INTU trades against a final fair-value range of $369.17-$605.35, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs. Fair value range: low $369, high $605, with mid-point at $486.
Trades below fair value with a meaningful cushion to the midpoint.
Fair value
$486
Margin of safety
+18.5%
Confidence
88/100
Moat
9/10
Educational analysis only — not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.
$396.31Price
FV $486.21
High $605.35
INTU trades against a final fair-value range of $369.17-$605.35, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs.
High switching costs in core
High switching costs in core accounting software (QuickBooks) limiting SMB defection.
Strong network effects and cross-selling
Strong network effects and cross-selling capabilities within the Intuit ecosystem.
Bull thesis
Market implied expectations (9.1% growth) sit below analyst consensus (14%).
Based on our latest analysis, INTU looks meaningfully undervalued. The current price is $396 versus a composite fair-value midpoint of $486 (range $369–$605), which implies roughly 22.7% upside to the midpoint.
Our composite fair-value range for INTU is $369–$605, with a midpoint of $486. The range is triangulated across multiple valuation models (discounted earnings, forward earnings scenarios, peer multiples, and where applicable owner earnings or reverse DCF) and weighted by reliability for Intuit Inc.'s archetype.
Our current rating for INTU is Buy with a confidence score of 88/100. INTU is rated Buy at $396.31 versus the reconciled fair value midpoint of $486.21, implying +22.68% upside/downside. Confidence is separately disclosed at 88/100. This is research for educational purposes, not personalized investment advice.
The top risks our latest report flags for Intuit Inc. are: IRS Direct File Domination; SMB Ecosystem Collapse; Mailchimp Integration Failure. The single biggest risk is Deduction of elevated SBC (10.4%) grounds the valuation in true economic reality.
Our current rating for INTU is Buy, issued with a confidence score of 88/100 and a moat score of 9/10. The rating reflects the composite fair-value range ($369–$605) versus the current price of $396.
Intuit Inc. is classified as a mature compounder stock. Archetype determines how every downstream parameter — discount rate, terminal growth, deceleration curve, terminal multiple, scenario probability weights, scorecard weights, and which valuation models are prioritized — is calibrated for INTU.
