Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW)

NYSE: LW · USD

$53.3

-0.45 (-0.8%)· Recorded snapshot

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StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-10-17

Our latest published analysis: LW rated Hold

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.'s published Hold conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$59.5 / share

Potential value

$79.0 / share

Upside to FV

+11.0%

from $53.3

Moat

6.5/10

Narrow

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$7.4B
Revenue (ttm)	6.6B
Net income (ttm)	254.8M
EPS (ttm)	$1.83
Shares out	137.8M
P/E (trailing)	29.1x
P/E (forward)	14.7x
Dividend	$1.52 (2.85%)
Volume	1,223,836
Beta	0.47

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

Revenue (ttm): 6.6B
Net income (ttm): 254.8M
EPS (ttm): $1.83
P/E (trailing): 29.1x
P/E (forward): 14.7x
Market cap: $7.4B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2022-05-29	2023-05-28	2024-05-26	2025-05-25	2026-05-31	Trend
Revenue	$4.10B	$5.35B	$6.47B	$6.45B	$6.61B	+12.7%
Gross profit	$832.0M	$1.43B	$1.77B	$1.40B	$1.36B	+13.1%
Operating income	$444.4M	$882.1M	$1.07B	$665.1M	$591.1M	+7.4%
Net income	$200.9M	$1.01B	$725.5M	$357.2M	$290.0M	+9.6%
EPS (diluted)	$1.38	$6.95	$4.98	$2.50	$2.08	+10.8%
EBITDA	$625.8M	$1.10B	$1.37B	$1.07B	$987.8M	+12.1%
R&D	$16.2M	$17.2M	$26.4M	$22.0M	$18.9M	+3.9%
SG&A	$387.6M	$550.0M	$701.4M	$633.5M	$664.6M	+14.4%

Ticker	Name	Market cap	P/E	P/S	ROIC	5Y rev CAGR	1Y total return	Rating
AAPL	Apple Inc.	5T	39.4x	10.8x	101.6%	+6.1%	+28.5%	卖出
ABNB	Airbnb, Inc.	97.8B	37.5x	7.4x	16.8%	+24.4%	+28.5%	卖出
ADBE	Adobe Inc.	97.1B	13.9x	3.7x	57.2%	+11.5%	-30.7%	强力买入
ADM	Archer-Daniels-Midland Company	37.3B	21.2x	0.5x	5.0%	+1.8%	+28.5%	减持
BF.B	Brown-Forman Corporation Class B	12.7B	17.9x	3.3x	14.3%	+1.6%	+0.4%	买入
CAG	Conagra Brands, Inc.	6.6B	—	0.6x	9.2%	+0.2%	-18.9%	强力买入

Base and Bull scenarios

Bull20%

Price target

$79.04

+47.5% from spot

Under the Bull scenario, global quick-service restaurant foot traffic inflects strongly upward, led by successful value meal campaigns and accelerated international restaurant openings among key accounts including McDonald's. European foodservice demand rebounds sharply from Q1 FY2027 declines, eliminating industry factory underutilization. Favorable potato crop yields in upcoming harvests significantly reduce open-market potato costs, while non-potato inflation abates. Robust pricing realization combines with organizational cost savings to restore operating margins toward historical peak levels, generating substantial excess free cash flow for accelerated share repurchases and balance sheet deleveraging.

Consolidated revenue growth accelerates into mid-single-digit territory annually driven by international volume rebound and market share gains.
Operating margin expands rapidly toward historical highs as raw potato input costs moderate and global capacity utilization nears full operating capacity.
Annual free cash flow expands substantially, enabling rapid balance sheet deleveraging below target leverage thresholds and enhanced capital returns.
Valuation multiple expands toward upper-quartile branded packaged food peers on forward earnings.

Base55%

Price target

$59.50

+11.0% from spot

Under the Base scenario, Lamb Weston delivers low-single-digit revenue growth and gradual operating margin normalization in line with the house forecast. North American foodservice volume growth remains steady at 1.5% to 3.0% over FY2027-FY2031, while pricing headwinds subside as contract negotiations conclude. International segment operations stabilize following capacity rationalization in Europe. Operating margin recovers from 8.94% in FY2026 to 9.5% in FY2027 and reaches 11.5% by FY2031. Accrual capital expenditures normalize to $330M-$350M annually, driving strong free cash flow generation and steady balance sheet deleveraging.

Consolidated net sales expand modestly in FY2027 and FY2028, accelerating into low-single-digit gains across FY2029-FY2030 before moderating in FY2031.
Consolidated operating margin normalizes from trough FY2026 levels across FY2027 and FY2028, reaching target double-digit margins by FY2031 as cost savings offset input inflation.

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($59.50). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.

Ke ↓ / g →	2.0%	2.3%	2.5%	2.8%	3.0%
6.5%	$65.6	$67.9	$70.5	$73.5	$76.8
7.0%	$60.6	$62.4	$64.4	$66.7	$69.2
7.5%	$56.5	$57.9	$59.5	$61.3	$63.2
8.0%	$53.0	$54.2	$55.5	$56.9	$58.4
8.5%	$50.0	$51.0	$52.0	$53.2	$54.5

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Refreshed 2026-10-28 19:55 UTC

Forward P/E14.7

P25 10.3P50 14.8P75 20.4

Trailing P/E29.6

P25 12.9P50 18.4P75 30.4

ROE14.2

P25 -19P50 5.1P75 16.5

ROIC8.5

P25 -7P50 6.6P75 13.4

All LW indicators

Market & fundamental data

Available fields

277

Groups with data

Currency

USD

Showing 277 of 277 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

Metric	Value
Amount currency	USD
CIK code	0001679273
Company name	Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.
Country	United States
Country code	US
CUSIP number	513272104
Earnings date	2026-12-18
Earnings time	bmo
Employees	10,000
Employees change	-100
Employees growth	-0.99%
Enterprise value	$11.1B
Exchange	NYSE
Financial currency	USD
Financial report date	2026-08-30
First seen	2026-05-09
Fiscal year end	May
Founded	1950
Industry	Packaged Foods
Is primary listing	Yes
Is SPAC	No
ISIN number	US5132721045
Last 10-K release date	2026-07-24
Last earnings date	2026-10-06
Last refreshed	2026-10-28
Last stock split type	Never
Market cap	$7.3B
Market cap category	Mid-Cap
Next earnings date	2026-12-18
Options	Yes
Price	$53.34
Price currency	USD
Sector	Consumer Staples
SIC code	2030
Stock price date	2026-10-28
Symbol	LW
U.S. state	Idaho
Website	https://www.lambweston.com

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

Metric	Value
Adjusted P/E ratio	17.6x
Average P/E ratio (10Y)	25.22x
Average P/E ratio (3Y)	20.85x
Average P/E ratio (5Y)	24.6x
Earnings yield	3.43%
EV/Earnings	43.66x
EV/EBIT	16.56x
EV/EBITDA	10.41x
EV/FCF	27.01x
EV/Sales	1.68x
FCF / EV yield	3.7%
FCF yield	5.62%
Forward EV/Sales	1.67x
Forward P/E	16.02x
Forward P/S	1.1x
Graham number	23.2491
Graham upside	-56.33%
Industry forward P/E	12.41x
Industry P/E	68.48x
Lynch fair value	$9.16
Lynch upside	-82.8%
P/(FCF - SBC) ratio	20.31x
P/(OCF - SBC) ratio	9.47x
P/B ratio	4.1x
P/E ratio	29.12x
P/FCF ratio	17.81x
P/OCF ratio	8.88x
P/S ratio	1.11x
PEG ratio	1.9x
Price / tangible book value	18.03x
Price/EBITDA ratio	6.86x
Sector forward P/E	21.27x
Sector P/E	28.13x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

Metric	Value
EBIT margin	10.14%
EBITDA margin	16.14%
Effective tax rate	27.59%
FCF margin	6.22%
Gross margin	20.2%
Operating margin	10.14%
Pretax margin	5.31%
Profit margin	3.85%
Profit per employee	$25,480
Profitable quarters	7
Profitable years	14
Revenue per employee	$662,330
ROA	5.77%
ROA (5Y)	8%
ROCE	11.36%
ROE	14.17%
ROE (5Y)	48.71%
ROIC	8.54%
ROIC (5Y)	13.3%
SBC / revenue	0.77%
Tax / revenue	1.47%

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

Metric	Value
EPS growth	-11.82%
EPS growth (Q)	-54.35%
EPS growth (QoQ)	-73.47%
EPS growth 10Y	-1.04%
EPS growth 3Y	-35.88%
EPS growth 5Y	0.91%
EPS growth years	0
FCF growth	-17.65%
FCF growth (Q)	-46.76%
FCF growth (QoQ)	-27.35%
FCF growth 3Y	69.82%
FCF growth 5Y	9.73%
Gross profit growth	-8.37%
Gross profit growth (Q)	-8.65%
Gross profit growth 3Y	-7.82%
Gross profit growth 5Y	11.69%
Net income growth	-13.36%
Net income growth (Q)	-54.74%
Net income growth (QoQ)	-73.45%
Net income growth 3Y	-36.85%
Net income growth 5Y	-0.27%
Net income growth years	0
OCF growth	-7.24%
OCF growth (Q)	-33.3%
OCF growth (QoQ)	-32.39%
OCF growth 10Y	8.6%
OCF growth 3Y	-2.98%
OCF growth 5Y	12.2%
Operating income growth	-20.75%
Operating income growth (Q)	-20.55%
Operating income growth 3Y	-14.11%
Operating income growth 5Y	11.09%
Revenue growth	2.58%
Revenue growth (Q)	0.66%
Revenue growth (QoQ)	-5.64%
Revenue growth 10Y	8.16%
Revenue growth 3Y	3.99%
Revenue growth 5Y	11.85%
Revenue growth quarters	7
Revenue growth years	1

Financial statements

Income-statement and cash-flow amounts, totals and per share.

Metric	Value
Capital expenditures	$-413.8M
Depreciation and amortization	$397.3M
EBIT	$671.8M
EBITDA	$1.1B
EPS	$1.83
FCF per share	$2.99
Financing cash flow	$-366.9M
Free cash flow	$411.9M
Free cash flow minus SBC	$361.2M
Gross profit	$1.3B
Income taxes	$97.1M
Investing cash flow	$-394.8M
Net borrowing	$-49M
Net cash flow	$67.7M
Net income	$254.8M
Operating cash flow minus SBC	$775M
Operating income	$671.8M
Revenue	$6.6B
Stock-based compensation	$50.7M

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

Metric	Value
Altman Z-Score	2.62
Book value per share	$13.11
Debt / EBITDA	3.67
Debt / equity	2.19
Debt / FCF	9.61
Goodwill	$1.1B
Interest coverage	3.75
Long-term assets	$5.3B
Long-term liabilities	$4.1B
Net cash (debt)	$-3.8B
Net cash / market cap	-51.67%
Net debt / EBITDA	3.55
Net debt / equity	2.1
Net debt / FCF	9.2
Piotroski F-Score	6
Property, plant and equipment	$3.7B
Shareholders' equity	$1.8B
Tangible book value	$406.8M
Tangible book value per share	$2.95
Total assets	$7.3B
Total cash	$166.3M
Total debt	$4B
Total liabilities	$5.5B
WACC	5.6%

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

Metric	Value
Asset turnover	0.91
Current assets	$2B
Current liabilities	$1.4B
Current ratio	1.45
Inventory turnover	5.65
Net working capital	$852.7M
Quick ratio	0.68
Working capital	$640.8M
Working capital turnover	10.55

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

Metric	Value
Buyback yield / dilution	2.07%
Dividend growth	2.7%
Dividend growth (3Y)	10.72%
Dividend growth (5Y)	10.09%
Dividend growth years	8
Dividend payment date	2026-12-04
Dividend payment years	10
Dividend payout frequency	Quarterly
Dividend per share	$1.52
Dividend yield	2.85%
Ex-dividend date	2026-11-06
FCF payout ratio	50.84%
Last dividend	$0.38
Payout ratio	82.98%
Shareholder yield	4.92%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

Metric	Value
150-day SMA	$46.86
1D price change	-0.83%
1M price change	22.05%
1M total return	22.05%
1W price change	-1.1%
1W total return	-1.1%
1Y price change	-20.1%
1Y return CAGR	-17.64%
1Y total return	-17.63%
20-day SMA	$50.78
200-day SMA	$46.48
3M price change	0.15%
3M total return	0.89%
3Y price change	-40.16%
3Y return CAGR	-13.68%
3Y total return	-35.7%
50-day SMA	$49.90
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA	50over200
52-week high	$66.56
52-week high date	2025-10-28
52-week low	$37.62
52-week low date	2026-04-02
5Y price change	-7.42%
5Y return CAGR	0.41%
5Y total return	2.05%
6M price change	22.78%
6M total return	24.79%
All-time high	$117.38
All-time high date	2023-07-25
All-time low	$28.75
All-time low date	2016-11-14
Average true range (ATR)	$1.70
Average volume	3M
Beta (1Y)	0.2
Beta (2Y)	0.29
Beta (5Y)	0.47
Change from 52-week high	-19.87%
Change from 52-week low	41.77%
Change from all-time high	-54.69%
Change from all-time low	85.01%
Change from open	-0.27%
Day's gap	-0.56%
Dollar volume	$65.3M
High price	$53.53
Low price	$52.86
Monthly RSI	47.75
Open price	$53.48
Position in 52-week range	70.9%
Premarket change	-0.06%
Premarket close	$53.78
Premarket price	$53.75
Previous close	$53.78
Price vs 150-day SMA	13.5%
Price vs 20-day SMA	4.74%
Price vs 200-day SMA	14.43%
Price vs 50-day SMA	6.59%
Relative volume	0.41
RSI	59.1
Sharpe ratio	-0.32
Sharpe ratio (3Y)	-0.19
Sharpe ratio (5Y)	0.11
Sortino ratio	-0.28
Sortino ratio (3Y)	-0.12
Sortino ratio (5Y)	0.27
Volume	1.2M
Weekly RSI	58.46
YTD price change	26.98%
YTD total return	30.13%

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

Metric	Value
Float	136.4M
Float percentage	99%
Shares change (QoQ)	0.07%
Shares change (YoY)	-2.07%
Shares held by insiders	0.89%
Shares held by institutions	95.66%
Shares outstanding	137.8M
Short % of float	5.24%
Short % of shares	5.19%
Short ratio	4.7 days

Deeper analysis on LW

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

→

Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

→

Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

→

Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

→

Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

→

Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

→

Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

→

Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

→

Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

→

Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

→

Scorecard

Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this LW report

What is the latest published LW stock rating?

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. is shown with Hold in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-17. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full LW analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-17, lives at /stocks/LW/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for LW?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-10-17 gives LW a fair value of USD 60 and a potential value of USD 79. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the LW page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-10-17). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

HoldLW · Fair value $59.5+11.0%

Read full analysis →

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW)

Our latest published analysis: LW rated Hold

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · LW

Valuation

Profitability

Balance sheet

Trading

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

All LW indicators

Profile and market data

Valuation

Profitability

Growth

Financial statements

Financial strength

Liquidity

Dividends and buybacks

Performance and technicals

Ownership and float

Deeper analysis on LW

Frequently asked questions

评级历史

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	6.0
Management	7.5
Balance Sheet	3.5
Profitability	5.0
Revenue Growth	4.5
Risk Assessment	5.0
Competitive Moat	6.5
Earnings Quality	6.0
Capital Efficiency	5.5