GE trades against a final fair-value range of $132.35-$235.97, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs. Fair value range: low $132, high $236, with mid-point at $184.
Currently screens above fair value, so patience matters more than entry speed.
Fair value
$184
Margin of safety
-61.5%
Confidence
81/100
Moat
9/10
Educational research only - not investment advice, an offer, or a trade instruction. Confirm current data and do your own due diligence before acting.
$297.15Price
Low $132.35
Mid $183.99
High $235.97
GE trades against a final fair-value range of $132.35-$235.97, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs.
Installed base of commercial engines
Installed base of commercial engines drives captive aftermarket recurring revenue.
Massive barriers to entry via
Massive barriers to entry via extreme capital intensity and regulatory certification.
Bull thesis
internal valuation cross-checks of $350 aggressively extrapolate peak multiples.
Our financial-history view of GE (GE) covers revenue, gross profit, operating income, and net income across the past five fiscal years, with year-over-year growth and margin context for each line.
The revenue trajectory is reported in the financial-history section with year-over-year growth rates. Direction and acceleration are summarised inline; the full table sits within the parent financials tab.
We track operating income alongside operating margin so the reader can separate top-line growth from operating leverage. The numbers analysis subsection flags one-offs, restructuring, and stock-based-compensation effects when material.
Net income is shown together with EPS so dilution and buybacks are visible alongside profit. Where reported net income diverges materially from operating cash flow, the discrepancy is called out in the numbers-analysis subsection.
FAQ
GE — frequently asked questions
Based on our latest analysis, GE looks meaningfully overvalued. The current price is $297 versus a composite fair-value midpoint of $184 (range $132–$236), which implies roughly 38.1% downside to the midpoint.
Our composite fair-value range for GE is $132–$236, with a midpoint of $184. The range is triangulated across multiple valuation models (discounted earnings, forward earnings scenarios, peer multiples, and where applicable owner earnings or reverse DCF) and weighted by reliability for GE's archetype.
Our current rating for GE is Sell with a confidence score of 81/100. GE is rated Sell at $297.15 versus the reconciled fair value midpoint of $183.99, implying -38.08% upside/downside. Confidence is separately disclosed at 81/100. This is research for educational purposes, not personalized investment advice.
The top risks our latest report flags for GE are: MRO Margin Compression; Global Recession Traffic Shock; Perpetual Supply Chain Paralysis. The single biggest risk is MRO Margin Compression: LEAP engine aftermarket margins structurally fail to reach legacy peaks due to higher durability costs.
Our current rating for GE is Sell, issued with a confidence score of 81/100 and a moat score of 9/10. The rating reflects the composite fair-value range ($132–$236) versus the current price of $297.
GE is classified as a mature compounder stock. Archetype determines how every downstream parameter — discount rate, terminal growth, deceleration curve, terminal multiple, scenario probability weights, scorecard weights, and which valuation models are prioritized — is calibrated for GE.