Technology / Software - ApplicationUpdated 2026-05-10 22:07 UTC

ESTC stock hub

ESTC trades against a final fair-value range of $79.75-$165.72, with the midpoint set by the accepted valuation synthesis rather than earlier draft model outputs.

Read full analysis Valuation Archive

Fair value midpoint

$118

$79.8 - $166

Upside to midpoint

+126.2%

Based on latest report

Confidence

73/100

Data quality and model convergence

Market cap

$5.4B

NYSE

Our take

Research highlights

What our analysis says

Pulled from the latest published report. The full reasoning lives under /analysis.

Biggest opportunity

Bull case

Bull: Generative AI and vector search capabilities accelerate enterprise adoption, allowing Elastic to re-accelerate revenue growth back toward 20%. Operating leverage kicks in powerfully, translating ~75% gross margins into 30%+ free cash flow margins and driving significant multiple expansion.

Biggest risk

Cloud Provider Commoditization

Recommended action

Strong Buy

ESTC is rated Strong Buy at $52.25 versus the reconciled fair value midpoint of $118.21, implying +126.24% upside/downside. Confidence is separately disclosed at 73/100.

Market data

Live price

Current market quote for this ticker.

Current price

ESTC

In the news

Latest news · ESTC

Recent company headlines from major financial publishers.

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Fetching the latest headlines.

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Fetching the latest headlines.

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Fetching the latest headlines.

Calendar

Next earnings

Upcoming earnings date and setup when available.

Upcoming

DateLoading

Window—

EPS estimate—

Revenue estimate—

Analysis map

Jump into the research surface

These links all point into /analysis/*, so a hub rollback leaves the report reader and legacy redirects live.

Forecast

Targets

Bull, base, and bear cases with expected-return framing.

Valuation

Models

Fair-value bridge, DCF, owner earnings, and peer multiples.

Sensitivity

Grid

Cost-of-equity and terminal-growth stress table.

Risks

Bear case

Kill scenarios, soft-pass flags, and downside catalysts.

Earnings

Decision tree

Next earnings setup and beat / inline / miss thresholds.

Position sizing

Checkpoints

Entry, exit, conviction, and quarterly monitoring rules.

Financials

History

Revenue, margins, cash flow, and balance-sheet context.

Peers

Comps

Relative valuation and profitability against the cohort.

Moat

Durability

Economic-profit evidence and competitive advantage risk.

Industry cycle

Context

Sector phase, capital cycle, and secular tailwinds.

Scorecard

Factors

Six-factor overlay and 9-category weighted scorecard.

Recommendation

Verdict

Final action, action steps, opportunity, and biggest risk.

Perspectives

Lenses

Growth, value, and income investor reads.

Where the current metrics sit

Percentiles come from the backend screener cohort cache for the ticker's country and sector.

Forward P/E18.4

P25 12.5P50 22.3P75 38.6

Trailing P/E0

P25 16.3P50 33.5P75 65.6

ROE-10.2

P25 -30.7P50 1.5P75 14.4

ROIC760.6

P25 -18.6P50 1.9P75 13.7

Benchmarks - 1M

S&P 500n/a

Nasdaq Compositen/a

Dow Jones Industrial Averagen/a

Russell 2000n/a

Our take

Indicator catalog

All ESTC market and fundamental indicators

A searchable catalog of the available market, valuation, profitability, growth, balance-sheet, ownership, and analyst metrics for this ticker.

Available fields

230

Groups with data

Currency

USD

Showing 230 of 230 available metrics for this ticker.

Profile and market data

Ticker identity, listing, currency, market cap, and source dates.

Metric	Value
Cik	0001707753
Company name	Elastic N.V.
Country	Netherlands
Country code	US
Cusip	N14506104
Employees	3,537
Employees Change	350%
Employees Change Percent	10.98
Enterprise value	$4.8B
Exchange	NYSE
Financial currency	USD
First seen	2026-05-09
Industry	Software - Application
IPO Date	2018-10-05
Isin	NL0013056914
Last refreshed	2026-05-10
Market cap	$5.4B
Market cap category	Mid-Cap
Price	$52.25
Price currency	USD
Rev Per Employee	474,153.8x
Sector	Technology
Sic	7372
Symbol	ESTC
Website	https://www.elastic.co

Valuation

Multiples, yields, enterprise-value ratios, and valuation checks.

Metric	Value
Earnings Yield	-1.56%
EV Sales Forward	2.45x
EV/FCF	18.5x
EV/Sales	2.83x
FCF yield	4.75%
Forward P/E	19.43x
P/B ratio	6.88x
P/S ratio	3.22x
PEG ratio	0.98x
PS Forward	2.78x

Profitability

Margins, returns on capital, cash conversion, and quality metrics.

Metric	Value
EBIT Margin	-1.63%
EBITDA Margin	-0.98%
FCF margin	15.32%
Gross margin	76.07%
Gross Profit	$1.3B
Gross Profit Growth	20.13%
Gross Profit Growth Q	20.49%
Gross Profit Growth3 Y	19.99%
Gross Profit Growth5 Y	25.71%
Net Income	$-84.5M
Net Income Growth Quarters	1%
Net Income Growth Years	0%
Pretax Margin	0.16%
Profit Margin	-5.04%
Profit Per Employee	$-23,895
ROA	-0.72
Roa5y	-5.8
ROCE	-1.88
ROE	-10.24
Roe5y	-27.43
ROIC	760.6

Growth

Revenue, earnings, cash-flow, and forward growth indicators.

Metric	Value
Cagr1y	-38.2%
Cagr3y	-2.67%
Cagr5y	-13.55%
EPS Growth Quarters	1
EPS Growth Years	0
FCF Growth	8.35%
FCF Growth Q	-52.11%
FCF Growth3 Y	365.89%
FCF Growth5 Y	77.4%
OCF Growth	8.76%
OCF Growth Q	-51.47%
OCF Growth3 Y	272.4%
OCF Growth5 Y	70.4%
Revenue Growth	17.29x
Revenue Growth Q	17.74x
Revenue Growth Quarters	31x
Revenue Growth Years	8x
Revenue Growth3 Y	17.71x
Revenue Growth5 Y	24.78x

Financial strength

Debt, cash, solvency, accounting-quality, and balance-sheet signals.

Metric	Value
Asset Turnover	$0.7
Assets	$2.4B
Cash	$1.2B
Current Assets	$1.8B
Current Liabilities	$983.2M
Debt	$591.7M
Debt Equity	$0.75
Debt FCF	$2.3
Equity	$791M
Interest Coverage	-1.11
Liabilities	$1.6B
Long Term Assets	$650.9M
Long Term Liabilities	$664.2M
Net Cash	$656.4M
Net Cash By Market Cap	$12.14
Net Cash Growth	-5.74%
Net Debt Equity	$-0.83
Net Debt FCF	$-2.56
Tangible Book Value	$416.9M
Tangible Book Value Per Share	$4
WACC	-4.4

Liquidity

Current-asset coverage and working-capital efficiency metrics.

Metric	Value
Current ratio	1.82
Net Working Capital	$-436.7M
Quick ratio	1.63
Working Capital	$804.3M
Working Capital Turnover	$2.02

Dividends and buybacks

Dividend yield, payout, buybacks, and shareholder-yield indicators.

Metric	Value
Buyback Yield	-2.72%

Performance and technicals

Returns, volatility, beta, momentum, RSI, and moving-average context.

Metric	Value
1Y total return	-38.18%
200-day SMA	71.45
3Y total return	-7.8%
50-day SMA	50.08
50-day SMA vs 200-day SMA	50under200
5Y total return	-51.7%
All Time High	189.8
All Time High Change	-72.48%
All Time High Date	2021-11-15
All Time Low	39.01
All Time Low Change	33.94%
All Time Low Date	2020-03-17
ATR	2.65
Beta	0.89
Beta1y	1.16
Beta2y	1.5
Ch YTD	-30.74
High	52.31
High52	96.07
High52 Date	2025-11-12
High52ch	-45.61%
Low	49.92
Low52	42.05
Low52 Date	2026-04-10
Low52ch	24.26%
Ma50ch	4.33%
Premarket Change Percent	-0.99
Premarket Price	$51.11
Premarket Volume	8,591
Price vs 200-day SMA	-26.87%
RSI	58.75
RSI Monthly	38.25
RSI Weekly	39.76
Sharpe ratio	-0.8x
Sortino ratio	-0.9
Tr YTD	-30.74
Tr1m	4.88%
Tr1w	7.49%
Tr3m	-11.62%

Analyst estimates

Ratings, targets, revisions, and forward estimate fields.

Metric	Value
Analyst Count	28
Analyst Count Top	5
Analyst Price Target Top	$91.6
Analyst Ratings	Buy
Analyst Ratings Top	Strong Buy
Earnings EPS Estimate	$0.43
Earnings EPS Estimate Growth	-8.51
Earnings Revenue Estimate	446,211,664x
Earnings Revenue Estimate Growth	14.88x
Operating Income	$-27.4M
Operating margin	-1.63
Price target	$91.38
Price Target Change	$74.89
Price Target Change Top	$75.31

Ownership and float

Institutional, insider, float, short-interest, and share-count fields.

Metric	Value
Float	82,852,093%
Float Percent	80.05%
Shares Insiders	12.55%
Shares Institutions	83.28%
Shares Out	103,501,008
Shares Qo Q	-0.37%
Shares Yo Y	2.72%
Short Float	5.57%
Short Ratio	2.26
Short Shares	4.46

Other indicators

Additional ticker metrics that do not fit the primary research groupings yet.

Metric	Value
Adjusted FCF	$-29.7M
Average Volume	1,576,772.6x
Bv Per Share	7.59
CAPEX	$-4.3M
Ch1m	4.88
Ch1w	7.49
Ch1y	-38.18
Ch3m	-11.62
Ch3y	-7.8
Ch5y	-51.7
Ch6m	-41.96
Change	1.22%
Change From Open	2.98
Close	51.62
Days Gap	-1.7
Depreciation Amortization	10,908,000
Dollar Volume	66,386,446.5
Earnings Date	2026-05-28
Earnings Time	amc
EBIT	$-27.4M
EBITDA	$-16.5M
EPS	$-0.8
F Score	4
FCF	$256.8M
FCF EV Yield	5.41x
FCF Per Share	$2.48
Financing CF	-264,622,000
Fiscal Year End	April
Founded	2,012
Goodwill	358,506,000
Income Tax	$87.3M
Investing CF	151,084,000
Is Primary Listing	1
Is Spac	No
Last Earnings Date	2026-02-26
Last Report Date	2026-01-31
Last Split Type	Never
Last10k Filing Date	2025-06-10
Ma150	67.32
Ma150ch	-22.38%
Ma20	48.2
Ma20ch	8.41%
Net CF	153,322,000
Next Earnings Date	2026-05-28
Open	50.74
Optionable	Yes
P FCF Ratio	21.05
P OCF Ratio	20.71
Position In Range	97.49
Post Close	52.25
Postmarket Change Percent	-0.08
Postmarket Price	$52.21
Ppne	25,182,000
Pre Close	51.62
Price Date	2026-05-08
Ptbv Ratio	12.97
Relative Volume	0.81x
Revenue	1,677,082,000x
SBC By Revenue	17.08x
Share Based Comp	286,509,000
Tax By Revenue	5.2x
Tax Rate	3,159.92%
Tr6m	-41.96%
Volume	1,270,554
Z Score	3.67

Fast facts

Decision checkpoints

A compact product layer over the same report payload.

Risk gate

Named kill scenarios are reviewed before any bullish rating can stand.

Moat score

6.5/10

Business quality stays separate from stock attractiveness.

Forward P/E

18.4x

Valuation uses the full report model stack, not a single multiple.

Next action

Strong Buy

Final action steps are kept in the recommendation tab.

Our take

Income

Does ESTC pay a dividend?

Capital-return profile for this ticker.

Performance

ESTC stock returns vs the market

Total return (incl. dividends) compared to S&P 500.

Ownership

Who owns ESTC?

Insider, institutional, and short-interest positioning.

Institutional ownership

+83.3%

Float: +80.0% of shares outstanding

Insider ownership

+12.6%

Stake held by company insiders. Higher generally signals alignment.

Negative means the company is buying back shares.

Technical

ESTC momentum and risk profile

RSI, moving-average stack, beta, and risk-adjusted return.

RSI (14)

58.7

Neutral momentum band

Price vs 200-day MA

-26.9%

50/200-day relationship not available

Beta (5Y)

0.89

Moves roughly with the market

Sharpe ratio

-0.80

Risk-adjusted return — higher is better; >1.0 is solid.

Peers

ESTC vs. sector cohort

Currency-neutral comparison: P/E, P/S, ROIC, 5Y revenue CAGR, and 1Y total return. Market-cap column appears only when every peer reports in the same currency.

Ticker	Name	Market cap	P/E	P/S	ROIC	5Y rev CAGR	1Y total return	Rating
CRWD	CrowdStrike Holdings Inc.	134.3B	—	27.9x	-358.8%	+40.6%	+24.9%	बेचें
INTC	Intel Corporation	627.8B	—	11.7x	1.5%	-7.1%	+515.1%	बेचें
MRNA	Moderna Inc.	21.6B	—	9.7x	-66.2%	-4.0%	+125.9%	होल्ड

Questions

About ESTC

Hub-level FAQ points readers to the deeper analysis pages.

What is the current ESTC stock rating?

Elastic N.V. is currently shown with Strong Buy in the latest report. The hub links directly to the full analysis surface where the rating, fair-value bridge, risks, and scorecard are documented together.

Where can I read the full ESTC analysis?

The full report lives at /stocks/ESTC/analysis. The bare ticker page is a product hub that summarizes the latest read and sends readers into the relocated analysis tabs without making the analysis surface depend on the hub.

What fair-value range is used for ESTC?

The latest report frames ESTC around $80 to $166. Treat that range as the entry point, then check the valuation, sensitivity, and bear-case tabs before making an investment decision.

How often is the ESTC page updated?

The hub updates with the latest published stock report and live backend market data. The analysis pages remain reachable under /analysis, so a hub rollback does not remove the report reader.