ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation (XOM)

NYSE: XOM · USD

$182

+1.98 (+1.1%)· Recorded snapshot

英文原文ZH

翻译期间显示英文原文

此报告尚未翻译。翻译队列赶上后请在几分钟内刷新。

StockMarketAgent Research · Analyzed 2026-09-25

Our latest published analysis: XOM rated Sell

ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation's published Sell conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.

Fair value

$113 / share

Potential value

$146 / share

Upside to FV

-29.6%

from $182

Moat

7.2/10

Narrow

Read full analysis →View archive · 24mo

9-phase methodology · same model in each published edition

Market cap	$666.7B
Revenue (ttm)	361.1B
Net income (ttm)	32.8B
EPS (ttm)	$7.76
Shares out	4.1B
P/E (trailing)	23.5x
P/E (forward)	14.8x
Dividend	$4.12 (2.27%)
Volume	9,355,289
Beta	0.21

Market data

Price

Recent price action with selectable time range.

Financial snapshot

Revenue (ttm): 361.1B
Net income (ttm): 32.8B
EPS (ttm): $7.76
P/E (trailing): 23.5x
P/E (forward): 14.8x
Market cap: $666.7B

Item	P1	P2	P3	P4	P5	Trend
Period	2021-12-31	2022-12-31	2023-12-31	2024-12-31	2025-12-31	Trend
Revenue	$276.69B	$413.68B	$344.58B	$349.59B	$332.24B	+4.7%
Gross profit	$64.89B	$103.07B	$84.14B	$76.74B	$70.23B	+2.0%
Operating income	$32.18B	$78.55B	$53.63B	$49.87B	$41.87B	+6.8%
Net income	$23.04B	$55.74B	$36.01B	$33.68B	$28.84B	+5.8%
EPS (diluted)	$5.39	$13.26	$8.89	$7.84	$6.70	+5.6%
EBITDA	$52.79B	$102.59B	$74.27B	$73.31B	$67.86B	+6.5%
R&D	$843.0M	$824.0M	$900.0M	$1.00B	$1.20B	+9.2%
SG&A	$9.57B	$10.10B	$9.92B	$9.98B	$11.13B	+3.8%

Ticker	Name	Market cap	P/E	P/S	ROIC	5Y rev CAGR	1Y total return	Rating
AAL	American Airlines Group Inc.	8.3B	—	0.1x	3.0%	+20.0%	-6.9%	持有
ALB	Albemarle Corporation	11.4B	198.9x	1.9x	4.1%	+12.8%	+1.9%	持有
ANET	Arista Networks Inc.	235.7B	59.1x	22.4x	284.8%	+32.0%	+19.7%	卖出
BKR	Baker Hughes Company	54.3B	18.8x	1.9x	11.7%	+7.0%	+20.1%	卖出
COP	ConocoPhillips	179B	19.8x	2.8x	11.6%	+16.8%	+73.8%	持有
CVX	Chevron Corporation	448.9B	22.0x	2.2x	8.2%	+12.6%	+54.1%	减持

Base and Bull scenarios

Base50%

Price target

$112.98

-29.6% from spot

Under the base scenario, which carries 50.0% probability and indicates an intrinsic target of $112.98 representing a return of -29.6% from $160.48, upstream production expands in the Permian Basin and deepwater Guyana while Golden Pass LNG commissioning scales export volumes. Operating margins normalize toward historical mid-cycle levels, balancing refining crack spread moderation with upstream unit cost efficiencies. This scenario would be disconfirmed if global crude realizations soften significantly or if downstream refining spreads contract below mid-cycle norms, which would be visible across upcoming quarterly filings.

Permian Basin net production volume expands toward guided targets
Golden Pass LNG Train one continues commercial export deliveries
Consolidated operating margin sustains near historical mid-cycle averages
Counter-cyclical share repurchases continue to reduce diluted share count

Bull15%

Price target

$146.28

-8.8% from spot

Under the bull scenario, with 15.0% probability and an intrinsic target of $146.28 yielding an implied return of -8.8% against $160.48, sustained global energy demand and structural LNG supply deficits support elevated hydrocarbon realizations. Operating margins expand beyond mid-cycle levels driven by favorable refining crack spreads and gas cracker feedstock advantages, alongside accelerated deepwater Guyana ramp and multi-train Golden Pass LNG exports. Disconfirmation would occur if refining margins compress or global macroeconomic weakness dampens industrial energy consumption.

Sustained global commodity pricing environment supports high realized hydrocarbon prices
Golden Pass LNG full commercial ramp accelerates high-margin liquefied gas exports
Downstream refining and chemical operations capture premium crack spreads and feedstock advantages
Accelerated free cash flow generation enables expanded counter-cyclical share repurchases

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

The highlighted cell is Fair value when every assumption sits at its base level ($112.98). Each row and column shows what Fair value becomes when one assumption moves.

Ke ↓ / g →	1.5%	1.8%	2.0%	2.3%	2.5%
5.4%	$122	$126	$130	$134	$139
5.9%	$115	$117	$120	$124	$127
6.4%	$109	$111	$113	$115	$118
6.9%	$104	$105	$107	$109	$111
7.4%	$99.4	$101	$102	$104	$105

Scorecard

Published factor rows and weighted composite

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Sector percentile context

Refreshed 2026-10-28 19:55 UTC

Forward P/E14.8

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Trailing P/E20.7

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROE12.6

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

ROIC10

P25 n/aP50 n/aP75 n/a

Benchmarks · 1M

All XOM indicators

Market & fundamental data

Available fields

287

Groups with data

Currency

USD

Showing 287 of 287 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

Metric	Value
Amount currency	USD
CIK code	0002115436
Company name	ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation
Country	United States
Country code	US
CUSIP number	30233Q108
Earnings date	2026-10-30
Earnings time	bmo
Employees	58,000
Employees change	-2,900
Employees growth	-4.76%
Enterprise value	$779.7B
Exchange	NYSE
Financial currency	USD
Financial report date	2026-06-30
First seen	2026-05-09
Fiscal year end	December
Founded	1870
In index	SP500
Industry	Oil & Gas Integrated
Is primary listing	Yes
Is SPAC	No
ISIN number	US30233Q1085
Last 10-K release date	2026-02-18
Last earnings date	2026-07-31
Last refreshed	2026-10-28
Last stock split date	2001-07-19
Last stock split type	Forward
Market cap	$747.9B
Market cap category	Mega-Cap
Next earnings date	2026-10-30
Options	Yes
Price	$181.89
Price currency	USD
Sector	Energy
SIC code	2911
Stock price date	2026-10-28
Symbol	XOM
U.S. state	Texas
Website	https://corporate.exxonmobil.com

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

Metric	Value
Adjusted P/E ratio	19.77x
Average P/E ratio (10Y)	18.71x
Average P/E ratio (3Y)	15.73x
Average P/E ratio (5Y)	13.35x
Earnings yield	4.26%
EV/Earnings	23.87x
EV/EBIT	19.41x
EV/EBITDA	11.51x
EV/FCF	25.59x
EV/Sales	2.17x
FCF / EV yield	3.91%
FCF yield	4.07%
Forward EV/Sales	1.83x
Forward P/E	12.44x
Forward P/S	1.75x
Graham number	104.91882
Graham upside	-42.49%
Industry forward P/E	8.89x
Industry P/E	13.28x
Lynch fair value	$38.78
Lynch upside	-78.74%
P/B ratio	2.85x
P/E ratio	23.45x
P/FCF ratio	24.55x
P/OCF ratio	12.56x
P/S ratio	2.08x
PEG ratio	1.22x
Price / tangible book value	2.89x
Price/EBITDA ratio	11.04x
Sector forward P/E	10.06x
Sector P/E	15.08x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

Metric	Value
EBIT margin	11.16%
EBITDA margin	18.82%
Effective tax rate	25.63%
FCF margin	8.46%
Gross margin	29.77%
Operating margin	11.16%
Pretax margin	12.56%
Profit margin	9.07%
Profit per employee	$564,776
Profitable quarters	22
Profitable years	5
Revenue per employee	$6.2M
ROA	5.52%
ROA (5Y)	7.1%
ROCE	10.72%
ROE	12.58%
ROE (5Y)	17.59%
ROIC	10.02%
ROIC (5Y)	13.08%
Tax / revenue	3.22%

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

Metric	Value
EPS growth	9.89%
EPS growth (Q)	112.81%
EPS growth (QoQ)	249.57%
EPS growth 10Y	11.91%
EPS growth 3Y	-14.81%
EPS growth quarters	1
EPS growth years	0
FCF growth	4.91%
FCF growth (Q)	223.3%
FCF growth (QoQ)	661.88%
FCF growth 3Y	-12.96%
FCF growth 5Y	14.92%
Gross profit growth	5.49%
Gross profit growth (Q)	43.37%
Gross profit growth 3Y	-4.71%
Gross profit growth 5Y	9.54%
Net income growth	5.62%
Net income growth (Q)	105.1%
Net income growth (QoQ)	247.24%
Net income growth 3Y	-14.12%
Net income growth quarters	1
Net income growth years	0
OCF growth	9.99%
OCF growth (Q)	103.94%
OCF growth (QoQ)	170.59%
OCF growth 10Y	10.07%
OCF growth 3Y	-4.12%
OCF growth 5Y	16.94%
Operating income growth	6.26%
Operating income growth (Q)	105.91%
Operating income growth 3Y	-12.07%
Operating income growth 5Y	53.88%
Revenue growth	9.62%
Revenue growth (Q)	44.1%
Revenue growth (QoQ)	37.72%
Revenue growth 10Y	5.77%
Revenue growth 3Y	-0.42%
Revenue growth 5Y	10.83%
Revenue growth quarters	2
Revenue growth years	0

Financial statements

Income-statement and cash-flow amounts, totals and per share.

Metric	Value
Capital expenditures	$-29.2B
Depreciation and amortization	$27.7B
EBIT	$40.3B
EBITDA	$67.9B
EPS	$7.76
FCF per share	$7.43
Financing cash flow	$-36.7B
Free cash flow	$30.6B
Gross profit	$107.5B
Income taxes	$11.6B
Investing cash flow	$-27.9B
Net borrowing	$2.6B
Net cash flow	$-5.1B
Net income	$32.8B
Operating income	$40.3B
Revenue	$361.1B

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

Metric	Value
Altman Z-Score	4.24
Book value per share	$63.08
Debt / EBITDA	0.59
Debt / equity	0.16
Debt / FCF	1.39
Interest coverage	51.98
Long-term assets	$363.7B
Long-term liabilities	$109.5B
Net cash (debt)	$-31.8B
Net cash / market cap	-4.24%
Net debt / EBITDA	0.47
Net debt / equity	0.12
Net debt / FCF	1.04
Piotroski F-Score	6
Property, plant and equipment	$296.3B
Shareholders' equity	$266.1B
Tangible book value	$259.4B
Tangible book value per share	$63.08
Total assets	$464.5B
Total cash	$10.6B
Total debt	$42.4B
Total liabilities	$198.4B
WACC	5.18%

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

Metric	Value
Asset turnover	0.79
Current assets	$100.8B
Current liabilities	$88.8B
Current ratio	1.13
Inventory turnover	9.96
Net working capital	$11.5B
Quick ratio	0.8
Working capital	$12B
Working capital turnover	24.98

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

Metric	Value
Buyback yield / dilution	3.89%
Dividend growth	4.04%
Dividend growth (10Y)	3.36%
Dividend growth (3Y)	4.22%
Dividend growth (5Y)	3.43%
Dividend growth years	45
Dividend payment date	2026-09-10
Dividend payment years	56
Dividend payout frequency	Quarterly
Dividend per share	$4.12
Dividend yield	2.27%
Ex-dividend date	2026-08-17
FCF payout ratio	55.45%
Last dividend	$1.03
Payout ratio	53.12%
Shareholder yield	6.15%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

Metric	Value
10Y price change	110.23%
10Y return CAGR	12.47%
10Y total return	223.83%
150-day SMA	$156.28
15Y price change	123.17%
15Y return CAGR	9.64%
15Y total return	297.6%
1D price change	1.1%
1M price change	13.79%
1M total return	13.79%
1W price change	2.74%
1W total return	2.74%
1Y price change	57.61%
1Y return CAGR	62.23%
1Y total return	62.18%
20-day SMA	$173.88
200-day SMA	$154.03
20Y price change	155.72%
20Y return CAGR	8.46%
20Y total return	407.23%
3M price change	18.07%
3M total return	18.83%
3Y price change	73.13%
3Y return CAGR	24.08%
3Y total return	91.06%
50-day SMA	$166.98
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA	50over200
52-week high	$184.88
52-week high date	2026-10-27
52-week low	$112.51
52-week low date	2025-11-04
5Y price change	184.95%
5Y return CAGR	27.7%
5Y total return	239.53%
6M price change	23.31%
6M total return	24.95%
After-hours change	-0.14%
After-hours close	$181.89
After-hours price	$181.63
All-time high	$184.88
All-time high date	2026-10-27
All-time low	$1.57
All-time low date	1970-02-17
Average true range (ATR)	$3.91
Average volume	11.2M
Beta (1Y)	-1.16
Beta (2Y)	-0.04
Beta (5Y)	0.21
Change from 52-week high	-1.62%
Change from 52-week low	61.67%
Change from all-time high	-1.16%
Change from all-time low	11,568.9%
Change from open	0.78%
Day's gap	0.32%
Dollar volume	$1.7B
High price	$183.65
Low price	$180.23
Monthly RSI	71.67
Open price	$180.49
Position in 52-week range	48.54%
Premarket change	0.31%
Premarket close	$179.91
Premarket price	$180.46
Premarket volume	12K
Previous close	$179.91
Price vs 150-day SMA	16.93%
Price vs 20-day SMA	5.09%
Price vs 200-day SMA	18.63%
Price vs 50-day SMA	9.43%
Relative volume	0.83
RSI	68.03
Sharpe ratio	1.82
Sharpe ratio (3Y)	0.82
Sharpe ratio (5Y)	0.91
Sortino ratio	3
Sortino ratio (3Y)	1.43
Sortino ratio (5Y)	1.53
Volume	9.4M
Weekly RSI	67.95
YTD price change	51.85%
YTD total return	54.9%

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

Metric	Value
Float	4.1B
Float percentage	99.8%
Shares change (QoQ)	-0.67%
Shares change (YoY)	-3.89%
Shares held by insiders	0.08%
Shares held by institutions	66.8%
Shares outstanding	4.1B
Short % of float	0.96%
Short % of shares	0.95%
Short ratio	2.8 days

Other indicators

Additional ticker metrics that do not fit the primary research groupings.

Metric	Value
Page views	555

Deeper analysis on XOM

14 sections in the full report · jump straight to what you need

Forecast

Base and Bull forecast paths with report-date return framing.

→

Valuation

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

→

Sensitivity

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

→

Risks

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

→

Earnings

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

→

Position sizing

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

→

Financials

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

→

Peers

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

→

Moat

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

→

Industry cycle

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

→

Quote this valuation with its source: Fair value, Potential value and the price at analysis.

Frequently asked questions

About this XOM report

What is the latest published XOM stock rating?

ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation is shown with Sell in the latest published report, analyzed 2026-09-25. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the dated rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full XOM analysis?

The full latest published report, analyzed 2026-09-25, lives at /stocks/XOM/analysis. The bare ticker page summarizes that read and links to each analysis tab; earlier editions remain under /analysis/archive.

What fair value is used for XOM?

The latest published report analyzed 2026-09-25 gives XOM a fair value of USD 113 and a potential value of USD 146. These are dated research outputs, not live market prices; review the valuation assumptions, sensitivity analysis, and material risks before making a decision.

How often is the XOM page updated?

The hub selects the latest published stock report regardless of age and displays its analysis date (2026-09-25). Separately sourced market data is labeled with its own recorded timestamp and is never inferred from the report.

SellXOM · Fair value $113-29.6%

Read full analysis →

ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation (XOM)

Our latest published analysis: XOM rated Sell

Price

Financial snapshot

Fair-value bridge

Latest news · XOM

Valuation

Profitability

Balance sheet

Trading

Base and Bull scenarios

Sensitivity: Ke × terminal growth

Scorecard

Next earnings

Sector percentile context

All XOM indicators

Profile and market data

Valuation

Profitability

Growth

Financial statements

Financial strength

Liquidity

Dividends and buybacks

Performance and technicals

Ownership and float

Other indicators

Deeper analysis on XOM

Frequently asked questions

评级历史

Category	Score	Reading
Valuation	1.5
Management	9.5
Balance Sheet	7.0
Profitability	5.0
Revenue Growth	9.0
Risk Assessment	8.5
Competitive Moat	7.2
Earnings Quality	9.0
Capital Efficiency	5.5