LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB)

NYSE: LYB · USD

$67.1

-0.34 (-0.5%)· Recorded snapshot

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StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-10-10

Our latest published analysis: LYB rated Hold

LyondellBasell Industries N.V.'s published Hold conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$65.4 / share

Potential value

$103 / share

Upside to FV

+8.9%

from $67.1

Moat

6.5/10

Narrow

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$19.4B
Revenue (ttm)	31.2B
Net income (ttm)	-359M
EPS (ttm)	-$1.12
Shares out	323M
P/E (forward)	9.1x
Dividend	$2.76 (4.11%)
Volume	2,092,697
Beta	0.35

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

Revenue (ttm): 31.2B
Net income (ttm): -359M
EPS (ttm): -$1.12
P/E (forward): 9.1x
Market cap: $19.4B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2021-12-31	2022-12-31	2023-12-31	2024-12-31	2025-12-31	Trend
Revenue	$46.17B	$50.45B	$33.34B	$33.39B	$30.15B	-10.1%
Gross profit	$8.78B	$6.60B	$5.26B	$4.56B	$2.72B	-25.4%
Operating income	$6.77B	$5.10B	$2.73B	$1.92B	$-420.0M	—
Net income	$5.61B	$3.88B	$2.11B	$1.36B	$-743.0M	—
EPS (diluted)	$16.75	$11.81	$6.46	$4.15	$-2.34	—
EBITDA	$8.70B	$6.33B	$4.64B	$3.61B	$1.19B	-39.2%
R&D	$124.0M	$124.0M	$130.0M	$135.0M	$136.0M	+2.3%
SG&A	$1.26B	$1.31B	$1.54B	$1.64B	$1.61B	+6.4%

Ticker	Name	Market cap	P/E	P/S	ROIC	5Y rev CAGR	1Y total return	Rating
AAL	American Airlines Group Inc.	8.3B	—	0.1x	3.0%	+20.0%	-6.9%	持有
ALB	Albemarle Corporation	11.4B	198.9x	1.9x	4.1%	+12.8%	+1.9%	持有
ANET	Arista Networks Inc.	235.7B	59.1x	22.4x	284.8%	+32.0%	+19.7%	卖出
APD	Air Products and Chemicals, Inc.	68.3B	—	5.4x	8.9%	+5.2%	+23.1%	持有
AVY	Avery Dennison Corporation	13.7B	19.8x	1.5x	15.1%	+3.3%	+1.6%	持有
BALL	Ball Corporation	16.7B	18.0x	1.2x	8.7%	+2.3%	+28.3%	买入

Base and Bull scenarios

Base55%

Price target

$65.40

+8.9% from spot

In the Base scenario, LyondellBasell benefits from low-cost US Gulf Coast ethane cracking advantages running at high utilization while Middle East supply outages support polyethylene pricing through next year. European asset divestitures reduce sustaining capital expenditures and operating costs, enabling operating margins to rebound before normalizing toward mid-cycle averages. This path projects a target value of $65.40 with an estimated probability of 55.0%, offering an implied return of 8.9% relative to $60.03 (as of 2026-10-09). Disconfirmation would occur if cracker operating rates fall significantly or if regional capacity restarts ahead of schedule.

Ethane feedstock advantage persists over naphtha peers
European asset sales successfully lower ongoing capital intensity
Through-cycle operating margins normalize toward mid-cycle levels

Bull20%

Price target

$102.56

+70.8% from spot

In the Bull scenario, Middle East supply dislocations persist well past next year, sustaining global polymer tightness and widening polyethylene contract spreads. North American steam crackers maintain peak utilization, while disciplined capital spending and accelerated portfolio rationalization expand free cash flow, allowing rapid balance sheet deleveraging. This path yields a target of $102.56 with an assigned probability of 20.0%, representing an implied return of 70.8% versus $60.03 (as of 2026-10-09). Disconfirmation would emerge if global industrial demand contracts or if international peers resume full export parity.

Prolonged international supply outages extend through multiple fiscal periods
Domestic polyethylene contract margins achieve sustained double-digit expansion
Substantial free cash flow acceleration enables rapid balance sheet debt retirement

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($65.40). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.

Ke ↓ / g →	2.0%	2.3%	2.5%	2.8%	3.0%
8.2%	$70.3	$71.4	$72.7	$74.2	$75.7
8.7%	$66.8	$67.7	$68.8	$70.0	$71.3
9.2%	$63.7	$64.5	$65.4	$66.4	$67.4
9.7%	$60.9	$61.6	$62.4	$63.2	$64.1
10.2%	$58.4	$59.0	$59.7	$60.4	$61.2

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Refreshed 2026-10-28 19:55 UTC

Forward P/E9.1

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Trailing P/E0

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROE-2.3

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROIC10.4

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Benchmarks · 1M

All LYB indicators

Market & fundamental data

Available fields

268

Groups with data

Currency

USD

Showing 268 of 268 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

Metric	Value
Amount currency	USD
CIK code	0001489393
Company name	LyondellBasell Industries N.V.
Country	Netherlands
Country code	US
CUSIP number	N53745100
Earnings date	2026-10-30
Earnings time	bmo
Employees	18,970
Employees change	-1,030
Employees growth	-5.15%
Enterprise value	$33.4B
Exchange	NYSE
Financial currency	USD
Financial report date	2026-06-30
First seen	2026-05-09
Fiscal year end	December
Founded	1955
In index	SP500
Industry	Specialty Chemicals
Is primary listing	Yes
Is SPAC	No
ISIN number	NL0009434992
Last 10-K release date	2026-02-20
Last earnings date	2026-07-31
Last refreshed	2026-10-28
Last stock split type	Never
Market cap	$21.7B
Market cap category	Large-Cap
Next earnings date	2026-10-30
Options	Yes
Price	$67.09
Price currency	USD
Sector	Materials
SIC code	2860
Stock price date	2026-10-28
Symbol	LYB
Website	https://www.lyondellbasell.com

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

Metric	Value
Adjusted P/E ratio	12.11x
Average P/E ratio (10Y)	12.39x
Average P/E ratio (3Y)	23.21x
Average P/E ratio (5Y)	15.29x
Earnings yield	-1.66%
EV/EBIT	14.49x
EV/EBITDA	9.33x
EV/FCF	21.09x
EV/Sales	1.07x
FCF / EV yield	4.74%
FCF yield	7.31%
Forward EV/Sales	1.02x
Forward P/E	8.93x
Forward P/S	0.66x
Industry forward P/E	19.6x
Industry P/E	43.87x
P/(FCF - SBC) ratio	14.63x
P/(OCF - SBC) ratio	7.52x
P/B ratio	2.04x
P/FCF ratio	13.69x
P/OCF ratio	7.26x
P/S ratio	0.69x
PEG ratio	0.15x
Price / tangible book value	2.26x
Price/EBITDA ratio	6.05x
Sector forward P/E	15.04x
Sector P/E	22.59x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

Metric	Value
EBIT margin	7.36%
EBITDA margin	11.44%
FCF margin	5.06%
Gross margin	12.89%
Operating margin	7.36%
Pretax margin	-0.19%
Profit margin	-1.13%
Profit per employee	$-18,925
Profitable quarters	2
Revenue per employee	$1.6M
ROA	4.11%
ROA (5Y)	6.73%
ROCE	8.39%
ROE	-2.27%
ROE (5Y)	21.2%
ROIC	10.36%
ROIC (5Y)	13.8%
SBC / revenue	0.33%
Tax / revenue	0.64%

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

Metric	Value
EPS growth (Q)	395.98%
EPS growth (QoQ)	353.93%
EPS growth quarters	1
EPS growth years	0
FCF growth	240.82%
FCF growth 3Y	-21.2%
FCF growth 5Y	-9.32%
Gross profit growth	12.95%
Gross profit growth (Q)	162.9%
Gross profit growth 3Y	-5.95%
Gross profit growth 5Y	-8.9%
Net income growth (Q)	389.47%
Net income growth (QoQ)	350.41%
Net income growth quarters	1
Net income growth years	0
OCF growth	26.14%
OCF growth (Q)	114.25%
OCF growth 10Y	-5.95%
OCF growth 3Y	-14.7%
OCF growth 5Y	-5.96%
Operating income growth	31.48%
Operating income growth (Q)	425.56%
Operating income growth 3Y	-11.97%
Operating income growth 5Y	-14.89%
Revenue growth	-1.75%
Revenue growth (Q)	19.84%
Revenue growth (QoQ)	27.51%
Revenue growth 10Y	0.57%
Revenue growth 3Y	-10.15%
Revenue growth 5Y	-2.47%
Revenue growth quarters	1
Revenue growth years	0

Financial statements

Income-statement and cash-flow amounts, totals and per share.

Metric	Value
Capital expenditures	$-1.4B
Depreciation and amortization	$1.3B
EBIT	$2.3B
EBITDA	$3.6B
EPS	$-1.12
FCF per share	$4.88
Financing cash flow	$-378M
Free cash flow	$1.6B
Free cash flow minus SBC	$1.5B
Gross profit	$4B
Income taxes	$199M
Investing cash flow	$-1.6B
Net borrowing	$999M
Net cash flow	$936M
Net income	$-359M
Operating cash flow minus SBC	$2.9B
Operating income	$2.3B
Revenue	$31.2B
Stock-based compensation	$102M

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

Metric	Value
Altman Z-Score	2.04
Book value per share	$33.04
Debt / EBITDA	3.56
Debt / equity	1.33
Debt / FCF	9.08
Goodwill	$705M
Interest coverage	4.21
Long-term assets	$22.8B
Long-term liabilities	$16.6B
Net cash (debt)	$-11.7B
Net cash / market cap	-54.08%
Net debt / EBITDA	3.27
Net debt / equity	1.08
Net debt / FCF	7.4
Piotroski F-Score	6
Property, plant and equipment	$17.2B
Shareholders' equity	$10.8B
Tangible book value	$9.6B
Tangible book value per share	$29.63
Total assets	$34.5B
Total cash	$2.6B
Total debt	$14.3B
Total liabilities	$23.7B
WACC	4.9%

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

Metric	Value
Asset turnover	0.89
Current assets	$11.7B
Current liabilities	$7.1B
Current ratio	1.64
Inventory turnover	6.28
Net working capital	$3.6B
Quick ratio	0.93
Working capital	$4.6B
Working capital turnover	6.64

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

Metric	Value
Buyback yield / dilution	0.77%
Dividend growth	-36.53%
Dividend growth (10Y)	0.54%
Dividend growth (3Y)	-11%
Dividend growth (5Y)	-4.63%
Dividend growth years	12
Dividend payment date	2026-08-31
Dividend payment years	16
Dividend payout frequency	Quarterly
Dividend per share	$2.76
Dividend yield	4.11%
Ex-dividend date	2026-08-24
FCF payout ratio	70.42%
Last dividend	$0.69
Shareholder yield	4.9%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

Metric	Value
10Y price change	-16.28%
10Y return CAGR	3.97%
10Y total return	47.58%
150-day SMA	$65.09
15Y price change	100.02%
15Y return CAGR	11.42%
15Y total return	406.13%
1D price change	-0.5%
1M price change	15.56%
1M total return	15.56%
1W price change	5.04%
1W total return	5.04%
1Y price change	36.86%
1Y return CAGR	45.52%
1Y total return	45.49%
20-day SMA	$62.27
200-day SMA	$63.67
3M price change	14.61%
3M total return	15.79%
3Y price change	-25.71%
3Y return CAGR	-3.32%
3Y total return	-9.63%
50-day SMA	$62.75
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA	50under200
52-week high	$83.94
52-week high date	2026-03-31
52-week low	$41.58
52-week low date	2025-11-10
5Y price change	-28.87%
5Y return CAGR	0.05%
5Y total return	0.24%
6M price change	-5.4%
6M total return	-3.42%
All-time high	$121.95
All-time high date	2018-01-29
All-time low	$14.86
All-time low date	2010-07-07
Average true range (ATR)	$1.80
Average volume	3.2M
Beta (1Y)	-1.08
Beta (2Y)	0.38
Beta (5Y)	0.35
Change from 52-week high	-20.07%
Change from 52-week low	61.35%
Change from all-time high	-44.91%
Change from all-time low	352.12%
Change from open	-0.62%
Day's gap	0.12%
Dollar volume	$140.4M
High price	$67.60
Low price	$66.80
Monthly RSI	50.17
Open price	$67.51
Position in 52-week range	36.25%
Premarket change	-0.34%
Premarket close	$67.43
Premarket price	$67.20
Premarket volume	2.1K
Previous close	$67.43
Price vs 150-day SMA	3.22%
Price vs 20-day SMA	7.9%
Price vs 200-day SMA	5.52%
Price vs 50-day SMA	7.07%
Relative volume	0.65
RSI	69.08
Sharpe ratio	1
Sharpe ratio (3Y)	-0.03
Sharpe ratio (5Y)	0.02
Sortino ratio	1.68
Sortino ratio (3Y)	0.12
Sortino ratio (5Y)	0.19
Volume	2.1M
Weekly RSI	56.7
YTD price change	55.16%
YTD total return	60.33%

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

Metric	Value
Float	257.7M
Float percentage	79.77%
Shares change (QoQ)	0%
Shares change (YoY)	-0.77%
Shares held by insiders	0.19%
Shares held by institutions	75.7%
Shares outstanding	323M
Short % of float	4.83%
Short % of shares	3.85%
Short ratio	3.5 days

Deeper analysis on LYB

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

→

Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

→

Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

→

Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

→

Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

→

Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

→

Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

→

Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

→

Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

→

Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

→

Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this LYB report

What is the latest published LYB stock rating?

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. is shown with Hold in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-10. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full LYB analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-10, lives at /stocks/LYB/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for LYB?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-10-10 gives LYB a fair value of USD 65 and a potential value of USD 103. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the LYB page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-10-10). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

HoldLYB · Fair value $65.4+8.9%

Read full analysis →

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB)

Our latest published analysis: LYB rated Hold

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · LYB

Valuation

Profitability

Balance sheet

Trading

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

All LYB indicators

Profile and market data

Valuation

Profitability

Growth

Financial statements

Financial strength

Liquidity

Dividends and buybacks

Performance and technicals

Ownership and float

Deeper analysis on LYB

Frequently asked questions

评级历史

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	6.0
Management	6.5
Balance Sheet	6.0
Profitability	1.5
Revenue Growth	7.5
Risk Assessment	7.0
Competitive Moat	6.5
Earnings Quality	4.5
Capital Efficiency	3.5