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ACN trades against a final fair-value range of $186.15-$261.24, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs. Fair value range: low $186, high $261, with mid-point at $223.
Stock analysis

ACN fair value $186–$261

By StockMarketAgent.AI team· supervised by
تم التحليل: 2026-05-10التحديث التالي: 2026-08-10Methodology v2.5Review: automatedArchetype: Mature dividend
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السعر
$180.42
▲ +43.03 (+23.85%)
القيمة العادلة
$223
$186–$261
التصنيف
شراء
confidence 88/100
إمكانية الصعود
+23.9%
upside to fair value
هامش الأمان
$189.93
MoS level · 15%
القيمة السوقية
$111.0B
P/E fwd 12.1
المصدر الإنجليزيAR
يتم عرض المصدر الإنجليزي أثناء الترجمة
لم تتم ترجمة هذا التقرير بعد. قم بالتحديث خلال بضع دقائق بمجرد أن تلحق قائمة انتظار الترجمة بالركب.

§1 الملخص التنفيذي

  • Composite fair value $223 with high case $261.
  • Implied upside of 23.9% to fair value.
  • Moat 9/10 · confidence 88/100 · Mature dividend.
  • Trades below fair value with a meaningful cushion to the midpoint.
Fair value
$223
Margin of safety
+19.3%
Confidence
88/100
Moat
9/10

Educational analysis only — not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.

$180.42Price
Low $186.15
Mid $223.45
High $261.24

ACN trades against a final fair-value range of $186.15-$261.24, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs.

  • High switching costs associated with
    High switching costs associated with deeply integrated enterprise IT and ERP systems.
  • Intangible assets derived from specialized
    Intangible assets derived from specialized industry expertise and a massive global delivery network.
  • Bull thesis
    The market is over-penalizing near-term macro headwinds, ignoring Accenture's deep structural integration into critical enterprise workflows.

§2 السيناريو الهبوطي

A severe macroeconomic downturn triggers sweeping IT budget freezes, stalling cloud migrations and AI projects. RevenueRevenueRevenue is an income-statement line item used to reconcile revenue to operating profit, pre-tax income, net income, or per-share earnings. It should be compared across periods and against peer disclosure conventions. contracts while high fixed labor costs compress operating margins below historical norms, dragging fair valueFair valueOur composite estimate of intrinsic per-share value, blended across DCF, exit-multiple, and reverse-DCF methods. Reported as a low/mid/high range to capture model uncertainty. down to the $186 floor.

كيف يمكن أن تفشل هذه الأطروحة

AI Displacement

· Medium

Agentic AI systems automate core coding and BPO tasks, collapsing Accenture's billable hour model and shrinking total addressable market.

FV impact
-25%
Trigger
3-5 years

Cloud Maturation

· High

Enterprise cloud migrations conclude sooner than expected, leaving a massive structural growth void unfulfilled by new AI initiatives.

FV impact
-15%
Trigger
2-3 years

Margin Collapse

· Low

Intense wage inflation and talent retention costs in global delivery centers severely compress historical operating margins.

FV impact
-20%
Trigger
1-2 years
إشارات الإنذار المبكر للمراقبة
المقياسالحاليحد التشغيل
Sequential declines in book-to-bill ratios consistently below 1.0x.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Unplanned, structural increases in bench time and utilization rate drops.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Deteriorating pricing power on large-scale managed services outsourcing contracts.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Rising voluntary attrition rates among key senior technical staff.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis
Slowing growth in the high-margin Song and Industry X divisions.MonitorDeterioration versus the report thesis

§3 التاريخ المالي

بيان الدخل — آخر ستة فترات
البندT−0T−1T−2T−3معدل النمو السنوي المركب
الفترة2022-08-312023-08-312024-08-312025-08-31Trend
الإيرادات$61.59B$64.11B$64.90B$69.67B+4.2%
إجمالي الربح$19.70B$20.73B$21.16B$22.24B+4.1%
الدخل التشغيلي$9.37B$9.87B$10.03B$10.84B+5.0%
صافي الدخل$6.88B$6.87B$7.26B$7.68B+3.7%
EPS (مخفف)$10.71$10.77$11.44$12.15+4.3%
EBITDA$10.27B$10.25B$10.84B$11.87B+4.9%
البحث والتطوير—————
المصاريف الإدارية والبيعية$10.33B$10.86B$11.13B$11.39B+3.3%

درجات الجودة

درجة Piotroski F
5 / 9
مركب جودة 0–9
درجة Altman Z
4.4
مخاطر الإفلاس (>3 آمن)
درجة Beneish M
-2.75
مخاطر التلاعب بالأرباح
OCF / صافي الدخل
1.49×
>1 يشير إلى جودة عالية للأرباح
حد جودة المحاسبة
Pass
حد معدل حسب القطاع
ROIC
21.1%
العائد على رأس المال المستثمر
القسم 3

Numbers analysis

التدفق النقدي

Cash-flow quality is reflected in the OCFOperating cash flowCash generated from the company's core operations after working-capital changes but before capital expenditures. The first line of the cash-flow statement. / net incomeNet IncomeNet Income is an income-statement line item used to reconcile revenue to operating profit, pre-tax income, net income, or per-share earnings. It should be compared across periods and against peer disclosure conventions., accounting-quality, and ROICROICReturn on invested capital. Operating profit (after tax) divided by invested capital. The single best gauge of capital-efficiency. Spread over WACC = economic value created. rows above.

تخصيص رأس المال

Capital allocation should be evaluated against reinvestment needs, balance-sheet strength, and shareholder returns.

المشتركون الأفراد — من §4 فصاعداً11 قسماً إضافياً

اقرأ التحليل الكامل — 11 قسماً إضافياً.

Competitive moat, industry cycle, peer comparison, intrinsic valuation, sensitivity, scenarios, earnings decision tree, position management, investor perspectives, scorecard, and final recommendation.

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REVENUE FAQ

ACN revenue questions

  1. ACN (ACN)'s revenue growth is reported year-over-year across the most recent five fiscal years, with the deceleration or acceleration curve called out in the numbers-analysis subsection of the parent financials tab.

FAQ

ACN — frequently asked questions

  1. Based on our latest analysis, ACN looks meaningfully undervalued. The current price is $180 versus a composite fair-value midpoint of $223 (range $186–$261), which implies roughly 23.9% upside to the midpoint.

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