Johnson Controls International plc (JCI)

NYSE: JCI · USD

$157

+1.47 (+0.9%)· Recorded snapshot

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StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-10-02

Our latest published analysis: JCI rated Sell

Johnson Controls International plc's published Sell conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$86.3 / share

Potential value

$115 / share

Upside to FV

-43.1%

from $157

Moat

7.2/10

Narrow

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$91.9B
Revenue (ttm)	25.7B
Net income (ttm)	2.9B
EPS (ttm)	$4.68
Shares out	605.7M
P/E (trailing)	33.7x
P/E (forward)	23.9x
Dividend	$1.60 (1.01%)
Volume	4,300,780
Beta	1.28

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

Revenue (ttm): 25.7B
Net income (ttm): 2.9B
EPS (ttm): $4.68
P/E (trailing): 33.7x
P/E (forward): 23.9x
Market cap: $91.9B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2022-09-30	2023-09-30	2024-09-30	2025-09-30	2026-09-30	Trend
Revenue	$20.64B	$22.33B	$22.95B	$23.60B	—	+4.6%
Gross profit	$7.09B	$7.80B	$8.08B	$8.59B	—	+6.6%
Operating income	$1.33B	$1.36B	$1.98B	$2.29B	—	+19.7%
Net income	$1.53B	$1.85B	$1.71B	$3.29B	—	+29.0%
EPS (diluted)	$2.19	$2.69	$2.52	$5.03	$3.50	+12.4%
EBITDA	$2.05B	$2.10B	$2.80B	$3.15B	—	+15.4%
R&D	$236.0M	$251.0M	$267.0M	$273.0M	—	+5.0%
SG&A	$5.08B	$5.39B	$5.66B	$5.76B	—	+4.3%

Ticker	Name	Market cap	P/E	P/S	ROIC	5Y rev CAGR	1Y total return	Rating
ABBV	AbbVie Inc.	505.6B	80.8x	7.9x	17.7%	+3.7%	+29.1%	卖出
ABT	Abbott Laboratories	177.6B	38.2x	3.7x	7.2%	+2.7%	-17.2%	减持
ACN	Accenture plc	144.3B	18.0x	2.0x	27.9%	+8.0%	+0.4%	持有
AAL	American Airlines Group Inc.	8.3B	—	0.1x	3.0%	+20.0%	-6.9%	持有
ADP	Automatic Data Processing, Inc.	113B	25.3x	5.1x	62.8%	+7.7%	+4.5%	持有
ALLE	Allegion plc	15.2B	22.5x	3.5x	19.4%	+8.8%	+7.2%	持有

Base and Bull scenarios

Base60%

Price target

$86.32

-43.1% from spot

Under the modal base case, commercial HVAC replacement demand and energy efficiency retrofits sustain mid-single-digit organic growth in the Americas, while European decarbonization directives counterbalance sluggish Asian commercial construction. Operating margins improve steadily through corporate simplification, but remain below peer leaders. The base scenario aligns with house Fair value of $86.32 against $151.77 (as of 2026-10-01) of $151.77, reflecting an implied return of -43.1% with an estimated probability of 60.0%.

Americas Building Solutions maintains steady commercial HVAC replacement volume and institutional retrofit demand.
Gross margins remain resilient against peer competition, but operating margin expansion is bounded by restructuring outlays.
European energy transition tailwinds counterbalance property market headwinds across Asian markets.

Bull15%

Price target

$114.56

-24.5% from spot

In the bull case, accelerated non-residential building modernization, data center liquid cooling adoption, and heightened service attach rates expand operating margins toward peer benchmarks. Consolidated revenue tracks the upper end of analyst expectations, while normalized working capital restores free cash flow conversion. The bull scenario targets Potential value of $114.56 compared to $151.77 (as of 2026-10-01) of $151.77, implying an expected return of -24.5% with a probability of 15.0%.

Americas Building Solutions expands through commercial building decarbonization and mission-critical cooling demand.
Gross margins hold steady while corporate overhead reductions move operating margins closer to diversified industrial peer benchmarks.
Working capital normalizes, restoring operating cash conversion toward historical peaks and funding ongoing share retirements.

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($86.32). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.

Ke ↓ / g →	2.0%	2.3%	2.5%	2.8%	3.0%
8.9%	$92.9	$94.3	$95.9	$97.5	$99.3
9.4%	$88.7	$89.9	$91.2	$92.6	$94.2
9.9%	$85.0	$86.0	$86.3	$88.3	$89.6
10.4%	$81.6	$82.5	$83.5	$84.5	$85.6
10.9%	$78.6	$79.4	$80.2	$81.1	$82.1

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Refreshed 2026-10-28 19:55 UTC

Forward P/E23.9

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Trailing P/E42

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROE21.7

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROIC15.1

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Benchmarks · 1M

All JCI indicators

Market & fundamental data

Available fields

287

Groups with data

Currency

USD

Showing 287 of 287 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

Metric	Value
Amount currency	USD
CIK code	0000833444
Company name	Johnson Controls International plc
Country	Ireland
Country code	US
CUSIP number	G51502105
Earnings date	2026-10-27
Earnings time	bmo
Employees	87,000
Employees change	-7,000
Employees growth	-7.45%
Enterprise value	$104B
Exchange	NYSE
Financial currency	USD
Financial report date	2026-09-30
First seen	2026-05-09
Fiscal year end	September
Founded	1885
In index	SP500
Industry	Building Products & Equipment
Is primary listing	Yes
Is SPAC	No
ISIN number	IE00BY7QL619
Last 10-K release date	2025-11-14
Last earnings date	2026-10-27
Last refreshed	2026-10-28
Last stock split date	2007-10-03
Last stock split type	Forward
Market cap	$95.3B
Market cap category	Large-Cap
Next earnings date	2027-02-03
Options	Yes
Price	$157.35
Price currency	USD
Sector	Industrials
SIC code	3585
Stock price date	2026-10-28
Symbol	JCI
Website	https://www.johnsoncontrols.com

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

Metric	Value
Adjusted P/E ratio	30.49x
Average P/E ratio (10Y)	24.18x
Average P/E ratio (3Y)	25.64x
Average P/E ratio (5Y)	27.11x
Earnings yield	2.97%
EV/Earnings	36.51x
EV/EBIT	26.01x
EV/EBITDA	22.36x
EV/FCF	31.48x
EV/Sales	4.06x
FCF / EV yield	3.18%
FCF yield	3.46%
Forward EV/Sales	3.66x
Forward P/E	24.71x
Forward P/S	3.36x
Graham number	48.61031
Graham upside	-69.17%
Industry forward P/E	21.59x
Industry P/E	36.83x
Lynch fair value	$54.94
Lynch upside	-65.15%
P/(FCF - SBC) ratio	29.99x
P/(OCF - SBC) ratio	26.17x
P/B ratio	6.94x
P/E ratio	33.65x
P/FCF ratio	28.86x
P/OCF ratio	25.31x
P/S ratio	3.72x
PEG ratio	1.22x
Price/EBITDA ratio	20.5x
Sector forward P/E	26.24x
Sector P/E	40.28x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

Metric	Value
EBIT margin	15.6%
EBITDA margin	18.15%
Effective tax rate	15.65%
FCF margin	12.89%
Gross margin	37.07%
Operating margin	15.6%
Pretax margin	13.35%
Profit margin	11.12%
Profit per employee	$32,793
Profitable quarters	9
Profitable years	9
Revenue per employee	$295,011
ROA	6.41%
ROA (5Y)	4.45%
ROCE	14.68%
ROE	21.73%
ROE (5Y)	11.46%
ROIC	15.13%
ROIC (5Y)	10.53%
SBC / revenue	0.48%
Tax / revenue	2.09%

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

Metric	Value
EPS growth	-7.05%
EPS growth (Q)	-40.26%
EPS growth (QoQ)	29.73%
EPS growth 3Y	20.27%
EPS growth 5Y	15.53%
EPS growth quarters	4
EPS growth years	1
FCF growth	242.9%
FCF growth (QoQ)	-9.72%
FCF growth 3Y	23.07%
FCF growth 5Y	11.33%
Gross profit growth	10.74%
Gross profit growth (Q)	15.06%
Gross profit growth 3Y	6.83%
Gross profit growth 5Y	3.38%
Net income growth	-13.31%
Net income growth (Q)	-42.88%
Net income growth (QoQ)	29.11%
Net income growth 3Y	15.55%
Net income growth 5Y	11.75%
Net income growth quarters	4
Net income growth years	1
OCF growth	169.76%
OCF growth (QoQ)	0.85%
OCF growth 10Y	7.06%
OCF growth 3Y	19.33%
OCF growth 5Y	8.7%
Operating income growth	34.76%
Operating income growth (Q)	46.25%
Operating income growth 3Y	18.33%
Operating income growth 5Y	7.61%
Revenue growth	8.77%
Revenue growth (Q)	10.42%
Revenue growth (QoQ)	7.54%
Revenue growth 10Y	2.11%
Revenue growth 3Y	4.75%
Revenue growth 5Y	1.63%
Revenue growth quarters	8
Revenue growth years	3

Financial statements

Income-statement and cash-flow amounts, totals and per share.

Metric	Value
Capital expenditures	$-465M
Depreciation and amortization	$654M
EBIT	$4B
EBITDA	$4.7B
EPS	$4.68
FCF per share	$5.46
Financing cash flow	$-3B
Free cash flow	$3.3B
Free cash flow minus SBC	$3.2B
Gross profit	$9.5B
Income taxes	$536M
Investing cash flow	$-623M
Net borrowing	$-484M
Net cash flow	$232M
Net income	$2.9B
Operating cash flow minus SBC	$3.7B
Operating income	$4B
Revenue	$25.7B
Stock-based compensation	$124M

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

Metric	Value
Book value per share	$22.46
Debt / EBITDA	1.99
Debt / equity	0.68
Debt / FCF	2.8
Goodwill	$16.6B
Interest coverage	14.35
Long-term assets	$28.5B
Long-term liabilities	$13.6B
Net cash (debt)	$-8.7B
Net cash / market cap	-9.07%
Net debt / EBITDA	1.86
Net debt / equity	0.63
Net debt / FCF	2.62
Piotroski F-Score	7
Property, plant and equipment	$2.1B
Shareholders' equity	$13.6B
Tangible book value	$-6.5B
Tangible book value per share	$-10.74
Total assets	$40.2B
Total cash	$618M
Total debt	$9.3B
Total liabilities	$26.6B
WACC	10.52%

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

Metric	Value
Asset turnover	0.66
Current assets	$11.7B
Current liabilities	$12.9B
Current ratio	0.9
Inventory turnover	8.46
Net working capital	$-115M
Quick ratio	0.61
Working capital	$-1.2B
Working capital turnover	-25.41

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

Metric	Value
Buyback yield / dilution	6.59%
Dividend growth	5.96%
Dividend growth (10Y)	3.27%
Dividend growth (3Y)	3.34%
Dividend growth (5Y)	8.38%
Dividend growth years	5
Dividend payment date	2026-10-16
Dividend payment years	56
Dividend payout frequency	Quarterly
Dividend per share	$1.60
Dividend yield	1.02%
Ex-dividend date	2026-09-21
FCF payout ratio	29.29%
Last dividend	$0.40
Payout ratio	34.22%
Shareholder yield	7.6%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

Metric	Value
10Y price change	257.53%
10Y return CAGR	17.48%
10Y total return	400.82%
150-day SMA	$143.89
15Y price change	373.23%
15Y return CAGR	14.31%
15Y total return	643.6%
1D price change	0.94%
1M price change	4.76%
1M total return	4.76%
1W price change	4.19%
1W total return	4.19%
1Y price change	39.19%
1Y return CAGR	40.9%
1Y total return	40.87%
20-day SMA	$152.16
200-day SMA	$140.69
20Y price change	471.29%
20Y return CAGR	12.15%
20Y total return	890.11%
3M price change	9.74%
3M total return	10.04%
3Y price change	226.39%
3Y return CAGR	50.88%
3Y total return	243.57%
50-day SMA	$147.01
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA	50over200
52-week high	$160.41
52-week high date	2026-10-06
52-week low	$108.41
52-week low date	2026-01-06
5Y price change	119.36%
5Y return CAGR	19.36%
5Y total return	142.24%
6M price change	9.74%
6M total return	10.36%
All-time high	$160.41
All-time high date	2026-10-06
All-time low	$0.14
All-time low date	1974-12-05
Average true range (ATR)	$4.78
Average volume	3.6M
Beta (1Y)	0.43
Beta (2Y)	1.02
Beta (5Y)	1.28
Change from 52-week high	-1.91%
Change from 52-week low	45.14%
Change from all-time high	-1.91%
Change from all-time low	111,813.23%
Change from open	-0.71%
Day's gap	1.67%
Dollar volume	$676.7M
High price	$160.00
Low price	$156.38
Monthly RSI	70.8
Open price	$158.48
Position in 52-week range	26.8%
Premarket change	1.35%
Premarket close	$155.88
Premarket price	$157.99
Premarket volume	6.1K
Previous close	$155.88
Price vs 150-day SMA	9.36%
Price vs 20-day SMA	3.41%
Price vs 200-day SMA	11.84%
Price vs 50-day SMA	7.04%
Relative volume	1.2
RSI	59.65
Sharpe ratio	1.12
Sharpe ratio (3Y)	1.42
Sharpe ratio (5Y)	0.6
Sortino ratio	1.85
Sortino ratio (3Y)	2.33
Sortino ratio (5Y)	1.06
Volume	4.3M
Weekly RSI	59.96
YTD price change	31.4%
YTD total return	32.54%

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

Metric	Value
Float	603.8M
Float percentage	99.68%
Shares change (QoQ)	-0.33%
Shares change (YoY)	-6.59%
Shares held by insiders	0.2%
Shares held by institutions	91.76%
Shares outstanding	605.7M
Short % of float	1.52%
Short % of shares	1.52%
Short ratio	2.8 days

Other indicators

Additional ticker metrics that do not fit the primary research groupings.

Metric	Value
Page views	108

Deeper analysis on JCI

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

→

Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

→

Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

→

Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

→

Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

→

Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

→

Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

→

Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

→

Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

→

Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

→

Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this JCI report

What is the latest published JCI stock rating?

Johnson Controls International plc is shown with Sell in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-02. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full JCI analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-02, lives at /stocks/JCI/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for JCI?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-10-02 gives JCI a fair value of USD 86 and a potential value of USD 115. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the JCI page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-10-02). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

SellJCI · Fair value $86.3-43.1%

Read full analysis →

Johnson Controls International plc (JCI)

Our latest published analysis: JCI rated Sell

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · JCI

Valuation

Profitability

Balance sheet

Trading

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

All JCI indicators

Profile and market data

Valuation

Profitability

Growth

Financial statements

Financial strength

Liquidity

Dividends and buybacks

Performance and technicals

Ownership and float

Other indicators

Deeper analysis on JCI

Frequently asked questions

评级历史

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	1.5
Management	7.5
Balance Sheet	6.0
Profitability	5.5
Revenue Growth	6.0
Risk Assessment	6.5
Competitive Moat	7.2
Earnings Quality	3.5
Capital Efficiency	5.5