trigger.

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($24.84). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.

Ke ↓ / g →	1.0%	1.5%	2.0%	2.5%	3.0%
8.9%	$26.0	$26.6	$27.2	$27.9	$28.7
9.9%	$24.3	$24.7	$25.2	$25.7	$26.3
10.9%	$22.9	$23.2	$24.8	$23.9	$24.3
11.9%	$21.7	$21.9	$22.2	$22.5	$22.8
12.9%	$20.6	$20.8	$21.0	$21.3	$21.5

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Refreshed 2026-10-28 19:55 UTC

Forward P/E156.3

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Trailing P/E321.9

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROE3.8

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROIC4

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Benchmarks · 1M

All TSLA indicators

Market & fundamental data

Available fields

275

Groups with data

Currency

USD

Showing 275 of 275 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

Metric	Value
Amount currency	USD
CIK code	0001318605
Company name	Tesla, Inc.
Country	United States
Country code	US
CUSIP number	88160R101
Earnings date	2026-10-21
Earnings time	amc
Employees	134,785
Employees change	9,120
Employees growth	7.26%
Enterprise value	$1.6T
Exchange	NASDAQ
Financial currency	USD
Financial report date	2026-09-30
First seen	2026-05-09
Fiscal year end	December
Founded	2003
In index	SP500, NASDAQ100
Industry	Auto Manufacturers
IPO date	2010-06-29
Is primary listing	Yes
Is SPAC	No
ISIN number	US88160R1014
Last 10-K release date	2026-01-29
Last earnings date	2026-10-21
Last refreshed	2026-10-28
Last stock split date	2022-08-25
Last stock split type	Forward
Market cap	$1.6T
Market cap category	Mega-Cap
Next earnings date	2027-01-27
Options	Yes
Price	$404.26
Price currency	USD
Sector	Consumer Discretionary
SIC code	3711
Stock price date	2026-10-28
Symbol	TSLA
Tags	car-company, magnificent-seven, electric-vehicles, robotics
U.S. state	Texas
Website	https://www.tesla.com

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

Metric	Value
Adjusted P/E ratio	235.03x
Average P/E ratio (10Y)	256.72x
Average P/E ratio (3Y)	216.4x
Average P/E ratio (5Y)	164.88x
Earnings yield	0.23%
EV/Earnings	484.07x
EV/EBIT	497.35x
EV/EBITDA	158.44x
EV/FCF	471.91x
EV/Sales	15.05x
FCF / EV yield	0.21%
FCF yield	0.21%
Forward EV/Sales	13.17x
Forward P/E	188.82x
Forward P/S	13.41x
Graham number	21.50756
Graham upside	-94.65%
Industry forward P/E	96.45x
Lynch fair value	$4.55
Lynch upside	-98.87%
P/(OCF - SBC) ratio	110.18x
P/B ratio	18.04x
P/E ratio	444.15x
P/FCF ratio	480.69x
P/OCF ratio	84.86x
P/S ratio	15.33x
PEG ratio	5.64x
Price / tangible book value	17.78x
Price/EBITDA ratio	161.38x
Sector forward P/E	24.39x
Sector P/E	30.5x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

Metric	Value
EBIT margin	3.03%
EBITDA margin	9.5%
Effective tax rate	22.19%
FCF margin	3.19%
Gross margin	19.29%
Operating margin	3.03%
Pretax margin	4.07%
Profit margin	3.11%
Profit per employee	$23,890
Profitable quarters	29
Profitable years	6
Revenue per employee	$768,409
ROA	1.35%
ROA (5Y)	6.23%
ROCE	2.68%
ROE	3.84%
ROE (5Y)	19.12%
ROIC	4.03%
ROIC (5Y)	24%
SBC / revenue	4.15%
Tax / revenue	0.9%

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

Metric	Value
EPS growth	-37.19%
EPS growth (Q)	-43.59%
EPS growth (QoQ)	-31.25%
EPS growth 3Y	-33.53%
EPS growth 5Y	-2.24%
EPS growth years	0
FCF growth	-51.67%
FCF growth (Q)	-61.63%
FCF growth 3Y	-3.83%
FCF growth 5Y	-4.08%
Gross profit growth	22.81%
Gross profit growth (Q)	24.26%
Gross profit growth 3Y	1.68%
Gross profit growth 5Y	13.03%
Net income growth	-36.68%
Net income growth (Q)	-42.68%
Net income growth (QoQ)	-29.48%
Net income growth 3Y	-33.18%
Net income growth 5Y	-1.47%
Net income growth years	0
OCF growth	18.81%
OCF growth (Q)	0.4%
OCF growth (QoQ)	33.34%
OCF growth 10Y	51.46%
OCF growth 3Y	15.43%
OCF growth 5Y	13.51%
Operating income growth	-35.53%
Operating income growth (Q)	-19.23%
Operating income growth 3Y	-33.57%
Operating income growth 5Y	-6.92%
Revenue growth	8.3%
Revenue growth (Q)	-0.17%
Revenue growth (QoQ)	-0.67%
Revenue growth 10Y	33.11%
Revenue growth 3Y	2.59%
Revenue growth 5Y	17.19%
Revenue growth years	0

Financial statements

Income-statement and cash-flow amounts, totals and per share.

Metric	Value
Capital expenditures	$-15.4B
Depreciation and amortization	$6.7B
EBIT	$3.1B
EBITDA	$9.8B
EPS	$0.91
FCF per share	$0.84
Financing cash flow	$2.2B
Free cash flow	$3.3B
Free cash flow minus SBC	$-997M
Gross profit	$20B
Income taxes	$935M
Investing cash flow	$-21.5B
Net borrowing	$1.4B
Net cash flow	$-578M
Net income	$3.2B
Operating cash flow minus SBC	$14.4B
Operating income	$3.1B
Revenue	$103.6B
Stock-based compensation	$4.3B

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

Metric	Value
Altman Z-Score	14.3
Book value per share	$22.59
Debt / EBITDA	1.39
Debt / equity	0.18
Debt / FCF	4.98
Interest coverage	9.01
Long-term assets	$87.1B
Long-term liabilities	$27.1B
Net cash (debt)	$29B
Net cash / market cap	1.83%
Net cash growth	4.1%
Net debt / EBITDA	-2.95
Net debt / equity	-0.32
Net debt / FCF	-8.78
Piotroski F-Score	5
Property, plant and equipment	$65.6B
Shareholders' equity	$89.9B
Tangible book value	$89.3B
Tangible book value per share	$22.59
Total assets	$157.5B
Total cash	$45.4B
Total debt	$16.4B
Total liabilities	$67.6B
WACC	14.65%

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

Metric	Value
Asset turnover	0.71
Current assets	$70.4B
Current liabilities	$40.5B
Current ratio	1.74
Inventory turnover	6.34
Net working capital	$-13.1B
Quick ratio	1.24
Working capital	$29.9B
Working capital turnover	3.27

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

Metric	Value
Buyback yield / dilution	-0.47%
Dividend yield	0%
Shareholder yield	-0.47%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

Metric	Value
10Y price change	2,860.08%
10Y return CAGR	40.33%
10Y total return	2,860.15%
150-day SMA	$377.05
15Y price change	20,901.57%
15Y return CAGR	42.83%
15Y total return	20,897.92%
1D price change	-0.79%
1M price change	8.19%
1M total return	8.19%
1W price change	7.73%
1W total return	7.73%
1Y price change	-11.01%
1Y return CAGR	-11.02%
1Y total return	-11.01%
20-day SMA	$376.70
200-day SMA	$385.71
3M price change	30.2%
3M total return	30.2%
3Y price change	94.21%
3Y return CAGR	24.76%
3Y total return	94.21%
50-day SMA	$367.43
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA	50under200
52-week high	$498.83
52-week high date	2025-12-22
52-week low	$297.38
52-week low date	2026-07-29
5Y price change	16.37%
5Y return CAGR	3.08%
5Y total return	16.37%
6M price change	6.32%
6M total return	6.32%
After-hours change	0.18%
After-hours close	$404.26
After-hours price	$405.00
All-time high	$498.83
All-time high date	2025-12-22
All-time low	$1.00
All-time low date	2010-07-07
Average true range (ATR)	$13.71
Average volume	37.1M
Beta (1Y)	1.88
Beta (2Y)	1.91
Beta (5Y)	1.92
Change from 52-week high	-18.96%
Change from 52-week low	35.94%
Change from all-time high	-19.29%
Change from all-time low	40,212.41%
Change from open	-1.44%
Day's gap	0.66%
Dollar volume	$13B
High price	$410.50
Low price	$397.18
Monthly RSI	54.93
Open price	$410.16
Position in 52-week range	53.15%
Premarket change	0.83%
Premarket close	$407.46
Premarket price	$410.85
Premarket volume	1.2M
Previous close	$407.46
Price vs 150-day SMA	6.78%
Price vs 20-day SMA	6.88%
Price vs 200-day SMA	4.38%
Price vs 50-day SMA	9.57%
Relative volume	0.86
RSI	62.69
Sharpe ratio	-0.12
Sharpe ratio (3Y)	0.59
Sharpe ratio (5Y)	0.34
Sortino ratio	-0.04
Sortino ratio (3Y)	1
Sortino ratio (5Y)	0.6
Volume	32.1M
Weekly RSI	55.94
YTD price change	-10.48%
YTD total return	-10.48%

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

Metric	Value
Float	2.8B
Float percentage	71.4%
Shares change (QoQ)	0.03%
Shares change (YoY)	0.47%
Shares held by insiders	28.5%
Shares held by institutions	43.12%
Shares outstanding	4B
Short % of float	2.51%
Short % of shares	1.79%
Short ratio	1.8 days

Other indicators

Additional ticker metrics that do not fit the primary research groupings.

Metric	Value
Page views	2,535

Deeper analysis on TSLA

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

→

Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

→

Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

→

Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

→

Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

→

Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

→

Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

→

Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

→

Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

→

Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

→

Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this TSLA report

What is the latest published TSLA stock rating?

Tesla Inc. is shown with Sell in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-09-09. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full TSLA analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-09-09, lives at /stocks/TSLA/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for TSLA?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-09-09 gives TSLA a fair value of USD 25 and a potential value of USD 33. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the TSLA page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-09-09). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

SellTSLA · Fair value $24.8-93.0%

Read full analysis →

Tesla Inc. (TSLA)

Our latest published analysis: TSLA rated Sell

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · TSLA

Valuation

Profitability

Balance sheet

Trading

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

All TSLA indicators

Profile and market data

Valuation

Profitability

Growth

Financial statements

Financial strength

Liquidity

Dividends and buybacks

Performance and technicals

Ownership and float

Other indicators

Deeper analysis on TSLA

Frequently asked questions

Storico dei rating

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	1.5
Management	6.5
Balance Sheet	8.0
Profitability	3.5
Revenue Growth	7.5
Risk Assessment	6.5
Competitive Moat	1.0
Earnings Quality	7.5
Capital Efficiency	2.5