Analyse produit facultative
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Moody's Corporation's published Sell conclusion compares the analysis-date price with fair value and potential value. Read the full report for assumptions, evidence, and material risks.
| Market cap | $76.4B | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward) | 24.3x |
Recent price action with selectable time range.
| Item | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | P5 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | 2024-12-31 | 2025-12-31 | Trend |
| Revenue | $6.22B | $5.47B | $5.92B | $7.09B | $7.72B | +5.6% |
| Gross profit | $4.32B | $3.52B | $3.85B | $4.71B | $5.26B | +5.0% |
| Operating income | $2.84B | $1.88B | $2.14B | $2.88B | $3.35B | +4.2% |
| Net income | $2.21B | $1.37B | $1.61B | $2.06B | $2.46B | +2.7% |
| EPS (diluted) | $11.78 | $7.44 | $8.73 | $11.26 | $13.67 | +3.8% |
| EBITDA | $3.26B | $2.31B | $2.52B | $3.33B | $3.94B | +4.9% |
| R&D | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | $1.48B | $1.53B | $1.63B | $1.74B | $1.80B | +5.1% |
Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.
The Base case represents the modal operating trajectory where Moody's compounds earnings through mid-single-digit debt issuance growth, ratings pricing power, and high-single-digit ARR expansion in Moody's Analytics. Consensus FY2026 EPS and FY2027 EPS expectations are met as operating margins expand from FY2025 levels through FY2030. This performance synthesizes into a Base target of $327.35. With shares trading at $441.36 (as of $441.36 (as of 2026-10-02)) relative to Fair value of $327.35, the expected return is -25.8%.
In the Bull scenario, corporate debt refinancing surges above expectations, driven by multi-year corporate debt maturity walls, private credit ratings demand, and massive hyperscaler debt issuance pipelines. MIS transaction revenue accelerates to double-digit growth, driving operating leverage across fixed analyst overhead. Simultaneously, enterprise adoption of AI compliance and automated risk scoring accelerates Moody's Analytics ARR, driving segment margins toward the high thirties ahead of management's timeline. Robust cash flow generation facilitates aggressive share repurchases, supporting the upper bound of intrinsic fair value at $399.89.
| Ke ↓ / g → | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.3% | $348 | $353 | $358 | $364 | $370 |
| 9.8% | $334 | $338 | $342 | $346 | $351 |
| 10.3% | $320 | $324 | $327 | $331 | $335 |
| 10.8% | $309 | $312 | $315 | $318 | $321 |
| 11.3% | $298 | $301 | $303 | $306 | $309 |
Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.
La notation portée par l'édition de recherche publiée chaque mois. Une notation compare le cours à la date d'analyse à la juste valeur ; elle n'indique pas si l'appréciation s'est révélée juste.
| Année | janv. | févr. | mars | avr. | mai | juin | juil. | août | sept. | oct. | nov. | déc. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 |
