Nucor Corporation (NUE)

NYSE: NUE · USD

$272

+0.76 (+0.3%)· Recorded snapshot

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StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-10-02

Our latest published analysis: NUE rated Sell

Nucor Corporation's published Sell conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$154 / share

Potential value

$222 / share

Upside to FV

-34.8%

from $272

Moat

6.5/10

Narrow

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$53.5B
Revenue (ttm)	38.8B
Net income (ttm)	3.6B
EPS (ttm)	$15.7
Shares out	226.9M
P/E (trailing)	17.3x
P/E (forward)	11.4x
Dividend	$2.24 (0.83%)
Volume	1,659,243
Beta	1.85

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

Revenue (ttm): 38.8B
Net income (ttm): 3.6B
EPS (ttm): $15.7
P/E (trailing): 17.3x
P/E (forward): 11.4x
Market cap: $53.5B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2021-12-31	2022-12-31	2023-12-31	2024-12-31	2025-12-31	Trend
Revenue	$36.48B	$41.51B	$34.71B	$30.73B	$32.49B	-2.9%
Gross profit	$3.46B	$2.00B	$1.39B	$627.0M	$3.88B	+2.9%
Operating income	$9.36B	$10.51B	$6.52B	$3.13B	$2.63B	-27.2%
Net income	$6.83B	$7.61B	$4.53B	$2.03B	$1.74B	-28.9%
EPS (diluted)	$23.16	$28.79	$18.00	$8.46	$7.52	-24.5%
EBITDA	$10.23B	$11.57B	$7.69B	$4.49B	$4.11B	-20.4%
R&D	—	—	—	—	—	—
SG&A	$1.71B	$2.00B	$1.59B	$1.12B	$1.22B	-8.1%

Ticker	Name	Market cap	P/E	P/S	ROIC	5Y rev CAGR	1Y total return	Rating
AAL	American Airlines Group Inc.	8.3B	—	0.1x	3.0%	+20.0%	-6.9%	持有
ALB	Albemarle Corporation	11.4B	198.9x	1.9x	4.1%	+12.8%	+1.9%	持有
ANET	Arista Networks Inc.	235.7B	59.1x	22.4x	284.8%	+32.0%	+19.7%	卖出
APD	Air Products and Chemicals, Inc.	68.3B	—	5.4x	8.9%	+5.2%	+23.1%	持有
AVY	Avery Dennison Corporation	13.7B	19.8x	1.5x	15.1%	+3.3%	+1.6%	持有
BALL	Ball Corporation	16.7B	18.0x	1.2x	8.7%	+2.3%	+28.3%	买入

Base and Bull scenarios

Base55%

Price target

$153.81

-34.8% from spot

The base case represents the modal expected cyclical recovery path synthesized across forward earnings, multi-stage moat fade, owner earnings, and FCFF DCF models. Consolidated revenue recovers 24.63% in FY2026 to $40.50B before decelerating toward long-term nominal economic growth of 2.0% to 2.5%. Operating margins rebound to 13.50% in FY2026 and normalize to 10.00% by FY2030, in line with mid-cycle historical averages and direct mini-mill peer STLD (11.50%). Capital expenditures step down from peak transformation intensity of $3,422M in FY2025, restoring annual free cash flow above $2.5B.

Consolidated revenue grows 24.63% in FY2026 to $40.50B, normalizing to 2.0% in FY2030.
Operating margin normalizes from 13.50% in FY2026 to mid-cycle 10.00% by FY2030.
Reinvestment rate steps down from 41.0% in FY2026 to 23.5% steady-state.
Diluted share count declines at -1.26% CAGR through ongoing repurchases.

Bull20%

Price target

$221.54

-6.1% from spot

Accelerated commercial ramp of the West Virginia sheet mill and persistent margin expansion driven by captive DRI cost advantages and record downstream backlogs drive fundamental intrinsic value toward the upper valuation boundary. Operating margins expand beyond 12.5% as non-residential construction and federal infrastructure spending sustain consolidated revenue above $40B, and capital expenditures normalize toward $2.0B, unlocking over $3.5B in free cash flow and accelerating counter-cyclical share repurchases.

Consolidated revenue reaches $44.0B by FY2030 supported by federal infrastructure demand.
Operating margin expands to 13.5% in FY2026 and stabilizes near 12.5%.
Capex normalizes toward $2.0B annually, generating over $3.5B in free cash flow.

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($153.81). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.

Ke ↓ / g →	2.0%	2.3%	2.5%	2.8%	3.0%
10.4%	$161	$163	$165	$168	$170
10.9%	$155	$156	$158	$160	$162
11.4%	$149	$150	$154	$154	$156
11.9%	$143	$145	$146	$148	$149
12.4%	$139	$140	$141	$142	$144

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Refreshed 2026-10-28 19:55 UTC

Forward P/E11.4

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Trailing P/E18.8

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROE17.6

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROIC14.9

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Benchmarks · 1M

All NUE indicators

Market & fundamental data

Available fields

290

Groups with data

Currency

USD

Showing 290 of 290 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

Metric	Value
Amount currency	USD
CIK code	0000073309
Company name	Nucor Corporation
Country	United States
Country code	US
CUSIP number	670346105
Earnings date	2026-10-26
Earnings time	amc
Employees	33,000
Employees change	300
Employees growth	0.92%
Enterprise value	$65.1B
Exchange	NYSE
Financial currency	USD
Financial report date	2026-10-03
First seen	2026-05-09
Fiscal year end	December
Founded	1905
In index	SP500
Industry	Steel
Is primary listing	Yes
Is SPAC	No
ISIN number	US6703461052
Last 10-K release date	2026-02-25
Last earnings date	2026-10-26
Last refreshed	2026-10-28
Last stock split date	2006-06-01
Last stock split type	Forward
Market cap	$61.6B
Market cap category	Large-Cap
Next earnings date	2027-01-25
Options	Yes
Price	$271.56
Price currency	USD
Sector	Materials
SIC code	3312
Stock price date	2026-10-28
Symbol	NUE
U.S. state	North Carolina
Website	https://nucor.com

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

Metric	Value
Adjusted P/E ratio	17.41x
Average P/E ratio (10Y)	13.17x
Average P/E ratio (3Y)	16.04x
Average P/E ratio (5Y)	11.71x
Earnings yield	5.77%
EV/Earnings	18x
EV/EBIT	12.52x
EV/EBITDA	9.65x
EV/FCF	24.31x
EV/Sales	1.66x
FCF / EV yield	4.11%
FCF yield	4.35%
Forward EV/Sales	1.52x
Forward P/E	11.46x
Forward P/S	1.44x
Graham number	188.5517
Graham upside	-30.05%
Industry forward P/E	11.63x
Industry P/E	23.88x
Lynch fair value	$78.41
Lynch upside	-70.91%
P/(FCF - SBC) ratio	24.48x
P/(OCF - SBC) ratio	11.85x
P/B ratio	2.69x
P/E ratio	17.32x
P/FCF ratio	23.01x
P/OCF ratio	11.49x
P/S ratio	1.57x
PEG ratio	0.31x
Price / tangible book value	3.86x
Price/EBITDA ratio	9.13x
Sector forward P/E	15.01x
Sector P/E	22.55x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

Metric	Value
EBIT margin	13.29%
EBITDA margin	17.24%
Effective tax rate	20.5%
FCF margin	6.85%
Gross margin	17.39%
Operating margin	13.29%
Pretax margin	13.11%
Profit margin	9.26%
Profit per employee	$108,758
Profitable quarters	42
Profitable years	16
Revenue per employee	$1.2M
ROA	8.82%
ROA (5Y)	13.85%
ROCE	15.87%
ROE	17.58%
ROE (5Y)	29.2%
ROIC	14.87%
ROIC (5Y)	25.58%
SBC / revenue	0.41%
Tax / revenue	2.69%

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

Metric	Value
EPS growth	121.1%
EPS growth (Q)	120.53%
EPS growth (QoQ)	15.08%
EPS growth 10Y	32.73%
EPS growth 3Y	-7.32%
EPS growth 5Y	-1.1%
EPS growth quarters	4
EPS growth years	0
FCF growth (Q)	202.07%
FCF growth (QoQ)	93.85%
FCF growth 3Y	-24.23%
FCF growth 5Y	0.91%
Gross profit growth	84.46%
Gross profit growth (Q)	95.79%
Gross profit growth 3Y	-7.53%
Gross profit growth 5Y	-3.91%
Net income growth	117.54%
Net income growth (Q)	117.3%
Net income growth (QoQ)	14.5%
Net income growth 3Y	-10.32%
Net income growth 5Y	-6.23%
Net income growth quarters	4
Net income growth years	0
OCF growth	67.96%
OCF growth (Q)	66.99%
OCF growth (QoQ)	59.71%
OCF growth 10Y	12.9%
OCF growth 3Y	-13.16%
OCF growth 5Y	5.29%
Operating income growth	105%
Operating income growth (Q)	111.94%
Operating income growth 3Y	-8.64%
Operating income growth 5Y	-5.34%
Revenue growth	21.79%
Revenue growth (Q)	32.02%
Revenue growth (QoQ)	8.19%
Revenue growth 10Y	9.47%
Revenue growth 3Y	2.81%
Revenue growth 5Y	4.35%
Revenue growth quarters	5
Revenue growth years	1

Financial statements

Income-statement and cash-flow amounts, totals and per share.

Metric	Value
Capital expenditures	$-2.7B
Depreciation and amortization	$1.5B
EBIT	$5.2B
EBITDA	$6.7B
EPS	$15.68
FCF per share	$11.72
Financing cash flow	$-1.8B
Free cash flow	$2.7B
Free cash flow minus SBC	$2.5B
Gross profit	$6.8B
Income taxes	$1B
Investing cash flow	$-2.3B
Net borrowing	$185M
Net cash flow	$1.2B
Net income	$3.6B
Operating cash flow minus SBC	$5.2B
Operating income	$5.2B
Revenue	$38.8B
Stock-based compensation	$160M

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

Metric	Value
Altman Z-Score	4.91
Book value per share	$100.76
Debt / EBITDA	1.05
Debt / equity	0.29
Debt / FCF	2.67
Goodwill	$4.3B
Interest coverage	32.26
Long-term assets	$24B
Long-term liabilities	$8.4B
Net cash (debt)	$-3.5B
Net cash / market cap	-5.65%
Net debt / EBITDA	0.52
Net debt / equity	0.14
Net debt / FCF	1.3
Piotroski F-Score	7
Property, plant and equipment	$16.1B
Shareholders' equity	$24.1B
Tangible book value	$15.8B
Tangible book value per share	$69.91
Total assets	$38.4B
Total cash	$3.6B
Total debt	$7.1B
Total liabilities	$14.3B
WACC	13.12%

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

Metric	Value
Asset turnover	1.06
Current assets	$14.4B
Current liabilities	$5.8B
Current ratio	2.46
Inventory turnover	5.62
Net working capital	$5.6B
Quick ratio	1.36
Working capital	$8.5B
Working capital turnover	4.83

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

Metric	Value
Buyback yield / dilution	1.55%
Dividend growth	1.82%
Dividend growth (10Y)	4.09%
Dividend growth (3Y)	3.17%
Dividend growth (5Y)	6.7%
Dividend growth years	53
Dividend payment date	2026-11-10
Dividend payment years	54
Dividend payout frequency	Quarterly
Dividend per share	$2.24
Dividend yield	0.83%
Ex-dividend date	2026-09-30
FCF payout ratio	19.12%
Last dividend	$0.56
Payout ratio	14.28%
Shareholder yield	2.38%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

Metric	Value
10Y price change	475.47%
10Y return CAGR	21.68%
10Y total return	611.2%
150-day SMA	$238.60
15Y price change	582.85%
15Y return CAGR	16.55%
15Y total return	894.28%
1D price change	0.28%
1M price change	8.79%
1M total return	9.05%
1W price change	2.86%
1W total return	2.86%
1Y price change	86.58%
1Y return CAGR	88.85%
1Y total return	88.76%
20-day SMA	$254.78
200-day SMA	$222.94
20Y price change	360.89%
20Y return CAGR	10.97%
20Y total return	701.85%
3M price change	8.52%
3M total return	8.78%
3Y price change	81.61%
3Y return CAGR	23.72%
3Y total return	89.41%
50-day SMA	$252.54
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA	50over200
52-week high	$280.11
52-week high date	2026-08-05
52-week low	$140.93
52-week low date	2025-11-10
5Y price change	148.59%
5Y return CAGR	21.74%
5Y total return	167.35%
6M price change	25.11%
6M total return	25.71%
All-time high	$280.11
All-time high date	2026-08-05
All-time low	$0.02
All-time low date	1970-05-26
Average true range (ATR)	$8.73
Average volume	1.2M
Beta (1Y)	0.93
Beta (2Y)	1.22
Beta (5Y)	1.85
Change from 52-week high	-3.05%
Change from 52-week low	92.69%
Change from all-time high	-3.98%
Change from all-time low	1,691,566.67%
Change from open	1.39%
Day's gap	-1.09%
Dollar volume	$450.6M
High price	$272.12
Low price	$264.50
Monthly RSI	67.44
Open price	$267.85
Position in 52-week range	92.65%
Premarket change	0.44%
Premarket close	$270.79
Premarket price	$271.99
Previous close	$270.79
Price vs 150-day SMA	12.73%
Price vs 20-day SMA	5.57%
Price vs 200-day SMA	20.65%
Price vs 50-day SMA	6.51%
Relative volume	1.34
RSI	63.52
Sharpe ratio	2.04
Sharpe ratio (3Y)	0.73
Sharpe ratio (5Y)	0.62
Sortino ratio	3.42
Sortino ratio (3Y)	1.28
Sortino ratio (5Y)	1.07
Volume	1.7M
Weekly RSI	63.32
YTD price change	64.9%
YTD total return	66.27%

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

Metric	Value
Float	223.4M
Float percentage	98.49%
Shares change (QoQ)	-0.79%
Shares change (YoY)	-1.55%
Shares held by insiders	0.56%
Shares held by institutions	80.17%
Shares outstanding	226.9M
Short % of float	1.95%
Short % of shares	1.92%
Short ratio	3.5 days

Deeper analysis on NUE

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

→

Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

→

Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

→

Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

→

Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

→

Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

→

Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

→

Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

→

Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

→

Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

→

Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this NUE report

What is the latest published NUE stock rating?

Nucor Corporation is shown with Sell in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-02. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full NUE analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-10-02, lives at /stocks/NUE/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for NUE?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-10-02 gives NUE a fair value of USD 154 and a potential value of USD 222. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the NUE page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-10-02). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

SellNUE · Fair value $154-34.8%

Read full analysis →

Nucor Corporation (NUE)

Our latest published analysis: NUE rated Sell

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · NUE

Valuation

Profitability

Balance sheet

Trading

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

All NUE indicators

Profile and market data

Valuation

Profitability

Growth

Financial statements

Financial strength

Liquidity

Dividends and buybacks

Performance and technicals

Ownership and float

Deeper analysis on NUE

Frequently asked questions

评级历史

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	1.5
Management	8.5
Balance Sheet	7.5
Profitability	5.0
Revenue Growth	7.5
Risk Assessment	6.0
Competitive Moat	6.5
Earnings Quality	9.0
Capital Efficiency	3.5