Dollar General Corporation (DG)

NYSE: DG · USD

$126

-0.74 (-0.6%)· Recorded snapshot

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StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-10-05

Our latest published analysis: DG rated Buy

Dollar General Corporation's published Buy conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$146 / share

Potential value

$205 / share

Upside to FV

+22.2%

from $126

Moat

6.5/10

Narrow

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$26.4B
Revenue (ttm)	43.6B
Net income (ttm)	1.7B
EPS (ttm)	$7.70
Shares out	220.6M
P/E (trailing)	16.4x
P/E (forward)	15.3x
Dividend	$2.36 (1.87%)
Volume	1,391,054
Beta	0.23

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

Revenue (ttm): 43.6B
Net income (ttm): 1.7B
EPS (ttm): $7.70
P/E (trailing): 16.4x
P/E (forward): 15.3x
Market cap: $26.4B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2022-01-28	2023-02-03	2024-02-02	2025-01-31	2026-01-30	Trend
Revenue	$34.22B	$37.84B	$38.69B	$40.61B	$42.72B	+5.7%
Gross profit	$10.81B	$11.82B	$11.72B	$12.02B	$13.10B	+4.9%
Operating income	$3.22B	$3.33B	$2.45B	$1.71B	$2.20B	-9.1%
Net income	$2.40B	$2.42B	$1.66B	$1.13B	$1.51B	-10.9%
EPS (diluted)	$10.17	$10.68	$7.55	$5.11	$6.85	-9.4%
EBITDA	$3.86B	$4.05B	$3.30B	$2.69B	$3.24B	-4.3%
R&D	—	—	—	—	—	—
SG&A	$7.59B	$8.49B	$9.27B	$10.30B	$10.90B	+9.5%

Ticker	Name	Market cap	P/E	P/S	ROIC	5Y rev CAGR	1Y total return	Rating
ABBV	AbbVie Inc.	505.6B	80.8x	7.9x	17.7%	+3.7%	+29.1%	卖出
ABT	Abbott Laboratories	177.6B	38.2x	3.7x	7.2%	+2.7%	-17.2%	减持
ACN	Accenture plc	144.3B	18.0x	2.0x	27.9%	+8.0%	+0.4%	持有
ADM	Archer-Daniels-Midland Company	37.3B	21.2x	0.5x	5.0%	+1.8%	+28.5%	减持
BF.B	Brown-Forman Corporation Class B	12.7B	17.9x	3.3x	14.3%	+1.6%	+0.4%	买入
CAG	Conagra Brands, Inc.	6.6B	—	0.6x	9.2%	+0.2%	-18.9%	强力买入

Base and Bull scenarios

Base50%

Price target

$146.47

+22.2% from spot

In the base case, with an assigned probability of 50.0%, Dollar General delivers steady operational progress across its rural store footprint. Ongoing shrink abatement and supply chain stabilization expand operating margins toward historical normalized levels. Revenue expands modestly in line with mature small-box retail economics, while disciplined reinvestment drives free cash flow generation to fund steady debt reduction and dividend distributions. Under these conditions, the valuation points to a target of $146.47, delivering an implied return of 22.2% from the analysis price of $119.83 toward $146.47.

Comparable store sales grow at low-single-digit rates supported by steady traffic in non-discretionary consumables
Operating margin normalizes gradually toward management target framework as shrink and damage rates moderate
Capital expenditures remain disciplined to support Project Elevate store refreshes while free cash flow funds debt reduction

Bull25%

Price target

$205.22

+71.3% from spot

In the bull case, with an assigned probability of 25.0%, operational turnaround initiatives yield accelerated margin expansion. Front- and back-of-house inventory interventions curb shrink and damage losses faster than anticipated, lifting gross margins. Store refreshes under Project Elevate and expanding rapid rural delivery capture higher-income trade-in shoppers, boosting comparable store sales and driving operating margins toward the upper end of management target framework. Under this scenario, the target reaches $205.22, offering an implied return of 71.3% and realizing $205.22.

Shrink reduction outpaces baseline projections, accelerating gross margin recovery
Higher-income trade-in customers retain regular shopping habits, driving higher basket sizes
Rapid one-hour rural delivery expansion deepens market share against competitors
Operating margin reaches the upper end of management long-term target framework

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($146.47). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.

Ke ↓ / g →	2.0%	2.3%	2.5%	2.8%	3.0%
6.4%	$165	$172	$182	$192	$205
6.9%	$149	$155	$162	$169	$178
7.4%	$137	$141	$146	$152	$159
7.9%	$127	$130	$134	$139	$144
8.4%	$118	$121	$125	$128	$132

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Refreshed 2026-10-28 19:55 UTC

Forward P/E15.3

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Trailing P/E15.5

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROE19.7

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROIC8.1

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Benchmarks · 1M

All DG indicators

Market & fundamental data

Available fields

288

Groups with data

Currency

USD

Showing 288 of 288 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

Metric	Value
Amount currency	USD
CIK code	0000029534
Company name	Dollar General Corporation
Country	United States
Country code	US
CUSIP number	256677105
Earnings date	2026-12-03
Earnings time	bmo
Employees	194,000
Employees change	-200
Employees growth	-0.1%
Enterprise value	$42B
Exchange	NYSE
Financial currency	USD
Financial report date	2026-07-31
First seen	2026-05-09
Fiscal year end	January
Founded	1939
In index	SP500
Industry	Discount Stores
Is primary listing	Yes
Is SPAC	No
ISIN number	US2566771059
Last 10-K release date	2026-03-20
Last earnings date	2026-08-27
Last refreshed	2026-10-28
Last stock split type	Never
Market cap	$27.8B
Market cap category	Large-Cap
Next earnings date	2026-12-03
Options	Yes
Price	$126.12
Price currency	USD
Sector	Consumer Staples
SIC code	5331
Stock price date	2026-10-28
Symbol	DG
U.S. state	Tennessee
Website	https://www.dollargeneral.com

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

Metric	Value
Adjusted P/E ratio	16.95x
Average P/E ratio (10Y)	18.89x
Average P/E ratio (3Y)	17.13x
Average P/E ratio (5Y)	18.9x
Earnings yield	6.11%
EV/Earnings	24.71x
EV/EBIT	16.85x
EV/EBITDA	11.75x
EV/FCF	20.93x
EV/Sales	0.96x
FCF / EV yield	4.78%
FCF yield	7.21%
Forward EV/Sales	0.93x
Forward P/E	15.78x
Forward P/S	0.61x
Graham number	85.41682
Graham upside	-32.46%
Industry forward P/E	36.27x
Industry P/E	38.52x
Lynch fair value	$38.51
Lynch upside	-69.55%
P/(FCF - SBC) ratio	14.6x
P/(OCF - SBC) ratio	8.67x
P/B ratio	3.01x
P/E ratio	16.38x
P/FCF ratio	13.88x
P/OCF ratio	8.41x
P/S ratio	0.64x
PEG ratio	1.4x
Price / tangible book value	7.44x
Price/EBITDA ratio	7.79x
Sector forward P/E	21.33x
Sector P/E	28.29x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

Metric	Value
EBIT margin	5.72%
EBITDA margin	8.21%
Effective tax rate	23.72%
FCF margin	4.61%
Gross margin	31.16%
Operating margin	5.72%
Pretax margin	5.12%
Profit margin	3.9%
Profit per employee	$8,780
Profitable quarters	71
Profitable years	18
Revenue per employee	$224,938
ROA	4.89%
ROA (5Y)	5.77%
ROCE	10.03%
ROE	19.69%
ROE (5Y)	28%
ROIC	8.15%
ROIC (5Y)	9.37%
SBC / revenue	0.23%
Tax / revenue	1.21%

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

Metric	Value
EPS growth	42.58%
EPS growth (Q)	33.33%
EPS growth (QoQ)	24%
EPS growth 10Y	6.06%
EPS growth 3Y	-7.61%
EPS growth 5Y	-5.89%
EPS growth quarters	6
EPS growth years	1
FCF growth	8.68%
FCF growth (Q)	-33.83%
FCF growth (QoQ)	2.49%
FCF growth 3Y	178.06%
FCF growth 5Y	11.55%
Gross profit growth	8.12%
Gross profit growth (Q)	9.5%
Gross profit growth 3Y	4.16%
Gross profit growth 5Y	4.72%
Net income growth	43.01%
Net income growth (Q)	33.76%
Net income growth (QoQ)	23.91%
Net income growth 3Y	-7.73%
Net income growth 5Y	-7.62%
Net income growth quarters	6
Net income growth years	1
OCF growth	5.01%
OCF growth (Q)	-19.34%
OCF growth (QoQ)	8.98%
OCF growth 10Y	7.56%
OCF growth 3Y	23.44%
OCF growth 5Y	7.72%
Operating income growth	22.75%
Operating income growth (Q)	29.18%
Operating income growth 3Y	-7%
Operating income growth 5Y	-6.02%
Revenue growth	4.77%
Revenue growth (Q)	5.25%
Revenue growth (QoQ)	4.67%
Revenue growth 10Y	7.58%
Revenue growth 3Y	3.99%
Revenue growth 5Y	5.33%
Revenue growth quarters	10
Revenue growth years	17

Financial statements

Income-statement and cash-flow amounts, totals and per share.

Metric	Value
Capital expenditures	$-1.3B
Depreciation and amortization	$1.1B
EBIT	$2.5B
EBITDA	$3.6B
EPS	$7.70
FCF per share	$9.11
Financing cash flow	$-1.7B
Free cash flow	$2B
Free cash flow minus SBC	$1.9B
Gross profit	$13.6B
Income taxes	$529.5M
Investing cash flow	$-1.3B
Net borrowing	$-1.2B
Net cash flow	$305M
Net income	$1.7B
Operating cash flow minus SBC	$3.2B
Operating income	$2.5B
Revenue	$43.6B
Stock-based compensation	$99.7M

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

Metric	Value
Altman Z-Score	2.59
Book value per share	$42.10
Debt / EBITDA	2.62
Debt / equity	1.7
Debt / FCF	7.84
Goodwill	$4.3B
Interest coverage	12.59
Long-term assets	$23.4B
Long-term liabilities	$15.6B
Net cash (debt)	$-14.2B
Net cash / market cap	-50.84%
Net debt / EBITDA	3.96
Net debt / equity	1.53
Net debt / FCF	7.05
Piotroski F-Score	7
Property, plant and equipment	$17.8B
Shareholders' equity	$9.3B
Tangible book value	$3.7B
Tangible book value per share	$17.00
Total assets	$32.2B
Total cash	$1.6B
Total debt	$15.8B
Total liabilities	$22.9B
WACC	3.86%

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

Metric	Value
Asset turnover	1.37
Current assets	$8.8B
Current liabilities	$7.3B
Current ratio	1.21
Inventory turnover	4.56
Net working capital	$1.5B
Quick ratio	0.23
Working capital	$1.5B
Working capital turnover	27.16

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

Metric	Value
Buyback yield / dilution	-0.49%
Dividend growth	0%
Dividend growth (10Y)	9.3%
Dividend growth (3Y)	0.57%
Dividend growth (5Y)	7.82%
Dividend growth years	0
Dividend payment date	2026-10-20
Dividend payment years	12
Dividend payout frequency	Quarterly
Dividend per share	$2.36
Dividend yield	1.87%
Ex-dividend date	2026-10-06
FCF payout ratio	25.89%
Last dividend	$0.59
Payout ratio	30.64%
Shareholder yield	1.37%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

Metric	Value
10Y price change	86.98%
10Y return CAGR	7.93%
10Y total return	114.53%
150-day SMA	$119.79
15Y price change	217.12%
15Y return CAGR	9.15%
15Y total return	271.64%
1D price change	-0.58%
1M price change	1.03%
1M total return	1.53%
1W price change	-6.01%
1W total return	-6.01%
1Y price change	22.72%
1Y return CAGR	25.1%
1Y total return	25.08%
20-day SMA	$127.83
200-day SMA	$125.96
3M price change	2.35%
3M total return	2.86%
3Y price change	5.7%
3Y return CAGR	4.06%
3Y total return	12.69%
50-day SMA	$125.98
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA	50over200
52-week high	$158.23
52-week high date	2026-02-26
52-week low	$95.11
52-week low date	2025-11-07
5Y price change	-42.77%
5Y return CAGR	-9%
5Y total return	-37.58%
6M price change	7.47%
6M total return	8.56%
All-time high	$262.21
All-time high date	2022-04-21
All-time low	$21.30
All-time low date	2010-02-05
Average true range (ATR)	$4.45
Average volume	2M
Beta (1Y)	0.95
Beta (2Y)	-0.01
Beta (5Y)	0.23
Change from 52-week high	-20.29%
Change from 52-week low	32.6%
Change from all-time high	-51.9%
Change from all-time low	492.11%
Change from open	-0.3%
Day's gap	-0.28%
Dollar volume	$175.4M
High price	$127.00
Low price	$125.16
Monthly RSI	51.84
Open price	$126.50
Position in 52-week range	52.17%
Premarket change	-0.95%
Premarket close	$126.86
Premarket price	$125.66
Premarket volume	1.4K
Previous close	$126.86
Price vs 150-day SMA	5.29%
Price vs 20-day SMA	-1.34%
Price vs 200-day SMA	0.12%
Price vs 50-day SMA	0.11%
Relative volume	0.68
RSI	47.15
Sharpe ratio	0.67
Sharpe ratio (3Y)	0.23
Sharpe ratio (5Y)	-0.15
Sortino ratio	1.2
Sortino ratio (3Y)	0.44
Sortino ratio (5Y)	-0.06
Volume	1.4M
Weekly RSI	51.28
YTD price change	-5.01%
YTD total return	-3.18%

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

Metric	Value
Float	218.6M
Float percentage	99.1%
Shares change (QoQ)	-0.02%
Shares change (YoY)	0.49%
Shares held by insiders	0.23%
Shares held by institutions	99.47%
Shares outstanding	220.6M
Short % of float	3.04%
Short % of shares	3.02%
Short ratio	2.6 days

Deeper analysis on DG

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

→

Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

→

Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

→

Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

→

Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

→

Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

→

Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

→

Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

→

Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

→

Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

→

Scorecard

Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this DG report

What is the latest published DG stock rating?

Dollar General Corporation is shown with Buy in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-05. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full DG analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-05, lives at /stocks/DG/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for DG?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-10-05 gives DG a fair value of USD 146 and a potential value of USD 205. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the DG page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-10-05). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

BuyDG · Fair value $146+22.2%

Read full analysis →

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	7.5
Management	7.5
Balance Sheet	3.5
Profitability	6.0
Revenue Growth	6.0
Risk Assessment	7.0
Competitive Moat	6.5
Earnings Quality	9.0
Capital Efficiency	6.5

Dollar General Corporation (DG)

Our latest published analysis: DG rated Buy

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · DG

Valuation

Profitability

Balance sheet

Trading

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

All DG indicators

Profile and market data

Valuation

Profitability

Growth

Financial statements

Financial strength

Liquidity

Dividends and buybacks

Performance and technicals

Ownership and float

Deeper analysis on DG

Frequently asked questions

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