تحلیل اختیاری محصول
با اجازه شما، از تحلیلهای محدود و حریمخصوصیمحور استفاده میکنیم تا مسیرهای پژوهشی مؤثر را بشناسیم. از ردیاب تبلیغاتی یا بازپخش نشست استفاده نمیکنیم. این انتخاب را میتوانید در تنظیمات تغییر دهید. بخوانید سیاست حفظ حریم خصوصی.
Tractor Supply Company's published Hold conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $17.1B | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward) | 14.4x |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2021-12-25 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-30 | 2024-12-28 | 2025-12-27 | Trend |
| Revenue | $12.73B | $14.20B | $14.56B | $14.88B | $15.52B | +5.1% |
| Gross profit | $4.48B | $4.97B | $5.23B | $5.40B | $5.65B | +6.0% |
| Operating income | $1.31B | $1.43B | $1.48B | $1.47B | $1.47B | +2.9% |
| Net income | $997.1M | $1.09B | $1.11B | $1.10B | $1.10B | +2.4% |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.72 | $1.94 | $2.02 | $2.04 | $2.06 | +4.6% |
| EBITDA | $1.58B | $1.78B | $1.87B | $1.91B | $1.96B | +5.6% |
| R&D | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | $2.90B | $3.19B | $3.36B | $3.48B | $3.69B | +6.2% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
The Base case reflects our modal projection where FY2026 marks the operational trough for Tractor Supply. Comparable store sales stabilize near guided levels in FY2026 before re-accelerating in FY2027 and beyond. Heavy distribution center expenditures peak in FY2026 before tapering toward steady-state levels by FY2030, unlocking substantial free cash flow expansion. This path supports our central Fair value estimate of $34.55 per share.
In the Bull case, rural consumer spending rebounds sharply from the recent soft patch, and comparable store sales return to solid positive growth. Distribution center additions deliver landed-cost efficiencies faster than anticipated, driving operating margins back toward historical peak levels. Combined with steady annual net share count reductions and rapid integration of Allivet and VIP Petcare, free cash flow generation accelerates well above base expectations, driving valuation toward Potential value of $44.45.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.3% | $38.0 | $39.3 | $40.9 | $42.7 | $44.7 |
| 7.8% | $35.1 | $36.2 | $37.4 | $38.7 | $40.2 |
| 8.3% | $32.8 | $33.6 | $34.6 | $35.6 | $36.8 |
| 8.8% | $30.8 | $31.5 | $32.2 | $33.1 | $34.0 |
| 9.3% | $29.1 | $29.7 | $30.3 | $31.0 | $31.7 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
رتبهای که نسخهٔ پژوهشی منتشرشدهٔ هر ماه داشت. رتبه قیمت در تاریخ تحلیل را با ارزش منصفانه مقایسه میکند و سابقهای از درستی یا نادرستی ارزیابی نیست.
| سال | دی | بهمن | اسفند | فروردین | اردیبهشت | خرداد | تیر | مرداد | شهریور | مهر | آبان | آذر |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
