Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ)

NASDAQ: MDLZ · USD

—

英文原文ZH

翻译期间显示英文原文

此报告尚未翻译。翻译队列赶上后请在几分钟内刷新。

StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-05-20

Our latest published analysis: MDLZ rated Buy

Mondelez International, Inc.'s published Buy conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$70.1 / share

Potential value

$86.0 / share

Upside to FV

+14.4%

Moat

9/10

Wide

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$78.7B
P/E (forward)	18.1x

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

P/E (forward): 18.1x
Market cap: $78.7B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2021-12-31	2022-12-31	2023-12-31	2024-12-31	2025-12-31	Trend
Revenue	—	$31.50B	$36.02B	$36.44B	$38.54B	+7.0%
Gross profit	—	$11.31B	$13.76B	$14.26B	$10.94B	-1.1%
Operating income	—	$3.66B	$6.43B	$6.77B	$3.61B	-0.4%
Net income	—	$2.72B	$4.96B	$4.61B	$2.45B	-3.4%
EPS (diluted)	$3.04	$1.96	$3.62	$3.42	$1.89	-11.2%
EBITDA	—	$4.76B	$7.65B	$8.07B	$4.97B	+1.4%
R&D	—	—	—	—	—	—
SG&A	—	$7.38B	$8.00B	$7.44B	$7.17B	-1.0%

Ticker	Name	Market cap	P/E	P/S	ROIC	5Y rev CAGR	1Y total return	Rating
AAPL	Apple Inc.	—	—	—	—	—	—	卖出
ABNB	Airbnb, Inc.	—	—	—	—	—	—	卖出
ADBE	Adobe Inc.	—	—	—	—	—	—	强力买入
ADM	Archer-Daniels-Midland Company	—	—	—	—	—	—	减持
BF.B	Brown-Forman Corporation Class B	—	—	—	—	—	—	买入
CAG	Conagra Brands, Inc.	—	—	—	—	—	—	强力买入

Base and Bull scenarios

Bull20%

Price target

$86.01

+40.3% from spot

Pricing power allows Mondelez to fully offset commodity inflation while driving volume expansion in emerging markets, leading to structurally higher operating margins and a valuation re-rating toward 22x earnings.

Pricing power fully offsets commodity inflation.
Volume accelerates in emerging markets.
Valuation re-rates to 22x terminal earnings.

Base60%

Price target

$70.11

+14.4% from spot

The enterprise achieves moderate but highly visible growth. A tightly constrained 18x exit multiple accounts for macro headwinds, while exceptional cash flow conversion fully sustains the heavy dividend payout structure.

18x terminal P/E multiple.
Terminal growth stabilizes at 3.0%.
Operating margins hold at ~9.5%.

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted base cell is anchored to valuation synthesis sensitivity reference ($67.17). It is the reference value for this grid, not a separate standalone fair-value claim.

Ke ↓ / g →	2.0%	2.5%	3.0%	3.5%	4.0%
4.2%	$98.3	$118	$118	$118	$118
5.2%	$67.2	$79.8	$98.3	$118	$118
6.2%	$51.0	$58.0	$67.2	$79.8	$98.3
7.2%	$41.1	$45.6	$51.0	$58.0	$67.2
8.2%	$36.9	$37.5	$41.1	$45.6	$51.0

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Forward P/E18.1

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Trailing P/E30.3

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROEn/a

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROICn/a

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Benchmarks · 1M

Deeper analysis on MDLZ

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

→

Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

→

Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

→

Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

→

Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

→

Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

→

Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

→

Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

→

Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

→

Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

→

Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this MDLZ report

What is the latest published MDLZ stock rating?

Mondelez International, Inc. is shown with Buy in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-05-20. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full MDLZ analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-05-20, lives at /stocks/MDLZ/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for MDLZ?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-05-20 gives MDLZ a fair value of USD 70 and a potential value of USD 86. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the MDLZ page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-05-20). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

BuyMDLZ · Fair value $70.1+14.4%

Read full analysis →

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	7.5
Management	5.8
Balance Sheet	3.0
Profitability	5.0
Revenue Growth	6.0
Risk Assessment	6.0
Competitive Moat	9.0
Earnings Quality	9.0
Capital Efficiency	3.5

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ)

Our latest published analysis: MDLZ rated Buy

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · MDLZ

Valuation

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

Deeper analysis on MDLZ

Frequently asked questions

评级历史