C3.ai, Inc. (AI)

NYSE: AI · USD

$12.3

+0.02 (+0.2%)· Recorded snapshot

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StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-10-22

Our latest published analysis: AI rated Sell

C3.ai, Inc.'s published Sell conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$6.43 / share

Potential value

$9.13 / share

Upside to FV

-45.5%

from $12.3

Moat

5.5/10

Narrow

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$1.9B
Revenue (ttm)	232.4M
Net income (ttm)	-446.4M
EPS (ttm)	-$3.07
Shares out	160.8M
Volume	3,746,029
Beta	2.10

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

Revenue (ttm): 232.4M
Net income (ttm): -446.4M
EPS (ttm): -$3.07
Market cap: $1.9B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2022-04-30	2023-04-30	2024-04-30	2025-04-30	2026-04-30	Trend
Revenue	$252.8M	$266.8M	$310.6M	$389.1M	$250.3M	-0.2%
Gross profit	$189.0M	$180.5M	$178.6M	$235.9M	$77.4M	-20.0%
Operating income	$-196.1M	$-290.5M	$-318.3M	$-324.4M	$-498.5M	—
Net income	$-192.1M	$-268.8M	$-279.7M	$-288.7M	$-470.4M	—
EPS (diluted)	$-1.84	$-2.45	$-2.34	$-2.24	$-3.35	—
EBITDA	$-186.1M	$-262.1M	$-266.2M	$-275.1M	$-456.0M	—
R&D	$150.5M	$210.7M	$201.4M	$226.4M	$229.1M	+11.1%
SG&A	$61.0M	$77.2M	$81.4M	$94.2M	$98.6M	+12.7%

Ticker	Name	Market cap	P/E	P/S	ROIC	5Y rev CAGR	1Y total return	Rating
BAX	Baxter International Inc.	13.1B	—	1.2x	6.8%	-1.2%	+9.9%	Mua
CNC	Centene Corporation	33.2B	22.7x	0.2x	6.9%	+9.6%	+101.2%	Giảm
CRWD	CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.	273.2B	7223.6x	50.4x	-14.1%	+36.5%	+100.4%	Bán
AAPL	Apple Inc.	5T	39.4x	10.8x	101.6%	+6.1%	+28.5%	Bán
ACN	Accenture plc	144.3B	18.0x	2.0x	27.9%	+8.0%	+0.4%	Giữ
ADBE	Adobe Inc.	97.1B	13.9x	3.7x	57.2%	+11.5%	-30.7%	Mua mạnh

Base and Bull scenarios

Base50%

Price target

$6.43

-45.5% from spot

In the Base case, C3.ai navigates a guided FY2027 revenue contraction to $221.7M before returning to 10.8% growth in FY2028. Forward-deployed engineering investments gradually taper as the atomic AI platform automates pipeline development, allowing operating margins to cross into profitability by FY2030 (+2.0%) and reach 12.0% by FY2031. This anchors the house fair value at $6.43.

FY2027 revenue contracts -11.4% to $221.7M, followed by 10.8% growth in FY2028 to $245.7M
EBIT margin improves from -62.0% in FY2027 to -35.0% in FY2028 and +12.0% in FY2031
Terminal EV/Revenue multiple of 3.5x applied to FY2031 revenue
Cost of capital WACC of 12.00% and terminal growth rate of 2.5%

Bull15%

Price target

$9.13

-22.6% from spot

In the Bull case, federal defense momentum (+138% YoY in Q1 FY2027) and commercial pilot conversions accelerate top-line revenue well above consensus expectations. Forward-deployed engineers successfully embed within Fortune 500 accounts, triggering multi-year software expansions without requiring ongoing services headcount. Operating margins inflect positively earlier than forecast, lifting the fair value upper bound toward $9.13.

Federal defense contract expansion drives accelerated revenue growth of >20% across FY2028-FY2030
Subscription revenue mix expands substantially with faster conversion of commercial pilot engagements
Atomic platform automation drives operating leverage ahead of schedule, reaching operating profitability by FY2029
Valuation multiple expands toward high-growth enterprise software peers such as GitLab at 7.6x EV/revenue

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($6.43). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.

Ke ↓ / g →	2.0%	2.3%	2.5%	2.8%	3.0%
11.2%	$6.80	$6.81	$6.82	$6.83	$6.84
11.7%	$6.72	$6.72	$6.73	$6.74	$6.75
12.2%	$6.41	$6.42	$6.43	$6.43	$6.44
12.7%	$6.55	$6.56	$6.56	$6.57	$6.57
13.2%	$6.47	$6.48	$6.48	$6.49	$6.49

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Refreshed 2026-10-28 19:55 UTC

Forward P/E0

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Trailing P/E0

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROE-59.8

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROIC-35.6

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Benchmarks · 1M

All AI indicators

Market & fundamental data

Available fields

214

Groups with data

Currency

USD

Showing 214 of 214 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

Metric	Value
Amount currency	USD
CIK code	0001577526
Company name	C3.ai, Inc.
Country	United States
Country code	US
CUSIP number	12468P104
Earnings date	2026-12-02
Earnings time	amc
Employees	764
Employees change	-417
Employees growth	-35.31%
Enterprise value	$1.4B
Exchange	NYSE
Financial currency	USD
Financial report date	2026-07-31
First seen	2026-05-09
Fiscal year end	April
Founded	2009
In index	RUSSELL2000
Industry	Software - Infrastructure
IPO date	2020-12-09
Is primary listing	Yes
Is SPAC	No
ISIN number	US12468P1049
Last 10-K release date	2026-06-24
Last earnings date	2026-09-02
Last refreshed	2026-10-28
Last stock split type	Never
Market cap	$2B
Market cap category	Small-Cap
Next earnings date	2026-12-02
Options	Yes
Price	$12.31
Price currency	USD
Sector	Technology
SIC code	7372
Stock price date	2026-10-28
Symbol	AI
Tags	artificial-intelligence
U.S. state	California
Website	https://www.c3.ai

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

Metric	Value
Earnings yield	-24.94%
EV/Sales	5.88x
FCF / EV yield	-11.39%
FCF yield	-7.95%
Forward EV/Sales	6x
Forward P/S	8.6x
Industry forward P/E	29.48x
Industry P/E	39.18x
P/B ratio	2.83x
P/S ratio	8.43x
Price / tangible book value	2.82x
Sector forward P/E	18.55x
Sector P/E	32.64x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

Metric	Value
EBIT margin	-198.13%
EBITDA margin	-192.39%
Gross margin	29.09%
Operating margin	-198.13%
Pretax margin	-191.81%
Profit margin	-192.1%
Profit per employee	$-584,309
Revenue per employee	$304,165
ROA	-31.22%
ROA (5Y)	-19.53%
ROCE	-61.42%
ROE	-59.77%
ROE (5Y)	-34.91%
ROIC	-35.62%
SBC / revenue	111.1%
Tax / revenue	0.29%

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

Metric	Value
EPS growth quarters	1
EPS growth years	0
Gross profit growth	-67.83%
Gross profit growth (Q)	-36.96%
Gross profit growth 3Y	-27.04%
Gross profit growth 5Y	-14.51%
Net income growth quarters	1
Net income growth years	0
Revenue growth	-37.55%
Revenue growth (Q)	-25.46%
Revenue growth (QoQ)	1.5%
Revenue growth 3Y	-5.33%
Revenue growth 5Y	3.56%
Revenue growth years	0

Financial statements

Income-statement and cash-flow amounts, totals and per share.

Metric	Value
Capital expenditures	$-1.2M
Depreciation and amortization	$13.3M
EBIT	$-460.4M
EBITDA	$-447.1M
EPS	$-3.07
FCF per share	$-0.97
Financing cash flow	$88.5M
Free cash flow	$-155.8M
Free cash flow minus SBC	$-414M
Gross profit	$67.6M
Income taxes	$685,000
Investing cash flow	$121.6M
Net cash flow	$55.5M
Net income	$-446.4M
Operating cash flow minus SBC	$-412.8M
Operating income	$-460.4M
Revenue	$232.4M
Stock-based compensation	$258.2M

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

Metric	Value
Altman Z-Score	2.33
Book value per share	$4.35
Debt / equity	0.09
Goodwill	$625,000
Long-term assets	$104.6M
Long-term liabilities	$54.8M
Net cash (debt)	$591.6M
Net cash / market cap	30.2%
Net cash growth	-8.89%
Net debt / equity	-0.85
Piotroski F-Score	1
Property, plant and equipment	$63.6M
Shareholders' equity	$694.9M
Tangible book value	$694.3M
Tangible book value per share	$4.34
Total assets	$874.8M
Total cash	$651.1M
Total debt	$59.5M
Total liabilities	$179.9M
WACC	15.31%

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

Metric	Value
Asset turnover	0.25
Current assets	$770.2M
Current liabilities	$125.1M
Current ratio	6.16
Net working capital	$-238,000
Quick ratio	5.96
Working capital	$645M
Working capital turnover	0.34

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

Metric	Value
Buyback yield / dilution	-10.43%
Dividend yield	0%
Shareholder yield	-10.43%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

Metric	Value
150-day SMA	$9.91
1D price change	0.16%
1M price change	14.41%
1M total return	14.41%
1W price change	4.23%
1W total return	4.23%
1Y price change	-33.63%
1Y return CAGR	-33.65%
1Y total return	-33.63%
20-day SMA	$11.69
200-day SMA	$10.06
3M price change	38.15%
3M total return	38.15%
3Y price change	-50.97%
3Y return CAGR	-21.14%
3Y total return	-50.97%
50-day SMA	$10.99
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA	50over200
52-week high	$18.64
52-week high date	2025-10-28
52-week low	$7.68
52-week low date	2026-03-30
5Y price change	-72.25%
5Y return CAGR	-22.62%
5Y total return	-72.25%
6M price change	38.62%
6M total return	38.62%
All-time high	$183.90
All-time high date	2020-12-23
All-time low	$7.68
All-time low date	2026-03-30
Average true range (ATR)	$0.63
Average volume	5.3M
Beta (1Y)	2.04
Beta (2Y)	2.03
Beta (5Y)	2.1
Change from 52-week high	-33.94%
Change from 52-week low	60.39%
Change from all-time high	-93.37%
Change from all-time low	58.76%
Change from open	0.57%
Day's gap	-0.41%
Dollar volume	$46.1M
High price	$12.55
Low price	$12.03
Monthly RSI	40.89
Open price	$12.24
Position in 52-week range	53.85%
Premarket change	-0.81%
Premarket close	$12.29
Premarket price	$12.19
Premarket volume	14.2K
Previous close	$12.29
Price vs 150-day SMA	22.96%
Price vs 20-day SMA	4.22%
Price vs 200-day SMA	21.17%
Price vs 50-day SMA	10.83%
Relative volume	0.71
Return from IPO open	-87.82%
Return from IPO price	-70.99%
RSI	58.87
Sharpe ratio	-0.47
Sharpe ratio (3Y)	-0.1
Sharpe ratio (5Y)	-0.02
Sortino ratio	-0.55
Sortino ratio (3Y)	-0.06
Sortino ratio (5Y)	0.05
Volume	3.7M
Weekly RSI	59.23
YTD price change	-9.61%
YTD total return	-9.61%

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

Metric	Value
Float	144.2M
Float percentage	89.71%
Shares change (QoQ)	6%
Shares change (YoY)	10.43%
Shares held by insiders	9.98%
Shares held by institutions	61.09%
Shares outstanding	160.8M
Short % of float	28.92%
Short % of shares	25.94%
Short ratio	7.9 days

Deeper analysis on AI

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

→

Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

→

Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

→

Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

→

Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

→

Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

→

Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

→

Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

→

Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

→

Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

→

Scorecard

Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this AI report

What is the latest published AI stock rating?

C3.ai, Inc. is shown with Sell in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-22. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full AI analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-22, lives at /stocks/AI/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for AI?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-10-22 gives AI a fair value of USD 6 and a potential value of USD 9. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the AI page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-10-22). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

SellAI · Fair value $6.43-45.5%

Read full analysis →

C3.ai, Inc. (AI)

Our latest published analysis: AI rated Sell

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · AI

Valuation

Profitability

Balance sheet

Trading

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

All AI indicators

Profile and market data

Valuation

Profitability

Growth

Financial statements

Financial strength

Liquidity

Dividends and buybacks

Performance and technicals

Ownership and float

Deeper analysis on AI

Frequently asked questions

Lịch sử xếp hạng

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	1.5
Management	6.5
Balance Sheet	8.5
Profitability	1.5
Revenue Growth	2.5
Risk Assessment	7.0
Competitive Moat	5.5
Earnings Quality	3.0
Capital Efficiency	2.5