TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG)

NYSE: TDG · USD

$1,138

+7.80 (+0.7%)· Recorded snapshot

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StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-10-22

Our latest published analysis: TDG rated Hold

TransDigm Group Incorporated's published Hold conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$1,148 / share

Potential value

$1,369 / share

Upside to FV

+3.2%

from $1,138

Moat

9/10

Wide

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$62.3B
Revenue (ttm)	10B
Net income (ttm)	1.9B
EPS (ttm)	$33.0
Shares out	55.3M
P/E (trailing)	34.5x
P/E (forward)	23.1x
Dividend	$90.0 (7.89%)
Volume	202,804
Beta	0.94

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

Revenue (ttm): 10B
Net income (ttm): 1.9B
EPS (ttm): $33.0
P/E (trailing): 34.5x
P/E (forward): 23.1x
Market cap: $62.3B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2022-09-30	2023-09-30	2024-09-30	2025-09-30	2026-09-30	Trend
Revenue	$5.43B	$6.59B	$7.94B	$8.83B	—	+17.6%
Gross profit	$3.10B	$3.84B	$4.67B	$5.31B	—	+19.7%
Operating income	$2.22B	$2.92B	$3.53B	$4.17B	—	+23.4%
Net income	$866.0M	$1.30B	$1.71B	$2.07B	—	+33.8%
EPS (diluted)	$13.40	$22.03	$25.62	$32.08	$28.05	+20.3%
EBITDA	$2.46B	$3.15B	$3.81B	$4.56B	—	+22.9%
R&D	$95.0M	$105.0M	$107.0M	$118.0M	—	+7.5%
SG&A	$748.0M	$780.0M	$980.0M	$945.0M	—	+8.1%

Ticker	Name	Market cap	P/E	P/S	ROIC	5Y rev CAGR	1Y total return	Rating
AAPL	Apple Inc.	5T	39.4x	10.8x	101.6%	+6.1%	+28.5%	Sat
ABNB	Airbnb, Inc.	97.8B	37.5x	7.4x	16.8%	+24.4%	+28.5%	Sat
ADBE	Adobe Inc.	97.1B	13.9x	3.7x	57.2%	+11.5%	-30.7%	Güçlü Al
AAL	American Airlines Group Inc.	8.3B	—	0.1x	3.0%	+20.0%	-6.9%	Tut
ADP	Automatic Data Processing, Inc.	113B	25.3x	5.1x	62.8%	+7.7%	+4.5%	Tut
ALLE	Allegion plc	15.2B	22.5x	3.5x	19.4%	+8.8%	+7.2%	Tut

Base and Bull scenarios

Bull20%

Price target

$1,368.99

+23.0% from spot

In the Bull case, global commercial flight hours expand rapidly, OEM build rates at Boeing and Airbus accelerate, and recent acquisitions achieve faster-than-modeled synergy realization with sustained pricing power.

Multi-year revenue compound annual growth accelerating above historical trend driven by commercial transport fleet utilization
Operating margins expanding above baseline levels via continuous proprietary aftermarket price realization
Adjusted EPS compounding strongly through FY2031 supported by accretive acquisition integration
Terminal valuation multiple expanding to reflect premium proprietary aerospace market positioning

Base60%

Price target

$1,148.16

+3.2% from spot

The Base case represents the modal expected trajectory where TransDigm delivers 100-150 bps organic margin expansion on constant mix, absorbs acquisition dilution over 24 months, and compounds earnings in line with management guidance and post-earnings consensus estimates.

Multi-year revenue compounding in line with commercial aftermarket flight-hour recovery and defense budget growth
Operating margins expanding steadily from FY2026 through FY2030 supported by constant-mix productivity gains
Adjusted EPS compounding at a steady double-digit pace through FY2031 anchored by organic margin expansion
Terminal valuation multiple sustained in line with historical median contractor benchmarks
Cost of equity of 9.10%

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($1,148.16). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.

Ke ↓ / g →	2.5%	2.8%	3.0%	3.3%	3.5%
8.1%	$1,263	$1,298	$1,336	$1,378	$1,425
8.6%	$1,175	$1,203	$1,234	$1,267	$1,305
9.1%	$1,100	$1,123	$1,148	$1,175	$1,205
9.6%	$1,035	$1,054	$1,075	$1,097	$1,122
10.1%	$978	$994	$1,012	$1,030	$1,051

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Refreshed 2026-10-28 19:55 UTC

Forward P/E23.1

P25 13.2P50 18.7P75 25.2

Trailing P/E34.3

P25 16.3P50 24.9P75 35.2

ROEn/a

P25 -18.2P50 6.2P75 16.4

ROIC15.4

P25 -10.4P50 5.2P75 12.3

Benchmarks · 1M

All TDG indicators

Market & fundamental data

Available fields

283

Groups with data

Currency

USD

Showing 283 of 283 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

Metric	Value
Amount currency	USD
CIK code	0001260221
Company name	TransDigm Group Incorporated
Country	United States
Country code	US
CUSIP number	893641100
Earnings date	2026-11-11
Earnings time	bmo
Employees	16,500
Employees change	-100
Employees growth	-0.6%
Enterprise value	$93.6B
Exchange	NYSE
Financial currency	USD
Financial report date	2026-06-27
First seen	2026-05-09
Fiscal year end	September
Founded	1993
In index	SP500
Industry	Aerospace & Defense
IPO date	2006-03-15
Is primary listing	Yes
Is SPAC	No
ISIN number	US8936411003
Last 10-K release date	2025-11-12
Last earnings date	2026-08-04
Last refreshed	2026-10-28
Last stock split type	Never
Market cap	$62.9B
Market cap category	Large-Cap
Next earnings date	2026-11-11
Options	Yes
Price	$1,138.06
Price currency	USD
Sector	Industrials
SIC code	3728
Stock price date	2026-10-28
Symbol	TDG
U.S. state	Ohio
Website	https://www.transdigm.com

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

Metric	Value
Adjusted P/E ratio	28.62x
Average P/E ratio (10Y)	43.44x
Average P/E ratio (3Y)	43.04x
Average P/E ratio (5Y)	43.37x
Earnings yield	2.9%
EV/Earnings	48.98x
EV/EBIT	20.02x
EV/EBITDA	18.37x
EV/FCF	48.57x
EV/Sales	9.35x
FCF / EV yield	2.06%
FCF yield	3.06%
Forward EV/Sales	8.1x
Forward P/E	24.47x
Forward P/S	5.44x
Industry forward P/E	38.65x
Industry P/E	78.67x
Lynch fair value	$824.06
Lynch upside	-27.57%
P/(FCF - SBC) ratio	35.41x
P/(OCF - SBC) ratio	30.72x
P/E ratio	34.53x
P/FCF ratio	32.64x
P/OCF ratio	28.61x
P/S ratio	6.29x
PEG ratio	1.56x
Price/EBITDA ratio	12.34x
Sector forward P/E	26.24x
Sector P/E	40.28x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

Metric	Value
EBIT margin	46.72%
EBITDA margin	50.92%
Effective tax rate	22.21%
FCF margin	19.26%
Gross margin	59.82%
Operating margin	46.72%
Pretax margin	27.36%
Profit margin	21.28%
Profit per employee	$115,818
Profitable quarters	22
Profitable years	22
Revenue per employee	$606,424
ROA	11.82%
ROA (5Y)	8.67%
ROCE	19.33%
ROIC	15.42%
ROIC (5Y)	12.67%
SBC / revenue	1.51%
Tax / revenue	6.08%

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

Metric	Value
EPS growth	9.37%
EPS growth (Q)	10.89%
EPS growth (QoQ)	2.15%
EPS growth 10Y	12.53%
EPS growth 3Y	20.61%
EPS growth 5Y	31.86%
EPS growth quarters	2
EPS growth years	5
FCF growth	1.1%
FCF growth (Q)	13.44%
FCF growth (QoQ)	915.63%
FCF growth 3Y	22.39%
FCF growth 5Y	21.66%
Gross profit growth	16.73%
Gross profit growth (Q)	23%
Gross profit growth 3Y	18.07%
Gross profit growth 5Y	20.2%
Net income growth	10.2%
Net income growth (Q)	9.55%
Net income growth (QoQ)	0.75%
Net income growth 3Y	21.29%
Net income growth 5Y	31.83%
Net income growth quarters	2
Net income growth years	5
OCF growth	4.52%
OCF growth (Q)	14.74%
OCF growth (QoQ)	436.3%
OCF growth 10Y	13.32%
OCF growth 3Y	22.83%
OCF growth 5Y	21.04%
Operating income growth	16.79%
Operating income growth (Q)	20.32%
Operating income growth 3Y	19.65%
Operating income growth 5Y	24.2%
Revenue growth	16.62%
Revenue growth (Q)	22.53%
Revenue growth (QoQ)	7.74%
Revenue growth 10Y	12.41%
Revenue growth 3Y	17.03%
Revenue growth 5Y	16.35%
Revenue growth quarters	21
Revenue growth years	4

Financial statements

Income-statement and cash-flow amounts, totals and per share.

Metric	Value
Capital expenditures	$-271M
Depreciation and amortization	$420M
EBIT	$4.7B
EBITDA	$5.1B
EPS	$32.96
FCF per share	$34.86
Financing cash flow	$1.4B
Free cash flow	$1.9B
Free cash flow minus SBC	$1.8B
Gross profit	$6B
Income taxes	$608M
Investing cash flow	$-3.6B
Net borrowing	$8.4B
Net cash flow	$-19M
Net income	$1.9B
Operating cash flow minus SBC	$2B
Operating income	$4.7B
Revenue	$10B
Stock-based compensation	$151M

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

Metric	Value
Altman Z-Score	1.93
Book value per share	$-177.47
Debt / EBITDA	6.57
Debt / FCF	17.38
Goodwill	$12.2B
Interest coverage	2.47
Long-term assets	$19B
Long-term liabilities	$33.9B
Net cash (debt)	$-30.7B
Net cash / market cap	-48.82%
Net debt / EBITDA	6.03
Net debt / FCF	15.93
Piotroski F-Score	6
Property, plant and equipment	$1.7B
Shareholders' equity	$-9.7B
Tangible book value	$-26.7B
Tangible book value per share	$-483.07
Total assets	$26.8B
Total cash	$2.8B
Total debt	$33.5B
Total liabilities	$36.5B
WACC	7.66%

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

Metric	Value
Asset turnover	0.4
Current assets	$7.8B
Current liabilities	$2.6B
Current ratio	3.02
Inventory turnover	1.72
Net working capital	$3.3B
Quick ratio	1.92
Working capital	$5.2B
Working capital turnover	2.02

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

Metric	Value
Buyback yield / dilution	0.22%
Dividend growth	20%
Dividend growth (10Y)	14.13%
Dividend growth (3Y)	69.44%
Dividend growth (5Y)	7.57%
Dividend growth years	3
Dividend payment date	2025-09-12
Dividend payment years	4
Dividend payout frequency	Annual
Dividend per share	$90.00
Dividend yield	7.9%
Ex-dividend date	2025-09-02
FCF payout ratio	258.17%
Last dividend	$90.00
Payout ratio	273.04%
Shareholder yield	8.11%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

Metric	Value
10Y price change	323%
10Y return CAGR	20%
10Y total return	519.18%
150-day SMA	$1,200.03
15Y price change	1,121.87%
15Y return CAGR	25.01%
15Y total return	2,745.77%
1D price change	0.69%
1M price change	2.18%
1M total return	2.18%
1W price change	-0.22%
1W total return	-0.22%
1Y price change	-15.8%
1Y return CAGR	-15.81%
1Y total return	-15.8%
20-day SMA	$1,117.73
200-day SMA	$1,228.66
20Y price change	4,687.95%
20Y return CAGR	27.64%
20Y total return	13,081.47%
3M price change	-11.33%
3M total return	-11.33%
3Y price change	39.25%
3Y return CAGR	17.66%
3Y total return	62.9%
50-day SMA	$1,130.95
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA	50under200
52-week high	$1,463.03
52-week high date	2026-01-16
52-week low	$1,071.25
52-week low date	2026-09-16
5Y price change	81.26%
5Y return CAGR	16.88%
5Y total return	118.08%
6M price change	-1.54%
6M total return	-1.54%
All-time high	$1,623.83
All-time high date	2025-07-30
All-time low	$21.42
All-time low date	2006-06-14
Average true range (ATR)	$26.80
Average volume	339.4K
Beta (1Y)	0.94
Beta (2Y)	0.81
Beta (5Y)	0.94
Change from 52-week high	-22.21%
Change from 52-week low	6.24%
Change from all-time high	-29.77%
Change from all-time low	5,224.42%
Change from open	0.7%
Day's gap	0%
Dollar volume	$230.8M
High price	$1,150.00
Low price	$1,130.18
Monthly RSI	44.77
Open price	$1,130.18
Position in 52-week range	39.76%
Premarket change	-2%
Premarket close	$1,130.23
Premarket price	$1,107.63
Previous close	$1,130.23
Price vs 150-day SMA	-4.96%
Price vs 20-day SMA	2.04%
Price vs 200-day SMA	-7.18%
Price vs 50-day SMA	0.84%
Relative volume	0.6
RSI	54.85
Sharpe ratio	-0.66
Sharpe ratio (3Y)	0.59
Sharpe ratio (5Y)	0.54
Sortino ratio	-0.68
Sortino ratio (3Y)	1.01
Sortino ratio (5Y)	0.95
Volume	202.8K
Weekly RSI	45.09
YTD price change	-14.24%
YTD total return	-14.24%

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

Metric	Value
Float	55M
Float percentage	99.49%
Shares change (QoQ)	-1.37%
Shares change (YoY)	-0.22%
Shares held by insiders	0.4%
Shares held by institutions	96.93%
Shares outstanding	55.3M
Short % of float	2.18%
Short % of shares	2.17%
Short ratio	3 days

Deeper analysis on TDG

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

→

Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

→

Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

→

Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

→

Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

→

Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

→

Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

→

Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

→

Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

→

Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

→

Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this TDG report

What is the latest published TDG stock rating?

TransDigm Group Incorporated is shown with Hold in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-22. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full TDG analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-22, lives at /stocks/TDG/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for TDG?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-10-22 gives TDG a fair value of USD 1,148 and a potential value of USD 1,369. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the TDG page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-10-22). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

HoldTDG · Fair value $1,148+3.2%

Read full analysis →

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	6.0
Management	8.5
Balance Sheet	6.5
Profitability	5.5
Revenue Growth	7.5
Risk Assessment	6.5
Competitive Moat	9.0
Earnings Quality	6.5
Capital Efficiency	7.5

TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG)

Our latest published analysis: TDG rated Hold

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · TDG

Valuation

Profitability

Balance sheet

Trading

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

All TDG indicators

Profile and market data

Valuation

Profitability

Growth

Financial statements

Financial strength

Liquidity

Dividends and buybacks

Performance and technicals

Ownership and float

Deeper analysis on TDG

Frequently asked questions

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